1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment ratings for silicon manganese and silicon iron are generally neutral, with some specific aspects having a "bullish" or "bearish" tendency. For example, the "Steel & Metal Magnesium Production" aspect of silicon iron is rated as bullish, while the "Inventory" aspect is rated as bearish [3][4] 2. Report's Core Views Silicon Manganese - The market is currently characterized by a slight decline in weekly production, with steel mills resuming production and molten iron output basically recovering. The combined quantity of warehouse receipts and valid forecasts for manganese silicon is decreasing, and the proportion of hidden inventory is increasing. On the cost side, there is an obvious upward trend in the spot price of manganese ore at northern ports, while the price of chemical coke has decreased by 50 yuan/ton. The overall market sentiment is neutral [3] Silicon Iron - The market sentiment is average, with the market referring to HBIS's tender price. The production of silicon iron is relatively stable. On the demand side, blast furnaces of northern steel mills are gradually resuming production, molten iron output is rising, and the output of metal magnesium is continuing to increase slightly. It is expected that the demand for silicon iron will increase in the future. Currently, the immediate-profit situation in the main production areas is poor, and the price of semi-coke has risen slightly [4] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Silicon Manganese Manganese Ore - The total port inventory of manganese ore is 4.525 million tons, showing a slight increase compared to the previous period. Among them, the inventory at Tianjin Port has increased slightly to 3.803 million tons, still lower than the same period last year, while the inventory at Qinzhou Port has decreased slightly to 717,000 tons, approaching the level of the same period last year [12] - The inventory of South African ore at Tianjin Port is 2.698 million tons, showing a slight increase. The inventory of Gabon ore is 293,000 tons, showing a slight decrease compared to the previous period and far lower than the same period last year. The inventory of Australian ore is 362,000 tons, showing a slight increase and approaching the level of the same period last year [15] - The price of Gabon lumps at Tianjin Port is 40 yuan/ton-degree, Australian lumps are 40.2 yuan/ton-degree, and South African semi-carbonate is 34.3 yuan/ton-degree, showing a slight increase. The actual transaction price of manganese ore is slightly lower than the quoted price [17] Supply - As of September 19, the weekly output of silicon manganese has increased to 208,800 tons. The daily average output in Inner Mongolia has decreased to 14,440 tons/day, in Ningxia has decreased significantly to 6,530 tons/day, in Yunnan has increased slightly to 2,700 tons/day, in Guizhou has increased slightly to 1,900 tons/day, and in Guangxi is 1,345 tons/day [30] Demand - As of September 19, the weekly demand of Mysteel sample enterprises is 121,400 tons, and the weekly output of the five major steel products has decreased to 855,460 tons. The proportion of rebar output in the total output of the five major steel products has decreased [40] Price - The market price in Inner Mongolia is around 5,730 yuan/ton, and in Tianjin it is 5,820 yuan/ton. HBIS's tender price is 6,000 yuan/ton [48] Cost and Profit - As of September 19, the price of chemical coke has decreased by 50 yuan/ton compared to the previous period. The ex-factory prices of 25 - 40mm chemical coke in Yinchuan, Ordos, and Alxa are 1,140 yuan/ton, 1,060 yuan/ton, and 1,090 yuan/ton respectively. The second round of price cuts for coke has been implemented [51] - The immediate profit of silicon manganese is low, but the loss situation has improved. The market is fluctuating upwards, the price of manganese ore is firm, and the price of chemical coke has decreased slightly [53] Month Spread - As of September 18, the 1 - 5 month spread of silicon manganese is -44 yuan/ton, showing a low-level fluctuation [56] Basis and Inventory - The market is fluctuating upwards, the spot price has increased slightly, and the basis has weakened slightly. As of September 18, the combined quantity of warehouse receipts and valid forecasts for silicon manganese is 319,950 tons, showing a slight increase compared to the previous period but still maintaining a downward trend. Attention should be paid to the recovery situation after the concentrated cancellation of warehouse receipts in October [59] Silicon Iron Supply - As of September 12, the weekly output is 113,100 tons. The daily average output in Inner Mongolia is 5,190 tons, in Qinghai is 2,360 tons, in Ningxia is 3,920 tons, and in Shaanxi is 2,580 tons [73] Demand - The demand for silicon iron from steel mills has decreased, but the total consumption of silicon iron by Mysteel sample steel mills is still significantly higher than the same period last year. Blast furnaces of northern steel mills are gradually resuming production, molten iron output is rising significantly, and it is expected that the demand for silicon iron will increase in the future [77] - As of September 19, the export price of metal magnesium at Tianjin Port is 2,435 US dollars/ton, and the market price has decreased slightly to 16,750 yuan/ton, remaining relatively stable overall. The weekly output of metal magnesium is 17,241 tons, showing a slight increase compared to the previous period. The supply side of magnesium ingots has raised the quoted price, but the actual market follow - up and trading volume are insufficient, and most buyers are cautiously waiting and watching. Real - order purchases are scarce, and low - price sources are also hard to find, resulting in a stalemate in supply - demand trading [86] Price - As of September 19, the overseas FOB price of 75 - grade silicon iron is 1,105 US dollars/ton, and that of 72 - grade silicon iron is 1,025 US dollars/ton, showing a slight increase compared to the previous period. In July, the import volume of silicon iron decreased significantly compared to the previous period, while the export volume increased slightly and is higher than the same period last year [90] Cost and Profit - As of September 19, the prices of small - sized semi - coke in the main production areas have increased slightly. The current prices in Shaanxi, Ningxia, and Inner Mongolia are 660 yuan/ton, 695 yuan/ton, and 650 yuan/ton respectively. The price of oxidized iron scale remains at 830 yuan/ton [97] - As of September 18, the point - to - point profit loss of silicon iron has narrowed slightly. The loss in Shaanxi is relatively large, while that in Inner Mongolia is relatively small. The production profits in Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, Shaanxi, and Qinghai are -209 yuan/ton, -262 yuan/ton, -274 yuan/ton, and -213 yuan/ton respectively [106] Month Spread - As of September 18, the 11 - 1 month spread of silicon iron is 12 yuan/ton, showing a slight weakening compared to the previous period and lower than the same period last year [108] Basis and Inventory - The market is fluctuating upwards, the basis of silicon iron has weakened slightly, and as of September 18, the basis is -394 yuan/ton. As of September 18, the combined quantity of warehouse receipts and valid forecasts for silicon iron is 94,780 tons, showing a significant increase compared to the previous period [111] Balance Sheet - The balance sheets for silicon manganese and silicon iron from January to December 2025 show the supply, demand, production, import, export, and surplus/deficit situations for each month, as well as the year - on - year cumulative changes in production and consumption [113][114]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - Not provided Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price - **Silicon Iron**: The latest prices of 72% FeSi in different regions vary, with prices in Ningxia, Inner Mongolia, Qinghai, and Shaanxi at 5600, 5600, 5600, and 5550 respectively, and prices of 75% FeSi in Shaanxi at 5950. There are also price differences among different contracts and bases, such as the main contract at 5696, and the main monthly basis at 204 [1]. - **Silicon Manganese**: The closing price of the main contract of CZCE silicon manganese, basis differences in different regions, and price differences between different varieties are presented, like the main contract closing price, Jiangsu basis, and north - south price difference [5]. Supply - **Silicon Iron**: The production of 136 silicon - iron enterprises in China, their capacity utilization rates in Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, and Shaanxi, and the export prices of 72% and 75% FeSi at Tianjin Port are shown. The production of 136 silicon - iron enterprises in China has different trends from 2021 - 2025 [3]. - **Silicon Manganese**: The production of silicon manganese in China, the procurement price and quantity of Hebei Iron and Steel Group, and the prices of manganese ores from different origins are included. The production of silicon manganese in China has shown different values from 2021 - 2025 [5]. Demand - **Silicon Iron**: The demand - related data includes the production of crude steel in China, the price and production of metal magnesium, the export quantity of silicon iron, and the procurement of Hebei Iron and Steel Group. The production of crude steel in China has different pre - estimated values from 2021 - 2025 [3]. - **Silicon Manganese**: The demand data involves the demand in China (by Steel Union's caliber), the export quantity, and the production of crude steel in China. The demand in China has been changing from 2021 - 2025 [6]. Inventory - **Silicon Iron**: The inventory data of 60 sample enterprises in China, Ningxia, Inner Mongolia, and Shaanxi, as well as the warehouse receipts, effective forecasts, and inventory average available days in different regions are provided. The inventory of 60 sample enterprises in China has different values from 2021 - 2025 [4]. - **Silicon Manganese**: The warehouse receipts, effective forecasts, and inventory data of 63 sample enterprises in China, as well as the inventory average available days in China are presented. The warehouse receipts of silicon manganese in China have shown different trends from 2021 - 2025 [6]. Cost and Profit - **Silicon Iron**: The cost - related data includes electricity prices in different regions, the market price of semi - coke, and the production cost and profit in Ningxia and Inner Mongolia. The electricity price in Inner Mongolia has changed from 2021 - 2025 [4]. - **Silicon Manganese**: The profit data in Inner Mongolia, Guangxi, and different regions, as well as the profit of Guangxi silicon manganese converted to the main contract, are shown. The profit in Inner Mongolia has different values from 2021 - 2025 [6].

Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in chemical coke and manganese ore prices are impacting the cost structure and market performance of manganese silicon production, with expectations of significant price volatility in the near future [1] Price Changes and Cost Analysis - Chemical coke prices increased by 100 yuan/ton, while port manganese ore prices saw a slight uptick, leading to higher immediate costs [1] - Estimated production costs as of July 25 are approximately 5710 yuan/ton in Ningxia, 5800 yuan/ton in Inner Mongolia (with a loss of about 100 yuan/ton), and 6460 yuan/ton in Guangxi (with a loss of about 740 yuan/ton) [1] - Actual costs in production areas may be reduced by 100-200 yuan/ton due to adjustments in manganese ore ratios and tail gas power generation [1] Supply and Demand Dynamics - From July 19 to July 24, Tianjin Port received 451,924 tons of manganese ore, with a slight inventory increase of 989.7 tons, totaling 3,336,474 tons, which is below expectations [1] - Anticipated arrivals from July 25 to July 31 are 607,041 tons, with an estimated inventory increase of 100,000 to 200,000 tons based on typical outflow rates [1] - National daily production of silicon manganese as of July 25 is reported at 26,640 tons, with increases noted in regions such as Inner Mongolia, Guangxi, Guizhou, and Yunnan [1] Market Pricing and Export Data - Hebei Steel Group set the silicon manganese price at 5,850 yuan/ton for July, with the first round of inquiries at 5,600 yuan/ton and a purchase volume of 14,600 tons, an increase from June [1] - In June 2025, China exported 1,151.6 tons of silicon manganese alloy and imported 685.73 tons [1] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The black metal sector is experiencing upward pressure due to rising coking coal prices, while manganese silicon prices have shown mixed reactions, with significant inflows of capital observed [1] - The market is currently driven more by speculative factors rather than fundamental changes, with profit margins encouraging manufacturers and traders to hedge [1] - The overall market sentiment remains uncertain, with expectations of significant price fluctuations for manganese silicon on July 28, necessitating caution among investors [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Core Viewpoints - No relevant information provided Summary by Related Catalogs Price - For silicon iron, on July 10, 2025, the latest price of Ningxia 72 natural block was 5050 yuan, with a daily change of -50 yuan and a weekly change of -50 yuan; the latest price of Inner Mongolia 72 natural block was 5150 yuan, with a daily change of 50 yuan and a weekly change of 50 yuan. The export price of Tianjin 72 was 1010 US dollars, with a daily change of 0 and a weekly change of -10 US dollars. The主力合约 price was 5392 yuan, with a daily change of 42 yuan and a weekly change of -44 yuan [2]. - For silicon manganese, on July 10, 2025, the latest price of Inner Mongolia 6517 was 5500 yuan, with a daily change of 0 and a weekly change of 0; the latest price of Guangxi 6517 was 5570 yuan, with a daily change of 20 yuan and a weekly change of 20 yuan. The主力合约 price was 5718 yuan, with a daily change of 68 yuan and a weekly change of -8 yuan [2]. Supply - The monthly production of 136 silicon iron enterprises in China from 2021 - 2025 is presented, with the data ranging from 350,000 to 550,000 tons. The weekly production of 136 silicon iron enterprises (with a capacity - share of 95%) in China from 2021 - 2025 is also shown, with the data fluctuating [4]. - The monthly production of silicon manganese in China from 2021 - 2025 is presented, with the data ranging from 5500 to 9000 tons [6]. Demand - The monthly estimated and revised production of crude steel in China from 2021 - 2025 is presented, with the data ranging from 6500 to 10500 tons. The monthly production of stainless - steel crude steel in China from 2021 - 2025 is also shown, with the data ranging from 0 to 4000 tons [4]. - The monthly demand for silicon manganese in China (according to Steel Union's data) from 2021 - 2025 is presented, with the data ranging from 20 to 70 tons [4]. Inventory - The weekly inventory of 60 sample silicon - iron enterprises in China from 2021 - 2025 is presented, with the data ranging from 30,000 to 110,000 tons. The daily total number of silicon - iron warehouse receipts on CZCE from 2021 - 2025 is also shown, with the data ranging from - 1000 to 15000 [5]. - The daily total number of silicon - manganese warehouse receipts on CZCE from 2021 - 2025 is presented, with the data ranging from 0 to 140,000. The weekly inventory of 63 sample silicon - manganese enterprises in China from 2021 - 2025 is also shown, with the data ranging from 6500 to 10000 tons [7]. Cost and Profit - The electricity prices for ferroalloys in Qinghai, Ningxia, Shaanxi, and Inner Mongolia from 2021 - 2025 are presented, with the prices ranging from 0.3 to 0.7 yuan per degree. The production cost and profit of silicon iron in Ningxia and Inner Mongolia from 2021 - 2025 are also shown [5]. - The profit of silicon manganese in Inner Mongolia, Guangxi, the northern region, and the southern region from 2021 - 2025 is presented, with the profit data showing different fluctuations [7].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - Not provided in the given content Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price - On June 20, 2025, the latest price of Ningxia 72 silicon - iron natural block was 5100 yuan, with a daily change of 50 yuan and a weekly change of 100 yuan; the latest price of Inner Mongolia 72 was 5100 yuan, with no daily change and a weekly change of 50 yuan; the latest price of Shaanxi 75 was 5600 yuan, with no daily or weekly change [2]. - The latest price of Jiangsu 72 silicon - iron qualified block was 5450 yuan, with no daily change and a weekly change of 170 yuan; the latest price of Tianjin 72 in the trader price was 5400 yuan, with no daily change and a weekly change of 150 yuan [2]. - The latest price of Tianjin 72 in the silicon - iron export price (in US dollars) was 1055 US dollars, with no daily or weekly change; the latest price of Tianjin 75 was 1095 US dollars, with no daily or weekly change [2]. - For silicon - manganese, the latest price of Inner Mongolia 6517 in the production area ex - factory price was 5480 yuan, with no daily change and a weekly change of 80 yuan; the latest price of Ningxia 6517 was 5380 yuan, with a daily change of - 50 yuan and a weekly change of 30 yuan [2]. Supply - The production data of 136 silicon - iron enterprises in China from 2021 - 2025 are presented, including monthly production, weekly production (with a capacity share of 95%), and capacity utilization rates in Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, and Shaanxi [4]. - The production data of silicon - manganese in China from 2021 - 2025 are also shown, including weekly production, procurement prices and quantities of Hebei Iron and Steel Group [6]. Demand - The demand data of silicon - manganese in China (in ten thousand tons, according to the Steel Union's caliber) from 2021 - 2025 are provided [4][7]. - Data on the production and demand - related indicators such as the production of crude steel, metal magnesium, and stainless - steel crude steel in China from 2021 - 2025 are also included [4]. Inventory - The inventory data of 60 sample silicon - iron enterprises in China from 2021 - 2025 are shown, including the inventory in China, Ningxia, Inner Mongolia, and Shaanxi on a weekly basis, as well as the warehouse receipt quantity, effective forecast, and the sum of warehouse receipts and effective forecasts [5]. - The inventory data of silicon - manganese from 2021 - 2025 are presented, including the warehouse receipt quantity, effective forecast, and the sum of warehouse receipts and effective inventory, as well as the inventory of 63 sample enterprises in China on a weekly basis [7]. Cost and Profit - The cost and profit data of silicon - iron from 2021 - 2025 are provided, including electricity prices in Inner Mongolia, Qinghai, Ningxia, and Shaanxi, the market price of semi - coking coal in Shaanxi, the production cost and profit in Ningxia and Inner Mongolia [5]. - The cost and profit data of silicon - manganese from 2021 - 2025 are also included, such as the profit in Inner Mongolia, Guangxi, and the profit after converting to the main contract in Guangxi and Ningxia [7].