Core Viewpoint - The adjustment of risk factors for insurance companies by the Financial Regulatory Bureau is expected to enhance the growth outlook for the insurance sector in 2024, with a focus on long-term wealth preservation and value-added policies [1][5]. Group 1: Regulatory Changes - On December 5, the Financial Regulatory Bureau issued a notice adjusting risk factors related to insurance companies' business [1]. - The adjustment aims to support stable and active capital markets by lowering the risk factors for long-term investments [2][5]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The insurance sector is expected to see a significant inflow of funds, with estimates of 550 to 600 billion yuan entering the market next year [6]. - Major insurance companies are projected to allocate a substantial portion of their new premiums to A-shares, with some companies like China Life and Taiping expected to invest up to 40% of new premiums [6]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The insurance distribution channels are anticipated to achieve double-digit growth due to their advantages in customer resources and account management [1]. - The valuation of insurance companies remains low, presenting a high cost-performance ratio for investors [1]. Group 4: Long-term Outlook - The long-term fundamentals of the insurance industry are positive, with expectations of increased market share for larger companies as they transition to dividend insurance [1]. - The adjustment of risk factors is expected to provide some relief to insurance companies facing pressure on their solvency ratios, although the immediate impact on equity allocation may be limited [5][4].

智通财经APP获悉，国金证券发布研报称，12月5日，金融监管总局发布《关于调整保险公司相关业务 风险因子的通知》。展望明年，大量定存到期，对于低风险偏好、有长期财富保值增值诉求的资金来 说，保险是较好选择，明年负债端的增长预期越加明朗；并且相较于前几年，新产品可以获取利差益， 是更有"价值"的保单。银保渠道基于账户优势和客户资源的优势，预计将实现双位数增长，由于分红险 转型推进，大公司的市占率提升将继续提升。长期基本面向上，短期增长预期提升，当前保险估值仍然 低位，配置性价比较高。 国金证券主要观点如下： 长期投资的股票风险因子下调，险资权益配置掣肘再迎放松 政策意在引导长期投资，助力资本市场稳定运行，但短期内预计对险资权益资产增配意愿及规模的实际 拉动作用有限 尽管风险因子下调可通过降低权益资产最低资本占用释放部分偿付能力空间，但在当前行业整体偿付能 力承压的背景下，预计险企不会仅仅因为风险因子下调就主动增配更多权益资产，从而导致偿付能力下 降回原点。预计本《通知》意图有二，一是引导险资长钱长投，助力资本市场稳定运行；二是750日均 线持续下行，险企普遍面临偿付能力压力，风险因子下调可一定程度上缓解险企压力 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" with expectations of a price increase exceeding the market benchmark index by more than 10% in the next 6-12 months [4][9]. Core Insights - The adjustment of risk factors for insurance capital investments in stocks allows for expanded equity allocation, reflecting regulatory flexibility in guiding capital optimization based on market conditions [2][3]. - The insurance sector's solvency ratios are robust, with comprehensive and core solvency ratios at 186.3% and 134.3% respectively, significantly above regulatory thresholds [3]. - The report emphasizes a diversified equity allocation strategy for insurance capital, benefiting sectors like banking, utilities, and coal, while also supporting technology growth companies [3]. Summary by Sections Regulatory Changes - On December 5, the National Financial Regulatory Administration announced a reduction in risk factors for long-term holdings of specific stocks, following earlier regulatory initiatives to encourage insurance capital market participation [2]. - The risk factor for stocks held over three years in the CSI 300 index was reduced from 0.3 to 0.27, while for stocks held over two years in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, it decreased from 0.4 to 0.36 [2]. Market Performance - As of Q3 2025, the stock allocation of major insurers ranges from 5.4% to 11.6% of total assets, with a slight increase from the beginning of the year [3]. - The report indicates that the adjustment in risk factors could theoretically release a minimum capital of 326 billion yuan, potentially increasing the stock balance by 1,207 billion yuan, which is 3.3% of the current insurance stock balance [3]. Investment Outlook - The report suggests a favorable outlook for insurance capital investments in dividend-paying sectors and technology growth companies, indicating a "stable base + innovation engine" investment strategy [3]. - Recommended stocks include China Pacific Insurance for low cost and stable operations, Ping An for high dividend yield, China Life for competitive performance, and New China Life for strong investment capabilities [3].

Monthly Performance - The banking sector increased by 2.99% from November 1 to November 28, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 5.4 percentage points, ranking second among 31 Shenwan first-level industries [1][6] - Institutional investors increased their holdings in bank stocks due to a stable improvement in fundamentals, shareholder buybacks, and expectations of valuation recovery [1][6] Valuation Trends - State-owned banks saw a significant increase in valuation, with their PB ratio rising from approximately 0.76X at the beginning of the month to 0.78X by the end, while the PB ratios for joint-stock banks and city commercial banks remained stable at 0.67X and 0.60X, respectively [1][9] - As of November 28, the overall PE ratio for the banking sector was 6.53 times, with a historical percentile of 56.18%, and the PB ratio was 0.56 times, with a historical percentile of 32.25% [21] Individual Bank Performance - Notable gainers included Bank of China (8.20%), China Everbright Bank (8.08%), China Construction Bank (5.81%), and Nanjing Bank (5.13%), while Qingdao Bank and rural commercial banks experienced significant declines [1][12] - The performance of banks with improved earnings and mid-term dividend payouts led to notable increases in their stock prices [1][12] Market Environment - The 10-year government bond yield rose from around 1.80% in early November to 1.84% by the end of the month, while the 1-year bond yield remained stable at approximately 1.40% [16] - The trading volume in the banking sector increased by 13.07% year-on-year, accounting for 1.65% of the total trading volume in the AB share market, although it decreased by 0.18 percentage points compared to the previous month [19] Social Financing and Credit Trends - In October, the social financing growth rate fell to 8.5%, with new social financing of 816.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.959 billion yuan [25] - The decline in credit supply was attributed to a shift in government bond issuance timing and a decrease in demand for consumer loans [25]

Core Viewpoint - China Ping An and its subsidiaries continue to increase their holdings in bank stocks, particularly in China Merchants Bank and Postal Savings Bank, reflecting a strategic investment approach in the banking sector [1][2][3]. Group 1: Investment Activities - On October 10, China Ping An increased its holdings in China Merchants Bank by purchasing 2.989 million H-shares, raising its total holdings to 781 million shares, which accounts for 17% of the bank's H-shares [1]. - On the same day, China Ping An acquired 6.416 million H-shares of Postal Savings Bank, bringing its total holdings to 3.379 billion shares, representing 17.01% of the bank's H-shares [2][5]. - Since the beginning of the year, China Ping An has consistently bought shares in China Merchants Bank, increasing its holdings from 230 million shares in January to over 780 million shares in October [3]. Group 2: Broader Investment Strategy - China Ping An has adopted a "bulk buying" strategy for bank stocks, indicating a strong confidence in the sector's performance [3]. - The company has also been actively purchasing shares in Agricultural Bank and other financial institutions, with significant increases in their holdings [4][5]. - As of February 14, China Ping An held 15.699 billion shares of Industrial and Commercial Bank, representing 18.08% of its H-shares [6]. Group 3: Market Context and Trends - The insurance sector has seen a significant increase in stock holdings, with a reported 2.87 trillion yuan in stock value held by life insurance companies as of June, marking a 26.69% increase from the beginning of the year [8]. - Insurance companies have made 30 stake acquisitions this year, the highest since 2021, driven by a low-interest-rate environment and the need for high-yield assets [9]. - Regulatory changes have facilitated the entry of long-term capital into the market, allowing companies like China Ping An to invest in stable, high-dividend stocks [10]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The low-interest-rate environment and supportive policies are expected to lead to a continued increase in the equity asset allocation by insurance companies [12]. - China Ping An aims to enhance its equity allocation while managing risks effectively, indicating a positive outlook for the equity market [12]. - The recovery of the capital market has positively impacted the investment returns of insurance companies, contributing to their profitability [13].

秦培景｜中信证券 首席策略师 S1010512050004 主题策略｜精密仪器：科技自主柱石，品牌成长良机 精密仪器是现代工业和科技发展的基石。近年来大国竞争日趋激烈，美国对精密仪器 封锁围堵风险提升。研究国内新兴产业发展现状，复盘国际精密仪器巨头崛起经验， 能从多个关键维度帮助我们把握中国精密仪器投资机遇。结合国内精密仪器企业市场 生态，我们建议通过三条主线投资中国精密仪器赛道突围：1）寻找下游应用领域丰 富的光学仪器赛道中的"中国蔡司"；2）寻找受益国内高端制造产业链崛起的电子测 量仪器赛道中的"中国惠普"；3）寻找国产替代弹性十足的分析仪器赛道中的"中国赛 默飞"。 风险因素：中美科技贸易等领域摩擦超预期加剧；宏观经济周期波动风险；科技领域 海外技术迭代速度超预期；技术突破难度较大；市场认知与品牌建设不及预期风险； 资金和人才竞争风险。 王喆｜中信证券 能源与材料产业首席分析师 S1010513110001 铬化工｜金属铬价格跳涨，强烈推荐板块投资机遇 2025年4月18日，振华股份宣布其金属铬产品单吨售价大幅调涨5000元，此前公司已 于2月10日、3月13日连续调涨金属铬单吨售价3000/2000元 ...