编号：2025-010 | | √特定对象调研 □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | | □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 | | 投资者关系活动类别 | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 □其他 （请文字说明其他 | | | 活动内容） | | 参与单位名称及人员姓名 | 华源证券 游泽晨 | | 时间 | 2025 年 12 月 4 日 | | 地点 | 公司会议室 | | 上市公司接待人员姓名 | 张峰、赵磊 | | | 一、简单介绍公司的产品以及销售分布情况？ | | | 公司产品涵盖 米公路客运、公交客车、旅 5.5-27 | | | 游客车、团体通勤、高端商务、校车、专用车等产品 | | | 系列 140 余个品种。经过多年的发展，中通客车已遍 | | | 及全国各省市，并畅行全球 多个国家和地区。 100 | | | 二、国内公交客车市场的当前需求驱动是什么？市场 | | | 规模和结构如何变化？ | | 投资者关系活动主要内容 | 当前国内公交市场已完全进入以更新需求为主 | | 介绍 | 导的阶段，新增需求峰值已过。去年大中型公交销量 | | | 约 3 万辆。市场结构正 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhongtong Bus (000957) primarily focuses on passenger road vehicles, including buses and tourist coaches, and has not yet ventured into the field of unmanned logistics vehicles [1] Company Summary - The company's current product lineup consists mainly of passenger road vehicles, including public transport buses and tourist coaches [1]

Core Viewpoint - China's bus exports have shown significant growth, with a total of 55,598 buses exported from January to September 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 31.77% [1][10]. Group 1: Export Performance - In September 2025, a total of 7,228 buses were exported, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 8.71% and a year-on-year increase of 37.36% [1][3]. - The overall monthly export volume has exceeded 7,000 units for three consecutive months, indicating a trend towards higher export volumes [3]. - The export of large buses reached 4,744 units in September, a year-on-year increase of 78.61%, setting a new monthly record [5][10]. Group 2: Market Segmentation - The export of large buses has been particularly strong, while the medium bus segment saw a decline, and light buses experienced a slight recovery [5][6]. - In September, the export of seated buses and public transport buses maintained robust growth, with seated buses exporting 3,749 units (up 33.7%) and public transport buses exporting 3,473 units (up 93.16%) [8][9]. - The large public bus segment showed a significant increase, with exports reaching 2,878 units, a year-on-year surge of 124.14% [9]. Group 3: Company Rankings - Yutong led the export rankings with 10,742 units from January to September 2025, a year-on-year increase of 18.17% [10][12]. - The Xiamen Golden Dragon group followed closely with exports of 9,152 units, reflecting a substantial year-on-year growth of 77.99% [10][12]. - Ankai Bus and Foton Ouhui also showed significant growth, with Ankai's exports increasing by 178.21% year-on-year [10][12]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The future of China's bus export market appears promising, with a need for companies to align with overseas demand, optimize product structures, and enhance technology and services to capture broader market opportunities [31].

Core Points - The company reported a revenue of 8.54 billion CNY in Q3, a year-on-year increase of 56.2%, but the net profit loss expanded from 12.62 million CNY to 27.05 million CNY [1] - The main business of the company includes the research, development, manufacturing, sales, and service of buses and automotive parts, focusing on various types of buses including public transport and new energy buses [1] - The financial report indicates that while revenue increased, the net profit continued to show losses, attributed to rising operating costs and significant asset impairment losses [1][2] Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 24.46 billion CNY, a 44.37% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [4] - Operating costs rose to 22.50 billion CNY, an increase of 46.22%, primarily due to increased sales volume [2] - Asset impairment losses surged by 361.96% to 24.67 million CNY, mainly due to increased inventory write-downs [2] Market Performance - As of October 24, the company's stock price was 5.75 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 54.02 billion CNY [3] - The stock experienced a slight increase of 0.52% on the same day [3] - Key financial metrics include a P/E ratio of 146.83 and a market-to-book ratio of 6.15 [5]

Core Viewpoint - Zhongtong Bus has successfully won a bid for 91 buses in Dubai, marking the first entry of a Chinese bus brand into the Dubai public transport system, with 40 of these being pure electric buses, representing the largest batch of electric bus orders in UAE history [1] Group 1: Company Achievements - Zhongtong Bus's successful bid showcases the company's ability to compete with international brands in a high-end market known for its stringent quality and technology standards [1] - The buses are equipped with advanced intelligent systems, including driver behavior monitoring, automatic passenger counting, and electronic driver identity verification [1] Group 2: Industry Implications - The entry into Dubai's public transport system signifies a strategic shift for Chinese manufacturing from a focus on price advantages to value advantages [1] - The buses feature user-friendly configurations such as Wi-Fi, mobile charging ports, low-floor design, bicycle racks, and child seats, aligning with modern consumer expectations [1]

Core Viewpoint - Ankai Bus's stock price is currently at 5.84 yuan, reflecting a decline of 1.02% from the previous trading day, with a total market capitalization of 5.487 billion yuan and a price-to-earnings ratio of 313.87 [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Ankai Bus primarily engages in the research, development, manufacturing, and sales of buses and components, including various types of highway buses, tourist buses, and public transport buses [1] - The company's revenue for 2024 is expected to come entirely from the manufacturing sector [1] - In the first quarter of 2025, Ankai Bus achieved a revenue of 658 million yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.37 million yuan [1] Group 2: Sales and Production Data - In July 2025, the total vehicle sales reached 668 units, with a cumulative sales figure of 4,410 units for the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 39.38% [1] - The production output in July was 524 units, with a cumulative production of 4,613 units for the year [1] Group 3: Market Activity - On August 7, the net inflow of main funds was 7.4765 million yuan, accounting for 0.17% of the circulating market value [1] - Over the past five days, the net outflow of main funds was 46.9781 million yuan, representing 1.1% of the circulating market value [1] Group 4: Management Changes - The company's securities affairs representative, Zhao Baojun, resigned for personal reasons and will no longer hold any position [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese bus export market has shown remarkable growth in June 2025, achieving a record high in exports and marking the 18th consecutive month of growth, with a total of 35,591 buses exported in the first half of the year, representing a 29.18% increase year-on-year [1][3][15]. Group 1: Overall Export Performance - In June 2025, a total of 7,335 buses were exported, a year-on-year increase of 28.17%, setting a new monthly record [1][3]. - The export of large buses exceeded 4,000 units for the first time, reaching 4,057 units, a significant increase of 37.06% year-on-year [5][6]. - The overall export volume for large, medium, and light buses continued to show positive growth, with medium buses exporting 1,700 units (up 15.02%) and light buses exporting 1,578 units (up 22.8%) [5][6]. Group 2: Segment Performance - The export of seat buses, public transport buses, and school buses all experienced year-on-year growth, while other bus categories saw declines [8]. - Public transport buses saw a remarkable increase of 73.99% in June, with 3,518 units exported, marking the highest monthly export volume of the year [8][29]. - The export of light seat buses showed the most significant growth, with a year-on-year increase of 52.95%, while large seat buses also maintained a positive growth trend [21][27]. Group 3: Company Rankings - Yutong Bus regained its position as the top exporter in the first half of 2025, exporting 6,020 units, despite a year-on-year decline of 7.38% [15][16]. - Xiamen King Long and Xiamen King Travel ranked second and third, with significant year-on-year increases of 56.43% and 73.59%, respectively [15][16]. - Ankai Bus made a notable leap in rankings, achieving a year-on-year growth of 129.48% and moving up to sixth place in the export rankings [15][16]. Group 4: Monthly Export Insights - In June 2025, the top ten exporting companies included Yutong (2,154 units), Xiamen King Long (1,279 units), and Ankai (776 units), with Yutong leading significantly [18][32]. - The public transport bus export volume in June reached 3,518 units, the highest of the year, just shy of the previous December's peak [29][32]. - The export performance of various companies in the bus segment indicates a competitive landscape, with several companies showing strong growth and shifting rankings [15][30].

Core Viewpoint - The export performance of China's bus industry in the first four months of 2025 shows significant growth, with a total of 21,447 buses exported, marking a year-on-year increase of 30.81% compared to the same period last year [1][12]. Group 1: Overall Export Performance - In April 2025, a total of 5,736 buses were exported, achieving a year-on-year growth of 26.71% [1][5]. - Since January 2024, China's bus exports have experienced 16 consecutive months of year-on-year growth, indicating a sustained strong market momentum [1][5]. Group 2: Segment Performance - In April 2025, the export figures for different bus types were as follows: large buses 3,218 (down 1.8%), medium buses 965 (up 40.67%), and light buses 1,553 (up 175.35%) [5][6]. - The significant increase in light bus exports is attributed to a low base in the previous year, where only 564 units were exported [5][6]. Group 3: Functional Attributes - In April 2025, the export volumes by function were: seat buses 3,345 (up 18.03%), public buses 1,751 (up 9.44%), school buses 51 (down 30.14%), and other buses 589 (up 2,845%) [7][9]. - The seat bus segment continues to show consistent growth, while public buses have rebounded after a brief decline earlier in the year [7][8]. Group 4: Company Performance - The top five companies in bus exports from January to April 2025 were Xiamen Golden Dragon, Xiamen King Long, Yutong, Zhongtong, and Suzhou King Long Haige, with Xiamen Golden Dragon leading the market [12][13]. - Xiamen Golden Dragon and Xiamen King Long both exported around 3,000 units, with a narrowing gap in their export volumes [12][13]. Group 5: Market Dynamics - The competition among the top companies is intensifying, with notable performances from Ankai and BYD, both of which have shown significant year-on-year growth [12][15]. - The overall bus export market is characterized by a "steady improvement with structural differentiation," indicating varying performance across different segments [10][31].