Core Insights - Aurora MoonFox Data participated in the Hubbis Investment Forum Hong Kong 2025, focusing on wealth management and investment opportunities in Greater China and globally [1][2] Group 1: Event Overview - The forum featured a vibrant atmosphere with strong attendance from industry professionals, including investment bankers and asset managers, who showed significant interest in MoonFox's alternative data applications [2] - Key discussions revolved around the use of alternative data for investment research, risk management, and asset allocation, highlighting its relevance in the current market [4][6] Group 2: Key Use Cases of Alternative Data - Fund managers emphasized the importance of high-frequency alternative data, such as app activity and offline brand foot traffic, for early detection of market shifts, allowing timely adjustments in sector allocations [4] - Family office representatives noted that MoonFox's indices for offline store traffic and factory throughput provide real-time operational health monitoring for companies, enabling proactive risk management [6] - Private bankers and analysts discussed how online activity indices can track emerging consumer brands' growth, exemplified by Pop Mart's app activity correlating with revenue growth [6][9] Group 3: Insights from Keynote Speech - Max Ma, Senior Analyst at MoonFox Data, highlighted that China's GDP grew by 4.8% year-on-year in Q3 2025, with AI technology becoming a core driver of economic transformation [8] - The generative AI apps reached 471 million monthly active users in September 2025, marking a 12.4% month-on-month increase, which has intensified competition among platforms [8] - MoonFox's alternative data tracks extensive app usage and offline activities, providing investors with insights to anticipate industry trends and validate company fundamentals [9][10] Group 4: Future Outlook - MoonFox Data aims to deepen its presence in the Chinese market, offering forward-looking data solutions to help global investors capitalize on new opportunities in China's evolving economic landscape [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" (OW) rating for Pop Mart (9992 HK) despite recent sell-off pressures [1]. Core Insights - Pop Mart experienced a significant sell-off, dropping 10.6% to a four-month low, despite a strong Q3 sales performance [1][2]. - The sell-off is attributed to a combination of factors including high short-selling activity and competition concerns from other companies like Miniso [2][3]. - There are indications of declining interest from resellers, raising questions about the sustainability of demand for Pop Mart's products [3]. Summary by Sections Sales Commentary - Pop Mart's stock fell significantly, with a notable drop in US ADRs and a high trading volume in Hong Kong [1]. - The stock's turnover reached over HK$9.5 billion, surpassing Alibaba's HK$7.8 billion, indicating heightened trading activity [2]. Market Dynamics - Short-sell turnover for Pop Mart reached a record high of approximately HK$1.99 billion, accounting for 10.8% of the total short-sell turnover in Hong Kong [2]. - The latest short interest data shows approximately 46.8 million shares shorted, representing 6.3% of the float, with a week-over-week increase of 52% and a month-over-month increase of 64.3% [2]. Competitive Landscape - Miniso's Chairman announced plans to transform the company into a leading global IP platform, which may heighten competition concerns for Pop Mart [3]. - Reports indicate a decline in resale prices for Labubu products, which could impact future demand and investor sentiment regarding Pop Mart's revenue growth potential [3].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a cautious outlook for the A-share market, suggesting a barbell strategy with micro-cap and bank stocks performing steadily [6][10]. Core Insights - The A-share market has remained flat amid Middle East tensions, supported by the Lujiazui Forum, while H-shares lagged due to increased risk-off sentiment [1]. - Biotech and New Consumption sectors in Hong Kong have seen a sharp pullback after significant gains of 30-50% YTD, with the HS Biotech Index dropping over 9% in the past five days [2][3]. - The Lujiazui Forum has announced measures to support Shanghai as a global financial center, including the reopening of IPOs for unprofitable tech firms under new standards [10][11]. Summary by Sections A-share Market - The A-share market is experiencing a barbell strategy with micro-cap and bank stocks outperforming, while foreign participation remains light [6]. - Limited liquidity is driving small-cap beta, while deflationary pressures keep dividend plays attractive [7][8]. Hong Kong Market - The biotech and new consumption sectors have both declined after strong rallies, with notable sell-offs in stocks like CSPC and Innovent [2][3]. - The new consumption sector has seen significant drops in stocks such as PopMart and Laopu, attributed to profit-taking rather than clear negative catalysts [4]. Lujiazui Forum Insights - The forum emphasized credibility and global financial connections, with discussions on reopening IPOs for unprofitable tech firms and expanding QFII investment scope [10][12]. - AI and semiconductor companies are likely to be prioritized for new listings, with stocks in the growth tier marked with a "U" label to indicate investment risk [11]. Macro Economic Context - Retail sales showed strong performance in May, but sustainability is questioned due to potential payback effects in June [13]. - Property prices in 70 cities have continued to decline, with secondary market data indicating a drop of 5-15% over the past year [14]. Investor Behavior - Overall A-share flows indicate a selling trend, with long-only and hedge funds both showing net selling behavior despite the geopolitical tensions [18]. - Specific sectors like AI infrastructure are seeing renewed interest, with notable buying in companies like Zhongji Innolight and Eoptolink [17].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to experience a steady upward trend due to continued policy support and medium to long-term capital inflows, with current valuations near the average since 2010 [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - The A-share market is anticipated to stabilize and rise, supported by incremental capital inflows and policy initiatives [1] - The market's future opportunities will depend on incremental changes, with stable capital providing a buffer against unexpected downturns [3] - The Shanghai Composite Index and ChiNext Index are currently at average price-to-earnings ratios of 13.69 and 35.80, respectively, suitable for medium to long-term investment [4] Group 2: Investment Strategies - Focus on three asset categories: stable assets (high dividends, gold), self-sufficient industrial chains, and domestic consumption [1] - Emphasize a "dumbbell" investment strategy, balancing high-dividend sectors like banking with emerging themes in new consumption [3] - Short-term investment opportunities are highlighted in sectors such as software development, internet services, and consumer electronics [4] Group 3: Market Activity - On a recent trading day, the A-share market opened high and experienced slight fluctuations, with significant performance in software development and internet services [4] - The total trading volume reached 12,136 billion, above the three-year daily average, indicating enhanced market liquidity [4] - Continuous net inflows from northbound funds and increased holdings from institutional investors suggest a resilient market environment [4]

Group 1 - The Chinese government has issued opinions to deepen the market-oriented allocation reform of resource and environmental factors, aiming to establish a comprehensive system for quota distribution, market transactions, and supervision [1] - The focus is on promoting the support of resource and environmental factors for the development of new productive forces, while advancing carbon reduction, pollution reduction, greening, and economic growth [1] Group 2 - The public fund industry has seen a new product issuance scale exceeding 400 billion yuan this year, with a total of 515 new funds established, raising 406.08 billion yuan [4] - The new funds are focusing on technology sectors such as artificial intelligence and semiconductors, while also increasing the layout of low-volatility fixed-income products to meet investor demand for stability [4] Group 3 - The A-share and Hong Kong stock markets are experiencing a trend of dual listings, with many high-quality A-share companies going public in Hong Kong, attracting international long-term capital [11] - This trend is expected to improve the valuation of core assets in the A-share market as the liquidity in the Hong Kong market increases [11] Group 4 - The private equity market in Greater China is showing signs of recovery, with increased fundraising, active IPO markets, and heightened institutional investment [10] - The total amount of private equity investment in China is projected to grow by 7% in 2024, reaching 47 billion USD, driven by an increase in large transactions [10] Group 5 - The price of tungsten has reached historical highs, with ammonium paratungstate (APT) prices surpassing 250,000 yuan per ton, supported by a tight supply-demand balance [14] - The first batch of tungsten mining control indicators for 2025 has been reduced by 6.45% compared to 2024, indicating a tightening supply in the tungsten market [14] Group 6 - The AI industry is witnessing a shift from large models to AI agents, with the emergence of AI hospitals and applications across various sectors [9] - The development of AI agents is expected to accelerate, but challenges such as high investment costs and market competition remain [9] Group 7 - The construction of a unified national computing power service market is accelerating, with significant policy support driving the development of the computing power industry [8] - At least 12 listed companies have disclosed orders related to computing power services, totaling over 8 billion yuan, indicating strong market demand [8] Group 8 - The consumer sector is experiencing a surge, with new consumption themes in food retail, pet economy, and beauty products showing strong performance [2] - Equity funds focused on new consumption have reported returns exceeding 50% this year, highlighting the growth potential in the consumer market [2] Group 9 - The humanoid robot skills competition has evolved to showcase practical applications in family and commercial settings, indicating a shift towards utilitarian robotics [3] - The competition highlights advancements in robot capabilities, including perception and classification tasks [3] Group 10 - The North Exchange has seen a significant increase in institutional research activity, with 240 instances of institutional visits in May, a 126% increase from the previous month [12] - Companies in hard technology and emerging consumer sectors are attracting the most attention from institutional investors [12]

Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations throughout the day, with the ChiNext Index leading the decline and the North Stock 50 Index dropping over 6% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.1 trillion, a decrease of 70.8 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] - More than 4,400 stocks in the market declined, indicating a broad-based downturn [1] Sector Performance - Banking stocks showed resilience, with several stocks, including Pudong Development Bank, reaching new historical highs during the session [1] - Military industry stocks saw a temporary surge, with companies like Galaxy Electronics hitting the daily limit [1] - In contrast, new consumption concept stocks collectively fell sharply, with Reliable Holdings dropping over 10% [1] - Solid-state battery concept stocks also experienced volatility, with Honggong Technology declining over 10% [1] Index Performance - By the end of the trading session, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.22%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.72%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 0.96% [1]