Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs initiates coverage on Sanhua Intelligent Control with a "Buy" rating and a target price of HKD 33.2, highlighting its leadership in HVAC control and thermal management components, as well as growth potential in humanoid robot actuators [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Sanhua is recognized as a global leader in HVAC control and thermal management components [1] - The company is expected to leverage its strong market position in HVAC and electric vehicle thermal management to drive future growth [1] Group 2: Growth Projections - Goldman Sachs forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19% for Sanhua's revenue and net profit from 2025 to 2030 [1] - The humanoid robot actuator segment is anticipated to contribute 25% of total revenue and 18% of net profit by 2030 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs initiates coverage on Sanhua Intelligent Control (02050) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of HKD 33.2, highlighting its leadership in HVAC control and thermal management components, as well as growth potential in humanoid robot actuators [1] Company Summary - Sanhua is recognized as a global leader in HVAC control and thermal management components [1] - The company is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19% in revenue and net profit from 2025 to 2030 [1] - The humanoid robot sector is identified as a significant long-term technological trend, with Sanhua positioned to play a key role in the supply chain as a prominent actuator assembler [1] - By 2030, the humanoid robot business segment is projected to contribute 25% of total revenue and 18% of net profit [1]

Group 1 - The US labor market remains resilient, with June non-farm payrolls increasing by 147,000, surpassing the market expectation of 110,000, and the unemployment rate decreasing from 4.2% to 4.1% [1] - Structural mismatches in the labor market are evident, with government layoffs and AI advancements leading to an oversupply of white-collar workers, while tightened immigration policies result in a shortage of low-skilled positions [1] - The report suggests that the June non-farm data does not support an early interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, maintaining the view that the next rate cut may not occur until the fourth quarter [1] Group 2 - The submarine cable market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 13% from 2025 to 2030, driven by increased demand from internet giants and government initiatives in deep-sea technology [1] - An estimated 540,000 kilometers of new submarine cables are projected to be built globally from 2026 to 2030, representing a 60% increase compared to the planned construction from 2021 to 2025 [1] - Chinese companies are anticipated to lead more submarine cable projects, with domestic firms enhancing their competitiveness in the market [1] Group 3 - The maturity of hardware technology is expected to accelerate the mass production of humanoid robots, as the current actuator transmission solutions are not fully converged [2] - There is significant cost reduction potential in the hardware of humanoid robots as technology iterates and scales up [2] - Companies with multiple competitive advantages and new process iteration opportunities should be closely monitored in the humanoid robotics sector [2]

Core Viewpoint - Lixing Co., Ltd. (300421) held a performance briefing focusing on the application progress of its products in the humanoid robot sector [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Lixing is a leading domestic enterprise in the precision bearing steel ball sector, with its products widely used in various industries including automotive (both fuel and new energy vehicles), precision CNC machine tools, light industrial appliances, robotics, wind power generation, construction machinery, aerospace, and other general machinery manufacturing [1] - The company has ranked first in domestic sales revenue of bearing steel balls for several consecutive years and is the only domestic enterprise included in the procurement system of the world's top eight bearing manufacturers [1] Group 2: Humanoid Robot Applications - The market is currently focused on the lightweight design of humanoid robots, and Lixing is actively exploring this area. The company mentioned that while ceramic balls are a promising lightweight solution, challenges related to cost and stable raw material supply need to be addressed [1] - Lixing's R&D team is currently validating these lightweight solutions [1] Group 3: Screw Rod Project Development - The screw rod project is in a critical R&D phase, with the company increasing supply capacity for micro screw rod steel balls ranging from 0.4 to 0.8 mm, while also developing medium-sized screw rods in collaboration with downstream customers [1] - Lixing has already supplied micro screw rod steel balls for industrial applications and is expanding into large-scale applications in automotive parking systems [1] Group 4: Future Plans and Market Recognition - The company is advancing its technology for planetary rolling screw rods and dexterous hand rolling screw rods for humanoid robots, with significant expectations for the screw rod project as a major transformation initiative [1] - Orders for small micro balls used in humanoid robot actuators and dexterous hands are currently ramping up, with full production expected in the next 6 to 18 months [1] - The humanoid robot industry has specific requirements for design, raw materials, and lifespan, and Lixing's solutions for domestic substitution have gained market recognition [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company is a leader in automotive water pumps, with IDC liquid cooling and humanoid robot businesses expected to drive a second growth curve, leveraging technology reuse and customer collaboration to potentially exceed performance expectations [1] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 56 billion, 68 billion, and 80 billion RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of 19%, 21%, and 18% respectively, resulting in a CAGR of 19% [5] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 4.4 billion, 5.4 billion, and 6.5 billion RMB for the same period, with growth rates of 34%, 21%, and 22%, leading to a CAGR of 25% [5] - The corresponding P/E ratios are expected to be 19X, 16X, and 13X [5] Market Position and Comparisons - The average P/E ratio for comparable companies such as Yinlun, Shuguang, and Shenling is 35X for 2026E, while the company's current P/E is only 16X, indicating significant upside potential [3] - The company has a 25% market share in the domestic automotive water pump market and a 20% share in the turbocharger casing market, establishing it as a leader in these segments [10] Growth Catalysts - Future catalysts include orders for liquid cooling pumps, robot orders, and quarterly earnings growth [4] - The liquid cooling server market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 46.8% from 2024 to 2029, with the company positioned to capture a share of this emerging market [10] - The company has entered the humanoid robot sector, with potential for growth similar to that of a comparable company, Sanhua Intelligent Control [10]