当地时间11月7日，加拿大总理卡尼直接对外宣布，他们和美国维持数十年的紧密经济关系彻底结束 了。 这话一出，国际经贸圈都炸开了锅，要知道自从1988年《美加自由贸易协定》生效后，两国经济早就绑 在了一起。 这局面走到今天，特朗普的关税政策怕是最有体会的推手，安大略省那则反关税广告顶多算个导火索。 加拿大的经济对美国依赖度高到离谱，绝大多数产品都销往美国，而美国卖到加拿大的货占比却少得可 怜。 特朗普一直觉得贸易伙伴都在赚美国的钱，对着加拿大就动了真格。 先是搞了个对等关税，后来又盯着钢铝这类关键行业下手，加征的税率高到让企业扛不住。 这么一搞，加拿大出口量明显下滑，2025年第二季度经济还出现了下滑，安大略省五万相关岗位都悬 了。 一则广告引爆冲突，美加谈判彻底凉凉 10月23日那天，他不仅叫停了和美加所有的贸易谈判，还宣布对加拿大所有商品再多加10%关税，一口 咬定这广告是欺诈行为，甚至觉得这是在影响美国最高法院的裁决。 无奈之下，安大略省只好停了广告投放，卡尼总理也出面致歉。 可特朗普压根不买账，哪怕嘴上说喜欢卡尼，被问起是否重启谈判时，就硬邦邦甩了个"不"字。 安大略省省长后来干脆不打算致歉了，他看得明 ...

Core Points - The U.S. Supreme Court is debating the legality of large-scale tariffs imposed by President Trump under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, with many justices questioning whether such authority lies with the President or Congress [1][2] - This case marks the first direct examination by the Supreme Court of Trump's claims regarding presidential power, potentially setting a precedent for the boundaries of presidential authority in the U.S. [1][2] Group 1: Supreme Court Hearing - Several justices, including Chief Justice John Roberts, expressed skepticism about the President's authority to impose tariffs, emphasizing that taxation is a core power of Congress [2] - The hearing included sharp questioning of the government's defense by Deputy Attorney General John Sullivan, with conservative justices also joining in the criticism [2] - Analysts note that the expedited hearing process suggests a ruling could come in the near future, which would significantly impact U.S. politics, economics, and global trade [2] Group 2: White House Response - Key officials from the White House, including the Treasury Secretary and Commerce Secretary, defended the tariffs as essential to the President's constitutional powers in foreign policy [3] - Despite the defense, internal sentiments within the White House were reportedly low following the hearing, especially after recent electoral losses for the Republican Party [3] - Trump characterized the case as one of the most important in U.S. history, linking it to the survival of the nation [3] Group 3: Potential Outcomes - If the government loses the case, it may have to refund substantial tariffs and could seek to implement tariffs under different legal frameworks, although these would come with procedural limitations [4] - The government is considering invoking a rarely used provision of the Trade Act of 1974, which allows for tariffs of up to 15% in cases of trade imbalance [4] - The complexity of refunding tariffs to thousands of businesses poses significant operational challenges for the federal government [5]

Core Points - The article discusses the unexpected halt of trade negotiations between the U.S. and Canada, triggered by a controversial advertisement that misused a video of former President Reagan, leading Trump to terminate all trade talks with Canada [1][3]. Group 1: U.S.-Canada Trade Relations - Trump's accusation against Canada for using Reagan's video in a misleading manner escalated tensions, resulting in the termination of trade negotiations [1][3]. - The U.S. has imposed significant tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum, reaching up to 50%, and a 25% tariff on Canadian automobiles, causing over $3 billion in losses for the Canadian steel and aluminum industry and a 40% drop in automotive orders [3][5]. Group 2: Canada's Strategic Shift - In response to U.S. tariffs, Canadian Prime Minister Carney announced a strategic shift to reduce economic dependence on the U.S. and sought to establish a "strategic relationship" with China during the APEC summit [3][5]. - Canada has exempted Chinese steel and aluminum from tariffs, signaling a potential thaw in relations and is actively seeking tariff reductions on its agricultural products from China [5][7]. Group 3: Infrastructure and Trade Initiatives - Canada is advancing the "Asia-Pacific Gateway Initiative," a multi-billion dollar infrastructure project aimed at improving logistics efficiency, which could significantly enhance the competitiveness of Canadian goods in Asian markets [7][9]. - Recent trade agreements with Asian countries like Indonesia and the UAE are part of a broader strategy to diversify Canada's market presence, focusing on energy cooperation and agricultural trade [7][9]. Group 4: Geopolitical Considerations - Canada's foreign policy towards China remains constrained by its obligations within the Five Eyes alliance, indicating that any shift in trade policy may still be influenced by U.S. strategic interests [9][11]. - The development of Canada-China relations will depend on the sincerity and commitment of the Canadian government in fostering cooperation [11].

Core Points - Canada has announced a reduction in tariffs on imports from China following a visit by Foreign Minister Anand, marking a shift in diplomatic relations after a period of trade tensions [1][3] - The Canadian government is reassessing its relationship with China, especially in light of increasing protectionism from the United States, which has led to significant economic impacts on Canadian industries [1][5] Group 1: Trade Relations - The trade relationship between Canada and China has been strained due to high tariffs imposed by Canada on Chinese electric vehicles and steel products, which prompted retaliatory measures from China [1][3] - Canada is the largest exporter of canola, with over half of its exports going to China, and the closure of the Chinese market has severely impacted Canadian farmers [3][5] Group 2: Economic Impact - The trade tensions have resulted in a decline of over 8% in manufacturing output and nearly a one-third reduction in agricultural exports in Canada during the first half of the year [5] - High inflation rates in Canada, coupled with rising energy and food prices, have created significant political pressure on the government to adjust its trade policies [5] Group 3: Policy Shift - The Canadian government is moving from a "freeze" to a "restart" in its policy towards China, indicating a willingness to recalibrate relations and enhance cooperation in various sectors [3][6] - Public opinion in Canada has shifted, with support for tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles dropping from over 60% to less than half, providing a social basis for policy adjustment [5][6] Group 4: International Context - The changing international landscape, characterized by unilateralism and trade protectionism, is prompting middle powers like Canada to seek strategic balance, with China being a key partner in this context [8] - The recognition that cooperation with China is necessary rather than risky is growing among Canadian industries and public opinion [8]

Core Points - The article discusses Canada's independent response to U.S. tariffs and China's retaliatory measures, highlighting its strategic autonomy in trade relations [1][2][3][5][7][10]. Group 1: U.S. Tariffs and Canadian Response - Since the strategic standoff between the U.S. and China, the U.S. has attempted to pressure China by excluding its products from global supply chains, implementing high tariffs on imports from various countries, including a 50% tariff on Canadian steel and aluminum [1]. - In response to U.S. pressure, Canada announced a 25% additional tax on steel and aluminum products containing Chinese components, alongside a 100% tariff on electric vehicles from China [1][2]. Group 2: China's Retaliation - China retaliated against Canada by imposing 100% tariffs on canola oil, oilseed meal, and peas, and a 25% tariff on seafood and pork, significantly impacting Canada's agricultural sector [2]. - Canada, being the largest canola exporter globally, faced severe economic consequences, with canola exports to China projected to reach approximately $3.63 billion in 2024, accounting for over half of its total agricultural exports [2]. Group 3: Diplomatic Efforts and Trade Negotiations - In light of the dual pressures from the U.S. and China, Canadian officials have been visiting China to address the canola trade dispute, which is crucial for the stability of Canada's agricultural economy [2][10]. - Canadian Prime Minister Carney met with President Trump to discuss trade barriers and tariffs, but did not make explicit commitments to strengthen North American trade restrictions [3]. Group 4: Tariff Adjustments and Industry Reactions - Canada announced a tariff exemption for certain steel and aluminum products that cannot be produced domestically, aimed at stabilizing supply chains, with specific details to be released later [3][5]. - The Canadian Steel and Aluminum Association expressed dissatisfaction with the exemptions, arguing that they could undermine the competitiveness of domestic producers [5][7]. Group 5: Strategic Autonomy and Future Outlook - Canada's actions reflect a pragmatic and independent economic policy, seeking to balance its interests amid U.S.-China tensions, while also negotiating tariff arrangements with the U.S. [7][10]. - The bilateral trade between Canada and China reached CAD 117.44 billion in 2024, indicating Canada's strategic moves may serve as a bellwether for increased autonomy among allies in the global trade landscape [7].

Group 1 - The core argument is that the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration have negatively impacted the U.S. economy, leading to increased costs for businesses and consumers, market volatility, and disruptions in the global supply chain [1][3][11] - The root cause of the current situation in the U.S. is long-standing social issues, including wealth concentration and increasing inequality, which have left many citizens feeling abandoned by the system [3][11] - Trump's tariff policies, initiated in 2018, aimed to combat unfair trade practices but resulted in retaliatory measures from other countries, adversely affecting U.S. farmers and manufacturers [5][9] Group 2 - The tariffs led to significant cost increases for American consumers, with estimates indicating that tariffs imposed in 2018 alone cost U.S. companies and consumers an additional $51 billion [9][11] - Despite the intention to reduce the trade deficit, the tariffs have not achieved this goal; instead, the trade deficit has increased due to higher import costs without a corresponding improvement in exports [9][11] - The economic policies have contributed to a decline in U.S. global influence, with a shift towards isolationism and protectionism, which threatens democratic values and accelerates the de-dollarization process [13][18] Group 3 - The long-term outlook is pessimistic, with expectations of continued trade friction and potential inflation resurgence, leading to increased business failures and a search for alternative trade partners by allies [17][18] - The article emphasizes the need for continuous investment in education and public welfare to prevent societal division and political crises, highlighting the responsibility of elites to address inequality [15][18]

Core Viewpoint - Canada has announced a 100% tariff on electric vehicles from China and a 25% tariff on Chinese steel and aluminum products, raising questions about the rationale behind these actions [1][3][5] Group 1: Trade Policies and Implications - The tariffs imposed by Canada are seen as discriminatory and violate the 1994 GATT agreement, as there is no substantial evidence that Chinese products have harmed the Canadian market [3][5] - The concept of "trade diversion" mentioned by Canada appears to be overstretched and used to justify its actions, which seem to align closely with U.S. policies against China [5][7] - The close cooperation between Canada and the U.S. may provide Canada with some support, but it raises concerns about whether the U.S. will uphold its commitments when interests conflict [7] Group 2: Impact on Chinese Electric Vehicles - Chinese electric vehicles have gained significant market share due to their high cost-performance ratio and superior performance, posing a challenge to European brands that are increasing in price [9][21] - The new tariffs will likely increase the prices of Chinese electric vehicles, potentially reducing their competitiveness in the market, although consumer willingness to pay higher prices remains uncertain [9][11] - China is actively working to adjust its supply chain to lower costs, but this is a long-term challenge that may be hindered by Canada's tariff policies [11][20] Group 3: China's Response - China plans to counteract Canada's tariffs through the WTO dispute resolution mechanism and has initiated anti-discrimination investigations against Canada [13][18] - The measures taken by China are compliant with international rules and aim to protect its interests against what is perceived as an unfounded attack by Canada [20] - The rapid growth of Chinese electric vehicles in the global market is a testament to their development, despite facing jealousy and pushback from other countries [21][23] Group 4: Global Supply Chain Considerations - Canada's tariff policy is expected to have negative implications not only for China but also for the stability of the global supply chain [23] - The attempt to suppress China's technological progress and market share through tariffs is viewed as counterproductive in an increasingly interconnected global economy [23]

Group 1 - Canadian Foreign Minister Anand plans to visit China in the coming weeks to discuss trade issues, particularly the hope of lifting Chinese tariffs on Canadian goods [1][7] - Canada has imposed a 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicles and a 25% tariff on Chinese steel, prompting China to retaliate with tariffs on Canadian canola and other products [1][5] - The trade friction between Canada and China began after U.S. National Security Advisor Sullivan's visit to China, which influenced Canada to impose tariffs to align with U.S. interests [5][8] Group 2 - The Canadian government faces domestic pressure, especially from Western provinces, to lift tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles due to the impact on the canola industry [7][8] - Anand's visit aims to address bilateral trade conflicts and explore cooperation in areas where both countries can work together [7][8] - To restore trade relations, Canada must remove unreasonable tariffs on Chinese products and adjust its stance on core Chinese interests, particularly regarding South China Sea and Taiwan issues [8]

Core Viewpoint - The China Minmetals Import and Export Chamber of Commerce supports the Ministry of Commerce's investigation into Mexico's trade barriers against Chinese imports, which could significantly impact Chinese industries due to increased tariffs on key imported goods [1] Group 1: Tariff Changes - On September 10, 2025, the Mexican government announced plans to raise tariffs on key imported goods from countries without trade agreements, with some tariffs reaching as high as 50% [1] - The affected goods include automobiles, textiles, clothing, plastics, steel, electrical products, aluminum, toys, furniture, footwear, leather products, paper and cardboard, motorcycles, trailers, and glass [1] Group 2: Impact on Chinese Industries - As the largest source of imports to Mexico, Chinese industries are expected to face severe impacts from the tariff increases [1] - The China Minmetals Import and Export Chamber of Commerce represents industries such as steel, aluminum, plastics, and glass, and is calling for affected parties to participate in the investigation [1] Group 3: Government Response - On September 25, the Ministry of Commerce of China announced the initiation of a trade barrier investigation in response to Mexico's restrictions [1] - The Chamber urges domestic industries and member enterprises to actively support the investigation and necessary measures to protect the legitimate rights of Chinese companies [1]

Group 1 - The article discusses Canada's recent trade challenges with China, highlighting the consequences of blindly following the policies of larger nations [2][3] - In October 2024, Canada imposed three additional tariffs on Chinese imports, including a 100% punitive tariff on electric vehicles and a 25% additional tax on steel and aluminum products [4][6] - The Canadian government claims these measures are to protect domestic industries, but they are seen as aligning with the U.S. Indo-Pacific strategy aimed at curbing China's development [8] Group 2 - In March 2025, China retaliated with significant tariffs on Canadian products, including a 100% tariff on canola oil and a 25% tariff on seafood and pork [10][11] - Key data shows that from 1999 to 2020, 84% of China's imported canola came from Canada, with exports to China reaching $3.47 billion in 2023, a 170% increase year-on-year [15] - Following China's countermeasures, Canadian canola prices fell by 30%, and exports to China dropped by 70% in Q2 2025, leading to significant financial losses for Canadian farmers [21][23] Group 3 - The article notes that Canada has become a victim in the geopolitical game, with the U.S. maintaining high tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum while threatening further tariffs on other products [24][26] - Canadian Foreign Minister Anita Anand's visit to China aims to negotiate tariff reductions, but China has made significant advancements in energy and manufacturing sectors, complicating negotiations [26][28] - The article concludes that Canada made three strategic errors: misjudging China's resolve, overestimating U.S. support, and underestimating its own economic dependencies [28][30]