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A股创年内新高!机构喊出“牛市新起点”
21世纪经济报道· 2025-07-22 10:25
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a significant upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index approaching its highest point since October 2024, driven by policy support, structural changes in industries, and ample liquidity in the market [1][5][14]. Market Performance - As of July 22, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.62% to 3581.86 points, with trading volume reaching 1.93 trillion yuan, an increase from the previous day's 1.73 trillion yuan [1]. - Year-to-date, there have only been three trading days with A-share transaction amounts below 1 trillion yuan, and since July, daily trading has consistently exceeded 1.2 trillion yuan [1]. - The margin trading balance reached a three-month high of 1.92 trillion yuan, accounting for 2.25% of the A-share market's circulating market value, with an increase over 12 consecutive trading days [1]. Investor Sentiment - Optimism is spreading among investors, with some institutions declaring the start of a new bull market, predicting that the index may surpass 3700 points in the latter half of the year [1][14]. - However, some market participants caution that the 3500-point level is not a definitive indicator of a bull market, citing global economic pressures and external factors that could disrupt the A-share market [2][13]. Economic Indicators - The macroeconomic environment shows signs of improvement, with June's new RMB loans at 2.24 trillion yuan and new social financing at 4.2 trillion yuan, both exceeding market expectations [6]. - The second quarter GDP growth was reported at 5.2% year-on-year, supporting the annual growth target [7]. Sector Performance - There is a noticeable divergence in sector performance, with water conservancy and hydropower sectors showing high growth due to government funding, while previously strong sectors like banking and brokerage are weakening [9][10]. - The technology sector, particularly in areas like semiconductors and innovative pharmaceuticals, continues to perform well, with significant increases in relevant indices [9]. Future Outlook - The market is expected to continue experiencing structural opportunities, driven by ongoing policy support and economic recovery [14][15]. - Investors are advised to remain cautiously optimistic, focusing on balanced portfolio management and being aware of potential market corrections due to overheating [10][15].
沪指站稳3500点后持续上攻:牛市新起点来临
继7月10日重返3500点后,沪指继续上攻。7月22日,沪指收涨 0.62%至 3581.86点,持续逼近2024年10 月以来的最高点。A 股全天成交1.93万亿元,较上日的1.73万亿元继续增加。 年初至今,在政策红利释放、产业逻辑重构、资金面充裕的三重共振中,A股市场交投持续活跃。数据 显示,今年以来,仅有三个交易日A股成交金额低于一万亿元,7 月以来,A股日成交金额更是长期居 于1.2 万亿元之上。7 月 21 日,市场成交额更是突破 1.7 万亿元。 作为"市场风向标"之一,也是A股市场重要的增量资金,两融余额创下3个月来的新高。截至7月21日, 最新两融余额为1.92万亿元,占A股流通市值2.25%。两融余额连续12个交易日增加。 随着乐观情绪逐渐蔓延,投资者信心不断提振,不少机构喊出了新一轮牛市起点的"口号"。前海开源基 金预判下半年有望突破2024年10月的3700点高位;星石投资则指出,基本面内生动能增强或催生"新一 轮牛市起点"。 不过,也有市场人士认为,回顾A股历史,3500点并非是牛市全面启动的标志。全球经济仍面临下行压 力,美联储货币政策走向、地缘政治冲突等外部因素可能对A股形成扰动 ...
科股早知道:这类基础设施建设进展顺利,一批国家重大工程建设加速推进
Tai Mei Ti A P P· 2025-07-03 00:31
Group 1: Water Infrastructure Development - China's water infrastructure construction has progressed smoothly, with an investment of 408.97 billion yuan completed from January to May [2] - A number of major national water projects are accelerating, with 11 new major projects initiated, including large irrigation area construction and river governance projects [2] - The central government's budget and special bond funds are increasingly directed towards water conservancy and hydropower, maintaining high growth in investment [2] Group 2: AI Chip Supply and Demand - SK Hynix is expected to supply HBM4 to Intel for its AI graphics accelerator, Jaguar Shores, indicating a strong collaboration in high-bandwidth memory [2] - The global AI server market is projected to grow at a rate exceeding 28%, with HBM market share in DRAM expected to rise from 8% in 2023 to 34% by 2025 [3] Group 3: Quadruped Robot Market - The global sales of quadruped robots are estimated to be around 34,000 units in 2023, with projections of over 560,000 units by 2030, indicating significant market potential [4] - The potential market space for industry-level quadruped robots is estimated to exceed 500 billion yuan, driven by multiple factors including application scenarios and technology [4] Group 4: AI Server Chip Development - Quanta Computer is set to ship the next-generation AI server chip GB300 in September, following the peak production of the GB200 chip [5] - The GB300 chip is expected to deliver 1.7 times the inference performance of its predecessor, Hopper H100, with enhanced memory and network bandwidth [5] - The introduction of supercapacitor BBU solutions is anticipated to meet the high power density demands of AI servers, marking a significant innovation in the sector [5]