Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trend, resistance, and support levels of various futures contracts in April 2026 [2]. - The report also analyzes the market performance of various futures on March 31, 2026, and provides short - term and long - term trend predictions for April 1, 2026, and the whole month of April 2026 [13][18]. Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Macro Information and Trading Tips - The US, Iran, and other countries have expressed their stances on the end of the war. The US is seeking an agreement to end the war, and Iran is willing to end the war under certain conditions [5]. - China's Minister of Foreign Affairs Wang Yi and Pakistan's Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs Dar held talks and put forward five initiatives on the situation in the Gulf and the Middle East [6]. - The central bank's monetary policy committee proposed to use various policy tools to strengthen monetary policy regulation and maintain the stable operation of the financial market [7]. - China's economic sentiment has rebounded, with the manufacturing, non - manufacturing, and comprehensive PMI output indices all returning to the expansion range [7]. - The total operating income of state - owned enterprises from January to February increased slightly year - on - year, while the total profit decreased. The asset - liability ratio increased [7]. - A number of national new regulations will be implemented from April [8]. - The Iran war may cause significant losses to the GDP of Arab countries, increase unemployment, and push more people into poverty. High - end estimates show that the GDP of some countries may shrink [8]. - The US may make a decision on NATO's future after the end of the military operation against Iran [8]. - Some Gulf countries hope that the US will continue the war against Iran, and Iran has warned against a possible US ground war [9]. - The US and Israel launched an attack on an Iranian steel plant [9]. - The Kansas Fed President warned about the impact of the Iran conflict on inflation [9]. - A US federal judge ruled that the Trump administration's termination of the legal status of hundreds of thousands of immigrants was illegal and required the restoration of their status [9]. - NASA announced the countdown to the launch of the "Artemis 2" mission [10]. - The US consumer confidence index rose in March, and inflation expectations increased [10]. - The eurozone's CPI increased in March, and the European Central Bank may raise interest rates in April [10] 2. Commodity Futures - related Information - On March 31, international precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up 3.12% and COMEX silver futures up 6.77% [10]. - On March 31, US oil and Brent oil futures fell. The increase in US API crude oil inventories led to concerns about oversupply [11]. - The average price of regular gasoline in the US reached a nearly 4 - year high [12]. - On March 31, most London base metals rose [12]. - On March 31, the on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose, and the RMB central parity rate against the US dollar was raised [12]. - On March 31, the US dollar index fell, and most non - US currencies rose [13] 3. Futures Market Analysis and Forecast 3.1 Stock Index Futures - On March 31, the main contracts of stock index futures such as IF2606, IH2606, IC2606, and IM2606 generally showed a downward trend. They faced resistance when rebounding and had increased downward pressure in the short term [13][14][15]. - In April 2026, these contracts are expected to be in a weak - oscillating trend, with specific support and resistance levels provided [18]. - On April 1, 2026, stock index futures are expected to be in a strong - oscillating trend, with corresponding support and resistance levels [18] 3.2 Precious Metal Futures - **Gold Futures**: On March 31, the main contract AU2606 showed a slightly strong - oscillating trend. In April 2026, the main continuous contract is expected to be in a wide - oscillating trend. On April 1, 2026, it is expected to be in a strong - oscillating trend [30]. - **Silver Futures**: On March 31, the main contract AG2606 showed a strong - oscillating upward trend. In April 2026, the main continuous contract is expected to be in a wide - oscillating trend. On April 1, 2026, it is expected to be in a strong - oscillating trend [38] 3.3 Base Metal Futures - **Copper Futures**: On March 31, the main contract CU2605 showed a slightly weak - oscillating downward trend. In April 2026, the main continuous contract is expected to be in a weak - oscillating trend. On April 1, 2026, it is expected to be in a strong - oscillating trend [42]. - **Aluminum Futures**: On March 31, the main contract AL2605 showed an oscillating upward trend. In April 2026, the main continuous contract is expected to be in a strong - wide - oscillating trend. On April 1, 2026, it is expected to be in a strong - oscillating trend [48]. - **Alumina Futures**: On March 31, the main contract AO2605 showed a weak - oscillating downward trend. In April 2026, both AO2605 and AO2609 are expected to be in a strong - oscillating trend [55]. - **Carbonate Lithium Futures**: On March 31, the main contract LC2605 showed a significant downward trend. In April 2026, the main continuous contract is expected to be in a weak - wide - oscillating trend. On April 1, 2026, it is expected to be in a wide - oscillating trend [56] 3.4 Building Material Futures - **Rebar Futures**: On March 31, the main contract RB2605 showed a slightly downward trend. In April 2026, both RB2605 and RB2610 are expected to be in a strong - wide - oscillating trend [63]. - **Iron Ore Futures**: On March 31, the main contract I2605 showed a downward trend. In April 2026, both I2605 and I2609 are expected to be in a strong - oscillating trend. On April 1, 2026, I2605 is expected to be in a strong - oscillating trend [65][66]. - **Coking Coal Futures**: On March 31, the main contract JM2605 showed a significant downward trend. In April 2026, both JM2605 and JM2609 are expected to be in a strong - oscillating trend [72]. - **Glass Futures**: On March 31, the main contract FG605 showed a weak - oscillating downward trend. In April 2026, both FG605 and FG609 are expected to be in a weak - wide - oscillating trend [76]. - **Soda Ash Futures**: On March 31, the main contract SA605 showed a weak - oscillating downward trend. In April 2026, both SA605 and SA609 are expected to be in a weak - wide - oscillating trend [80] 3.5 Energy Futures - **Crude Oil Futures**: On March 31, the main contract SC2605 showed a weak - oscillating downward trend. In April 2026, the main continuous contract is expected to be in a strong - oscillating trend and may reach a new high. On April 1, 2026, it is expected to be in a weak - oscillating trend [85]. - **Fuel Oil Futures**: On March 31, the main contract FU2605 showed a weak - oscillating downward trend. In April 2026, the main continuous contract is expected to be in a strong - oscillating trend and may reach a new high [89]. - **Asphalt Futures**: On March 31, the main contract BU2606 showed a slightly weak - oscillating trend. In April 2026, the main continuous contract is expected to be in a strong - oscillating trend [91] 3.6 Chemical Futures - **Linear Low - Density Polyethylene Futures**: On March 31, the main contract L2605 showed a weak - oscillating downward trend. In April 2026, it is expected to be in a strong - oscillating trend. On April 1, 2026, it is expected to be in a weak - oscillating trend [93]. - **Polypropylene Futures**: On March 31, the main contract PP2605 showed a downward trend. In April 2026, the main continuous contract is expected to be in a strong - oscillating trend. On April 1, 2026, it is expected to be in a weak - oscillating trend [98][99]. - **Styrene Futures**: On March 31, the main contract EB2605 showed a downward trend. In April 2026, the main continuous contract is expected to be in a strong - oscillating trend and may reach a new high. On April 1, 2026, it is expected to be in a weak - oscillating trend [104]. - **PTA Futures**: On March 31, the main contract TA605 showed a downward trend. In April 2026, the main continuous contract is expected to be in a strong - oscillating trend. On April 1, 2026, it is expected to be in a weak - oscillating trend [109]. - **PVC Futures**: On March 31, the main contract V2605 showed a weak - oscillating downward trend. In April 2026, the main continuous contract is expected to be in a wide - oscillating trend. On April 1, 2026, it is expected to be in a wide - oscillating trend [114]. - **Methanol Futures**: On March 31, the main contract MA605 showed a weak - oscillating downward trend. In April 2026, the main continuous contract is expected to be in a strong - oscillating trend. On April 1, 2026, it is expected to be in a weak - oscillating trend [119][120]. - **Ethylene Glycol Futures**: On March 31, the main contract EG2605 showed a weak - oscillating downward trend. On April 1, 2026, it is expected to be in a weak - oscillating trend [125]. - **Butadiene Futures**: On March 31, the main contract BR2605 showed a weak - oscillating downward trend. On April 1, 2026, it is expected to be in a strong - oscillating trend [128]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trend of various futures contracts in March 2026 and on March 31, 2026. Index futures are expected to be weakly volatile, while lithium carbonate, crude oil, fuel oil, asphalt, polypropylene, styrene, and ethylene glycol futures are expected to be strongly volatile [1][2]. - The report also analyzes the impact of macro - news and market conditions on the futures market, such as the geopolitical situation in the Middle East, Fed's interest - rate policies, and domestic and international economic policies [5][6][7]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - On March 30, 2026, the A - share market bottomed out and rebounded, with the non - ferrous metal sector surging and power stocks slumping. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.24%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.25%, and the ChiNext Index fell 0.68%. The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index fell 0.81%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index hit a new low since early April last year [14]. - The U.S. three major stock indexes closed mixed on March 30, 2026. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.11%, the S&P 500 Index fell 0.39%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 0.73%. European three major stock indexes closed up across the board [15]. 3.2 Macro - news - The G7 energy ministers, finance ministers, and central bank governors held a meeting to assess the impact of the Middle East situation on the energy market, global economy, and financial stability, and were prepared to take coordinated actions if necessary [9]. - The U.S. and Iran's negotiation progress was volatile, and the Fed's interest - rate cut expectations and policy uncertainties increased, which affected the market sentiment [15]. 3.3 Futures Contracts Analysis 3.3.1 Index Futures - On March 30, 2026, the four major index futures contracts (IF2606, IH2606, IC2606, IM2606) generally showed a weakly volatile trend. In March 2026, they are expected to be weakly volatile, and on March 31, 2026, they are likely to continue this trend [11][12][13][15][16]. 3.3.2 Precious Metal Futures - Gold futures: On March 30, 2026, the gold futures main contract AU2606 oscillated upward. In March 2026, it is expected to be weakly volatile, and on March 31, 2026, it is likely to oscillate and consolidate [30]. - Silver futures: On March 30, 2026, the silver futures main contract AG2606 oscillated upward. In March 2026, it is expected to be weakly volatile, and on March 31, 2026, it is likely to oscillate and consolidate [38]. 3.3.3 Base Metal Futures - Copper futures: On March 30, 2026, the copper futures main contract CU2605 was weakly volatile. In March 2026, it is expected to be weakly volatile, and on March 31, 2026, it is likely to be weakly volatile [42]. - Aluminum futures: On March 30, 2026, the aluminum futures main contract AL2605 oscillated upward strongly. In March 2026, it is expected to have a wide - range oscillation, and on March 31, 2026, it is likely to oscillate and consolidate [46]. - Tin futures: On March 30, 2026, the tin futures main contract SN2605 oscillated upward strongly. In March 2026, it is expected to be weakly volatile, and on March 31, 2026, it is likely to oscillate and consolidate [51]. 3.3.4 Energy and Chemical Futures - Crude oil futures: On March 30, 2026, the crude oil futures main contract SC2605 oscillated upward strongly. In March 2026, it is expected to be strongly volatile and may hit a new high since listing, and on March 31, 2026, it is likely to be strongly volatile [85]. - Fuel oil futures: On March 30, 2026, the fuel oil futures main contract FU2605 oscillated upward strongly. In March 2026, it is expected to be strongly volatile and may hit a new high since listing, and on March 31, 2026, it is likely to be strongly volatile [90]. - Asphalt futures: On March 30, 2026, the asphalt futures main contract BU2606 was weakly volatile. In March 2026, it is expected to be strongly volatile, and on March 31, 2026, it is likely to be strongly volatile [94]. - Polypropylene, linear low - density polyethylene, PTA, PVC, methanol, ethylene glycol, etc.: These futures contracts have different trends on March 30, 2026, and are generally expected to be strongly volatile in March 2026 and have corresponding trends on March 31, 2026 [99][103][112][117][121][126]. 3.3.5 Agricultural Futures - Palm oil futures: On March 30, 2026, the palm oil futures main contract P2605 oscillated upward. On March 31, 2026, it is likely to be strongly volatile [130].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trends of various futures contracts on March 30, 2026, and the overall trends in March 2026. Index futures are expected to be weak and volatile, while aluminum, lithium carbonate, crude oil, fuel oil, asphalt, polypropylene, styrene, p - xylene, methanol, and ethylene glycol futures are expected to be strong and volatile. Silver, platinum, and palladium futures are expected to be weak and volatile [1][2]. - The report also provides macro - news and trading tips, including government policies, international relations, and economic data, which may affect the futures market [7]. - Analyzes the market performance of various futures on March 27, 2026, and provides support and resistance levels for each futures contract [21]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Forecast - **March 30, 2026 Forecast** - Index futures (IF2606, IH2606, IC2606, IM2606) are expected to be weak and volatile, with specific support and resistance levels provided [2][27]. - Ten - year and thirty - year treasury bond futures are expected to be strong and volatile, with corresponding support and resistance levels [2][45][48]. - Gold, silver, platinum, and palladium futures are expected to be weak and volatile, with support and resistance levels [2][55][67][72][77]. - Copper, zinc, nickel, and tin futures have different trends, with support and resistance levels [2][81][96][100][104]. - Aluminum, alumina, and lithium carbonate futures are expected to be strong and volatile, with support and resistance levels [2][87][91][108]. - Steel - related futures (rebar, hot - rolled coil, iron ore, coking coal) have different trends, with support and resistance levels [2][113][115][118][124]. - Glass and soda ash futures are expected to be weak and volatile, with support and resistance levels [2][127][134]. - Crude oil, fuel oil, and asphalt futures are expected to be strong and volatile, with support and resistance levels [2][140][145][149]. - Polyethylene, polypropylene, styrene, PTA, p - xylene, PVC, methanol, ethylene glycol, butadiene, and soybean meal futures are expected to be strong and volatile, with support and resistance levels [2][152][159][164][169][172][175][180][185][188][189]. - **March 2026 Forecast** - Index futures (IF2606, IH2606, IC2606, IM2606) are expected to be weak and volatile, with specific support and resistance levels [5]. - Gold, silver, platinum, and palladium futures are expected to be weak and volatile, with support and resistance levels [5][55][67][72][77]. - Copper, zinc, nickel, and tin futures are expected to be weak and volatile, with support and resistance levels [5][81][96][100][104]. - Aluminum and lithium carbonate futures are expected to have wide - range oscillations, with support and resistance levels [5][87][108]. - Alumina, iron ore, coking coal, and soda ash futures are expected to be strong and volatile, with support and resistance levels [5][91][118][124][134]. - Glass futures are expected to be weak and have wide - range oscillations, with support and resistance levels [5][127]. - Crude oil, fuel oil, and asphalt futures are expected to be strong and volatile, with support and resistance levels, and crude oil and fuel oil may hit new highs [5][140][145][149]. - Polyethylene, polypropylene, styrene, PTA, PVC, and methanol futures are expected to be strong and volatile, with support and resistance levels [5][152][159][164][169][175][180]. 3.2 Macro - news and Trading Tips - Government policies include promoting service industry development, establishing trade and investment working groups between China and the EU, and launching trade barrier investigations against the US [7]. - International relations involve the Iran - US - Israel conflict, including military actions, peace - negotiation efforts, and the impact on the Middle East situation [9][10][11]. - Economic data shows that from January to February, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size in China increased by 15.2% year - on - year, and the profit of high - tech manufacturing increased by 58.7% [7]. 3.3 Futures Market Analysis on March 27, 2026 - Index futures (IF2606, IH2606, IC2606, IM2606) had different opening prices, showed upward trends after opening, and had specific closing prices and price ranges [21][22]. - Treasury bond futures (T2606, TL2606) had different opening prices, showed different trends, and had specific closing prices and price ranges [44][47]. - Gold, silver, platinum, and palladium futures had different opening prices, showed upward trends after opening, and had specific closing prices and price ranges [50][67][72][77]. - Copper, aluminum, alumina, zinc, nickel, and tin futures had different opening prices, showed different trends, and had specific closing prices and price ranges [81][86][91][96][100][104]. - Steel - related futures (rebar, hot - rolled coil, iron ore, coking coal) had different opening prices, showed different trends, and had specific closing prices and price ranges [113][115][118][123]. - Glass and soda ash futures had different opening prices, showed different trends, and had specific closing prices and price ranges [127][134]. - Crude oil, fuel oil, and asphalt futures had different opening prices, showed different trends, and had specific closing prices and price ranges [138][145][148]. - Polyethylene, polypropylene, styrene, PTA, p - xylene, PVC, methanol, ethylene glycol, butadiene, and soybean meal futures had different opening prices, showed different trends, and had specific closing prices and price ranges [152][158][164][169][172][175][179][185][188][189].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core View - There is no clear core view presented in the given content. The document mainly provides a table of futures and spot prices, along with related data such as basis rates and price differences for various commodities. 3. Summary by Related Catalog Metals - **Copper**: The主力基差率 is 0.42%, with a 1.00% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 6556, and the主力 contract price is 95380 [3]. - **Aluminum**: The主力基差率 is -0.38%, with a 0.63% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 23760, and the主力 contract price is 23795 [3]. - **Zinc**: The主力基差率 is -0.17%, with a 0.43% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 22920, and the主力 contract price is 22950 [3]. - **Lead**: The主力基差率 is -1.09%, with a -0.06% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 16325, and the主力 contract price is 16485 [3]. - **Tin**: The主力基差率 is 1.52%, with a 2.13% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 357600, and the主力 contract price is 352250 [3]. - **Nickel**: The主力基差率 is 1.85%, with a 0.76% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 137800, and the主力 contract price is 135270 [3]. - **Industrial Silicon**: The主力基差率 is 5.93%, with a -0.80% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 9200, and the主力 contract price is 8530 [3]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The主力基差率 is -0.64%, with a 0.60% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 157200, and the主力 contract price is 157920 [3]. - **Gold**: The主力基差率 is 0.05%, with a -0.03% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 1014.44, and the主力 contract price is 1011.04 [3]. - **Silver**: The主力基差率 is 0.06%, with a -0.42% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 18121, and the主力 contract price is 18174 [3]. Black Industry - **Rebar**: The主力基差率 is 2.81%, with a 0.42% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 3220, and the主力 contract price is 3132 [3]. - **Hot Rolled Coil**: The主力基差率 is -1.00%, with a -0.88% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 3280, and the主力 contract price is 3313 [3]. - **Iron Ore**: The主力基差率 is 4.97%, with a 2.63% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 846.6, and the主力 contract price is 806.5 [3]. - **Coke**: The主力基差率 is -8%, with a 0.56% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 1625, and the主力 contract price is 1776 [3]. - **Coking Coal**: The主力基差率 is 0.52%, with a 0.68% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 1247.5, and the主力 contract price is 1241 [3]. - **Steam Coal**: The主力基差率 is -5.7%, with a 0.75% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 755, and the主力 contract price is 801.4 [3]. - **Silicon Iron**: The主力基差率 is -7.03%, with a -0.80% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 5660, and the主力 contract price is 6166 [3]. - **Ferromanganese**: The主力基差率 is -5.2%, with a -0.18% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 6150, and the主力 contract price is 6492 [3]. - **Stainless Steel**: The主力基差率 is -0.97%, with a -1.39% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 14350, and the主力 contract price is 14490 [3]. Agricultural Products - **Soybean Meal**: The主力基差率 is 8.80%, with a -1.30% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 3190, and the主力 contract price is 2932 [3]. - **Rapeseed Meal**: The主力基差率 is 9.88%, with a -0.06% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 2570, and the主力 contract price is 2371 [3]. - **Soybean Oil**: The主力基差率 is 3.16%, with a -1.22% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 8820, and the主力 contract price is 8480 [3]. - **Rapeseed Oil**: The主力基差率 is 5.39%, with a -0.90% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 10230, and the主力 contract price is 9707 [3]. - **Peanut**: The主力基差率 is 10.00%, with a 0.43% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 9000, and the主力 contract price is 8136 [3]. - **Palm Oil**: The主力基差率 is 0.42%, with a -1.20% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 9510, and the主力 contract price is 9510 [3]. - **Corn**: The主力基差率 is 1.01%, with a 0.09% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 2400, and the主力 contract price is 2376 [3]. - **Corn Starch**: The主力基差率 is 4.96%, with a 0.34% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 2900, and the主力 contract price is 2763 [3]. - **Apple**: The主力基差率 is not provided, with a 0.80% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 8500, and the主力 contract price is 9978 [3]. - **Egg**: The主力基差率 is -6.136%, with a -0.25% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 3200, and the主力 contract price is 3410 [3]. - **Live Pig**: The主力基差率 is -3.3%, with a -0.37% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 9650, and the主力 contract price is 12595 [3]. - **Cotton**: The主力基差率 is 8.94%, with a -1.03% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 16711, and the主力 contract price is 15340 [3]. Soft Commodities - **Sugar**: The主力基差率 is 0.94%, with a 0.00% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 5480, and the主力 contract price is 5429 [3]. - **Methanol**: The主力基差率 is 0.92%, with a -2.14% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 3118, and the主力 contract price is 2883 [3]. - **Ethanol**: The主力基差率 is -1.21%, with a -0.06% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 4975, and the主力 contract price is 5036 [3]. - **PTA**: The主力基差率 is -1.40%, with a -0.44% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 6500, and the主力 contract price is 6592 [3]. - **Polypropylene**: The主力基差率 is 3.62%, with a 3.23% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 9000, and the主力 contract price is 8975 [3]. - **Styrene**: The主力基差率 is -1.04%, with a -3.2% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 10000, and the主力 contract price is 10105 [3]. - **Short Fiber**: The主力基差率 is -0.12%, with a -3.10% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 8100, and the主力 contract price is 8008 [3]. - **Plastic**: The主力基差率 is -0.40%, with a -3.00% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 8680, and the主力 contract price is 8715 [3]. - **PVC**: The主力基差率 is -1.46%, with a -2.77% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 5620, and the主力 contract price is 5703 [3]. - **Rubber**: The主力基差率 is -0.79%, with a -0.02% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 16300, and the主力 contract price is 16430 [3]. - **20 -号胶**: The主力基差率 is 1.93%, with a -1.07% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 13827, and the主力 contract price is 13565 [3]. - **Soda Ash**: The主力基差率 is -1.61%, with a 0.01% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 1224, and the主力 contract price is 1244 [3]. - **Urea**: The主力基差率 is -0.16%, with a 0.05% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 1860, and the主力 contract price is 1863 [3]. - **Bottle Chip**: The主力基差率 is 2.37%, with a -2.69% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 8300, and the主力 contract price is 8108 [3]. - **Paper Pulp**: The主力基差率 is 0.26%, with a 0.26% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 5238, and the主力 contract price is 5224 [3]. Energy and Chemicals - **Crude Oil**: The主力基差率 is -6.11%, with a -1.41% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 675.4, and the主力 contract price is 723.9 [3]. - **Fuel Oil**: The主力基差率 is 9.44%, with a -2.38% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 4758, and the主力 contract price is 4348 [3]. - **Asphalt**: The主力基差率 is -2.94%, with a -2.24% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 4280, and the主力 contract price is 4410 [3]. - **Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: The主力基差率 is 15.83%, with a -10.34% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 5976, and the主力 contract price is 5159 [3]. - **LPG**: The主力基差率 is 9.89%, with a 6.06% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 7198, and the主力 contract price is 6550 [3]. Stock Index - **CSI 300**: The主力基差率 is 1.97%, with a 0.00% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 4537.5, and the主力 contract price is 4505.6 [3]. - **SSE 50**: The主力基差率 is 1.04%, with a 0.32% increase compared to yesterday. The spot price is 2859.5, and the主力 contract price is 2848 [3]. - **CSI 500**: The主力基差率 is 3.16%, with a 0.62% change compared to yesterday. The spot price is 7767.7, and the主力 contract price is 7685.6 [3].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoint The report provides a weekly overview of futures price and volume data for various commodity categories, including precious metals, non - ferrous metals, black metals, energy and chemicals, agricultural products, forest products, livestock products, and financial futures. It shows the weekly closing prices, price changes, 20 - day annualized volatility, volatility changes, speculation degrees, trend degrees, and capital changes of each futures variety. 3. Summary by Commodity Categories Precious Metals - Gold: The weekly closing price was 998.66, with a weekly decline of 4.16%, 20 - day annualized volatility of 47.42%, a volatility increase of 56.31%, speculation degree of 3.36, trend degree of - 0.16, and a capital outflow of 148.28 [2]. - Silver: The weekly closing price was 17,489.00, with a weekly decline of 0.77%, 20 - day annualized volatility of 92.24%, a volatility increase of 9.26%, speculation degree of 4.69, trend degree of - 0.01, and a capital outflow of 11.14 [2]. Non - Ferrous Metals - Copper: The weekly closing price was 95,930.00, with a weekly increase of 1.26%, 20 - day annualized volatility of 22.36%, a volatility increase of 12.87%, speculation degree of 0.78, trend degree of - 0.07, and a capital outflow of 38.01 [2]. - Nickel: The weekly closing price was 137,100.00, with a weekly increase of 2.96%, 20 - day annualized volatility of 21.07%, a volatility decrease of 16.68%, speculation degree of 2.30, trend degree of 0.09, and a capital inflow of 15.03 [2]. - Tin: The weekly closing price was 362,460.00, with a weekly increase of 5.76%, 20 - day annualized volatility of 58.97%, a volatility decrease of 21.82%, speculation degree of 10.12, trend degree of 0.04, and a capital inflow of 3.39 [2]. Black Metals - Iron Ore: The weekly closing price was 812.00, with a weekly decline of 0.43%, 20 - day annualized volatility of 15.63%, a volatility decrease of 4.06%, speculation degree of 0.60, trend degree of 0.06, and a capital inflow of 3.38 [2]. - Coke: The weekly closing price was 1,752.00, with a weekly increase of 0.66%, 20 - day annualized volatility of 32.76%, a volatility increase of 22.23%, speculation degree of 0.74, trend degree of - 0.19, and a capital inflow of 3.87 [2]. - Coking Coal: The weekly closing price was 1,219.00, with a weekly increase of 4.10%, 20 - day annualized volatility of 47.56%, a volatility increase of 44.94%, speculation degree of 2.91, trend degree of 0.02, and a capital inflow of 23.74 [2]. Energy and Chemicals - Crude Oil: The weekly closing price was 740.80, with a weekly decline of 4.24%, 20 - day annualized volatility of 119.65%, a volatility increase of 8.61%, speculation degree of 2.50, trend degree of 0.04, and a capital outflow of 33.39 [2]. - Fuel Oil LU: The weekly closing price was 4,464.00 (5,157.00), with a weekly decline of 6.14% (- 7.78%), 20 - day annualized volatility of 99.40% (106.40%), a volatility increase of 14.65% (13.49%), speculation degree of 3.11 (1.95), trend degree of 0.08 (0.01), and a capital outflow of 18.59 (7.27) [2]. - Methanol: The weekly closing price was 3,296.00, with a weekly increase of 5.24%, 20 - day annualized volatility of 80.52%, a volatility increase of 5.60%, speculation degree of 3.38, trend degree of 0.30, and a capital inflow of 16.58 [2]. Agricultural Products - Cotton: The weekly closing price was 15,395.00, with a weekly increase of 1.18%, 20 - day annualized volatility of 10.10%, a volatility decrease of 38.17%, speculation degree of 0.50, trend degree of 0.21, and a capital inflow of 3.83 [2]. - Sugar: The weekly closing price was 5,464.00, with a weekly increase of 0.46%, 20 - day annualized volatility of 10.71%, a volatility decrease of 5.49%, speculation degree of 0.90, trend degree of 0.20, and a capital inflow of 2.13 [2]. - Corn: The weekly closing price was 2,369.00, with a weekly decline of 0.75%, 20 - day annualized volatility of 8.80%, a volatility increase of 35.16%, speculation degree of 0.57, trend degree of - 0.20, and a capital outflow of 0.41 [2]. Forest Products - Pulp: The weekly closing price was 5,202.00, with a weekly increase of 0.74%, 20 - day annualized volatility of 15.83%, a volatility decrease of 3.70%, speculation degree of 1.56, trend degree of 0.07, and a capital outflow of 8.97 [2]. Livestock Products - Eggs: The weekly closing price was 3,502.00, with a weekly increase of 2.73%, 20 - day annualized volatility of 17.48%, a volatility increase of 20.23%, speculation degree of 1.22, trend degree of 0.26, and a capital inflow of 2.72 [2]. - Hogs: The weekly closing price was 9,965.00, with a weekly decline of 2.50%, 20 - day annualized volatility of 17.84%, a volatility decrease of 1.77%, speculation degree of 0.80, trend degree of - 0.20, and a capital inflow of 11.64 [2]. Financial Futures - IC: The weekly closing price was 7,559.20, with no weekly change, 20 - day annualized volatility of 29.33%, a volatility increase of 20.48%, speculation degree of 0.68, trend degree of 0.05, and a capital inflow of 3.18 [4]. - IF: The weekly closing price was 4,427.40, with a weekly decline of 1.32%, 20 - day annualized volatility of 18.01%, a volatility increase of 22.49%, speculation degree of 0.44, trend degree of 0.03, and a capital outflow of 18.92 [4]. - IM: The weekly closing price was 7,523.80, with a weekly decline of 0.48%, 20 - day annualized volatility of 29.45%, a volatility increase of 33.07%, speculation degree of 0.77, trend degree of 0.04, and a capital outflow of 20.00 [4].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information provided regarding the report industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - On March 26, equity index futures dropped, while commodities were mixed, with Energy & Chemicals leading the raise. IC dropped 1.8%, and IM dropped 1.5% in equity index futures. In commodity futures, Methanol, Synthetic Rubber, and Bitumen were the top three gainers, while Palladium, Platinum, and Poly - Silicon were the top three decliners [10][11][12]. - The supply of live hogs is increasing in the short - term, with high slaughter pressure in the medium - term and potential reduction in the long - term. Demand is weak, and inventories are rising. Hog prices are expected to remain low in the first half of the year, with a potential rebound in the fourth quarter [16][17][19]. - Geopolitical tensions drive oil prices, affecting bitumen and PP. Bitumen refinery margins are deteriorating, and supply may decrease. PP prices rebound with crude oil, but the geopolitical outlook is uncertain [28][36][39]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 China Futures 3.1.1 Overview - On March 26, equity index futures dropped, and commodities were mixed. Energy & Chemicals led the raise. In equity index futures, IC dropped 1.8%, and IM dropped 1.5%. In commodity futures, the top three gainers were Methanol (up 4.7% with 14.5% month - on - month open interest increase), Synthetic Rubber (up 4.3% with 1.7% month - on - month open interest increase), and Bitumen (up 4.2% with 14.3% month - on - month open interest increase). The top three decliners were Palladium (down 5.2% with 2.3% month - on - month open interest increase), Platinum (down 4.8% with 0.3% month - on - month open interest increase), and Poly - Silicon (down 2.8% with 1.9% month - on - month open interest increase) [10][11][12]. 3.1.2 Daily Drop - Live Hog - On March 26, the main contract of Live Hog dropped 1.9% to 9835 yuan/ton (DCE). Supply is increasing in the short - term, with high slaughter pressure in the medium - term due to high sow inventory in the first half of 2025 and increased piglet births in January - February 2026. In the long - term, sow inventory decreased in the second half of 2025 but per - sow yield is rising. Demand is weak, and inventories (average hog weight and frozen product inventories) are increasing. Hog prices are expected to remain low in the first half of the year, with a potential rebound in the fourth quarter [16][17][20]. 3.1.3 Daily Raise 3.1.3.1 Bitumen - On March 26, the main Bitumen futures contract rose 4.2% to 4543 yuan/ton (SHFE). Geopolitical tensions drive oil prices, and the bitumen - fuel oil spread is low. Bitumen refinery margins are deteriorating, and production cuts may drive the spread higher. Supply may further decrease due to high refined product margins, while demand faces inventory accumulation pressure. The current bitumen futures are undervalued relative to fuel oil but overvalued relative to steel rebar [28][29][31]. 3.1.3.2 PP - On March 26, the main PP futures contract rose 2.4% to 9120 yuan/ton (DCE). Geopolitical conflicts' duration is uncertain, and PP prices rebound with crude oil. The geopolitical outlook is highly uncertain, and oil prices are expected to fluctuate at high levels. China's PP imports from Iran are small, and the import - side impact is limited. Oil - based and PDH PP plants' margins are under pressure, while coal - based margins have rebounded. Spot trading of PP is generally muted [36][37][39]. 3.2 Important News - Macro News - Trump is to visit China in mid - May, and China - US are in communication about it [43]. - COSCO Shipping resumes bookings for Gulf States, and vessels will bypass the Strait of Hormuz temporarily [43]. - US - Iran negotiations are "still ongoing and productive" [43]. - Iran rejects the US ceasefire proposal and puts forward 5 Iranian conditions [43]. - Iran seeks to levy toll on vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz, and the draft bill is finalized [43].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The geopolitical conflict in the Middle East, especially the situation between the US and Iran, has a significant impact on the global financial and commodity markets. It affects risk preferences, inflation expectations, and the prices of various assets [2][4]. - The global economic situation is complex, with concerns about inflation, recession, and the impact of central bank policies. The Fed's hawkish stance and high oil prices have led to changes in market expectations and trading strategies [4][38]. - Different industries and commodities have their own supply - demand characteristics and price trends. Some are supported by fundamentals, while others are under pressure due to various factors such as geopolitical risks, supply disruptions, and changes in demand [13][15][33]. Summary by Directory Macro - Financial Stock Index - **行情资讯**: News includes Iran's stance on the war, potential impacts of the Iran - US conflict on the global economy, corporate projects, and business suspensions [2]. - **基差年化比率**: Different contracts of IF, IC, IM, and IH have specific basis annualized ratios [3]. - **策略观点**: The US - Iran conflict affects global risk preferences, and the hawkish statements of Powell and European Central Bank officials have led to a retreat in the Fed's interest - rate cut expectations. It is recommended to pay attention to the change in the war situation and control risks [4]. Treasury Bonds - **行情资讯**: The prices of different treasury bond contracts have certain changes. There are also news about power statistics and shipping business resumption. The central bank conducted reverse repurchase operations with a net injection of funds [5]. - **策略观点**: The economic data in January - February improved, but the sustainability of economic recovery needs to be observed. The Iran geopolitical conflict and inflation concerns may put pressure on the bond market. The bond market is expected to be volatile and weak in the short term [8]. Precious Metals - **行情资讯**: The prices of gold and silver in domestic and international markets have different trends. There are also relevant policies in Russia and Iran's conditions for ending the war [9]. - **策略观点**: Geopolitical conflicts are the core focus of the market. If the conflict eases, gold may regain its upward momentum. However, in the short term, precious metals still face valuation pressure. It is recommended to be cautiously bearish [10]. Non - Ferrous Metals Copper - **行情资讯**: The copper price rose due to the improvement of market risk sentiment. The LME inventory increased, and the domestic warehouse receipts decreased. The spot discount in the East China region expanded, while the spot premium in the Guangdong region increased [12]. - **策略观点**: The situation in the Middle East is slightly alleviated but may be repeated. The supply of copper raw materials is tight, and the consumption sentiment has improved. The copper price is expected to be supported in the short term, but the upward resistance has increased [13]. Aluminum - **行情资讯**: The aluminum price fluctuated. The trading volume and inventory of relevant contracts changed. The spot discount in the East China region narrowed [14]. - **策略观点**: The situation in the Middle East has eased, but the market sentiment is still volatile. The overseas supply of aluminum is expected to be tight, and the domestic demand improvement may drive inventory reduction. The aluminum price is expected to be volatile in the short term [15]. Zinc - **行情资讯**: The zinc price declined. The inventory and basis of zinc in domestic and international markets have specific data [16][17]. - **策略观点**: The zinc industry is in a weak situation. The high oil price has put pressure on the non - ferrous metal sector, and the zinc price is in a downward trend. Attention should be paid to downstream restocking, Fed policies, and geopolitical conflicts [17]. Lead - **行情资讯**: The lead price rose. The inventory and basis of lead in domestic and international markets have specific data [18]. - **策略观点**: The lead price is at the lower edge of the long - term oscillation range. The downstream buying and the low operating rate of recycling smelting enterprises support the spot price. However, the high oil price and the inflow of overseas lead ingots may put pressure on the lead price, and the price volatility is increasing [18]. Nickel - **行情资讯**: The nickel price declined. The spot price and cost of nickel have specific data [19]. - **策略观点**: In the short term, the nickel price is expected to be weak due to the impact of the geopolitical conflict and the Fed's hawkish stance. In the medium term, the supply - demand situation of nickel is improving, and the price has strong support at the bottom. It is recommended to operate within a range [20]. Tin - **行情资讯**: The tin price rose. The production and inventory of tin have specific data [21]. - **策略观点**: The supply of tin is still constrained by raw materials, and the demand is in a weak recovery. Considering the geopolitical disturbance and the decline in the Fed's interest - rate cut expectations, the tin price is expected to be weak [22]. Lithium Carbonate - **行情资讯**: The price of lithium carbonate increased. The spot and futures prices have specific data [23]. - **策略观点**: The supply and demand of lithium carbonate are both strong. The downstream restocking provides support. The supply stability is a concern. Attention should be paid to the changes in positions, industry events, and spot premiums [24]. Alumina - **行情资讯**: The alumina price declined. The spot price, basis, and inventory have specific data [25]. - **策略观点**: The bauxite export policy in Guinea may lead to an increase in ore prices. The short - term supply of alumina is tight, but the long - term oversupply situation is difficult to change. It is recommended to wait and see [26]. Stainless Steel - **行情资讯**: The stainless steel price rose. The spot price, basis, and inventory have specific data [27]. - **策略观点**: The stainless steel price is supported by the increase in raw material costs and policy disturbances. The market supply is still loose, and the demand release is weak. The price is expected to be volatile at a high level in the short term [28]. Cast Aluminum Alloy - **行情资讯**: The price of cast aluminum alloy rose. The trading volume, inventory, and price difference have specific data [29]. - **策略观点**: The cost of cast aluminum alloy has increased, and the demand is expected to improve. The short - term price is supported [30]. Black Building Materials Steel - **行情资讯**: The prices of rebar and hot - rolled coil declined. The registered warehouse receipts, positions, and spot prices have specific data [32]. - **策略观点**: The steel market is in a weak balance state. The demand is marginally improved, and the inventory is gradually reduced. Attention should be paid to the release of peak - season demand and the impact of raw material price fluctuations [33]. Iron Ore - **行情资讯**: The iron ore price declined. The futures price, positions, and spot price have specific data [34]. - **策略观点**: The iron ore price was affected by the negotiation news. The supply is increasing, and the demand is recovering. The price is expected to be volatile at a high level in the short term [35]. Coking Coal and Coke - **行情资讯**: The prices of coking coal and coke declined. The spot prices, basis, and technical analysis have specific data [36][37]. - **策略观点**: The market is in a stagflation and recession trading environment. The black sector may be supported to some extent. The short - term supply of coking coal and coke is relatively loose. It is recommended to operate short - term or wait and see in the short term, and be optimistic about coking coal in the long term [38]. Glass and Soda Ash - **行情资讯**: The prices of glass and soda ash declined. The spot prices, inventory, and positions have specific data [39][41]. - **策略观点**: The glass market is affected by high inventory and weak demand, and is expected to be volatile. The soda ash market has a loose supply - demand pattern and is expected to be in a low - level wide - range oscillation [40][41]. Manganese Silicon and Ferrosilicon - **行情资讯**: The price of manganese silicon rose slightly, and the price of ferrosilicon declined slightly. The spot prices, basis, and technical analysis have specific data [42]. - **策略观点**: The market is in a stagflation and recession trading environment. The black sector may be supported. The supply - demand situation of manganese silicon is not ideal, while that of ferrosilicon is better. Attention should be paid to the cost and supply - side factors [43][45]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - **行情资讯**: The price of industrial silicon rose, and the price of polysilicon rose. The trading volume, inventory, and spot prices have specific data [47][49]. - **策略观点**: The price of industrial silicon is expected to be volatile due to the support of cost and weak demand improvement. The polysilicon market has a weak fundamental situation, and the price is expected to find the bottom through oscillation [48][50]. Energy and Chemicals Rubber - **行情资讯**: The rubber price rebounded. The market has different views on the rise and fall of rubber prices. The operating rates of tire enterprises and the inventory of natural rubber have specific data [53][54]. - **策略观点**: The market fluctuates greatly. It is recommended to trade flexibly according to the disk, set stop - losses, and take quick profits. Options can be configured, and hedging positions can be held [56]. Crude Oil - **行情资讯**: The prices of crude oil and related refined products declined [57]. - **策略观点**: It is recommended to configure short - term bearish strategies for crude oil, do long - short spreads for different oil varieties, short the cracking spread of high - sulfur fuel oil, and short the INE - Brent cross - regional spread [58]. Methanol - **行情资讯**: The methanol price changed. The MTO profit also changed [59]. - **策略观点**: It is recommended to take profits at high prices and do long - short spreads for MTO profits [60]. Urea - **行情资讯**: The urea price changed. The regional spot prices and basis have specific data [61]. - **策略观点**: It is recommended to short urea due to the high - level start - up in the first quarter and the limited export quota. Pay attention to the short - term demand support when the substitution valuation reaches the extreme [62]. Pure Benzene and Styrene - **行情资讯**: The prices of pure benzene and styrene declined. The cost, supply, demand, and inventory have specific data [63]. - **策略观点**: The profit of non - integrated styrene is neutral to high, and the valuation repair space is limited. It is recommended to wait and see [65]. PVC - **行情资讯**: The PVC price declined. The cost, production, demand, and inventory have specific data [66]. - **策略观点**: The short - term fundamentals are affected by the Iran issue. The price is expected to rise, but attention should be paid to risks [67]. Ethylene Glycol - **行情资讯**: The ethylene glycol price declined. The supply, demand, inventory, and cost have specific data [68]. - **策略观点**: The industry is in the maintenance season, and the inventory is expected to decrease. The price may rise, but attention should be paid to risks [70]. PTA - **行情资讯**: The PTA price declined. The production, demand, inventory, and processing fee have specific data [71]. - **策略观点**: The PTA is difficult to enter the de - stocking cycle, and the processing fee is difficult to rise. The price may rise, but attention should be paid to risks [72]. p - Xylene - **行情资讯**: The p - xylene price declined. The production, demand, inventory, and valuation have specific data [73]. - **策略观点**: The p - xylene load is expected to decline, and the inventory is expected to decrease. The valuation is expected to rise, but attention should be paid to risks [74]. Polyethylene (PE) - **行情资讯**: The PE price declined. The spot price, basis, production, inventory, and demand have specific data [75]. - **策略观点**: The PE valuation has downward space. It is recommended to short the LL2605 - LL2609 contract spread when the shipping volume in the Strait of Hormuz increases [77]. Polypropylene (PP) - **行情资讯**: The PP price declined. The spot price, basis, production, inventory, and demand have specific data [78]. - **策略观点**: The cost pressure is relieved, and the demand is rebounding seasonally. The long - term contradiction has shifted from the cost side to the production mismatch [79]. Agricultural Products Live Pigs - **行情资讯**: The pig price declined. The prices in different regions and the market situation have specific data [81]. - **策略观点**: The supply is concentrated, and the demand is weak. The short - term spot price is expected to be weak, and it is recommended to wait and see [82]. Eggs - **行情资讯**: The egg price was mostly stable. The prices in different regions and the market situation have specific data [83]. - **策略观点**: The egg production capacity is expected to decline, but the supply is still high. The short - term spot price is expected to be strong, and it is recommended to short on rebounds for the far - month contracts [84]. Soybean and Rapeseed Meal - **行情资讯**: There are forecasts for the planting areas of corn and soybeans in the US, export data, and inventory data [85]. - **策略观点**: The cooling of the US - Iran situation and the relaxation of soybean import inspection standards are negative for the meal prices. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term [86]. Oils and Fats - **行情资讯**: There are policies and production, export, and inventory data of palm oil in Indonesia and Malaysia [87][89]. - **策略观点**: The cooling of the US - Iran situation is negative for the oil prices. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term [90]. Sugar - **行情资讯**: There are import data, production data, and consumption data of sugar [93][94]. - **策略观点**: The cooling of the US - Iran situation is negative for the sugar prices. It is recommended to wait and see [95]. Cotton - **行情资讯**: There are import data, production data, and consumption data of cotton [91]. - **策略观点**: The new import quota is negative for the Zhengzhou cotton price in the short term and positive for the US cotton price. It is recommended to buy on dips in the medium term [92].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trends, resistance levels, and support levels of various futures contracts in March 2026, including stock index futures, precious metals futures, base metals futures, energy futures, and chemical futures [2]. - The report also provides the market performance of various futures contracts on March 24, 2026, and predicts the market trends on March 25, 2026 [11][30][33]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Outlook - **Stock Index Futures**: The IF2606, IH2606, IC2606, and IM2606 contracts are expected to be weak and volatile in March 2026, with specific resistance and support levels provided. On March 25, they are likely to be in a consolidation phase [2][15][16]. - **Precious Metals Futures**: Gold and silver futures are expected to be weak and volatile in March 2026. On March 25, the AU2606 and AG2606 contracts are likely to be strong and volatile [2][30][33]. - **Base Metals Futures**: Copper, aluminum, nickel, tin, and other base metals futures are expected to be weak and volatile in March 2026. Alumina futures are expected to be strong and volatile [2][38][44]. - **Energy Futures**: Crude oil, fuel oil, and asphalt futures are expected to be strong and volatile in March 2026 and are likely to reach new highs. On March 25, they are likely to be weak and volatile [2][68][73][76]. - **Chemical Futures**: Linear low - density polyethylene, polypropylene, PTA, PVC, and methanol futures are expected to be strong and volatile in March 2026. On March 25, they are likely to be weak and volatile [2][82][86][90]. 3.2 Macro News and Trading Tips - Diplomatic events include China's diplomatic communication with Iran and Japan, and China - US economic and trade exchanges [5]. - Central bank operations: The central bank will conduct 500 billion yuan of MLF operations on March 25, with a net withdrawal of 250 billion yuan of medium - term liquidity in March [5]. - International events: The US has proposed a 15 - item plan to end the conflict with Iran, and the US president has made statements about the Iran issue. US and European economic data show different trends [6][7][8]. 3.3 Commodity Futures - Related Information - Oil prices: US API crude oil inventory increased more than expected, putting pressure on oil prices. The main contracts of US oil and Brent oil showed different trends [9]. - Precious metals: International precious metal futures generally rose, supported by factors such as geopolitical uncertainty and the expected slowdown of the US dollar [9]. - Base metals: Most London base metals fell, with only LME aluminum rising [10]. - Shipping and trade: Iran has started charging tolls on some merchant ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, and the EU has postponed the proposal to permanently ban the import of Russian oil [10]. - Exchange rates: The on - shore and offshore RMB exchange rates against the US dollar showed different trends, and the US dollar index rose slightly [10][11]. 3.4 Futures Market Analysis and Outlook - **Stock Index Futures**: On March 24, the main contracts of stock index futures showed a trend of opening higher, rising and then falling, and finally rebounding. The A - share market rebounded strongly, and the Hong Kong stock market also rebounded significantly. US and European stock markets showed different trends [11][13][14][15]. - **Precious Metals Futures**: On March 24, the main contracts of gold and silver futures showed different trends of opening higher and then fluctuating. They are expected to be weak and volatile in March 2026 and strong and volatile on March 25 [30][33]. - **Base Metals Futures**: On March 24, the main contracts of copper, alumina, and other base metals futures showed different trends of opening higher or lower and then fluctuating. Their trends in March 2026 and on March 25 are predicted [38][44]. - **Energy Futures**: On March 24, the main contracts of crude oil, fuel oil, and asphalt futures showed a trend of opening lower and then falling significantly. They are expected to be strong and volatile in March 2026 and weak and volatile on March 25 [68][73][76]. - **Chemical Futures**: On March 24, the main contracts of linear low - density polyethylene, polypropylene, and other chemical futures showed a trend of opening lower and then falling significantly. They are expected to be strong and volatile in March 2026 and weak and volatile on March 25 [82][86][90].

Report Date - The report is dated March 19, 2026 [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trends of various futures contracts on March 19, 2026, and the overall trends for the month of March 2026 [4][10] Summary by Directory 1. Futures Market Outlook 1.1 March 19, 2026 Outlook - **Stock Index Futures**: Likely to be weak and volatile. For example, IF2606 has resistance levels at 4582 and 4609 points, and support levels at 4519 and 4506 points [4] - **Precious Metals Futures**: Gold, silver, copper, and tin futures are likely to be weak and volatile. For instance, the gold futures contract AU2604 will likely test support levels at 1068.4 and 1053.7 yuan/gram [4] - **Base Metals Futures**: Aluminum futures will likely consolidate, while alumina futures will likely be strong and volatile. Nickel futures will likely be weak and volatile [5] - **Energy Futures**: Crude oil, fuel oil, asphalt, etc. futures will likely be strong and volatile. Crude oil futures SC2605 will likely hit a record high [8] - **Agricultural Futures**: Bean meal futures will likely be strong and volatile [9] 1.2 March 2026 Outlook - **Stock Index Futures**: IF2606, IH2606 are likely to be weak and widely volatile; IC2606, IM2606 are likely to be weak and volatile [10] - **Precious Metals Futures**: Gold, silver, copper, and tin futures are likely to be weak and volatile. Aluminum futures are likely to be strong and volatile [10] - **Base Metals Futures**: Alumina, iron ore, and coking coal futures are likely to be strong and volatile. Nickel and lithium carbonate futures are likely to be weak and widely volatile [10][11] - **Energy Futures**: Crude oil futures are likely to be strong and volatile and will hit a record high [11] 2. Macro - Information and Trading Tips - **Diplomatic News**: China and the US will continue to communicate about President Trump's visit to China [12] - **Domestic Policy**: China is conducting a second - round pilot program to extend land contracts by 30 years [12] - **International Event**: The 2026 Zhongguancun Forum will be held from March 25 to 29 [12] - **Middle East Tension**: Attacks on Iranian energy facilities have led to a sharp drop in Middle East oil exports and increased market concerns about energy supply [13][14] - **Federal Reserve Decision**: The Fed kept the federal funds rate unchanged, with a more conservative rate - cut path [14] - **US Economic Data**: US PPI in February rose more than expected [16] 3. Commodity Futures Information - **Energy Futures**: On March 18, US and Brent crude oil futures rose due to Middle East tensions [16] - **Precious Metals Futures**: On March 18, international precious metal futures fell due to the Fed's hawkish signals and high inflation data [16] - **Base Metals Futures**: On March 18, most London base metals fell, except for LME aluminum [17] - **Exchange Rate**: On March 18, the on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose, and the US dollar index rose [17][18] 4. Futures Market Analysis and Outlook 4.1 Stock Index Futures - On March 18, new stock index futures contracts showed different trends. The A - share market rebounded, while the US and European stock markets fell [18][20][22] - The expected trends for March 2026 and March 19, 2026 are provided for different stock index futures contracts [22][23] 4.2 Other Futures - For various futures such as gold, silver, copper, etc., the report provides the trends on March 18, and the expected trends for March 2026 and March 19, 2026 [37][42][47]

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Polypropylene: ★★★ [1] - Plastic: ★★★ [1] - Styrene: ★★★ [1] - Pure Benzene: ★★★ [1] - PX: ★★★ [1] - PTA: ★★★ [1] - Ethylene Glycol: ★★★ [1] - Short Fiber: ★★★ [1] - Bottle Chip: ★★★ [1] - Methanol: ★★★ [1] - Urea: ★★★ [1] - PVC: ★☆☆ [1] - Caustic Soda: ★★★ [1] - Soda Ash: ★★★ [1] - Glass: ★★★ [1] Core Views - The chemical market is affected by multiple factors, including geopolitical risks, supply and demand dynamics, and cost fluctuations. Different chemical products show different trends and investment opportunities [2][3][5] Summary by Directory Olefins - Polyolefins - Propylene futures fluctuated within the day. With price concessions, downstream demand increased, inventory pressure eased, and prices rose slightly [2] - Plastic and polypropylene futures fluctuated above the 5 - day moving average. For polyethylene, supply decreased due to more maintenance and less imports, and demand was stable. For polypropylene, supply was expected to shrink, but high prices restricted downstream procurement [2] Polyester - PX and PTA prices declined due to negative factors such as tanker passage in the Strait of Hormuz and terminal feedback. Middle - East oil supply may recover, and terminal demand was weak [3] - Ethylene glycol prices first rose due to supply concerns and then fell due to reduced negative expectations and downstream feedback [3] - Short - fiber load decreased slightly, and the market followed raw material fluctuations. Bottle - chip supply decreased, and prices may be pressured if oil supply recovers [3] Pure Benzene - Styrene - East China pure benzene spot prices fell, and domestic production decreased. Port inventory decreased. Short - term prices were affected by cost and supply [5] - Styrene futures opened low and closed high, with a high - level consolidation pattern. Supply and demand were expected to decrease, and the fundamentals had some support [5] Coal Chemical Industry - Methanol futures maintained a high - level shock. Import and domestic supply decreased, and demand recovered. The market was expected to be strong [6] - Urea futures prices fell, and the spot market was stable with a slight decline. Supply was high, and agricultural demand weakened. The market was expected to fluctuate within a range [6] Chlor - alkali Industry - PVC continued a strong trend. Supply decreased, inventory was still under pressure, and downstream demand increased seasonally. It was expected to be strong in the short term [7] - Caustic soda fluctuated weakly. Liquid caustic soda inventory decreased, and export inquiries were good. The market followed sentiment but might have large fluctuations [7] Soda Ash - Glass - Soda ash prices fell from a high level. Inventory decreased slightly, supply increased slightly, and demand was stable. It followed macro - sentiment in the short term [8] - Glass fluctuated weakly. Inventory was high, and demand improvement was limited. It might show a wide - range shock [8]