2026 年度化工策略-新材料大有可为，"反内卷"下周期 进入右侧 20260107 摘要 锂电材料市场虽有回调，但需求仍可能超预期上涨。玻纤行业与化工行 业逻辑相似，2026 年业绩确定性较高，中国巨石粗纱供给增长低于需 求，中材科技锂电隔膜价格已现拐点。 化工行业资本开支和固定资产投资下降，显示供给端变化较少。化纤类 资产整体供需平衡表向好，氨纶、涤纶、有机硅等品种开工率高。推荐 中游核心资产龙头白马股，如万华化学和华鲁恒升。 期底部的中游核心资产，如万华化学和华鲁恒升等公司。价值主线则主要是资 源品。 锂电材料领域有哪些值得关注的细分市场？ Q&A 过去半个月化工行业的行情表现如何？其核心驱动力是什么？ 过去半个月，化工行业整体行情表现强劲，主要集中在中游核心资产。我们认 为其核心驱动力在于低盈利、低估值和低配置下机构的主动增配机会。此外， 这些中游核心资产相较于 2021 年有显著的产能扩张，即便不考虑乐观的价格 假设，其盈利也有很大的上升空间。 化工和新材料领域的年度策略有哪些核心主线？ 核心资产如万华化学和华鲁恒升，即使不考虑价格上涨，产能扩张也带 来盈利增长空间，中泰证券年度策略聚焦成长（AI、 ...

资金流向方面，主力资金净流出1852.13万元，特大单买入476.30万元，占比2.88%，卖出547.24万元， 占比3.31%；大单买入2015.79万元，占比12.18%，卖出3796.98万元，占比22.93%。 1月7日，丰元股份盘中下跌2.04%，截至10:03，报17.79元/股，成交1.66亿元，换手率3.29%，总市值 49.82亿元。 丰元股份今年以来股价涨0.34%，近5个交易日跌2.95%，近20日跌3.16%，近60日涨23.63%。 资料显示，山东丰元化学股份有限公司位于山东省枣庄市台儿庄区经济开发区玉山路，成立日期2000年 8月23日，上市日期2016年7月7日，公司主营业务涉及草酸生产、销售;硝酸、硝酸生产、销售;经营进 出口业务。主营业务收入构成为：锂电池正极材料92.78%，草酸类7.14%，其他0.09%。 丰元股份所属申万行业为：电力设备-电池-电池化学品。所属概念板块包括：钠电池、小盘、磷酸铁 锂、固态电池、宁德时代概念等。 责任编辑：小浪快报 截至12月10日，丰元股份股东户数4.28万，较上期减少7.62%；人均流通股6513股，较上期增加8.25%。 2025 ...

其中，年产40万吨新型磷酸铁锂前驱体草酸项目暂定名为"内蒙古汇能时代有限公司40万吨新型磷酸铁锂前驱体草酸项目"，由江西升 华与内蒙古卓正按40%、60%股权比例成立合资公司实施，选址于乌审旗苏里格经济开发区纳林河工业园区，规划用地约350亩，预计 总投资12亿元，建设周期24个月。 年产60万吨新型磷酸铁锂前驱体草酸亚铁项目暂定名为"苏里格时代富临有限公司年产60万吨高端储能用磷酸铁锂前驱体项目"，由江 西升华新设项目公司实施，同样选址于纳林河工业园区，规划用地约500亩，预计总投资15亿元，建设周期14个月。两项目用地类型均 为三类化工用地，使用年限50年，资金来源均为江西升华自有及自筹资金。 1月5日，富临精工发布两则重大投资公告，宣布其子公司江西升华新材料有限公司（以下简称"江西升华"）将分别与内蒙古鄂尔多斯 市伊金霍洛旗人民政府、乌审旗人民政府及内蒙古卓正煤化工有限公司签订《投资合作协议》，投资建设年产50万吨高端储能用磷酸 铁锂项目及年产40万吨草酸、60万吨草酸亚铁两大前驱体材料项目，三大项目总投资预计达87亿元，旨在完善新能源材料产业链布 局，提升核心竞争力。 50万吨磷酸铁锂项目落地伊金霍洛 ...

Market Strategy - The market is expected to maintain a range-bound oscillation, with a focus on precise timing to capture excess returns within the established range around 3900 points [2][3] - A mid-term perspective suggests selecting mid-cap blue-chip stocks in sectors with improving marginal conditions, particularly those benefiting from global supply chain restructuring and financial attributes [2][3] Industry Strategy - In the chemical sector, oxalic acid is anticipated to experience a tightening supply-demand dynamic, leading to a potential upturn in market conditions. The primary downstream applications for oxalic acid include rare earths, pharmaceuticals, and the new energy sector [2][3] - The rapid growth in lithium iron phosphate production is expected to make the new energy sector the largest application area for oxalic acid, with projected additional demand exceeding 180,000 tons due to new production capacities coming online [2][3] - The MLCC (Multi-layer Ceramic Capacitor) industry is poised to benefit from strong downstream demand driven by AI applications, with the demand for MLCCs expected to surge as AI servers require significantly more components than traditional servers [3]

智通财经APP获悉，东方证券发布研报称，宁德时代(300750.SZ)对高压实铁锂供应链的重视度提升。草 铁法铁锂在高压实领域具备性能和工艺优势，该行认为草铁法铁锂的需求增速有望超过铁锂整体的需求 增速，行业渗透率也将逐步提升。整体而言，该行看好草酸在下游高压实密度磷酸铁锂需求增长的背景 下迎来景气的上行机会。看好华鲁恒升(600426.SH，买入)以及万凯新材(301216.SZ，买入)。 草铁法铁锂在高压实领域具备性能和工艺优势 东方证券主要观点如下： 草酸的主要下游为稀土、医药和新能源领域，随着草铁法铁锂产量近年的快速增长，新能源领域有望成 为草酸下游最大的应用领域。富临精工和鹏博新材当前新规划了共计55万吨草铁法铁锂产能(各是分两 期实施)，若明年只考虑第一期投产及提前备货原材料的需求及富临精工现有产能的持续爬坡，以草酸 单耗0.65测算，这些铁锂产能满产带来的草酸新增需求有望达到18万吨以上。而后续草酸主要的新增供 给基本集中在2026年底，明年仅天业汇合(新疆天业参股子公司)的二期3万吨和通辽金煤(金煤科技控股 子公司)的二期10万吨在上半年投产能够形成供给贡献。虽然这其中存在投产和爬坡的时间差， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the basic chemical industry, particularly focusing on oxalic acid [5]. Core Insights - The demand for oxalic acid is expected to rise due to the growth in high-density lithium iron phosphate (LiFePO4) in the downstream market, presenting an upward opportunity for the industry [3][26]. - Key players in the oxalic acid market include Hualu Chemical (600426, Buy) and Wankai New Materials (301216, Buy), with other notable mentions being Xinjiang Tianye (600075, Not Rated), Fengyuan Co., Ltd. (002805, Not Rated), and Jinmei Technology (600844, Not Rated) [3][48]. Summary by Sections 1. Battery Leaders Increasing Investment in Oxalic Acid-Based High-Density LiFePO4 - The report highlights the strategic moves by leading battery manufacturers, such as CATL, to enhance their supply chain security for high-density LiFePO4, indicating a structural opportunity in the industry despite the overall market moving towards commoditization [12][8]. 2. Advantages of Oxalic Acid-Based LiFePO4 in High-Density Applications - Oxalic acid-based LiFePO4 demonstrates superior performance and process advantages, particularly in high-density applications, which are driven by the increasing demand for fast-charging and high-capacity energy storage solutions [16][22]. - The report notes that the demand growth rate for oxalic acid-based LiFePO4 is expected to surpass that of traditional LiFePO4, indicating a gradual increase in market penetration [16]. 3. Oxalic Acid Expected to Experience Upward Market Trends - The report anticipates a tightening supply-demand dynamic for oxalic acid, driven by its primary applications in rare earth, pharmaceuticals, and the rapidly growing renewable energy sector [26][27]. - The projected increase in production capacity for oxalic acid is limited in the near term, which is expected to contribute to a favorable market environment [39]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in leading oxalic acid producers such as Hualu Chemical and Wankai New Materials, while also considering other related companies like Xinjiang Tianye and Jinmei Technology for their potential growth [3][48].

南财智讯12月18日电，万凯新材在投资者关系活动中表示，公司草酸项目是在四川60万吨乙二醇项目基 础上进行技术改造，利用中间产物DMO通过水解法生产草酸并副产氢气，总投资3.5亿元，预计2026年 二季度末投产。草酸下游应用于新能源材料、化工中间体等领域，需求稳定，行业供给受工艺、环保和 资本约束，价格与盈利具备韧性。项目已与富临新能源科技有限公司建立战略合作，销售渠道明确，无 市场消化不确定性。 ...

证券代码：301216 证券简称：万凯新材 万凯新材上市公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-1218 | | □特定对象调研 □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | | □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 | | 投资者关系活 动类别 | □新闻发布会 √路演活动 | | | □现场参观 □电话会议 | | | □其他： （请文字说明其他活动内容） | | 参与单位名称 | | | 及人员姓名 | 交银施罗德 张明晓；汇丰晋信 叶繁；国投瑞银 贺明之 | | 2025 时间 | 年 12 月 18 日 | | 地点 上海 | | | 公司接待人员 | 投资者关系总监孟锦晶 | | | 一、关于公司主业和行业环境，公司如何看待当前瓶片行业的经营 | | | 情况，和自身抗周期能力？ | | | 答：自 2025 年 7 月，瓶片行业为内主要企业达成"反内卷"一 | | | 致行动方案：整体减产 20%。在这一供给端约束下，社会库存持续下 | | | 降，行业供需关系明显改善，带动瓶片加工费持续回暖。万凯新材一 | | 投资者关系活 | 方面积极参与并落实行业联盟的自律安排，共同推动行业秩序的修 | | 动 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [5] Core Insights - The central economic work conference has outlined key tasks for 2026, emphasizing high-quality development and green transformation, which will drive optimization in the chemical industry [8] - MDI prices have shown strong resilience, influenced by unexpected production halts in major facilities, leading to a favorable supply-demand situation [8] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The chemical industry is expected to recover, with specific focus on MDI, PVC, and phosphate chemicals due to strong demand from energy storage growth [3][8] Investment Recommendations - Companies with potential for recovery in the PVC sector include: Zhongtai Chemical, Xinjiang Tianye, Chlor-alkali Chemical, and Tianyuan Co., all currently unrated [3] - MDI leader: Wanhua Chemical is rated as "Buy" [3] - In the phosphate chemical sector, companies to watch include: Chuanheng Co. and Yuntianhua, both currently unrated [3] - In the oxalic acid industry, recommended stocks include: Hualu Hengsheng, Huayi Group, and Wankai New Materials, all rated as "Buy" [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Fengyuan Co., Ltd. has conducted an investor survey, highlighting its business focus on lithium battery cathode materials, which constitute a significant portion of its revenue [1] - As of the latest report, Fengyuan Co., Ltd. has a market capitalization of 5 billion yuan [2] - The revenue composition for Fengyuan Co., Ltd. from January to June 2025 shows that lithium battery cathode materials account for 92.78%, oxalic acid for 7.14%, and other industries for 0.09% [1]