Email：liubw@zts.com.cn | 基本状况 | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(百万股) | 806.32 | | 流通股本(百万股) | 756.50 | | 市价(元) | 43.55 | | 市值(百万元) | 35,115.16 | | 流通市值(百万元) | 32,945.56 | 执业证书编号：S0740521120002 Email：wangfang02@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0740524030001 元件 | . 11 | | --- | | 维持 | | 买入 | | 评级: | 1、《顺络电子：三季度业绩再创新 高 ， AI 终 端 带 动 后 续 成 长 》 2025-10-28 AI 终端带动后续成长》2025-08-02 2025-04-21 顺络电子（002138.SZ） 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2026 年 03 月 03 日 | 评级： | 买入（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | ...

元件 | . 11 | | --- | | 维持 | | 买入 | | 评级: | 执业证书编号：S0740521120002 Email：wangfang02@zts.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0740524030001 1、《顺络电子：三季度业绩再创新 高 ， AI 终 端 带 动 后 续 成 长 》 2025-10-28 AI 终端带动后续成长》2025-08-02 2025-04-21 顺络电子（002138.SZ） 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2026 年 03 月 03 日 | 评级： | 买入（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | 2024A | | 2025A | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | 分析师：王芳 | | 营业收入（百万元） | | 5,897 | 6,745 | 8,451 | 10,261 | 12,314 | | 执业证书编号：S0740521120002 | | 增长率 yoy% | | 17% ...

Macro and Strategy - The report highlights the growth of "fixed income+" funds, with a total of 2,091 funds accounting for 15.4% of the entire fund market as of Q4 2025, with 85 new funds launched in Q4 alone, a significant increase from the previous year [7] - The total assets and net assets of these funds reached 32,023 billion and 28,442 billion respectively, showing a substantial increase from the previous quarter [7] - The average leverage ratio for these funds increased to 1.13, indicating a slight rise in risk appetite among investors [7] Chemical Industry - The report discusses the long-term supply contraction in the refining and chemical sector, driven by policies that restrict new refining capacity and promote the transformation of existing facilities [9] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has implemented a plan to stabilize growth in the petrochemical industry, emphasizing the need for "reducing oil and increasing chemicals" to optimize the industry structure [9] - The report anticipates that the profitability of refining and chemical companies will improve due to a favorable cost environment and structural adjustments in supply and demand [11][12] Electronic Industry - The electronic industry is experiencing a shift from structural shortages to widespread price increases, driven by sustained high demand for AI computing and storage capabilities [16] - The report notes that the price of NAND Flash and DRAM has risen significantly, with recent increases of 18% and 33% respectively, indicating a strong upward trend in the storage market [19] - Companies involved in the semiconductor and storage sectors are expected to benefit from this trend, with specific recommendations for firms like 德明利 and 江波龙 [19] Media and Internet - The media sector has shown resilience, with a reported increase of 0.96% in the industry index, outperforming major indices like the沪深300 [26] - The report highlights significant cash distributions during the Spring Festival, indicating strong cash flow and potential for reinvestment in AI applications [27] - Companies like 阿里通义 and 字节跳动 are making strides in AI technology, which is expected to enhance their market positions and drive future growth [27] Sportswear Industry - The report details the performance of 特步国际, noting that its main brand's sales remained flat while the索康尼 brand saw over 30% growth, indicating a divergence in brand performance [34] - 安踏体育's acquisition of a 29.06% stake in PUMA is seen as a strategic move to enhance its global presence and leverage PUMA's market position [36] - The report projects steady growth for 特步国际's main brand, focusing on the running category, while also highlighting the potential for profitability improvements in the professional sports brand segment [35]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2][7]. Core Insights - The company is a leading domestic magnetic component manufacturer, enhancing its overseas presence and actively entering the solid-state transformer market [4][5]. - The company plans to establish overseas subsidiaries in Mexico and Vietnam with an investment of up to 500 million RMB to expand its international market presence [3]. - The magnetic components market is projected to reach $27.2 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 5.1% from 2025 to 2031, driven by demand in various sectors including new energy vehicles and data centers [4][34]. - The solid-state transformer is expected to become a key power supply solution in the AIDC era, with a potential market size of 87 billion RMB by 2030 [5][59]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Established in 1995, the company has strengthened its magnetic component business through acquisitions and international expansion, including a subsidiary in Vietnam and plans for a factory in Mexico [4][15]. - The company has long-term partnerships with major clients such as BYD, Bosch, and Huawei, enhancing its market position [4][8]. Business Segments - The company’s revenue is primarily derived from magnetic components (83%) and switch power supplies (17%) [25]. - The magnetic components are crucial for applications in electric vehicles, energy storage, and AI servers, with expected revenue growth of 24.8% to 24.2% from 2025 to 2027 [75][76]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 4.105 billion RMB in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 24.86%, with a net profit of 232 million RMB, up 52.51% [63]. - The gross margin for magnetic components improved to 12.17% in the first half of 2025, reflecting better operational management [30][70]. Market Trends - The magnetic components industry is experiencing robust growth due to increasing demand in new energy vehicles and data centers, with significant opportunities in solid-state transformers as the market evolves [34][44]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the transition to high-efficiency power supply solutions, particularly in the context of rising power demands in data centers [5][44].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][7]. Core Insights - The company is a leading domestic magnetic component manufacturer, enhancing its overseas presence and actively entering the solid-state transformer market [4][5]. - The magnetic components market is expected to grow significantly, driven by the increasing demand in sectors such as new energy vehicles, energy storage, and AI servers [4][34]. - The company plans to establish subsidiaries in Mexico and Vietnam to strengthen its international market position and enhance local delivery capabilities [3][15]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Established in 1995, the company has a long history in the magnetic components sector and has strengthened its position through acquisitions and international expansion [4][8]. - The company has established strong partnerships with major clients such as BYD, Bosch, and Huawei, which enhances its market credibility [4][8]. Market Potential - The global magnetic components market is projected to reach USD 27.2 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 5.1% from 2025 to 2031 [4][34]. - The demand for magnetic components is expanding due to the growth in applications across various sectors, including automotive electronics and renewable energy [4][34]. Product Development - The company is focusing on developing solid-state transformers, which are expected to become a key power supply solution in the AIDC era, with a projected market size of CNY 87 billion by 2030 [5][59]. - The company is also innovating in high-frequency transformers, which are critical components for solid-state transformers, leveraging its existing technology and customer base [5][62]. Financial Performance - The company expects significant growth in net profit, projecting CNY 3.35 billion, CNY 4.40 billion, and CNY 5.99 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 45.5%, 31.3%, and 36.3% respectively [5][63]. - The revenue from magnetic components is anticipated to reach CNY 48.66 billion by 2025, with a growth rate of 24.8% [75]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing a stock incentive plan to align the interests of its core team with long-term performance goals, reflecting confidence in future growth [18]. - Continuous investment in R&D is a priority, with R&D expenses maintained at 3%-4% of revenue, supporting innovation and product development [70].

Group 1 - The company achieved a revenue of 4.105 billion yuan in the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year increase of 24.86%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 232 million yuan, up 52.5% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.438 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.10%, and a net profit of 82 million yuan, which is a 65.95% increase year-on-year [1] - The company focuses on magnetic components and switch power supply products, with applications in various sectors including new energy vehicles, photovoltaic energy storage, and industrial equipment [2] Group 2 - The company is actively developing solid-state transformers (SST), which are seen as a replacement for traditional transformers, offering advantages such as high power density and fast response times [2] - The company has established a professional automated workshop and has a full order book, indicating rapid growth in its magnetic components business [2] - The company expects net profits to reach 320 million yuan, 415 million yuan, and 518 million yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 0.65, 0.84, and 1.04 yuan [3]

Core Viewpoint - The price adjustment of tantalum capacitors by Yageo has led to a ripple effect in the market, with its subsidiary PULSE announcing price increases for certain ferrite bead products starting January 1, 2023, due to high raw material costs and increased demand for high-frequency applications [1][2]. Group 1: Price Adjustments and Market Dynamics - Yageo's PULSE brand is adjusting prices for specific ferrite bead products, effective January 1, 2023, due to sustained high costs of key raw materials, particularly silver [1]. - The price of silver has surged significantly, with NIMEX silver futures recently reaching $73.02 per ounce, marking a 143% increase for the year 2025, which has put substantial pressure on the cost structure of passive component manufacturers [1]. - The adjustment in prices is seen as a necessary measure for manufacturers to maintain product quality and supply stability while continuing to invest in capacity and technology [1]. Group 2: Industry Position and Future Outlook - Yageo's revenue from magnetic components accounts for approximately 27% to 28% of its total revenue, with a strong market position in inductors and automotive-grade magnetic components, ranking third globally [2]. - Competitor Walsin Technology, another significant supplier of ferrite beads, is also expected to consider price adjustments due to rising demand in automotive electronics, AI servers, and high-speed computing [2]. - The passive component industry is entering a new phase of price adjustments, supported by high raw material costs and steady demand from end applications, which is expected to positively impact the revenue and profitability of major suppliers like Yageo and Walsin [2].

Core Insights - The overall situation of broker research coverage of A-share listed companies is becoming clearer as 2025 approaches its end, with over 2,800 companies having received broker attention, indicating that more than half of the market's listed companies have been covered [1][2] - The most focused sectors include machinery, electronics, and biomedicine, each with over 290 companies receiving broker research [1][2] Machinery Sector - A total of 329 listed companies in the machinery sector received broker research, with notable companies including Huichuan Technology, Boke Co., and Weichuang Electric, each having over 100 research visits [3] - The machinery sector index has seen a cumulative increase of nearly 42% since the beginning of 2025, ranking among the top in 31 first-level industries [3] - Investment opportunities in the machinery sector for 2026 are centered around humanoid robots, with a focus on companies entering the Tesla supply chain and domestic leading companies in the sector [4] Electronics Sector - The electronics sector has been particularly favored by institutional investors, with over 320 companies receiving broker research in 2025 [2][3] - Investment opportunities for 2026 include new technologies and demands driven by the AI innovation cycle, particularly in the storage industry, which is entering an upward cycle [5] - The demand for AI chips and high-performance storage is expected to grow, benefiting semiconductor testing equipment and related companies [5] Biomedicine Sector - The biomedicine sector has seen 296 companies receiving broker research, with companies like Maiwei Biotech and Aibo Medical being popular among brokers [3] - The cumulative increase in the biomedicine sector since 2025 has narrowed to 12.44%, ranking lower among the 31 first-level industries [3] - For 2026, the focus remains on the innovative drug industry chain, driven by strong policy support and the increasing internationalization of domestic innovative drugs [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant interest from brokerages in A-share listed companies, with over 2800 companies receiving brokerage research in 2025, indicating that more than half of the market's listed companies have been under brokerage attention [1][2] - The mechanical equipment, electronics, and pharmaceutical biotechnology sectors are identified as the most favored by brokerages, with over 290 companies in each sector receiving research attention [1][2] - The mechanical equipment sector is particularly noted for investment opportunities in the humanoid robot industry chain, while the electronics sector is advised to focus on new technologies and demands driven by the AI innovation cycle [3][4] Group 2 - Crystal Optoelectronics, a company in the electronics sector, has been the most favored by brokerages, receiving 175 research visits, and is part of a sector that has seen a significant price increase of nearly 42% in 2025 [1][2] - The electronics sector has over 320 companies receiving brokerage research, with notable companies like Huaqin Technology and Luxshare Precision receiving more than 140 research visits each [2] - The pharmaceutical biotechnology sector has 296 companies under brokerage research, with a cumulative increase of only 12.44% in 2025, indicating a relative underperformance compared to other sectors [3][4] Group 3 - Investment opportunities in the humanoid robot sector are expected to grow, with a focus on companies entering the Tesla supply chain and those involved in core supply chain and standardization [3] - The electronics sector is anticipated to benefit from the AI-driven demand for high-performance storage and semiconductor testing equipment, suggesting a favorable outlook for related companies [4] - The pharmaceutical sector is expected to continue focusing on innovative drug companies, supported by favorable policies and increasing international market presence, which will attract more investor attention [4]

Investment Summary - The electronic industry index (CITIC) increased by 44.67% from the beginning of 2025 to December 5, 2025, driven by the innovation wave led by DeepSeek and the continuous iteration of AI applications on the terminal side [3][13][20] - The AI technology-driven innovation in the industrial chain and the recovery of terminal applications are expected to continue to push the electronic industry upward, with the storage sector entering a price increase cycle starting in the second half of 2025 due to supply-demand gaps [3][4][30] Market Review - The electronic sector's performance has outpaced the CSI 300 index, with a notable increase in institutional investment, as evidenced by the total market value held by funds in the electronic sector reaching 937.088 billion yuan, accounting for 5.07% of the circulating A-share market [3][20][25] - The top ten companies by fund holdings in the electronic sector include Maolai Optics, Lanke Technology, and Zhongke Feice, indicating a strong focus on the semiconductor core track [3][21][24] 2026 Investment Outlook - The report suggests capitalizing on the AI innovation cycle by focusing on new technologies, demands, and cycles, with a positive outlook for the following areas: 1. Semiconductor storage: The storage industry is entering an upward cycle driven by explosive demand for AI computing infrastructure, particularly in high-performance storage products like HBM and DDR5 [4][32][58] 2. Semiconductor testing equipment: The demand for testing machines is expected to rise due to the increasing complexity of AI chips and high-performance storage, with the global semiconductor testing equipment market projected to exceed $13.8 billion in 2025 [5][77][81] 3. Magnetic components: The transition to 800V high-voltage direct current (HVDC) architecture is anticipated to accelerate the demand for magnetic components, driven by the increased power requirements of AI servers [6][30][56] Semiconductor Storage - The storage industry is expected to experience a "super cycle" due to the explosive demand for AI computing, with the global storage market projected to approach $300 billion by 2027 [32][36] - The report highlights that AI applications are significantly increasing the demand for storage, with AI servers requiring up to eight times more DRAM and three times more NAND than traditional servers [42][49] - The current inventory levels of NAND and DRAM are at historical lows, and major manufacturers are prioritizing high-margin products for servers, leading to anticipated price increases of at least 20% for DRAM and NAND products [36][40][58] Semiconductor Testing Equipment - The semiconductor testing machine market is expected to grow significantly, with the global market size projected to reach $9.3 billion in 2025 and $9.77 billion in 2026, driven by the increasing complexity of AI chips and high-performance storage [5][77][81] - The report emphasizes the critical role of testing machines in ensuring the quality and reliability of AI chips, as the demand for high-performance computing continues to rise [59][66][72] Magnetic Components - The shift to 800V HVDC architecture is expected to drive the demand for magnetic components, as traditional power supply structures face limitations under increased power demands [6][30][56] - The report identifies key beneficiaries in the magnetic component sector, including companies like Keli Ke and Jingquan Hua, which are positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for efficient power conversion solutions [6][30]