美国主导权凸显 来源：中国新闻周刊 2026年开始之际，中东的所有冲突都暂时平息，形成一定程度的平衡与秩序。不过，这是下一场冲突前 的中场休息，持久、公正的新秩序仍遥遥无期。 经过两年大动荡之后，以色列与巴勒斯坦伊斯兰抵抗运动（哈马斯）、叙利亚、黎巴嫩、也门胡塞武 装、伊朗之间的冲突都处于相对平静状态，形成新的权力格局。当然，这是一种脆弱、丑陋的平衡，没 有一个矛盾得到真正解决，不公正、不合理的秩序并未改变。战场上获胜的一方要进一步扩大优势，失 败的一方要卷土重来。 2025年12月22日，在加沙城西部一处临时避难所附近的巴勒斯坦儿童。图/新华 新一轮加沙冲突前，大国在中东的影响呈现出多极化态势，美国享有最强的综合影响力，欧盟、中国的 经济影响突出，俄罗斯则主导个别国家的政局。冲突爆发后，军事干预的重要性骤然上升，美国的地位 因此突出。英国《经济学人》称，2023年10月7日哈马斯袭击以色列后，"不管你喜不喜欢，美国仍然是 中东唯一的霸权"。 1991年苏联解体后，俄罗斯几近退出中东的权力游戏，仅保留了少量经济活动。2015年借美国战略收缩 和叙利亚内战之机，俄罗斯强势重返中东，迅速建立了在叙利亚的主导地位。 ...

美国和委内瑞拉的矛盾持续升温。 近期，美国以"缉毒"为由，在委内瑞拉附近加勒比海域部署多艘军舰。9月初以来，美军已在加勒比海 和东太平洋击沉超过20艘美方指称的委内瑞拉"贩毒船"，造成80余人死亡。然而，美国政府并未披露任 何可以证明其攻击目标涉毒的证据。委内瑞拉政府多次指责美国意图通过军事威胁在委策动政权更迭， 并在拉美进行军事扩张。 除军事施压外，美国总统特朗普也曾释放外交信号。当地时间11月30日，特朗普透露，他与委内瑞拉总 统马杜罗通过电话，但没有透露通话时间和内容。当地时间12月3日，马杜罗证实了这一消息。 然而，此次通话被指未能取得进展，美国对委内瑞拉的军事施压持续升级。 据新华社报道，在11月21日的通话中，美方要求马杜罗立即辞职，并在一周内离开委内瑞拉，给出的最 后期限是11月28日。28日期限过后的第二天，特朗普就在社交媒体放出委内瑞拉及其周边空域"应被视 为全面关闭"的言论。数日后的12月2日，特朗普发出美军将很快对委内瑞拉境内的目标发动"陆上打 击"的威胁。 随着局势不断升温，外界对美国可能军事打击委内瑞拉的担忧加剧。 美国加紧施压委内瑞拉的真实意图 近期，美国不仅正式将委内瑞拉涉毒组织 ...

Core Viewpoint - Japan's government, under Prime Minister Kishi Nobuo, is aggressively pursuing military expansion under the guise of "self-defense," with a strong focus on militarizing space [1][3]. Group 1: Military Expansion Plans - Japan's Defense Minister Koizumi Shinjiro emphasized the importance of space as a critical area for both military and civilian purposes during a visit to the Air Self-Defense Force base [3]. - The Japanese government plans to reorganize the Air Self-Defense Force into an "Aerospace Self-Defense Force" by the fiscal year 2026, with the "Space Operations Group" expected to be upgraded to a "Space Operations Corps" by 2025 [3]. - Japan is also developing "bodyguard satellites" to enhance its space defense capabilities and plans to invest heavily in a "low-orbit satellite constellation" project, akin to the Starlink initiative [3]. Group 2: Strategic Considerations - Japan aims to establish a more comprehensive space reconnaissance system using optical infrared imaging satellites and radar reconnaissance satellites to monitor foreign military targets [4]. - The military communication and navigation satellites will support Japan's Self-Defense Forces in the Indian and Pacific Oceans, facilitating overseas deployments for intelligence and information support [4]. - New early warning satellites are being launched to strengthen Japan's overall missile defense capabilities, reducing the effectiveness of other nations' ballistic missile capabilities [5]. Group 3: International Reactions and Concerns - International observers have expressed concerns that Prime Minister Kishi Nobuo's statements signal a resurgence of Japanese militarism, which could threaten regional and global peace and stability [6][7]. - Critics argue that Japan's military expansion and provocative statements could escalate tensions and potentially lead to conflict, highlighting the historical context of Japan's military actions in Asia [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - Japan is significantly increasing its military preparedness, reflecting a shift towards a more proactive and practical defense strategy, particularly in response to potential conflicts in the Taiwan Strait [1][4]. Group 1: Military Spending and Policy Changes - Japan's defense budget has been on the rise for 13 consecutive years, with a notable increase from fiscal year 2012 to fiscal year 2025 [3]. - The Japanese cabinet approved a supplementary budget for fiscal year 2025 that includes defense-related expenses of 1.1 trillion yen (approximately 49.8 billion yuan), bringing the total defense spending for that year to about 11 trillion yen (approximately 498.2 billion yuan), which constitutes 2% of GDP [4]. - The new "security three documents" emphasize a fundamental strengthening of defense capabilities and the development of "counter-strike capabilities," which undermines Japan's principle of "defensive defense" [4]. Group 2: International Reactions and Concerns - China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs has expressed strong opposition to Japan's militaristic tendencies, viewing them as a revival of militarism [5][6]. - The Chinese government has criticized Japan's recent military policy changes, including the loosening of weapon export restrictions and the pursuit of collective self-defense, as violations of post-war international agreements [6].

Group 1 - The article discusses Japan's military preparations in response to tensions in the Taiwan Strait, particularly focusing on the deployment of the Self-Defense Forces on the southwestern islands [1][2]. - Three military strategies have been outlined for potential operations in the Taiwan Strait: a rapid assault by the "Amphibious Rapid Deployment Brigade," large-scale amphibious operations, and missile fire suppression and blockade [2]. - The "Amphibious Rapid Deployment Brigade" has expanded to 3,000 personnel, with plans to utilize various naval vessels for quick troop deployment and island seizure [2]. Group 2 - The Japanese Ground Self-Defense Force plans to establish a "Maritime Transport Group" by 2027, which will include 10 transport vessels to enhance military logistics and support operations in the southwestern direction [2]. - The article argues that Japan's military strategies may not succeed due to the inability to secure air superiority, as the Air Self-Defense Force's capabilities are considered outdated compared to advanced enemy aircraft [3]. - Additionally, the article highlights that Japan's forces would be vulnerable to long-range strikes during mobilization, which could lead to failure in any attempted operations [3].

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. military has conducted airstrikes in the Caribbean targeting drug trafficking vessels, showcasing military strength near Venezuela's coast [1][2][4]. Military Actions - On the 15th, the U.S. deployed three B-52 bombers to fly near the Venezuelan coast for a show of force, approximately 150 miles (about 241 kilometers) north of Venezuela [4]. - The U.S. has gathered around 10,000 troops, eight warships, one nuclear submarine, and multiple fighter jets in the Caribbean region [7]. Government Statements - President Trump has authorized the CIA to conduct covert operations in Venezuela and is considering ground strikes against the country [7]. - Venezuelan officials have accused the U.S. of attempting regime change through military threats and have announced plans to seek legal action against the U.S. for its "threats and aggression" [8]. Drug Trafficking Claims - The U.S. government claims to have sunk five alleged drug trafficking vessels and killed 27 traffickers since September, despite reports indicating that Venezuela is not a major source of drugs entering the U.S. [8].

Core Points - The Russian government has approved a military cooperation agreement with Cuba, originally signed in March 2023, which aims to strengthen military collaboration between the two nations [1] - The agreement provides a legal framework for defining the goals, directions, and forms of bilateral military cooperation [1] - The approval of this agreement is seen as a strategic move for Russia to respond to the situation in Latin America and to revive traditional ties with Cuba dating back to the Soviet era [1] Summary by Category Military Cooperation - The military cooperation agreement was signed in March 2023 in Havana and Moscow [1] - The agreement is expected to facilitate joint military exercises, technical exchanges, and officer training [1] Strategic Implications - The agreement is viewed as part of Russia's strategy to re-establish its presence in the Western Hemisphere [1] - It opens up broad options for Russia to address regional dynamics in Latin America [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increasing military and economic pressure the Trump administration is exerting on Latin America, particularly Venezuela, marking a significant shift in U.S. foreign policy since the Cold War [1][5]. Group 1: Military Actions - The Pentagon is reportedly planning operations against "drug traffickers" in Venezuela, indicating a more aggressive stance compared to previous administrations [2]. - The U.S. has deployed multiple naval vessels and aircraft near Venezuela, including F-35s, and has conducted several maritime attacks resulting in the sinking of Venezuelan ships and loss of life [4]. - Venezuela's foreign minister has accused the U.S. of illegal military threats aimed at seizing the country's oil and gas resources [5]. Group 2: Regional Policy and Reactions - The U.S. has been vocal about its intentions in Latin America, threatening military action in various countries and increasing its military presence under the guise of a "war on drugs" [6][8]. - The Trump administration's approach has been characterized as "new Monroeism," with a focus on coercing Latin American countries to align with U.S. interests [10][11]. - Leaders from countries like Brazil, Venezuela, and Colombia have become targets of U.S. pressure, with some facing visa revocations and other punitive measures [11]. Group 3: Implications and Criticism - Analysts warn that the aggressive military strategy may lead to increased crime and instability in the region, countering the intended goals of the "war on drugs" [7][8]. - The article highlights that the majority of drug-related issues in Latin America are not directly linked to Venezuela, suggesting that U.S. actions may be misdirected [6][8]. - There is a growing call among Latin American leaders for diplomatic solutions to avoid conflict, contrasting with the U.S. military approach [11][13].

Core Insights - Ukraine's Ministry of Defense conducted drone attacks on key Russian logistical facilities located at Novorossiysk and Tuapse ports on the Black Sea coast [1] - The attacks resulted in the paralysis of oil loading facilities near Novorossiysk, which were exporting approximately 2 million barrels of oil daily [1] - Ukrainian forces also reported the downing of a Russian Su-34 bomber in Zaporizhzhia during the same timeframe [1] Summary by Category Military Actions - Ukraine utilized unmanned attack boats to target Russian logistical facilities [1] - The attacks specifically impacted oil export operations at Novorossiysk and Tuapse ports [1] - Ukrainian air forces successfully shot down a Russian Su-34 bomber [1] Economic Impact - The oil loading facilities affected by the attacks were responsible for the export of around 2 million barrels of oil per day [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Ukraine's Ministry of Defense Intelligence has released a video showing drone strikes on Russian targets in Crimea, specifically hitting two An-26 transport aircraft [1] - As of the report, there has been no official response from Russia regarding Ukraine's claims [4]