| 《2025电力市场与数智化储能调研报告》 | 电力交易、技术融合、虚拟电厂与商业创新 | | --- | --- | | 出品方: 2 行家说储能 | 鸣谢:以下参编单位的特别贡献(排名不分先后) | | UHES | HTHIUM | | 调研止式启动,欢迎参编 | 扫码了解 | 温馨提示： 投稿/合作/找圈，请联系hjs-Cindy，13609002797 当前，新型储能市场需求持续旺盛。 据行家说储能不完全统计，仅11月单月，储能企业公开披露的储能订单容量规模就超230GWh。需求的快速增长，正推动国内 外产能加速扩张。 在国内，新型储能企业布局重点主要在储能电芯、PCS产能的扩张以及钠离子电池等先进储能技术的规模化量产。 ▋ 上能电气： 15GWh储能变流器项目 近日，上能电气发布公告称，公司开启定增计划，计划向包括公司控股股东吴强在内的不超过35名特定投资者，发行不超过107,866,570股A股普通股，募 集资金大约16.5亿元。 募集资金将主要用于年产25GW组串式光伏逆变器产业化建设项目和年产15GW储能变流器产业化建设项目，剩余部分用于补充流动资金。 | | | | 单位:万元 | | ...

出品：新浪财经上市公司研究院 2022年6月，上能电气再次发行可转债，募资4.2亿，用于年产5GW储能变流器及储能系统集成建设项目，扩建研发中心，并再次补充流动资金。 然而，即便连续融资，上能电气的负债率仍超70%，长期高于阳光电源、锦浪科技、德业股份等可比公司。 值得注意的是，此次定增前后，上能电气部分主要产品的产能利用率将出现剧烈波动。 作者：昊 11月23日， 上能电气发布公告，公司向特定对象发行股票的注册申请获批。此次定增拟募资16.5亿，用于年产25GW组串式光伏逆变器 产业化建设项目和年产15GW储能 变流器产业化建设项 相比此前的方案，上能电气此次定增募资额从25.5亿下调至16.5亿，募投项目也有所缩减，但扩产后分布式组串、储能变流器等主要产品的产能利用率从536%和272%大幅降至50%以下，融资 同时，在IPO和可转债融资后，上能电气负债率仍长期高于可比公司，被市场质疑 "名为融资扩产，实则补充流动资金降负债"。 不仅如此，上能电气毛利率长期低于可比公司，叠加销售费用、财务费用、信用减值损失等拖累，今年前三季度增收不增利。 此外，公司存货跌价准备的计提比例却明显偏低，产品竞争力不足又激进扩 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Sungrow Power Supply Co., Ltd., has received approval for a private placement to raise 1.65 billion yuan, which will be used for the industrialization of photovoltaic inverters and energy storage converters, but the reduction in fundraising and project scope raises concerns about the rationality of the expansion plan [1][5][12]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of the year, the company reported a revenue of 3.565 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.15%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 311 million yuan, up 2.99%, indicating a significant slowdown in profit growth compared to revenue [13]. - The third quarter alone saw revenue of 1.38 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline in net profit of 21.88% [13]. Debt and Financing Concerns - Despite multiple rounds of financing, the company's debt ratio remains above 70%, significantly higher than comparable companies, leading to skepticism about the true purpose of the fundraising efforts [2][8][12]. - The recent fundraising amount was reduced from 2.55 billion yuan to 1.65 billion yuan, a decrease of 35%, and the scope of the projects was also narrowed [5][12]. Production Capacity and Utilization - The company's production capacity utilization rates for distributed string inverters and energy storage converters are projected to drop dramatically from over 500% to below 50% after the expansion, indicating a potential oversupply situation [10][11]. - The planned capacity utilization rates for 2024 and the first half of 2025 are expected to be 370.53% and 536.55% for distributed string inverters, and 666.26% and 272.79% for energy storage converters, respectively [10]. Cost and Margin Issues - The company's gross margin is consistently lower than that of comparable firms, and rising sales and financial expenses, along with credit impairment losses, have negatively impacted profitability [3][15]. - The inventory impairment provision has been notably low, raising concerns about product competitiveness and the economic viability of the expansion projects [4][16].

如今，光伏板块再次站在了分岔路口。那些曾经抱团光伏的基金经理，今天是否还有人坚守？谁在黎明 前转向，又有谁重新押注？ 坚守：等待新一轮上行期 上一轮光伏板块的高歌猛进，让不少基金经理尝到了高景气赛道的甜头。2020年至2022年，在硅料紧平 衡、装机高增长、政策强支持等多重利好下，光伏与新能源产业链一度成为公募主动权益基金的压舱 石。广发基金、汇丰晋信基金、前海开源基金、信达澳亚基金、农银汇理基金等多家机构旗下的明星产 品，都在当时重仓光伏板块。 然而自2023年起，价格战席卷而来，硅料、硅片、电池与组件端产能持续扩张，龙头公司业绩承压，光 伏板块一路下行，多只明星光伏股的价格腰斩。伴随着这轮漫长调整，基金经理们对光伏行业的态度出 现了明显分化，但仍有人坚守在赛道之中。 例如，截至2025年三季度末，阳光电源已连续18次成为郑澄然管理的广发高端制造的前十大重仓股，晶 澳科技连续17次上榜。此外，该产品还持有福莱特、福斯特等光伏玻璃和胶膜环节的龙头公司。在产品 净值承压的这几年里，郑澄然对光伏产业链的核心持仓只是做了减法，而非彻底退出。 □本报记者 王雪青 关于光伏，业内曾有一句略带残酷的评价："如果有一个行业 ...

Group 1 - The company has started mass production of its inverters and energy storage converters, which are part of its high-power power supply business, including new energy smart photovoltaic and energy storage power supply [2] - The new energy smart photovoltaic power supply business primarily includes photovoltaic inverters, photovoltaic optimizers, and energy storage converters [2] - The company's power supply business is being produced and delivered in an orderly manner based on customer order demands [2]

Core Viewpoint - Shenghong Electric Co., Ltd. has shown remarkable stock performance in 2025, with a year-to-date increase of 75.95%, driven by advancements in charging equipment and energy storage technology, as well as global market expansion [2][3] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 854 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.5%, and a net profit of 119 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 33.1% [3] - The company has significantly increased its patent portfolio, with 58 new patents granted this year, enhancing its competitive edge [3] Market Position and Strategy - Shenghong is recognized as a leading supplier of heavy-duty vehicle charging and swapping equipment, with over 500 charging stations globally and a total charging volume exceeding 135 million kWh, equivalent to a reduction of approximately 135,000 tons of carbon emissions [3] - The company is leveraging its modular technology and overseas market presence to differentiate itself from domestic competitors [5] Institutional Interest - The company has attracted significant attention from institutional investors, with major funds among its top shareholders, indicating strong market recognition and liquidity [7][9] Potential Growth Drivers - Analysts view the company's international expansion and AI Data Center (AIDC) related business as key growth drivers, with expectations of benefiting from the rapid development of the charging station industry and increasing overseas energy storage shipments [5][6] Shareholder Activity - Despite institutional interest, there are concerns regarding shareholder actions, as a major shareholder has announced plans to reduce their stake, which may impact short-term market sentiment [9]

Core Viewpoint - The energy storage sector has recently experienced significant growth driven by multiple favorable policies and market dynamics, with companies like CATL and others seeing substantial stock price increases [2][3][11]. Group 1: Policy and Market Dynamics - The National Energy Administration has released guidelines promoting the integration of renewable energy and energy storage, emphasizing the transition of energy storage from a supporting role to a key component in new energy systems [9][10]. - The new policies aim for a national installed capacity of new energy storage to exceed 180 million kilowatts by 2027, with an expected direct investment of approximately 250 billion yuan [10]. - The energy storage industry is shifting from being policy-driven to market-driven, with significant increases in bidding volumes for energy storage projects, reaching 92 GW/305 GWh in the first nine months of the year, representing year-on-year growth of 118% and 178% respectively [11][13]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - Various energy storage technologies are being highlighted, including lithium-ion batteries, flow batteries, and pumped hydro storage, each with unique characteristics and applications [4][5]. - New energy storage technologies are increasingly recognized for their ability to enhance the consumption capacity of renewable energy and ensure the stability of the power grid [4][5]. Group 3: Company Performance and Opportunities - A significant number of A-share companies in the energy storage sector have reported substantial increases in revenue and net profit, with some companies like Tongzhou Electronics showing a net profit growth rate of 54.77 times [18][19]. - The demand for energy storage solutions is expected to surge due to the rapid growth of AI data centers, which are projected to significantly increase electricity consumption, thereby creating a pressing need for reliable energy storage systems [16][17]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The article lists several A-share companies that have seen notable stock price increases in the past month, indicating potential investment opportunities in the energy storage sector [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - The power grid equipment sector is entering a "golden era" driven by the dual forces of AI computing power and energy revolution [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Recent performance of power grid equipment stocks has been strong, with significant increases in companies like Guodian Nanzi, Zhiguang Electric, and others [3] - The power grid equipment ETF (159326.SZ) has seen a cumulative increase of over 40% from April 8 to October 21, comparable to some technology ETFs [3] Group 2: Investment Logic 1. Accelerated Construction of New Power Systems - China is rapidly building a new power system centered on renewable energy, leading to an expansion in investment scale [5] - National Grid's investment is expected to exceed 650 billion yuan by 2025, with Southern Grid's investment at 175 billion yuan, totaling 825 billion yuan, a historical high [5] - The focus on ultra-high voltage projects is significant, with an expected investment of 112 billion yuan in 2023, a 34% increase year-on-year [5] - Recent procurement announcements for ultra-high voltage projects indicate ongoing investment momentum [5] 2. Explosive Demand for Energy Storage and Charging Infrastructure - Recent policies have provided substantial support for the power grid equipment sector [6] - The new energy storage action plan aims for 180 million kilowatts of installed capacity by 2027, driving demand for storage converters and battery management systems [6] - The electric vehicle charging infrastructure plan targets 28 million charging facilities by 2027, significantly increasing demand for high-power fast charging equipment [6] 3. Global Demand Growth and Export Opportunities - Aging overseas power grids and the transition to renewable energy are creating replacement demand for equipment, with Chinese companies gaining market share due to cost advantages [7] - Power equipment exports reached $15.03 billion from January to August 2025, a 23% year-on-year increase, with transformers showing a 41% increase in exports [7] - Chinese companies have secured large transformer orders in the Middle East, with leading firms like Siyuan Electric and TBEA seeing a rise in export revenue [8] - The International Energy Agency predicts global power grid investment will reach $600 billion by 2030, presenting significant opportunities for Chinese equipment manufacturers [8]

Core Insights - The article discusses the rapid development of the energy storage market, highlighting the expansion plans of five companies in the sector, which collectively aim to increase production capacity by 26 GWh for various energy storage products and 15 GW for storage inverters [1]. Group 1: Company Expansion Plans - Kelu Electronics is constructing a 3 GWh energy storage production base in Indonesia, with plans to adjust capacity based on business development [2]. - Jiangsu Badar Energy is progressing on a 10 GWh lithium iron phosphate battery and smart energy storage system project, with a total investment of approximately $620 million [6][7]. - Guosheng Technology is investing in a 10 GWh solid-state battery AI smart manufacturing project, acquiring a 51.11% stake in a subsidiary to facilitate this [8][10]. - Shangneng Electric plans to raise up to 1.649 billion yuan to expand its production capacity, including a 15 GW storage inverter project, which will increase its capacity tenfold [11][13]. - Yuheng Battery is set to produce 3 GWh of lithium iron phosphate storage batteries, with a total investment of 1.1 billion yuan and expected annual output value of 2 billion yuan upon full production [14][15]. Group 2: Market Trends and Opportunities - The energy storage industry is identified as a key support for energy transition, with emerging markets in the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa driving demand for large-scale solar-storage projects [4]. - Kelu Electronics reported that its energy storage business generated 1.282 billion yuan in revenue, accounting for 49.83% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 32.95% [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company has over 30 years of experience in the power sector, with significant technical accumulation and expertise in generation, transformation, and distribution [1] Group 1 - The company has developed a comprehensive energy solution platform integrating source, grid, load, and storage [1] - The company offers various core hardware and software products, including multi-energy IoT coordinated controllers and commercial liquid cooling energy storage cabinets [1] - The company aims to provide one-stop comprehensive energy solutions for users [1]