Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Natural is a leading outdoor sports goods manufacturer with a strong vertical integration advantage, focusing on inflatable mattresses and outdoor bags, and has shown impressive financial performance in the industry [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Zhejiang Natural reported revenue of 818 million yuan, ranking 7th in the industry, while the top competitor, Tianyuan Pet, achieved 2.323 billion yuan [2]. - The net profit for the same period was 183 million yuan, leading the industry, with the second-place competitor, Yuanfei Pet, at 158 million yuan [2]. Financial Ratios - The company's debt-to-asset ratio stood at 10.80% in Q3 2025, down from 15.70% year-on-year and significantly lower than the industry average of 30.49% [3]. - The gross profit margin was 34.00%, slightly down from 35.30% year-on-year but still above the industry average of 23.75% [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders decreased by 1.60% to 11,000, while the average number of shares held per shareholder increased by 1.62% to 12,700 [5]. - New significant shareholders include Huatai PineBridge Value Selection Mixed Fund and Agricultural Bank Research Selection Mixed Fund, while some previous major shareholders exited [5]. Management Compensation - The chairman and general manager, Xia Yonghui, received a salary of 913,400 yuan in 2024, an increase of 206,400 yuan from 2023 [4]. Future Outlook - Tianfeng Securities projects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 250 million, 330 million, and 410 million yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15, 11, and 9 times, maintaining a "buy" rating [5]. - Zheshang Securities anticipates revenues of 1.27 billion, 1.87 billion, and 2.40 billion yuan for the same period, with net profits of 250 million, 380 million, and 490 million yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating as well [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 26.66 CNY [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 300 million CNY in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 50 million CNY, a decrease of 20%. For the first half of 2025, revenue reached 700 million CNY, up 14% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to the parent company was 150 million CNY, an increase of 45% [1]. - The company is focusing on internal improvements by leveraging AI to enhance research and production, optimizing product design processes, and increasing production flexibility. Additionally, it is expanding overseas production capacity to better respond to international market changes and customer demands [1][2]. - The company is also expanding its market presence by diversifying its product offerings from traditional outdoor mattresses to include high-end camping gear and water products, aligning with the growing camping economy and consumer trends [1][2]. Financial Data and Valuation - The adjusted profit forecast for the company is as follows: for 2025, 250 million CNY; for 2026, 330 million CNY; and for 2027, 410 million CNY, with corresponding PE ratios of 15, 11, and 9 times [3]. - Projected revenue for the years 2023 to 2027 is as follows: 823.32 million CNY, 1,002.35 million CNY, 1,349.11 million CNY, 1,848.94 million CNY, and 2,357.51 million CNY, with growth rates of -12.95%, 21.75%, 34.60%, 37.05%, and 27.51% respectively [3][9]. - The company has established a vertically integrated supply chain, controlling the entire production process from raw materials to finished products, which enhances cost efficiency and quality control [2].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 685 million yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14.22%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 146 million yuan, up 44.53% year-on-year. However, Q2 showed revenue of 329 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.67%, with net profit down 20.12% year-on-year [1] - The company is effectively diversifying its product categories, with significant contributions from new business lines such as water sports products and insulated bags, which are becoming strong growth drivers [2] - The global production capacity is being enhanced through bases in Vietnam, Cambodia, and Morocco, significantly improving supply chain resilience [3] - Despite short-term profit pressures, the overall expense ratio remains stable, with a gross margin of 35.12% for H1 2025, down 2.1 percentage points year-on-year [4] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.27 billion, 1.87 billion, and 2.40 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 250 million, 380 million, and 490 million yuan, indicating strong growth potential [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 685 million yuan, a 14.22% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 146 million yuan, up 44.53% year-on-year. Q2 revenue was 329 million yuan, with a net profit of 50 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 20.12% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 35.12%, down 2.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio was 10.02%, a slight increase of 0.11 percentage points [4] Business Development - The company is expanding its product lines, particularly in water sports and insulated bags, which are becoming significant contributors to growth. The water sports segment benefits from production in Vietnam, avoiding trade barriers and enjoying tariff advantages [2] - The insulated bag segment targets the outdoor camping and fishing markets, leveraging partnerships with leading industry clients to rapidly capture market share [2] Global Expansion - The company has established a robust supply chain network through its production bases in Vietnam, Cambodia, and Morocco, enhancing its global capacity and resilience [3] - The Vietnam base primarily produces water sports products and is expected to show strong profitability as global demand for outdoor sports increases [3] Future Outlook - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 1.27 billion, 1.87 billion, and 2.40 billion yuan, with net profits projected at 250 million, 380 million, and 490 million yuan, respectively, indicating a strong growth trajectory [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company experienced a revenue growth of 14% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, but faced a decline in gross margin due to changes in product structure and an increase in lower-margin new product categories [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's revenue increased by 14.2% to 690 million yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 44.5% to 146 million yuan [1] - The gross margin decreased by 2.1% year-on-year to 35.1%, primarily due to changes in product structure and an increase in overseas production capacity [1] - The operating profit margin increased by 4.3% to 24.5%, and the net profit margin attributable to shareholders rose by 4.5% to 21.2% [1] - In the second quarter, revenue growth slowed to 0.7% year-on-year, totaling 329 million yuan, with net profit declining by 20.1% [2] - The gross margin in the second quarter fell by 5.1% year-on-year to 31.1% due to product structure changes and deferred revenue [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics - Orders returned to normal in the third quarter, with previously delayed orders completed [3] - The company is expanding its market presence by deepening cooperation in the new energy vehicle market and developing new product lines, including inflatable mattresses for automotive camping [3] - The company is also focusing on expanding its water sports products and insulated bags, with production primarily in Vietnam and Cambodia [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company anticipates gradual recovery in revenue growth in the second half of the year as inventory issues among downstream brands are resolved [2][3] - Profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been raised, with expected net profits of 250 million, 310 million, and 380 million yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 34.2%, 26.2%, and 22.1% respectively [4] - The target price has been adjusted to 28.1-31.6 yuan, reflecting an increase in profit forecasts and maintaining an "outperform" rating [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][34]. Core Views - The company experienced a 14% year-on-year revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with a net profit increase of 44.5% to 146 million yuan. However, the gross margin declined by 2.1% to 35.1% due to changes in product structure and an increase in the proportion of lower-margin new product categories [1][4]. - The second quarter saw a slowdown in revenue growth to 0.7% year-on-year, primarily due to tariff policy disruptions leading to delayed orders and lower production efficiency during the ramp-up of overseas capacity. The gross margin further declined by 5.1% year-on-year to 31.1% [2][3]. - Orders have returned to normal in the third quarter, with new customers and products driving growth. The company is expanding its market presence in the automotive camping sector and enhancing its product lines, particularly in water sports and insulated bags [3][33]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, revenue reached 690 million yuan, with a net profit of 146 million yuan. The gross margin was 35.1%, reflecting a decline due to product mix changes [1]. - The second quarter revenue was 329 million yuan, with a gross margin of 31.1%, down from previous periods [2]. - The company expects revenue to recover in the second half of the year as inventory issues are resolved [3]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts, expecting net profits of 250 million yuan, 310 million yuan, and 380 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 34.2%, 26.2%, and 22.1% [4][34]. - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are set at 1.26 billion yuan, 1.64 billion yuan, and 2.10 billion yuan, with expected growth rates of 26%, 30%, and 28% [29][38]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on stabilizing its core business while expanding into new markets and product lines, particularly in the automotive sector and outdoor products [3][33]. - The target price has been raised to 28.1-31.6 yuan, based on improved profit forecasts, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of 16-18x for 2025 [4][34].