Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company has been confirmed as the sole investor in the restructuring of Xinjiang Shenhong Group, which is expected to optimize the industry landscape [7] - The demand for chromium salts is anticipated to surge in 2025, driven by increased needs in high-temperature alloys and special steel, as well as strong export demand [7] - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 703 million, 857 million, and 1,010 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE valuations of 19X, 16X, and 14X [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is expected to reach 4,461 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.7% [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 703 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 48.8% [6] - The gross margin is projected to improve to 31.0% in 2025, up from 25.2% in 2023 [6]

Core Viewpoint - The price of metallic chromium has significantly increased, with a total rise of 100,000 yuan per ton since the beginning of 2025, driven by strong supply and demand dynamics, indicating a potential new cycle of prosperity in the chromium market [1][4][6]. Group 1: Price Trends - On April 18, 2025, the company announced a price increase of 5,000 yuan per ton for metallic chromium, following previous increases of 3,000 and 2,000 yuan on February 10 and March 13, respectively [1][4]. - As of April 21, 2025, the average market price for metallic chromium in China reached 69,000 yuan per ton, reflecting an increase of 7,500 yuan per ton since the beginning of 2025 [1][4]. Group 2: Demand Growth - The demand for metallic chromium is rapidly increasing, particularly in high-temperature alloys, special alloy steels, and sputtering targets, benefiting from growth in end-use sectors such as military, aerospace, and gas turbines [2]. - Since 2018, China's metallic chromium production has grown significantly, with exports rising from 6,405 tons in 2018 to 21,770 tons in 2024, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23% [2]. Group 3: Supply Dynamics - The supply of metallic chromium is concentrated, with high entry barriers in the chromium salt production due to environmental regulations, resulting in no new production qualifications since 2015 [3]. - Major domestic producers with chromium salt capacity include CITIC Jinzhou Metal, Galaxy Chemical, and Zhenhua Co., with a combined market share exceeding 80% [3]. Group 4: Investment Strategy - The strategic value of metallic chromium is becoming increasingly evident as its applications expand in high-end scenarios, with prices currently at historical lows and expected to continue rising due to favorable supply-demand conditions [6].

文 ｜ 王喆 2 0 2 5年4月1 8日，振华股份宣布其金属铬产品单吨售价大幅调涨5 0 0 0元，此前公司已于2月1 0日、3月1 3日连续调涨金属铬单吨 售价3 0 0 0 / 2 0 0 0元，2 0 2 5年以来公司金属铬产品单吨售价已累计调涨1 0 0 0 0元。根据百川盈孚，截至4月2 1日，国内金属铬现货 市场均价为6 9 0 0 0元/吨，较2 0 2 5年初上涨7 5 0 0元/吨。我们看好供需共同催化下金属铬景气度向上超预期，产品价格有望持续 上涨，强烈推荐铬系产品一体化布局龙头公司。 4月1 8日，振华股份宣布其金属铬产品单吨售价大幅调涨5 0 0 0元，此前公司已于2月1 0日、3月1 3日连续调涨金属铬单吨售价 3 0 0 0 / 2 0 0 0元，2 0 2 5年以来公司金属铬产品单吨售价已累计调涨1 0 0 0 0元。根据百川盈孚，截至4月2 1日，国内金属铬现货市 场均价为6 9 0 0 0元/吨，较2 0 2 5年初上涨7 5 0 0元/吨。根据海关总署统计数据，2 0 1 7年以来中国金属铬出口价格（可理解为不 含税价）在4 4 5 7 3~9 7 9 2 7元/吨波动， ...

Group 1: Precision Instruments - The article emphasizes that precision instruments are the cornerstone of modern industry and technology development, with increasing risks from U.S. restrictions [1] - It suggests three main investment lines in China's precision instrument sector: seeking "China's Zeiss" in optical instruments, "China's HP" in electronic measurement instruments, and "China's Thermo Fisher" in analytical instruments [1] Group 2: Chromium Chemicals - The price of metal chromium has significantly increased, with a total price hike of 10,000 yuan per ton since the beginning of 2025, indicating strong demand and supply dynamics [2] - The article recommends investing in leading companies with integrated chromium product layouts due to the favorable market conditions [2] Group 3: Insurance Companies - Insurance companies face challenges in asset-liability matching, with a near 50% allocation to fixed-income assets, leading to risks of interest margin losses [3][4] - The article highlights three strategies for insurance capital to enhance investment returns: participating in private placements, strategic investments, and shareholding strategies [3][4] Group 4: Wind Power - The domestic and international offshore wind power sectors are expected to see sustained growth, with domestic installations projected to exceed 12 GW in 2025, doubling year-on-year [6] - The article suggests focusing on various segments of the offshore wind power supply chain, including turbines, subsea cables, and foundations [6] Group 5: ETF Market - The global ETF market is projected to reach $15.09 trillion by 2024, while China's ETF market remains relatively small and underdeveloped [7] - The article advocates for domestic institutions to innovate product types and enhance liquidity mechanisms to build a sustainable market ecosystem [7]

秦培景｜中信证券 首席策略师 S1010512050004 主题策略｜精密仪器：科技自主柱石，品牌成长良机 精密仪器是现代工业和科技发展的基石。近年来大国竞争日趋激烈，美国对精密仪器 封锁围堵风险提升。研究国内新兴产业发展现状，复盘国际精密仪器巨头崛起经验， 能从多个关键维度帮助我们把握中国精密仪器投资机遇。结合国内精密仪器企业市场 生态，我们建议通过三条主线投资中国精密仪器赛道突围：1）寻找下游应用领域丰 富的光学仪器赛道中的"中国蔡司"；2）寻找受益国内高端制造产业链崛起的电子测 量仪器赛道中的"中国惠普"；3）寻找国产替代弹性十足的分析仪器赛道中的"中国赛 默飞"。 风险因素：中美科技贸易等领域摩擦超预期加剧；宏观经济周期波动风险；科技领域 海外技术迭代速度超预期；技术突破难度较大；市场认知与品牌建设不及预期风险； 资金和人才竞争风险。 王喆｜中信证券 能源与材料产业首席分析师 S1010513110001 铬化工｜金属铬价格跳涨，强烈推荐板块投资机遇 2025年4月18日，振华股份宣布其金属铬产品单吨售价大幅调涨5000元，此前公司已 于2月10日、3月13日连续调涨金属铬单吨售价3000/2000元 ...