Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance in Q3 2025 met expectations, with a revenue of 104.2 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 13% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 18.5 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 41% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12% [1][2] - The company is positioned as a global leader in lithium batteries, benefiting from accelerated capacity expansion and technological breakthroughs. The previous pressure on volume and price due to industry competition is gradually easing, and with the surge in demand for energy storage and commercial vehicles, along with breakthroughs in sodium batteries and solid-state technologies, the company's performance is expected to continue to exceed previous highs [3] Performance Analysis - In Q3 2025, the company shipped over 180 GWh, with actual receipts at 165 GWh, representing a year-on-year increase of 32% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10%. The revenue growth is attributed to the stabilization of product prices at 0.55-0.60 RMB/Wh, while costs are estimated to be between 0.40-0.45 RMB/Wh [2] - The gross margin and net profit margin for Q3 were 25.8% and 16%, respectively, remaining stable compared to the previous quarter [1][2] - The company’s inventory at the end of Q3 was 80.2 billion RMB, an 11% increase from the previous quarter, aligning with the growth in shipment volume [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 70.1 billion RMB, 91.5 billion RMB, and 113.4 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 24x, 18x, and 15x [3]

Group 1: Company Operations - The total installed capacity of the company has reached 1,787 MW, with coal power at 1,317 MW, gas power at 90 MW, biomass at 33.5 MW, hydropower (pumped storage) at 140 MW, wind power at 100 MW, and solar power at an unspecified capacity [3] - The operational and under-construction capacity totals 1,627 MW, with 140 MW of pumped storage and 97 MW of wind power awaiting approval [3] Group 2: Performance Metrics - In the first half of 2025, the company's electricity generation was 27.38 billion kWh, a decrease of 3.9% year-on-year, but there was a recovery in July and August with a growth of over 7% [3] - The average comprehensive tax-inclusive electricity price for the first half of 2025 was 0.429 CNY/kWh, a decline of 4% compared to the previous year [3] - The average coal price for the first half of 2025 was below 800 CNY/ton, a significant drop of 14%, which exceeded the decline in electricity prices [3] - The profit per kWh for the first half of 2025 increased by 1.4 CNY/kWh year-on-year [3] Group 3: Development Plans - Current projects include the Turpan wind power project with a capacity of 50 MW, expected to be fully connected by the end of September 2025 [3] - A 80 MW solar power project in Xinjiang is also planned for full capacity connection by September 2025 [3] - A 140 MW wind power project in the province is scheduled for full capacity connection by November 30, 2026 [3] Group 4: Q&A Insights - The profit per kWh for the Xinjiang power plant exceeds 0.1 CNY/kWh [4] - The pricing mechanism for electricity from Xinjiang to East China is based on a "benchmark + floating" model, with no price increase observed this year [4] - The electricity price in Anhui province is under a long-term agreement renewed annually, with expected downward pressure on prices next year [4] - The proportion of medium to long-term contract electricity volume for the company is expected to exceed 90% [3]

根据国投电力控股股份有限公司（以下简称公司）初步统计，2025 年 4-6 月，公司控股企业累计完成发电量 380.67 亿千瓦时，上网电量 370.74 亿千瓦时， 与去年同期相比分别增加 0.52%和 0.59%。2025 年 1-6 月，公司控股企业累计完 成发电量 770.59 亿千瓦时，上网电量 751.78 亿千瓦时，与去年同期相比分别减 少 0.54%和 0.25%。 2025 年 4-6 月,公司控股企业平均上网电价 0.350 元/千瓦时,与去年同期相 比减少 4.6%。2025 年 1-6 月,公司控股企业平均上网电价 0.353 元/千瓦时,与去 年同期相比减少 6.4%。 - 1 - 证券代码：600886 证券简称：国投电力 公告编号：2025-037 国投电力控股股份有限公司 2025 年二季度主要经营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 一、电量电价情况 部分火电所在区域清洁能源发电量增加，以及外送电量影响。 项 目 发电量 (亿千瓦时） 上网电量 （亿千瓦时） 本期 去年 同 ...