Core Viewpoint - The technology sector has recently shown signs of recovery from its bottom position, remaining in a high cost-performance range, with overseas uncertainties easing and risk appetite improving, leading to significant gains in the overseas technology market, which will reflect on the A-share technology growth sector [1][7]. Group 1: Current Position and Cost-Performance of the Technology Growth Sector - The technology growth sector is expected to shift back towards technology growth as the main market line in June, with signs of recovery from the bottom observed [1]. - Various indicators such as crowding degree, rolling return difference, trading volume proportion, and calendar effect suggest that the technology sector has risen from its bottom position and remains in a high cost-performance range [1][3][6]. - The crowding degree indicates that while some technology sub-sectors are beginning to recover from their bottom levels, most remain at relatively low levels [1]. - The rolling return difference between TMT and the overall A-share market has quickly repaired to below 0%, still far below the 10% historical peak, indicating further recovery potential as the technology growth trend solidifies [3]. - Trading volume proportion for TMT has rebounded to around 30%, up from historical lows of 22%-23%, but still significantly below the 40%-50% levels seen during previous TMT market peaks [6]. Group 2: Focus Areas in the Technology Sector - The AI industry chain is highlighted as a key focus area, with attention on upstream self-controlled computing power and downstream application innovation [14][17]. - Upstream areas to watch include GPU, optical modules, PCB, and IDC (computing power leasing), while midstream focuses on AI agents, SASS, industry application software, and basic/general software [14][17]. - Downstream sectors include humanoid robots, online education, fintech, virtual reality, and digital marketing, which are expected to see significant growth [14][20]. - The upstream computing power sector is identified as having strong certainty in its prosperity, benefiting from the current AI industry trend, while downstream application innovations are expected to drive demand growth for upstream computing power [17][20]. Group 3: Calendar Effects and Upcoming Events - Historical calendar effects indicate that June typically sees a relatively high success rate for the technology sector, with significant industry catalysts expected to drive performance [8]. - Key upcoming events in June include the release of new gaming consoles, AI conferences, and major tech company developer conferences, which are anticipated to provide further momentum for the sector [13].

Group 1 - The article discusses the recent performance of the Hong Kong stock market, highlighting its resilience despite global market pressures, particularly from U.S. tariff announcements [1][3] - The trading volume in the Hong Kong market has decreased significantly, with a drop from 270 billion to under 150 billion, indicating a lack of liquidity [2][3] - The article suggests that the Chinese assets are not experiencing significant declines, indicating a potential stabilization in the market [3] Group 2 - The article outlines the latest developments in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, particularly Ukraine's strategic retreat in negotiations, which may influence geopolitical dynamics [4][9] - A significant drone attack by Ukraine on Russian military targets is noted, marking a new phase in warfare tactics [5][7] - The article anticipates that developments in drone technology and counter-drone measures may impact A-share market themes [8] Group 3 - The article reports on Trump's announcement to increase U.S. steel import tariffs from 25% to 50%, effective June 4, as part of his strategy to bolster domestic steel production [9][14] - It highlights that the majority of steel exports to the U.S. come from Canada, Brazil, and the EU, with only a small fraction from China [13] - The article discusses the political motivations behind Trump's tariff actions, linking them to his declining approval ratings and the upcoming midterm elections [14][20] Group 4 - The article mentions a trading strategy known as TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out), which suggests that investors can capitalize on market dips caused by Trump's tariff threats [15][16] - It emphasizes that similar strategies can be applied in the A-share market, where rebounds often follow initial declines due to external pressures [20] Group 5 - The article provides an overview of market conditions in May, indicating increased trading difficulty compared to April, with a focus on technology stocks as a promising sector [21][25] - It notes that technology stocks have reached a favorable valuation range after adjustments, while other sectors like dividends and new consumption have become overcrowded [26][30] - The article outlines upcoming events in June that could catalyze movements in the technology sector, including major product launches and conferences [29][30]

Market Performance Overview - Hong Kong stocks showed varied performance from May 1 to present, with notable gainers including Xinda Biopharmaceutical (15.53%) and XPeng Motors (10.36%), while Weilan Delicious saw a decline of 15.42% [1] - A-share market also had mixed results, with Bai Run Co. increasing by 9.27% and Yanqing Beer by 8.70%, while Yanjin Beer fell by 2.78% [1] - In the US market, Vistra led with a 23.22% increase, while UnitedHealth Group experienced a significant drop of 27.53% [1] Macroeconomic Context - The 20-year US Treasury auction results were weaker than expected, indicating soft demand for government debt, which led to declines across US stocks, bonds, and currencies [2] Trade Relations and Tariffs - US-China trade talks on May 12 resulted in a temporary suspension of some tariffs, alleviating market concerns and boosting investor confidence [3] - Japan is pursuing a $44 billion LNG project and technology sharing to reach a tariff agreement with the US, while ongoing negotiations with the EU remain unresolved, posing potential risks for US stocks, particularly in tech and industrial sectors [3] Export Trends - China's exports to the US fell by 21% in April, but a recovery in demand is anticipated as US retailers increase orders ahead of major holidays [4] - Shanghai port saw a 49.4% week-on-week increase in export container volume, indicating strong demand and a backlog of orders extending into June [7] Tourism Sector Insights - The upcoming travel season is expected to see a surge in bookings, with a 63% year-on-year increase in orders for the Dragon Boat Festival holiday [9] - Ctrip and Tongcheng Travel are highlighted as key players, with Ctrip focusing on high-end markets and Tongcheng targeting lower-tier consumers [9][10] Consumer Trends - The Z generation's consumption potential is rising, with a focus on value-for-money and personalized products [10] - Companies like Wancheng Group are recommended for investment due to their strong market position and growth potential in the snack industry [10] AI and Technology Sector - The demand for AI infrastructure remains robust, with companies like NVIDIA and AMD positioned as key players in the market [15][16] - Upcoming tech events in June are expected to drive further interest and investment in the sector [17] Stock Adjustments and Earnings - The Hang Seng Index is set for adjustments in June, with potential new additions to the Hong Kong Stock Connect [20] - Companies like NIO and various US firms are expected to report earnings in June, which could influence market sentiment [21][22] Defensive Investment Strategies - Given the current macroeconomic uncertainties, investments in gold, banks, and utility sectors are recommended as defensive strategies [25]

Core Viewpoint - The recent price increases at Walmart, a major retail giant in the U.S., have become a significant news topic, with consumers expressing concerns about the impact of government tariff policies on their daily lives [1][3]. Price Increase Phenomenon - Walmart has seen widespread price increases across various products, with notable examples including a Chinese-made toy that rose from $59 to $84 (a 42% increase) and a Star Wars-themed LEGO set that increased from $69.99 to $89.33 (a nearly 28% rise) [2]. - Price tracking software often fails to keep up with actual price changes in stores, as evidenced by a Chinese-made inflatable mattress that was listed at $46.38 in-store, while the software showed a lower price of $44.94 [2]. - Many shelves in Walmart stores are reported to be empty, with price tags remaining for items that are no longer available [2]. Impact of Tariff Policies - Approximately one-third of Walmart's imported goods, primarily from China, Mexico, Canada, Vietnam, and India, are expected to face price increases due to U.S. tariff policies [3]. - Specific products such as bananas, avocados, and coffee are among those that will see price hikes, with bananas imported from Costa Rica already increasing by nearly 10% [3]. - Walmart's CEO noted that the current environment presents unprecedented challenges due to rapid and significant price increases [3]. Consumer Sentiment - Consumers are increasingly vocal about their frustrations regarding rising prices, with many feeling that the government's tariff policies are detrimental to the economy [4]. - Individuals, including retirees and families, express that the rising costs are affecting their ability to afford basic necessities, leading to a more cautious approach to shopping [4]. Corporate Response to Government Criticism - President Trump has publicly criticized Walmart for its price increases, urging the company to absorb tariff costs rather than passing them on to consumers [5]. - Walmart has stated that maintaining low prices is challenging due to thin retail margins, acknowledging that some tariff costs will inevitably be passed on to consumers [5]. - Other retailers, including Target and Temu, have also raised prices on certain products due to tariffs, indicating a broader trend across the retail sector [5].