Report Industry Investment Ratings - Urea: ★☆☆ [1] - Methanol: ★☆☆ [1] - Pure Benzene: ★★★ [1] - Styrene: ★★★ [1] - Propylene: ★★☆ [1] - Plastic: ☆☆☆ [1] - PVC: ★☆☆ [1] - Caustic Soda: ★☆☆ [1] - PX: ★★★ [1] - PTA: ☆☆☆ [1] - Ethylene Glycol: ★★★ [1] - Short Fiber: ☆☆☆ [1] - Glass: ★★★ [1] - Soda Ash: ★★★ [1] - Bottle Chip: ★★★ [1] Core Viewpoints - The chemical market shows complex trends with different products affected by various factors such as supply - demand, geopolitical events, and cost [2][3][5] - Some products have short - term fluctuations due to factors like oil price and policy, while long - term trends are related to supply - demand balance and capacity changes [5][7][8] Summary by Related Catalogs Olefins - Polyolefins - Propylene futures rose as market sentiment improved and inventory was low [2] - Plastic and polypropylene futures also increased. PE was supported by macro factors and cost, and PP was supported by factory prices and inventory control [2] Pure Benzene - Styrene - Pure benzene futures oscillated. High imports and inventory pressured the market, but there was a mid - line opportunity for positive spread arbitrage [3] - Styrene futures were stable. Production was smooth, and export news supported the market [3] Polyester - PX and PTA rose with oil price and market sentiment. Polyester demand was weak, and the industry faced negative feedback [5] - Ethylene glycol had an expected increase in domestic supply and a decrease in overseas supply. It was pressured in the long - term but might improve in Q2 [5] - Short fiber prices followed raw materials. It was necessary to pay attention to downstream stocking [5] - Bottle chip demand weakened. It was cost - driven and faced long - term over - capacity [5] Coal Chemical Industry - Methanol futures rose due to geopolitical events. Coastal inventory might suppress the short - term market, but imports were expected to decrease in the medium - term [6] - Urea prices kept rising. Supply recovery was slow, and demand was expected to increase [6] Chlor - Alkali - PVC rose due to a policy. Supply increased, demand was low, and there was a possibility of capacity reduction in 2026 [7] - Caustic soda was affected by a policy. Supply was high, and future alumina production cuts might limit its rise [7] Soda Ash - Glass - Soda ash oscillated. Supply increased, demand decreased, and there was a long - term over - capacity problem [8] - Glass also oscillated. Production capacity was expected to be compressed, and demand was insufficient [8]

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Acrylene: ★☆☆ [1] - Polypropylene: ★☆☆ [1] - Plastic: ★☆☆ [1] - Pure Benzene: ☆☆☆ [1] - Styrene: ☆☆☆ [1] - PTA: ☆☆☆ [1] - Hexanediol: ☆☆☆ [1] - Short Fiber: ★☆☆ [1] - Bottle Chip: ☆☆☆ [1] - Methanol: ★☆☆ [1] - Urea: ☆☆☆ [1] - PVC: ★☆☆ [1] - Caustic Soda: ☆☆☆ [1] - Soda Ash: ★★★ [1] - Glass: ★★★ [1] Core Views - The olefin - polyolefin market shows a weak trend, with acrylene price rising but facing constraints, and plastic and polypropylene in a bearish pattern [2]. - The pure benzene - styrene market is in an oscillatory state, with pure benzene likely to oscillate and styrene maintaining a low - level range [3]. - The polyester market has different trends for each product, with PX expected to be strong in the medium - term, PTA following cost - driven logic, and other products having their own supply - demand characteristics [4]. - The coal - chemical market has methanol in a game between strong expectations and weak reality, and urea may return to a stalemate after a short - term rise [5]. - The chlor - alkali market has PVC and caustic soda in an oscillatory state, with PVC likely to operate in a low - level range and caustic soda running weakly [6]. - The soda ash - glass market has soda ash in an oversupply situation in the long - term and glass expected to oscillate strongly, and the strategy of going long on glass and short on soda ash is recommended [7]. Summary by Related Catalogs Olefin - Polyolefin - Acrylene futures fluctuate weakly around the 5 - day moving average. Supply in Shandong is tight, pushing up prices, but downstream cost pressure may limit the upside [2]. - Plastic and polypropylene futures are in a bearish pattern. Polyethylene has stable domestic supply and weakening demand, while polypropylene downstream has low inventory - building willingness [2]. Pure Benzene - Styrene - Pure benzene prices are under pressure due to weakening gasoline crack spreads, high arrival expectations, and falling demand, but may oscillate due to future device maintenance [3]. - Styrene futures fluctuate narrowly. Supply - demand structure improves slightly, and profit is repaired, but the price may continue to oscillate [3]. Polyester - PX short - term supply - demand weakens, but is expected to be strong in the medium - term. PTA follows cost - driven logic and may see improved processing margins [4]. - Hexanediol supply improves marginally, with limited medium - term rebound space. Short fiber has no new investment pressure, and bottle chip demand fades [4]. Coal - Chemical - Methanol has a game between strong expectations and weak reality. Near - month contracts are strong, but high imports and potential MTO shutdowns may limit the upside [5]. - Urea prices rise in the short - term due to concentrated demand release, but may return to a stalemate as the demand boost is not sustainable [5]. Chlor - Alkali - PVC oscillates. Export may improve, and prices may stop falling, but high inventory pressure remains [6]. - Caustic soda oscillates. High inventory, poor demand, and potential alumina production cuts lead to a weak trend [6]. Soda Ash - Glass - Soda ash oscillates. Inventory decreases, but there is an oversupply in the long - term. Attention should be paid to upstream cost fluctuations [7]. - Glass oscillates strongly. Cold - repair may compress capacity, and cost support may lift prices [7].

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Two-olefins: ★☆☆ [1] - Polypropylene: ★☆★ [1] - Plastic: ★☆★ [1] - Pure benzene: ★☆★ [1] - Styrene: ★☆★ [1] - PX: ★☆★ [1] - PTA: ★☆☆ [1] - Ethylene glycol: ★☆★ [1] - Short fiber: ★☆☆ [1] - Bottle chips: ★☆★ [1] - Methanol: ★★★ [1] - Urea: ★★★ [1] - PVC: ★★★ [1] - Caustic soda: ★★★ [1] - Pure benzene: ★★★ [1] - Glass: ☆☆☆ [1] Core Views - The chemical market is affected by multiple factors such as oil prices, supply and demand, and policies, showing different trends in various sub - sectors [2][3][5] - Some products are expected to have better performance in the short - term or long - term, while others may face challenges and risks [5][6][7] Summary by Directory Olefins - Polyolefins - Propylene futures fluctuate narrowly, with low - stable prices, and strong market wait - and - see sentiment [2] - Polyethylene has enhanced cost support but faces resistance from downstream factories, and the market is digesting price increases [2] - Polypropylene prices rise slightly at the end of the month, but downstream new orders are not improving significantly, and procurement enthusiasm is low [2] Pure Benzene - Styrene - Pure benzene prices fall with oil prices, and there is a decline in both supply and demand. The focus is on port inventory accumulation [3] - Styrene supply decreases, demand is good, but high inventory limits its rebound space [3] Polyester - PX has cost support for PTA, but there are concerns about PTA inventory accumulation if oil prices stop rising [5] - Ethylene glycol's short - term fundamentals improve, but there is a long - term inventory accumulation expectation [5] - Short fiber has a good spot pattern in the short - term but may face inventory accumulation again [5] - Bottle chips' demand weakens, with inventory accumulation and pressure on processing margins [5] Coal Chemical Industry - Methanol ports may oscillate in the short - term and tend to be stronger in the long - term [6] - Urea is expected to oscillate strongly in the short - term due to improved supply - demand and cost support [6] Chlor - Alkali - PVC's inventory accumulation slows down, and it may operate in the bottom - range [7] - Caustic soda may operate at a low level in the range due to high inventory pressure [7] Soda Ash - Glass - Soda ash is in a low - level range, and it is advisable to short at high prices after a rebound [8] - Glass prices continue to decline, and the downward range may be limited at a low valuation [8]