（开篇互动） 【深度解读】加拿大对华贸易博弈始末：一场跟风美国引发的经济困局 各位读者朋友，在展开今天的故事前，不妨思考一个问题：当一个小国盲目追随大国政策时，最终会付出怎样的代价？让我们通过加拿大近期的对华贸易案 例，一窥其中的深刻教训。本文所有观点均基于中国商务部、加拿大统计局等官方数据，文末附有详细信息来源供查证。 （事件回溯） 2025年9月下旬，彭博社一则消息引发国际关注：加拿大外长安妮塔·阿南德即将开启访华行程。表面上看，这是两国关系回暖的信号，但揭开外交辞令的面 纱，实则是加拿大在贸易战中陷入困境的无奈之举。这场危机的种子，早在一年前就已埋下。 （冲突起源） 2024年10月，加拿大政府突然宣布对华加征三重关税： 2. 钢铝产品：统一征收25%附加税 1. 电动车：在原有6.1%关税基础上追加100%惩罚性关税 3. 新能源产品：将电池、半导体等纳入加税清单 渥太华方面声称这是保护本土产业，但明眼人都看出这是在配合美国的印太战略。这个被国际社会广泛质疑的战略，本质是通过经济手段遏制中国发展。 （中方反制） 中国商务部在2025年3月打出精准反击组合拳： - 第一波：对加国菜籽油、豌豆征收100% ...

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that President Trump has signed an executive order to extend the suspension of tariffs on China for another 90 days, which has sparked widespread attention and discussion internationally [1] - The background includes the announcement of a "reciprocal tariff" policy in April, with a goal to reach 90 agreements within 90 days, but only limited progress has been made with countries like the UK and Vietnam [1][3] - The extension of the tariff suspension can be interpreted as a compromise by Trump, as domestic opposition to excessive tariffs is growing and the trade stagnation is putting pressure on U.S. businesses and consumers [3] Group 2 - Some viewpoints suggest that both the U.S. and China may be seen as "winners" from the tariff agreements, as U.S. consumers avoid high prices and Chinese exporters can relieve some pressure [5] - However, the 90-day suspension may only serve as a temporary measure for the Trump administration, and the future situation remains uncertain [5] - In contrast, other countries like the EU, Canada, and Japan have faced strong countermeasures from China, indicating that while U.S.-China relations may be easing, tensions with other nations are escalating [5][6] Group 3 - China has taken retaliatory actions against the EU, Canada, and Japan, including placing two EU banks on a countermeasure list and launching an anti-dumping investigation into Canadian canola oil, with a dumping margin of 75.8% [5][6] - The measures against Canada and Japan are a response to perceived dumping practices that have severely impacted Chinese industries [6] - These actions demonstrate China's commitment to protecting its interests and its unwillingness to tolerate any infringement, especially from countries aligning with the U.S. [6][8]

Group 1 - Canada has reached a significant oil trade agreement with China, with imports hitting a historical peak of 7.3 million barrels in March 2023, marking a 90% reduction in U.S. oil imports due to trade tensions [3][5] - The diversification of energy imports is crucial for China to ensure energy security and mitigate trade risks, while Canada benefits from expanding its overseas market and boosting economic gains through increased oil exports [3][5] - The Canadian government, under Prime Minister Mark Carney, has adopted a hardline stance against China, imposing high tariffs on various Chinese products, which disrupts normal international trade and harms both Canadian and Chinese businesses [5][9] Group 2 - Canada has also taken a strong position against the U.S., maintaining retaliatory tariffs in response to unfavorable trade policies, which has negatively impacted Canadian industries [8][9] - The Canadian economy is heavily reliant on the U.S. market, with 75% of exports directed there; continued deterioration in U.S.-Canada trade relations could lead to a projected 18% drop in GDP within six months [9] - The trade relationship with China is vital, as the trade volume exceeded $100 billion in 2023; poor policies towards China could result in significant losses for Canadian industries, as evidenced by tariffs on Canadian canola oil and peas [9]