9月23日，盛科通信跌1.43%，成交额9.92亿元。两融数据显示，当日盛科通信获融资买入额9253.42万 元，融资偿还1.07亿元，融资净买入-1492.18万元。截至9月23日，盛科通信融资融券余额合计5.81亿 元。 融资方面，盛科通信当日融资买入9253.42万元。当前融资余额5.74亿元，占流通市值的2.06%，融资余 额超过近一年90%分位水平，处于高位。 融券方面，盛科通信9月23日融券偿还200.00股，融券卖出5915.00股，按当日收盘价计算，卖出金额 81.00万元；融券余量5.59万股，融券余额765.69万元，超过近一年90%分位水平，处于高位。 资料显示，苏州盛科通信股份有限公司位于江苏省苏州工业园区江韵路258号，成立日期2005年1月31 日，上市日期2023年9月14日，公司主营业务涉及以太网交换芯片及配套产品的研发、设计和销售。主 营业务收入构成为：以太网交换芯片72.43%，以太网交换芯片模组11.94%，以太网交换机10.48%，定 制化解决方案及其他3.18%，授权许可1.97%。 截至6月30日，盛科通信股东户数7180.00，较上期减少8.47%；人均流通股28 ...

摘要 深格通信专注于以太网交换芯片及模组，产品覆盖工业园区、5G、数据 中心等领域，并已进入锐捷、新华三、中兴、迈普技术等主流网络设备 供应商的供应链，市场前景广阔。 公司采用 Fabric 商业模式，专注于芯片后端设计和解决方案，与美马 Marvell、创意电子、格罗方德等厂商合作完成晶圆生产，中国电子等 为一致行动人，构成第一大股东。 深格通信管理团队拥有思科等知名网络公司背景，为公司研发提供支持。 12.8T 和 25.6T 高端芯片已小批量应用，并持续投入更大容量交换芯片 的研发。 2019 年至 2023 年，公司营收从 1.92 亿元增长至 10.37 亿元，但因高 强度研发投入尚未盈利。随着高端芯片放量，预计未来一两年内有望扭 亏为盈。 以太网交换芯片业务占比提升至 60%以上，高端芯片放量推动业务增长。 今年上半年，以太网交换模组业务毛利率达 63.43%，以太网交换机业 务毛利率达 60.72%。 Q&A 深格通信在国内以太网交换芯片市场的地位和发展前景如何？ 深格通信是国内少数自研以太网交换芯片的企业之一，在国产厂商中排名第一。 公司近年来推出了适用于数据中心的高速以太网交换芯片，特别是在 ...

Group 1: Macro and Strategy Insights - The US Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds target rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.00%-4.25% during the September FOMC meeting, while maintaining the existing balance sheet reduction pace [8] - The government bond net financing for the 37th week (September 8-14) was 608.4 billion, and for the 38th week (September 15-21) was 317.9 billion, with a cumulative total of 11.1 trillion, exceeding the same period last year by 4.9 trillion [9] - High-frequency indicators show signs of recovery in consumption, investment, and real estate sectors, indicating a rebound in domestic economic growth momentum [11] Group 2: Industry and Company Analysis - The A-share biopharmaceutical industry reported a slight decline in revenue and profit for H1 2025, with total revenue of 1.2838 trillion yuan, down 2.6% year-on-year, and net profit of 113.51 billion yuan, down 6.0% [26] - The innovative drug sector achieved revenue of 30.36 billion yuan, up 9.6%, while the CXO sector saw revenue of 45.12 billion yuan, up 12.6%, with a net profit increase of 61.3% [27] - The medical device sector is expected to experience valuation recovery due to policy optimization, improved market conditions, and performance recovery, with a focus on companies like Mindray Medical and United Imaging [29] Group 3: Communication Industry Developments - Huawei announced a three-year roadmap for its Ascend chip series, introducing the Atlas 950 and 960 supernodes, which support significant computational power [31] - The global Ethernet switch market reached 14.5 billion USD in Q2 2025, growing 42.1% year-on-year, driven by strong demand from data centers and cloud service providers [32] - Investment recommendations include focusing on AI infrastructure development, particularly in optical devices and communication equipment [33] Group 4: Market Performance and Valuation Trends - The A-share market saw a collective decline in major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 1.98% and the CSI 300 Index down 0.44%, indicating a divergence in growth and value styles [19] - The automotive and electric equipment sectors showed strong performance, with automotive stocks rising by 2.95% and electric equipment by 3.07% [20] - The emerging industries, except for biotechnology, generally experienced gains, with automotive electronics leading with an 8.14% increase [21]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the communication industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [2][42]. Core Viewpoints - The year 2025 marks the beginning of 6G standardization, with 3GPP fully initiating research on 6G technology. A unified global technical standard is essential for building the 6G ecosystem and promoting industrial scale applications and sustainable development [3][38]. - The communication industry is currently in a phase of technological iteration and policy dividends, with new productivity directions such as AI, quantum communication, and low-altitude economy expected to continuously release growth momentum. The recovery of cellular IoT modules from inventory adjustments and ongoing construction of communication facilities like base stations and data centers will drive demand for new devices, equipment, and service operations [3][38]. - The report suggests focusing on three main lines of enterprise opportunities: "technology commercialization + policy catalysis + performance certainty" [3][38]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Market Review - The communication sector index rose by 8.52% over the two weeks from September 5 to September 18, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 5.48 percentage points, ranking 5th among 31 first-level industries. Year-to-date, the communication sector has increased by 63.03%, surpassing the CSI 300 index by 48.72 percentage points [10][11]. 2. Industry News - China Telecom achieved the first 6G standard project approval in the 3GPP, marking a significant milestone in international standardization efforts [14]. - Microsoft signed a $6.2 billion agreement to build AI infrastructure in Norway, aiming to enhance service support for the European market [15][17]. - The global Ethernet switch market revenue reached $14.5 billion in Q2 2025, showing a year-on-year growth of 42.1%, driven by rapid data center expansion [18]. - The global enterprise WLAN market grew by 13.2% year-on-year in Q2 2025, reaching $2.6 billion, fueled by the rapid adoption of new Wi-Fi standards [19]. 3. Company Announcements - China Unicom signed a financial services agreement with its subsidiary, expected to facilitate daily business operations [21][22]. - Guangxun Technology plans to raise up to 3.5 billion yuan for projects related to optical connectivity and high-speed optical transmission [24]. 4. Industry Data Updates - As of July 2025, the mobile phone user base reached approximately 1.815 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.68% [25]. - The length of optical cable lines reached about 73.77 million kilometers in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.91% [31]. - The total number of 5G base stations reached 4.598 million by July 2025, with a net increase of 348,000 from the end of the previous year [35]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as China Mobile, China Telecom, FiberHome, Yangtze Optical Fibre, and Weisheng Information, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing technological advancements and policy support in the communication sector [38].

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Suzhou Shengke Communication Co., Ltd. has experienced fluctuations, with a year-to-date increase of 31.90% but a recent decline of 15.98% over the past five trading days [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Suzhou Shengke Communication was established on January 31, 2005, and went public on September 14, 2023, focusing on the research, design, and sales of Ethernet switch chips and related products [2] - The main revenue composition includes Ethernet switch chips (72.43%), Ethernet switch chip modules (11.94%), Ethernet switches (10.48%), customized solutions and others (3.18%), and licensing (1.97%) [2] - The company is categorized under the electronic-semiconductor-digital chip design industry and is involved in sectors such as switches, margin financing, mid-market, chip concepts, and heavily invested funds [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Shengke Communication reported revenue of 508 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.56%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was -23.69 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 58.36% [2] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 8.47% to 7,180, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 9.25% to 28,062 shares [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include notable funds such as the Harvest SSE STAR Chip ETF and the Nuwa Growth Mixed A, with some new entrants like the Southern CSI 500 ETF and the Dongfang Alpha Advantage Industry Mixed A [3]

Core Viewpoint - Ruijie Networks Co., Ltd. reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by strong demand in the digital economy and advancements in AI technology [2][4][11]. Financial Performance - The company's operating revenue reached approximately 6.65 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 31.84% compared to 5.04 billion yuan in the same period last year [2][19]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 432.46 million yuan, a substantial increase of 194% from the previous year's 125.30 million yuan [2][11]. - The net cash flow from operating activities improved significantly, with a net outflow of approximately 313.90 million yuan, a 74.32% reduction from the previous year's outflow of 1.22 billion yuan [2][19]. Business Overview - The main business activities include the research, design, and sales of network equipment, network security products, and cloud desktop solutions, with products widely used in various types of computer networks [4][5]. - The company has a strong focus on innovation, with R&D investment accounting for 12.63% of operating revenue in the first half of 2025 [16][18]. Industry Context - The global data center market is projected to reach approximately 235.65 billion USD by 2025, reflecting the robust demand for computing power driven by the digital economy [5][6]. - The domestic data center switch market continues to grow rapidly, with significant increases noted in sectors such as services, communications, and healthcare [7][9]. Product and Solution Development - The company launched several innovative products, including high-density 400G and 800G switches, which enhance the efficiency of AI model training [11][12]. - New solutions such as the EDN (Experience-Driven Networking) have been introduced to improve user experience and operational efficiency across various sectors [12][13]. Market Position and Customer Base - Ruijie Networks maintains a strong market presence, ranking third in the switch market and first in the 200G/400G data center switch segment in China [15][18]. - The company serves over 1,000 financial institutions and more than 5,000 healthcare organizations, establishing a robust and stable customer base [18][19]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates continued growth in AI applications and infrastructure, with government policies supporting the integration of AI into various sectors [9][11]. - The ongoing digital transformation across industries is expected to drive further demand for the company's products and solutions [6][9].

Company Overview - Shenzhen Phoenix Telecom Technology Co., Ltd. focuses on the development and manufacturing of communication equipment and electronic products, with a strong emphasis on self-research and design capabilities [6][8] - The company operates in multiple business areas, including CT communication, IT computing, high-end PCBA manufacturing, and automotive electronics [6][9] - The main revenue source comes from data communication products, particularly Ethernet switches, which account for approximately 78.42% of total revenue [6][8] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of approximately 721.62 million yuan, a decrease of 12.39% compared to the same period last year [7][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 21.88 million yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 71.32% year-on-year [7][8] - The company experienced a net cash flow from operating activities of -40.38 million yuan, indicating a 115.07% decrease compared to the previous year [7][8] Business Development - The company has expanded its product offerings to include high-speed data center switches, with sales volume increasing by approximately 67% year-on-year [6][8] - The automotive electronics segment has seen significant growth, with sales from automotive communication products reaching approximately 15.18 million yuan [8][9] - The company is actively investing in R&D, with expenditures amounting to approximately 71.89 million yuan, a 14.30% increase year-on-year [7][8] Industry Context - The ICT industry is facing intensified competition and a challenging economic environment, with a slight decline in the non-data center Ethernet switch market in China [7][8] - The demand for data center switches is expected to grow, driven by the increasing need for AI computing resources and high-speed data transmission [8][9] - National policies are supporting the development of information technology infrastructure, including the promotion of 5G networks and digital transformation initiatives [10][12]

Core Insights - Nvidia is expected to ship approximately 5 million Blackwell GPUs by 2025, which will require networking solutions from companies like Cisco, Arista, and HPE to function effectively [2] - Cisco's CEO Chuck Robbins reported that AI infrastructure orders from large-scale customers exceeded $800 million in Q4 of FY2025, with expectations to reach $2 billion in FY2025, significantly surpassing the previous target of $1 billion for Q4 FY2024 [2][5] - The demand for Ethernet switches is driven by the need for connectivity in AI clusters, with each GPU sale leading to the potential sale of 3 to 5 switch ports, depending on various factors [2][3] Networking Infrastructure Demand - For large AI clusters, the number of switches required can increase dramatically; a cluster of 128,000 GPUs may need around 5,000 switches, or up to 10,000 if older technology is used [3] - Optical products account for about one-third of Cisco's $800 million AI networking revenue in Q4, highlighting the importance of optical connectivity in AI infrastructure [3] - The AI networking market is growing rapidly, paralleling the pace of GPU releases from Nvidia and AMD [4] Market Opportunities - Cisco sees potential in traditional enterprise sectors for AI infrastructure, with optimism about increasing orders and a growing channel of customers seeking scalable and secure solutions [5] - Arista Networks anticipates that AI-related sales will account for approximately 17% of its projected $8.75 billion revenue for the year, indicating strong growth in this segment [5] - Nvidia's network sales grew by 64% quarter-over-quarter, reaching around $5 billion, driven by its Ethernet and InfiniBand products [6] Future Projections - The Dell'Oro Group predicts that AI networking will drive nearly $80 billion in network sales by 2030, suggesting a robust future for networking companies in this space [6]

Core Viewpoint - The communication equipment sector has shown strong performance, with a 31.4% increase since the beginning of the year, driven by the growth in AI hardware demand and the development of domestic and overseas computing chains [2][6][20]. Group 1: Market Overview - As of August 8, 2025, the SW communication index has risen by 21.4% since the start of the year, indicating a robust market performance [6]. - The capital expenditure of the three major telecom operators is projected to decrease by 9.1% year-on-year to 289.8 billion yuan, with a continued focus on computing networks [5][19]. - The mobile internet traffic reached 186.7 billion GB in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.4% [5]. Group 2: AI Hardware Trends - The demand for AI hardware is expected to grow significantly, driven by advancements in large model capabilities and the increasing number of application scenarios [2][20]. - The introduction of new AI ASIC technologies is anticipated to enhance the penetration rate of cost-effective and low-power AI chips [4][29]. - The global AI server market is projected to reach approximately $300 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 46.1% [31]. Group 3: Domestic and Overseas Computing Chains - The domestic computing chain, primarily serving local cloud service providers, is expected to see substantial growth, with capital expenditures in data centers projected to reach nearly 400 billion yuan by 2025 [18][19]. - The overseas computing chain has also shown resilience, with major cloud service providers exceeding capital expenditure expectations, indicating a recovery in AI hardware demand [7][13]. Group 4: Policy and Strategic Opportunities - The upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" is expected to emphasize digital infrastructure and the digital economy, which will drive growth in sectors such as marine economy and military communication [21][22]. - The marine economy is gaining strategic importance, with government support for offshore wind power and submarine cable construction [23][24]. - The military communication sector is poised for growth due to accelerated satellite internet deployment and increased demand for information technology in defense [26][27]. Group 5: Technological Advancements - The penetration of silicon photonics technology is expected to increase significantly, enhancing the performance and efficiency of optical modules [38][39]. - Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) technology is anticipated to gain traction, providing higher bandwidth and lower power consumption, although challenges remain before widespread adoption [41].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Cautious Accumulate" rating to the company [1][24]. Core Insights - The AI ASIC server and Ethernet switch markets are experiencing high demand, positioning the company favorably for rapid revenue growth as projects enter mass production. The transition to ODM is expected to enhance profitability, with profit growth outpacing revenue growth [2][9]. Financial Summary - The company’s projected revenue for FY2023 to FY2027 is as follows: - FY2023: $7,961 million - FY2024: $9,646 million (+21%) - FY2025: $11,630 million (+21%) - FY2026: $14,568 million (+25%) - FY2027: $16,917 million (+16%) [4][16] - Adjusted net profit is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of $296 million in FY2023, $461 million in FY2024, $635 million in FY2025, $819 million in FY2026, and $940 million in FY2027 [4][16]. Business Segments - The company operates in two main segments: Connectivity & Cloud Solutions (CCS) and Advanced Technology Solutions (ATS). The CCS segment includes server and storage businesses, while ATS encompasses aerospace, defense, industrial, and medical technology [26][30]. - Revenue from the ATS segment is expected to grow steadily, while the CCS segment is anticipated to see rapid growth driven by AI demand, particularly in 400G and 800G switches [18][19]. Market Position - The company is a leading player in the EMS and ODM sectors, with a strong focus on high-value end markets. It has a robust project pipeline in AI ASIC and Ethernet switches, which are expected to drive future growth [26][30]. - The company has established a solid customer base, including major clients like Amazon, Dell, and Google, with a significant portion of revenue derived from top customers [30][35]. Valuation - The report employs a DCF valuation method, estimating a target price of $202 per share, corresponding to a market capitalization of $23.4 billion [24][25]. - The company’s PEG ratio is calculated at 1.4, reflecting its strong earnings growth relative to peers in the EMS and ODM industries [22][24].