智通财经12月24日讯（编辑 胡家荣）港股因假期原因今日下午休市。截至收盘，恒生指数涨0.13%，报25808.9点；科技指数涨0.14%，报5496.52点；国企指 数跌0.03%，报8911.15点。 从市场表现来看，半导体、光通讯、核电、锂电池股走强，而航空股延续弱势。 半导体股强势上扬 中芯国际提价引发连锁反应 截至收盘，纳芯微(02676.HK)涨4.38%、晶门半导体(02878.HK)涨3.53%、中芯国际(00981.HK)涨2.54%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 = | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 02676 | 纳心做 | 116.800 | +4.900 | +4.38% | | 02878 | 晶门半导体 | 0.440 | +0.015 | +3.53% | | 06939 | 美佳音控股 | 0.690 | +0.020 | +2.99% | | 00400 | 硬蛋创新 | 3.010 | +0.080 | +2.73% | | 00981 | 中芯国际 | 70.700 | +1.800 | +2.61% | ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook on its stock performance [5]. Core Insights - The company is well-positioned in the power supply sector, particularly benefiting from the demand for high-power server power supplies driven by the AIDC wave. The expected growth in net profit for 2025-2027 is projected at 326 million, 464 million, and 804 million CNY, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 69.4, 48.8, and 28.1 [5]. - The company has established itself as a leading supplier of high-power server power supplies in China, with products that meet international high-end standards. It is one of the few suppliers capable of large-scale sales of high-power server power supplies, which positions it to capitalize on opportunities in AI and domestic substitution [5][32]. - The report highlights the company's strategic partnerships with major domestic server manufacturers and its ongoing collaboration with leading internet companies, which enhances its market presence [5]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2,870 million CNY in 2023, 3,798 million CNY in 2024, 4,817 million CNY in 2025, 6,082 million CNY in 2026, and 7,448 million CNY in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.2%, 32.3%, 26.8%, 26.3%, and 22.5% respectively [4]. - The net profit forecast shows significant growth, with expected figures of 196 million CNY in 2023, 268 million CNY in 2024, 326 million CNY in 2025, 464 million CNY in 2026, and 804 million CNY in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 117.1%, 36.9%, 21.7%, 42.4%, and 73.2% respectively [4][36]. - The company's gross margin is projected to improve, with estimates of 19.7% in 2023, 21.4% in 2024, 21.3% in 2025, 24.0% in 2026, and 26.6% in 2027 [36]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company ranks as the 12th largest power supply manufacturer globally in 2024, with sales of approximately 521 million USD, indicating a strong competitive position in the market [17]. - The report emphasizes the company's ability to meet the growing demand for high-power server power supplies, particularly in the context of the expanding global server market, which is expected to reach a scale of 282.35 billion CNY in China by 2025 [5][30]. - The company is strategically positioned to leverage its global production capabilities in Vietnam and Mexico to meet North American customer demands, enhancing its competitive edge [5].

根据规划，超级未来科技将在中国各省份逐步建立小型数据中心节点。这类小型数据中心并非以大规模 算力输出为主要目标，而是承担着连接区域需求、汇聚数据资源、参与算力调度的重要功能。通过在各 省份布局节点，超级未来科技可以有效连接本地用户、行业应用与全国算力资源，实现算力需求的快速 响应和灵活调配，为全国算力网络的稳定运行提供基础支撑。 在全国节点布局的基础上，超级未来科技同步推进在贵州、新疆等具备资源和区位优势地区的大型数据 中心建设。与省级小型节点不同，这类大型数据中心的核心定位在于算力输出，主要承载人工智能模型 训练、大规模数据处理、高性能计算等高负载应用任务。通过在多个关键区域建设不止一座大型数据中 心，公司将逐步形成稳定、持续的算力供给能力，为全国算力枢纽体系提供核心支撑。 在这一整体布局中，贵州大型数据中心项目具有重要代表意义。该项目依托贵州在能源条件、气候环 境、区位安全以及数字产业基础等方面的综合优势，经过前期论证和相关审批，目前已正式进入建设阶 段。项目建设将围绕既定规划稳步推进，逐步完善基础设施条件，为后续算力设备部署和业务运行奠定 基础。 在新一轮科技革命和产业变革持续深化的背景下，人工智能、大 ...

据柯瑞文介绍，接下来中国电信的业务将重点围绕几方面展开，一是加快建设新型数字信息基础设施，如建设空天地一体网 络、推出新"八纵八横"低时延干线光缆，实现全国一体化和高水平算力互联，不断夯实数据底座，赋能AI模型和智能体应用。 二是加快人工智能创新应用，加快提升"星辰"大模型核心能力，建设MaaS平台，加快推动AI手机等智能终端规模普及；探索AI 眼镜、人形机器人等创新产品。 三是深化高水平合作，共建互利共赢合作生态，深化科技与产业创新合作。 基础网络方面，中国电信打造入算、算间、算内协同的算力互联网络，在全国重点城市开展了多个应用场景的万兆光网试商 用；AI+行动方面，持续开展星辰大模型技术攻关，综合能力进入国内头部阵营；在智能服务、营销、运营、研发等领域完成了 200余个智能体服务；研发了110个行业大模型、350个行业智能体，服务行业客户超2万家。 此外，中国电信建设的量子城域网已覆盖25个城市，量子密话密信用户超过600万。在国家实验室的指导下，建成了国内综合性 能领先的"天衍–287"超导量子计算机。 期间，中国电信还正式披露了AI+"1+1+4+N"低空经济能力体系，推出了天翼星盾低空侦测反制平台、 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" investment rating for the company [2][9] Core Insights - The company's short-term profitability is under pressure, but the data communication market is experiencing rapid growth, particularly in DCI, computing centers, and data center sectors [5][6] - The company has a strong technological advantage in DCI products, which are currently in small-scale trial production, and the revenue contribution from these products is expected to increase significantly [6][7] - The company is also advancing its silicon-based OCS technology, with overseas sample orders already received, and aims to accelerate the development of next-generation OCS products [7] Financial Performance - In the first three quarters, the company achieved revenue of 652 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.59%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 47.43% to 40 million yuan [5] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.028 billion, 1.694 billion, and 2.683 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.50, 1.36, and 2.51 yuan [9][11] - The company is expected to gradually improve its profitability as market demand recovers and new production capacity is fully released [5][9] Market Trends - The demand for DCI products is driven by the mainstream trend of distributed computing clusters, which require high bandwidth, high integration, low cost, and low latency [6] - The traditional telecom transmission market is experiencing structural slowdowns, impacting profit margins, but the strong demand for AI and computing infrastructure is providing growth opportunities [5][6] Future Outlook - The company is well-positioned to leverage its technological advantages in long-distance optoelectronic devices and is expected to gradually release profits in the medium to long term [9] - The anticipated launch of the second-generation high-dimensional OCS prototype in the first half of 2026 is expected to enhance the company's product offerings [7]

Core Viewpoint - Zhongji Xuchuang's net profit attributable to shareholders reached 7.132 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 90.05% driven by the high demand for 800G and other high-speed optical modules due to the booming global computing infrastructure construction [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The rapid growth in the company's performance is primarily attributed to the increasing demand for high-speed optical modules like 800G, which is essential for the expanding scale of computing clusters [1] - The company is preparing for upstream material procurement and expanding both domestic and overseas production capacity to seize opportunities from the mass shipment of 1.6T products [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The importance of networking as a critical component of computing hardware is becoming more pronounced as cluster sizes continue to grow [1] - Products represented by 800G and 1.6T high-speed optical modules have significant advantages in bandwidth, performance, cost, and efficiency, positioning leading companies strongly in the high-speed sector [1] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is planning to go public in Hong Kong to enhance its global layout [1] - Maintaining a "buy" rating indicates confidence in the company's future performance and market position [1]

Group 1 - The "relay baton" market trend is becoming increasingly clear, with funds shifting from previously hot sectors to new directions, particularly in the technology sector, which is experiencing increased volatility and a higher probability of short-term pullbacks [3] - New opportunities are expected to emerge in the remaining two months, with a focus on "new infrastructure," particularly "new power grid construction," which has already shown signs of an independent market trend in related sectors such as power grid equipment [3] - The chemical industry has also seen a resurgence due to a significant rise in industrial product prices, indicating a shift in market drivers as the previous momentum supporting technology stocks appears to be waning [3] Group 2 - The current situation is influenced by substantial investments in computing infrastructure in the United States, with project scales reaching trillions, raising questions about the ability of leading tech companies to support such capital expenditures given their revenue levels [3] - There is a growing disconnect between the optimistic projections from CEOs and market realities, leading to skepticism among investors regarding the sustainability of high valuations in the tech sector [3]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has returned to the 4000-point level, driven by significant gains in the semiconductor sector, particularly by companies like Cambrian and Haiguang Information, which have led to substantial increases in related ETFs [1][4]. Semiconductor Industry Performance - The semiconductor sector has experienced a broad-based surge, contributing over 40% to the Shanghai Composite Index, with key ETFs like E Fund Semiconductor Equipment ETF and STAR 50 ETF rising by 3.84% and 3.39% respectively [4]. - The semiconductor sector's rebound is attributed to several factors, including a significant short-term correction of 9%-10% since October 14, creating a demand for a rebound [4]. - The ongoing dynamics in the semiconductor industry, particularly the continuous price increases in memory chips, have fueled this surge [5][6]. Price Increases in Memory Chips - Following price hikes by major players like Samsung and SK Hynix, the prices of storage products, including DRAM and NAND, have been raised again, with HBM4 prices increasing by 50% compared to previous generations [6][7]. - The demand for storage chips from AI servers is reportedly eight times that of regular servers, leading to a supply-demand imbalance that is driving the current price increase cycle [9]. Financial Performance of Semiconductor Companies - Recent earnings reports from U.S. semiconductor companies, such as Arm and Qualcomm, have confirmed the industry's high growth potential, with Arm's second-quarter results exceeding analyst expectations and Qualcomm reporting a 10% year-over-year revenue increase [11]. Capital Movements in the Semiconductor Sector - Domestic semiconductor companies are actively pursuing capital operations, with IPO processes for firms like Muxi and Moore Threads advancing rapidly, and strategic investments from national funds being secured [12]. ETF Inflows and Market Trends - The E Fund Semiconductor Equipment ETF has seen a net inflow of 172 million yuan over the past 20 days, focusing on key areas of semiconductor equipment and materials, which are crucial for domestic substitution [12]. - The STAR 50 ETF, which tracks the STAR 50 Index with a 65.5% weight in semiconductors, has also attracted significant capital inflows, indicating strong investor interest in leading companies in the sector [14]. MSCI Index Adjustments - MSCI has announced the inclusion of 17 A-shares in its China Index, reflecting a net increase in stocks for the first time since February 2024, with many of the newly included stocks belonging to high-tech sectors such as semiconductors and AI [18].

Market Overview - The stock market experienced a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below 4000 points, and a total trading volume of 2.42 trillion yuan, an increase of 165.6 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Company Performance - Zhongji Xuchuang reported a net profit of 3.137 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 125% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 30%. The revenue for Q3 was 10.216 billion yuan, up 56.83% year-on-year [2] - Baiwei Storage reported a net profit of 256 million yuan for Q3 2025, a significant year-on-year increase of 563.77%. The revenue for Q3 was 2.663 billion yuan, up 68.06% year-on-year [3] - Luxshare Precision expects a net profit for 2025 to be between 16.518 billion yuan and 17.186 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 23.59% to 28.59%. The company aims to enhance its global strategy and diversify its business in emerging fields [4] External Market Impact - The US stock market saw all three major indices decline, with the Nasdaq dropping 1.57% and Meta experiencing its largest single-day drop in three years, falling over 11%. Other major tech stocks also saw declines, while some digital currency stocks faced significant losses [5]

Group 1: Company Performance Highlights - Zhongji Xuchuang reported a net profit increase of 90.05% year-on-year for the first three quarters, with revenue of 250.05 billion yuan, up 44.43% [1] - Baosteel's net profit for the third quarter grew by 130.31%, with revenue of 810.64 billion yuan, a 1.83% increase [2] - Yuanjie Technology achieved a net profit of 1.06 million yuan for the first three quarters, driven by significant growth in its data center segment [3] - Shanshan Co. saw a staggering 1121.72% increase in net profit for the first three quarters, attributed to a substantial rise in negative electrode material sales [5] - Longi Green Energy reported a net loss of 34.03 billion yuan for the first three quarters, impacted by intense competition in the photovoltaic industry [6] - Luzhou Laojiao's net profit for the third quarter decreased by 13.07%, with revenue of 66.74 billion yuan, down 9.80% [7] - Trina Solar reported a net loss of 42.01 billion yuan for the first three quarters, with revenue down 20.87% [8] Group 2: Industry Trends - The performance of companies in the photovoltaic sector is heavily influenced by market price fluctuations and competitive pressures, leading to significant losses for some firms [6][8] - The steel industry is experiencing a widening purchase-sale price gap, contributing to profit increases for companies like Baosteel despite overall revenue declines [2] - The data center market is showing robust growth, benefiting companies like Yuanjie Technology, which reported a significant increase in revenue and profit due to high-margin product sales [3] - The negative electrode material market is expanding, as evidenced by Shanshan Co.'s impressive profit growth, indicating a positive trend in battery materials [5]