机构：第一上海 研究员：曹凌霁/韩啸宇 业绩摘要：2025Q3 公司收入23.8 亿美元，同比增长9.7%，环比增长7.8%，基本符合一致预期的23.5 亿 美元。本季度公司产能环比增长3.2万片至102.3 万片等效8 寸晶圆，产能利用率为95.8%，环比增加 3.3pct。晶圆ASP 达913 美元，同比下滑5.5%，环比增长4.4%。公司的毛利率22.0%，环比增长1.6pct。 归母净利润同比增长28.9%至1.9 亿美元，每股盈利0.02 美元。公司指引2025Q4 收入环比增长0%-2%至 23.8-24.3 亿美元，中值基本符合彭博一致预期，毛利率介于18%-20%，中值略低于一致预期的19.4%。 消费电子市场需求回暖，2025 财年AI 需求增速超10%：本季度8 英寸和12 英寸晶圆收入环比分别增长 2.7%/8.9%，其中晶圆付运量环比增长4.6%至249.9 万片，平均晶圆ASP 环比增长4.4%至931 美元/片。 下游应用方面，消费电子收入环比增长19.4%，主要系国内客户的市场份额提升叠加出口需求增长；智 能手机收入环比下滑4.7%，主要系部分订单因供不应求暂时延迟叠加行业竞争激 ...

Core Viewpoint - The global semiconductor distribution market is showing signs of recovery, with the top four distributors reporting growth in their second-quarter earnings, indicating a positive trend for the industry moving forward [3][23]. Group 1: Performance of Top Distributors - The top four semiconductor distributors by revenue for the first half of 2025 are: 1. WPG Holdings with NT$506.93 billion (approximately $16.93 billion), a year-on-year increase of 16.19% [3][6]. 2. WPG's second-quarter revenue reached NT$259.5 billion (approximately $8.7 billion), with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5% and a year-on-year increase of 7% [5][6]. 3. Daewoo's second-quarter revenue was NT$250.45 billion (approximately $8.4 billion), a year-on-year increase of 20.4% [6]. 4. Arrow Electronics reported second-quarter revenue of $7.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10% [8]. 5. Avnet's second-quarter revenue was $5.62 billion, showing a modest year-on-year increase of 1% [10]. Group 2: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The semiconductor market is experiencing a recovery, with global semiconductor sales reaching $179.7 billion in the second quarter of 2025, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.8% and a year-on-year increase of nearly 20% [23]. - WPG anticipates a strong demand for AI-related products, which is expected to drive growth in the second half of the year [6]. - Daewoo's strong performance is attributed to increased sales in memory products and AI server components, while WPG has faced challenges due to losing the ADI agency [17][18]. Group 3: Regional Performance - Arrow's component sales in the Americas increased by 9% year-on-year, while sales in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa (EMEA) decreased by 1% [14]. - Avnet's Asian market showed significant growth, with a year-on-year increase of 18%, while EMEA sales dropped by 17% [14][16]. - The recovery pace varies by region, with Asia showing particularly strong momentum compared to other regions [11][12].