Summary of Offshore Wind Power Industry and Submarine Cable Companies Industry Overview - The domestic offshore wind power market is expected to exceed 10 GW in bidding volume for 2025, but actual progress is lower than anticipated due to the cancellation of national subsidies and reduced local subsidies, leading to insufficient motivation for operators to rush installations [1][2][3] - Military factors significantly impact the development of offshore wind power, with projects in Zhejiang, Fujian, and Hainan facing obstacles, while Liaoning province performs better than expected and Guangdong remains a major contributor [1][3][6] - The offshore wind power gross margin is higher than that of onshore wind power, but market pricing and price reduction pressures may lead to a decline in gross margins, necessitating efficiency improvements and cost reductions by companies [1][15] Key Insights - The expected development of offshore wind power in 2026 is anticipated to be better than during the 14th Five-Year Plan, contingent on resolving military issues in affected provinces [1][4] - The domestic supply chain faces challenges, particularly in construction resources and key equipment capacity, which are bottlenecks that hinder the achievement of the annual target of 20 GW [1][11][12] - The demand for 500 kV AC or DC products is increasing, with leading companies maintaining a gross margin of around 50% due to stable competition [1][19][20] Regional Performance - In 2025, the overall progress of offshore wind power projects has increased compared to 2024, but still falls short of expectations. Notable performances include: - Liaoning province shows rapid development with project bidding expected to commence in 2026 [3][9] - Guangdong province has around 4 GW in bidding volume, maintaining its status as a key contributor [3][9] - Fujian province's projects are largely paused, with minimal progress expected in the short term [8][9] Future Projections - The 14th Five-Year Plan's uncompleted offshore wind power projects will carry over to the 15th Five-Year Plan, with expectations of at least 10 GW achievable annually, contingent on new supportive policies [10][11] - The domestic market's absorption capacity is primarily local, with future trends indicating a shift towards market pricing and gradual price reductions [14] International Market Opportunities - Domestic submarine cable companies, such as Dongfang Cable and Zhongtian Technology, are performing well in the European market, which has seen a significant increase in bidding volume since 2023 [22][23] - The European market presents substantial opportunities for domestic companies, although challenges exist regarding legal, operational, and performance aspects [22][26] - The demand for high-voltage products in Europe remains dominated by local companies, but the potential for domestic companies to capture market share is significant due to local production capacity shortages [28][29] Competitive Landscape - The domestic submarine cable industry is experiencing intensified competition, particularly for high-end products like 500 kV cables, where leading companies face fewer challenges compared to smaller firms [24][25] - The gross margin for similar products sold in Europe is approximately 5% higher than in China, driven by the need for domestic companies to establish their reputation in international markets [29] Conclusion - The offshore wind power industry in China is at a critical juncture, with military and regulatory challenges impacting growth. However, the potential for expansion in both domestic and international markets remains strong, particularly in Europe, where demand is high and local production capacity is insufficient. Companies must navigate these challenges while focusing on efficiency and cost management to maintain competitiveness in a rapidly evolving landscape [1][23][24]

Group 1 - The company, Shanghai Taisheng Wind Power Equipment Co., Ltd., is planning to issue A-shares to specific investors and list on the Growth Enterprise Market [2][3] - The issuance price is set at 6.87 yuan per share, with adjustments made for dividends and stock bonuses [3][4] - The total share capital of the company is 934,899,232 shares, and the issuance will not exceed 30% of the total share capital prior to the issuance [4][5] Group 2 - The controlling shareholder, Guangzhou Kaide, holds 26.93% of the company and has committed to not reducing its shareholding for 18 months post-issuance [6][7] - The company has established a cash dividend policy that aligns with the requirements of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, ensuring clarity and protection for minority investors [8][9] - The company has outlined measures to mitigate the dilution of immediate returns resulting from the issuance, although it does not guarantee future profits [10][11] Group 3 - The wind power equipment manufacturing industry is supported by various national policies aimed at promoting clean energy, including wind power [16][17] - The industry is regulated by the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration, which oversee pricing and project approvals [16][17] - The company is positioned within the general equipment manufacturing sector, focusing on the research, development, and sales of onshore and offshore wind power equipment [15][16]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in 1H25, with significant year-on-year increases in both revenue and net profit, driven by the delivery of multiple offshore wind projects [1] Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company achieved revenue of 2.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 461.07%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 205 million yuan, up 90.61% year-on-year [1] - In 2Q25, the company reported revenue of 1.593 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 570.62% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 264.99%. The net profit for the quarter was 141 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 315.77% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 121.16% [1] - The strong performance in 2Q25 was attributed to the concentrated delivery phase of several offshore wind projects, although profits were impacted by a credit impairment loss of 45 million yuan [1] - The company’s revenue from tower, pile, and jacket products in 1H25 was 292 million yuan, 1.564 billion yuan, and 136 million yuan, with gross margins of 11.91%, 16.30%, and 19.44% respectively [1] - The gross margin for 2Q25 reached 17.6%, marking a historical high for a single quarter since the price parity of domestic offshore wind in 2022 [1] Development Trends - The company is expected to benefit structurally from the increased volume of domestic jacket products starting in 2H25, with potential breakthroughs in overseas markets [2] - The domestic offshore wind industry has gradually resolved past obstacles, leading to improved construction sentiment, and a sustained growth trend is anticipated post-2025 [2] - The company is expected to benefit from the bulk delivery of jacket products for the Shandong Peninsula North L project starting in 2H25, with further benefits anticipated from high-margin deep-sea jacket applications in 2026 [2] - The European market is experiencing tight supply for offshore wind monopiles and jackets, presenting potential order opportunities for the company in the next 1-2 years [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecast for 2025, while the profit forecast for 2026 has been raised by 25.3% to 1.084 billion yuan, driven by higher-end jacket product demand [3] - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 25.1 times for 2025 and 15.2 times for 2026 [3] - The company is expected to outperform the industry due to improved product competitiveness and profit margin trends, with a target price increase of 20% to 90.91 yuan, reflecting an upside potential of 19.6% from the current stock price [3]

Wind Power Industry Conference Call Summary Industry Overview - The wind power industry is experiencing a significant performance rebound starting from Q2 2025, driven by a rebound in bidding prices since Q3 2024, with companies like XinQiangLian reporting over 500% year-on-year growth in Q2 2025 [1][2] - Domestic wind power demand is robust, with an expected installed capacity of at least 115GW by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan, comprising 105GW from onshore and 10GW from offshore wind [1][2] - The change in bidding rules by state-owned enterprises and the anti-involution initiative have led to a price increase of over 10%, enhancing industry profitability [1][2] Key Points on Company Performance - Wind turbine companies are seeing significant profit recovery due to rising bidding prices and declining raw material costs, with potential net profit margin recovery of 3-5 percentage points [4][8] - Recommended companies include Dongfang Cable, Haili Wind Power, and Daikin for components, as well as Yunda, Mingyang, and Goldwind for wind turbine manufacturing [4][8] - The European renewable energy market has raised its installation targets, expecting a cumulative capacity of 300GW by 2050, with offshore wind power projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 30% from 2025 to 2030 [5][6] Opportunities and Challenges in Overseas Markets - Chinese wind power companies face both opportunities and challenges in overseas markets, particularly in Europe, where high installation targets and prices exist [5][6] - The average selling price in Europe is significantly higher than in China, with Vestas pricing at approximately €1.2 per watt (around ¥9,000), indicating substantial profit potential for secured overseas orders [6] - Challenges include high market entry barriers in Europe, but regions like the Middle East and Southeast Asia are more receptive to Chinese orders, offering better profitability [6] Recent Developments - In the domestic market, several offshore wind projects have commenced, with expectations of reaching 10GW of installed capacity in 2025, more than doubling from 2024 [7] - The Central Financial Committee has prioritized offshore wind power as a key area for marine industry development, supporting deep-sea economic growth with relevant policies [7] - Chinese wind turbine companies have made significant progress in projects in the UK and France, with favorable conditions such as increased bidding prices and government support for local manufacturing [7] Industry Concerns - Key concerns include the valuation and profit outlook for wind turbine companies, with many currently in a profit rebound phase [8][9] - The recent issuance of Document No. 136 has created uncertainty regarding future wind power prices, leading to a temporary halt in wind farm transactions, although acceptance of wind farms remains high [8] - There are worries about rising component prices affecting turbine profitability; however, the actual price increases have been limited, and the cost performance is expected to remain stable [8] - Concerns about demand in 2026 are mitigated by positive bidding trends, particularly in offshore wind, indicating a sustained growth cycle for the next two to three years [8]

Core Viewpoint - The European offshore wind construction is accelerating due to improved strategic importance, reduced project costs, and policy-driven initiatives [3][4]. Group 1: Strategic Importance - The strategic importance of offshore wind has increased following the natural gas crisis triggered by the Russia-Ukraine conflict, leading to a consensus among European countries to transition to renewable energy [3]. - The "Ostend Declaration" established a target for North Sea countries to achieve 120GW of offshore wind capacity by 2030 and over 300GW by 2050 [3]. Group 2: Cost Reduction - Financing rates for offshore wind projects in Europe have decreased due to eight interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank since June 2024 [3]. - The development cost of offshore wind has dropped from $5,418/kW in 2010 to $3,138/kW in 2023, while the Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) has fallen from $0.205/kWh to $0.067/kWh during the same period [3]. Group 3: Policy Goals - Various European countries have set clear policy goals and reformed auction systems to promote offshore wind development [4]. - The UK aims for 43-50GW of offshore wind capacity by 2030, with reforms to the Contracts for Difference (CfD) auction system to facilitate project development [4]. - Germany's new policy goals aim for cumulative offshore wind capacity of 30GW by 2030, 40GW by 2035, and 70GW by 2045, leading to a resurgence in project development [4]. - The Netherlands plans to tender 11GW of offshore wind capacity over the next three years to meet its 21GW target by 2032 [5]. - Poland is emerging as a new offshore wind market, with its first project starting construction by the end of 2024 and an expected 6GW of new capacity from 2025 to 2030 [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 projected at 7.4 billion, 10.7 billion, and 12.1 billion respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 18, 13, and 11 [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.35 billion in 2024, a year-on-year decline of 19.6%, but achieved a net profit of 0.66 billion, marking a return to profitability [2]. - In Q1 2025, the company saw a significant revenue increase of 251% year-on-year, reaching 4.36 billion, although net profit decreased by 13.3% to 0.64 billion [2]. - The overall demand for offshore wind in China was below expectations in 2024, leading to a slight decline in overall shipments and a decrease in gross margin by approximately 2.1 percentage points [2]. - The company is expected to benefit from an increase in project deliveries, with a gross margin of approximately 15.05% in Q1 2025, up about 10 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The company has established multiple production bases across key regions, positioning itself to fully benefit from the growth in the domestic offshore wind sector [3]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.35 billion, down 19.6% year-on-year, while net profit was 0.66 billion, returning to positive figures [2]. - Q1 2025 revenue reached 4.36 billion, a 251% increase year-on-year, but net profit fell 13.3% to 0.64 billion [2]. Operational Analysis - The offshore wind demand in China was lower than expected in 2024, impacting overall shipments and leading to a decline in gross margin [2]. - The company’s revenue from pile foundations decreased by 22.7% to approximately 0.85 billion, with a gross margin of 4.29%, down 6.0 percentage points [2]. - The tower business generated 3.2 billion in revenue, down 18.7%, but gross margin improved by 4.38 percentage points to 7.9% [2]. - The company’s revenue from the guide frame business increased by 6.8% to 1.37 billion, with a gross margin of 4.79%, up 10.28 percentage points [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is 7.4 billion, 10.7 billion, and 12.1 billion, with corresponding PE ratios of 18, 13, and 11 [4].

Group 1: Precision Instruments - The article emphasizes that precision instruments are the cornerstone of modern industry and technology development, with increasing risks from U.S. restrictions [1] - It suggests three main investment lines in China's precision instrument sector: seeking "China's Zeiss" in optical instruments, "China's HP" in electronic measurement instruments, and "China's Thermo Fisher" in analytical instruments [1] Group 2: Chromium Chemicals - The price of metal chromium has significantly increased, with a total price hike of 10,000 yuan per ton since the beginning of 2025, indicating strong demand and supply dynamics [2] - The article recommends investing in leading companies with integrated chromium product layouts due to the favorable market conditions [2] Group 3: Insurance Companies - Insurance companies face challenges in asset-liability matching, with a near 50% allocation to fixed-income assets, leading to risks of interest margin losses [3][4] - The article highlights three strategies for insurance capital to enhance investment returns: participating in private placements, strategic investments, and shareholding strategies [3][4] Group 4: Wind Power - The domestic and international offshore wind power sectors are expected to see sustained growth, with domestic installations projected to exceed 12 GW in 2025, doubling year-on-year [6] - The article suggests focusing on various segments of the offshore wind power supply chain, including turbines, subsea cables, and foundations [6] Group 5: ETF Market - The global ETF market is projected to reach $15.09 trillion by 2024, while China's ETF market remains relatively small and underdeveloped [7] - The article advocates for domestic institutions to innovate product types and enhance liquidity mechanisms to build a sustainable market ecosystem [7]