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海博思创(688411):受益于储能需求增长,海外业务持续推进
Huaxin Securities· 2025-06-30 08:42
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" investment rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2][7]. Core Insights - The company is a leading provider of electrochemical energy storage systems in China, benefiting from industry growth and increasing demand for energy storage solutions [5]. - The company has a higher gross margin than the industry average due to its focus on technology cost reduction and strategic procurement [5]. - The company is expanding its overseas business, with significant contributions expected from Europe and Southeast Asia [6]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 103.41 billion, 123.89 billion, and 142.33 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 4.52, 5.56, and 6.67 yuan [7][10]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company specializes in providing comprehensive energy storage solutions for various sectors, including traditional and renewable energy generation [5]. - The company has established a strong presence in major global markets, including the US, Germany, and Australia, with certifications for its products [6]. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue for 2024 is expected to be 82.7 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 18.4% [10]. - The net profit for 2024 is projected at 648 million yuan, with a growth rate of 12.1% [10]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to remain stable at around 18.2% over the forecast period [11]. Market Position - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for energy storage systems, particularly in light of regulatory changes that encourage the integration of storage with renewable energy sources [5][6]. - The company aims to achieve parity in revenue between its domestic and overseas operations within the next 3-5 years [6].
储能需求暴增,2025年全球出货有望突破500GWh
鑫椤锂电· 2025-06-19 07:20
Core Viewpoint - The global energy storage battery shipments are experiencing significant growth, with a projected total of 500GWh for the year 2025, driven by strong demand from major companies and supportive policies in various regions [5][6][8]. Group 1: Global Market Trends - In the first five months of 2025, global energy storage battery shipments reached 196.5GWh, marking a year-on-year increase of 118% [5]. - The demand for batteries is primarily concentrated among companies such as Tesla, Sungrow, BYD, CRRC Zhuzhou, Haibo Innovation, and Jinko Solar, with key markets including China, the USA, the UK, Saudi Arabia, Chile, and Australia [8]. Group 2: Domestic Policies in China - Document 136 mandates that all electricity generated from new energy projects must enter the market, effectively ending the "guaranteed purchase + fixed price" model, while allowing exceptions for cross-province transactions [11]. - Document 394 outlines the timeline for the establishment of electricity spot markets in various provinces, with a focus on enabling power generation companies to participate in inter-provincial trading [11]. - Recent policy changes have eliminated mandatory energy storage requirements, instead promoting energy storage through market reforms, leading to a rapid increase in domestic storage demand [11]. Group 3: Market Dynamics in the USA - The U.S. market is witnessing a surge in energy storage exports due to changes in tariff policies, with some older orders being delivered ahead of schedule [13]. - The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) has adjusted its timeline, with incentives beginning to phase out in 2026 instead of 2032, prompting early project starts and increased storage inventory needs [13]. Group 4: European Market Developments - Several European countries, including Germany, Spain, the UK, and Poland, have introduced energy storage subsidy policies, further stimulated by a significant power outage in Spain in April [15]. Group 5: Regional Project Updates - Tesla's Shanghai factory has begun shipping projects in the Asia-Pacific region, while BYD has signed a major 12.5GWh project in the Middle East, with shipments starting in April [17]. - The rapid growth in storage demand is primarily driven by the swift expansion of renewable energy, the need for flexible modifications and retirements of thermal power, and increasing instability in the power grid, necessitating energy storage to optimize the electricity market [17].