证券研究报告 | 2025年09月11日 凯莱英（002821.SZ） 小分子CDMO行业引领，新兴业务扬帆起航 公司研究 · 深度报告 医药生物 · 医药研发外包 投资评级：优于大市（首次覆盖） 0755-81982723 pengsiyu@guosen.com.cn S0980521060003 证券分析师：陈曦炳 0755-81982939 chenxibing@guosen.com.cn S0980521120001 证券分析师：彭思宇 联系人：凌珑 021-60375401 linglong@guosen.com.cn 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 1 投资建议 n 凯莱英：全球领先、技术驱动型的一站式CDMO综合服务商 凯莱英成立于1998年，是中国第二大化学药物CDMO企业。公司以化学小分子CDMO业务为基石，逐步拓展业务边界，技术创新能力行业领先， 研发费用率长期居于行业领先水平，服务辉瑞、默沙东等全球超1100家客户。 n 小分子业务：基石业务稳健 小分子CDMO作为公司的业务根基，依托连续流化学(CFCT)、酶催化等核心技术，持续攻克高难度分子合成壁垒，巩固在抗肿瘤、抗病毒 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [3] Core Views - The company has maintained steady growth in its small molecule business, with new businesses expected to sustain rapid growth in the second half of 2025 [2] - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.188 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 617 million yuan, up 23.7% year-on-year [1][2] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the small molecule API business generated revenue of 2.43 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.6%, indicating stable growth [2] - The emerging business segment achieved revenue of 756 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a significant year-on-year increase of 51.2% [2] - The company has a total order backlog of 1.088 billion USD, with emerging business orders growing over 40% year-on-year, laying a solid foundation for future performance [2] - The chemical macromolecule CDMO segment saw revenue of 379 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of over 130% [7] - The biopharmaceutical CDMO segment generated revenue of 90 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 70.74% [8] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue strengthening its capabilities in small molecule "intermediates + APIs + formulations" integrated services, while also enhancing its presence in synthetic and biological macromolecule sectors [9] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted slightly upward, with expected revenues of 6.659 billion yuan, 7.753 billion yuan, and 8.888 billion yuan respectively [9] - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025-2027 have been revised to 3.36 yuan, 3.82 yuan, and 4.27 yuan respectively [9]

Core Insights - The company reported total revenue of RMB 3.188 billion for the six months ending June 30, 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.08% despite a challenging global biopharmaceutical financing environment [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached RMB 617 million, a year-on-year growth of 23.71%, indicating a net profit growth rate that outpaced revenue growth by 3.63 percentage points [1] - Earnings per share stood at RMB 1.68 [1] Business Strategy - The company continues to implement a dual-driven development strategy, focusing on deepening relationships with large clients, expanding its middle and small client base, exploring the European market, and enhancing cost efficiency [1] - Key initiatives include upgrading management and operational systems to ensure order delivery capabilities and solidifying relationships with key clients while actively seeking growth opportunities in domestic and international markets [1] Service Expansion - The company has successfully expanded its small molecule drug CDMO services into areas such as chemical macromolecules (including peptides, oligonucleotides, toxin conjugates, and liposomes), drug formulation services, green technology output, synthetic biology technology, clinical research services, and biopharmaceutical CDMO [1] - As of the announcement date, the company has an order backlog of USD 1.088 billion, excluding confirmed revenue from orders during the reporting period [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, but there are signs of marginal improvement and potential for future growth driven by its chemical macromolecule business [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 5.805 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 25.82%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 949 million yuan, down 58.17% [1]. - The adjusted net profit, excluding non-recurring items, was 850 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 59.63% year-on-year [1]. Business Segments - The small molecule API business generated revenue of 4.571 billion yuan in 2024, with an 8.85% year-on-year increase when excluding large orders [3]. - The chemical macromolecule CDMO segment saw a revenue increase of 13.26% in 2024, with a project completion count of 227 [4]. - The company delivered 48 commercial projects in 2024, generating revenue of 2.804 billion yuan, with a 4.16% increase when excluding large orders [3]. Order Growth and Future Outlook - The company signed new orders that increased by approximately 20% year-on-year, with a total order backlog of 1.052 billion USD, representing over a 20% increase compared to the previous year [2]. - The chemical macromolecule business is expected to double its revenue in 2025, contributing significantly to overall performance [4]. - The company anticipates that the small molecule PPQ projects will reach 12 in 2025, laying a foundation for future growth [3]. Investment Considerations - The company is positioned as a leading small molecule CDMO supplier, focusing on integrated services in intermediates, APIs, and formulations [5]. - Adjusted revenue forecasts for 2024-2026 are 6.648 billion, 7.615 billion, and 8.809 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS adjustments [5].