期 货 眼 ·日 迹 每日早盘观察 银河期货研究所 2026 年 1 月 9 日 0 / 49 研究所 期货眼·日迹 | 股指期货：股指分化持续 3 | | --- | | 国债期货：国内"再通胀"叙事稍有生变 4 | | 蛋白粕：供应压力仍存 盘面整体回落 5 | | --- | | 白糖：大宗商品波动加大，国内外糖价震荡 5 | | 油脂板块：油脂整体震荡运行 7 | | 玉米/玉米淀粉：小麦和玉米持续拍卖，现货稳定 7 | | 生猪：供应压力仍存 现货震荡运行 8 | | 花生：花生现货稳定，花生盘面底部震荡 9 | | 鸡蛋：需求有所改善，蛋价稳中有涨 10 | | 苹果：冷库库存偏低，果价高位震荡 11 | | 棉花-棉纱：新年度种植面积预计下降，棉价震荡偏强 11 | | 钢材：钢材转向累库，钢价延续震荡 13 | | --- | | 双焦：市场情绪降温，注意回调风险 13 | | 铁矿：市场预期反复，矿价高位偏空对待 14 | | 铁合金：市场情绪整体降温，短期震荡运行 15 | | 金银：彭博指数开启调整 | 金银宽幅震荡 16 | | --- | --- | | 铂钯：BCOM | 调整权重 ...

期 货 眼 ·日 迹 每日早盘观察 研究所 期货眼·日迹 | 股指期货：波动不改上行趋势 3 | | --- | | 国债期货：修复动能偏弱 4 | 银河期货研究所 2026 年 1 月 8 日 0 / 48 | 蛋白粕：供应压力较大 美豆整体承压 5 | | --- | | 白糖：国际糖价收涨，国内糖价略强 5 | | 油脂板块：商品情绪回暖，油脂有所上涨 7 | | 玉米/玉米淀粉：小麦和玉米拍卖，现货稳定 7 | | 生猪：出栏压力仍存 现货整体震荡 8 | | 花生：花生现货稳定，花生盘面底部震荡 9 | | 鸡蛋：需求有所改善，蛋价稳中有涨 10 | | 苹果：冷库库存偏低，果价高位震荡 11 | | 棉花-棉纱：新年度种植面积预计下降，棉价震荡偏强 12 | | 钢材：市场情绪好转，钢价震荡走强 13 | | --- | | 双焦：波动剧烈，多单建议逐步止盈 13 | | 铁矿：市场预期反复，矿价高位偏空对待 14 | | 铁合金：供需边际改善预期叠加成本推动，短期震荡偏强 15 | | 金银：彭博指数开启调整 金银高位震荡 16 | | | --- | --- | | 铂钯：BCOM | 调整权 ...

| 企业名称 | 北京遇见黄金有限公司 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 法定代表人 | 冯哲 8 关联企业 27 | 登记状态 ② | | | | 成立日期 | | 统一社会信用代码 ⑦ | 91110400MAK3NEG28Q | 注册资本 2 | | 工商注册号 | 110400046377109 | 纳税人识别号 ⑦ | | 营业期限 | 2025-12-11 至 无固定期限 | 纳税人资质 | | 企业类型 | 其他有限责任公司 | 行业 | | 参保人数 | | 英文名称 | | 登记机关 | 北京经济技术开发区市场监督管理局 | 注册地址 ② | | 经营范围 ⑦ | 一般项目： 稀有稀土金属冶炼; 铁合金冶炼; 常用有色金属) 外);工艺美术品及礼仪用品销售（象牙及其制品除外）;珠፺ | | | | (除销售需要许可的商品);货物进出口;技术进出口;进出 | | | | （依法须经批准的项目，经相关部门批准后方可开展经营活动 | | | | 经营活动。) | | 来源：天眼查 北京时间25年12月11日，据天眼查信息显示，北京遇见黄金有限公司在北京经济技术开发区市场监督管理局 ...

期 货 眼 ·日 迹 每日早盘观察 银河期货研究所 2026 年 1 月 5 日 0 / 47 研究所 期货眼·日迹 | | | | 蛋白粕：成本端存在较大考验 粕类整体压力明显 5 | | --- | | 白糖：国际糖价大跌，国内糖价震荡 5 | | 油脂板块：地缘扰动再起，油脂波动增加 7 | | 玉米/玉米淀粉：现货稳定，小麦开始拍卖 8 | | 生猪：出栏压力有所好转，现货阶段性回落 9 | | 花生：花生现货稳定，花生盘面窄幅震荡 9 | | 鸡蛋：需求表现一般，蛋价稳中有落 10 | | 苹果：冷库库存偏低，果价高位震荡 11 | | 棉花-棉纱：新年度种植面积预计下降，棉价震荡偏强 12 | | 铅：供需双弱 铅价区间震荡 22 | | --- | | 镍：配额削减预期助力镍价强势上涨 23 | | 不锈钢：跟随镍价偏强运行 24 | | 工业硅：短期反弹，中期逢高沽空 24 | | 多晶硅：长期偏强，短期注意风险管理 25 | | 碳酸锂：高位运行，谨慎操作 25 | | 锡：地缘政治动荡加剧，锡价或波动加剧 26 | | | | | 原油：地缘扰动频繁，油价波动加剧 29 | | --- | ...

数据来源：中国海关，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 根据中国海关数据显示：2025年11月中国铁合金出口数量为7万吨，同比增长16.1%，出口金额为1.52亿 美元，同比下降0.7%。 近一年中国铁合金出口情况统计图 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国铁合金行业市场供需态势及投资前景研判报告》 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The overall market shows a complex and volatile trend at the end of the year. Various factors such as policy, supply - demand, and geopolitical situation affect different sectors. For example, the stock index is expected to maintain a volatile upward trend before the end of the year due to sector rotation; the bond market sentiment is average with limited new information and is waiting for the release of official PMI data; different commodity futures also show different trends based on their own fundamentals and external factors [21][24]. Summary by Category Financial Derivatives - **Stock Index Futures**: The market closes steadily. The index shows a volatile upward trend due to sector rotation. It is recommended to go long on dips, conduct IM/IC futures - ETF arbitrage when the discount widens, and use a bull spread for options [21][22]. - **Treasury Futures**: The performance at the close is differentiated. The market is waiting for the official PMI data. It is recommended to hold short positions in TS and TF lightly and wait and see for arbitrage [24]. Agricultural Products - **Protein Meal**: There is still supply pressure, and the market shows a small - scale shock. It is recommended to lay out a small number of long positions, narrow the MRM spread, and use a short straddle strategy for options [28]. - **Sugar**: The international sugar price drops sharply, and the domestic price follows weakly. It is expected to oscillate near the current platform. It is recommended to wait and see for arbitrage and sell put options [33][34]. - **Oilseeds and Oils**: There is still a lack of obvious drivers, and the rebound space may be limited. It is recommended to hold a light position before the festival, go short after the rebound, and wait and see for arbitrage and options [35]. - **Corn/Corn Starch**: The spot price rises, but the futures price falls from a high level. It is recommended to go long on dips for the 03 and 07 contracts, narrow the 03 corn - starch spread, and wait and see for options [39]. - **Hogs**: The supply pressure decreases, and the spot price continues to be strong. It is recommended to wait and see [42]. - **Peanuts**: The spot price is stable, and the futures price shows a narrow - range shock. It is recommended that the 05 contract oscillates at the bottom, wait and see for arbitrage, and sell the pk603 - C - 8200 option [47]. - **Eggs**: The demand slightly recovers, but the price drops. It is recommended to go long on far - month contracts on dips and wait and see for arbitrage and options [51]. - **Apples**: The demand is average, and the price is mainly stable. It is recommended to oscillate in the short - term range, go long on the 1 contract and short on the 10 contract for arbitrage, and wait and see for options [56]. - **Cotton - Cotton Yarn**: The new cotton sales are good, and the price oscillates strongly. It is recommended that the US cotton oscillates in the range, the Zhengzhou cotton oscillates strongly with a possible short - term callback risk, and wait and see for arbitrage and options [60]. Black Metals - **Steel**: The raw material replenishment starts, and the steel price maintains a range - bound shock. It is recommended to maintain the shock trend, short the coil - coal ratio and the coil - screw spread, and wait and see for options [62][63]. - **Coking Coal and Coke**: They oscillate and wait for new drivers. It is recommended to wait and see mainly or go long on dips lightly, and wait and see for arbitrage and options [66][67]. - **Iron Ore**: The market expectation is repeated, and the price oscillates. It is recommended to oscillate in the short - term [69]. - **Ferroalloys**: The supply - demand margin is expected to improve, and the cost drives the price. It is recommended to go long on dips, wait and see for arbitrage, and sell out - of - the - money put options [72]. Non - ferrous Metals - **Gold and Silver**: They oscillate at a high level. It is recommended to wait and see temporarily [76]. - **Platinum and Palladium**: Pay attention to position management before the New Year's Day holiday. It is recommended to go long on dips, conduct long - platinum and short - palladium arbitrage, and wait and see for options [80][81][82]. - **Copper**: The short - term fluctuation intensifies. It is recommended to control the position, go long on dips in the long - term, and wait and see for arbitrage and options [83]. - **Alumina**: It oscillates mainly after the convergence of the warehouse receipt registration profit. It is recommended to wait and see for arbitrage and options [87]. - **Electrolytic Aluminum**: It oscillates at a high level. It is recommended to go long on dips, pay attention to the arbitrage opportunity of buying spot delivery products and shorting futures, and wait and see for options [91]. - **Cast Aluminum Alloy**: It oscillates at a high level with the sector. It is recommended to wait and see for arbitrage and options [94]. - **Zinc**: Control the position reasonably before the holiday. It is recommended to oscillate widely, wait and see for arbitrage, and wait and see for options [96]. - **Lead**: Pay attention to the impact of funds on the price and control the position reasonably before the holiday. It is recommended to take partial profits on long positions and hold the rest, wait and see for arbitrage, and wait and see for options [99]. - **Nickel**: The news of Indonesia's reduction of nickel ore quotas boosts the price. It is recommended to treat it as an upward trend before a significant inventory build - up, wait and see for arbitrage, and wait and see for options [100][101][102]. - **Stainless Steel**: It follows the nickel price and runs strongly. It is recommended to follow the nickel price to go long and wait and see for arbitrage [105]. - **Industrial Silicon**: It rebounds in the short - term and goes short on rallies in the medium - term. It is recommended to go short on rallies, conduct long - polysilicon and short - industrial silicon arbitrage, and sell out - of - the - money call options [106]. - **Polysilicon**: The long - term fundamentals are favorable, but the short - term trading volume shrinks. It is recommended to be cautious, conduct long - polysilicon and short - industrial silicon arbitrage, and sell put options [108]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The subsidy policy boosts the sentiment. It is recommended to control the position and be cautious, wait and see for arbitrage, and wait and see for options [110]. - **Tin**: Some long - position funds take profits, and the price drops sharply. It is recommended to oscillate widely after the sharp drop and wait and see for options [113]. Shipping - **Container Shipping**: The MSK's price increase slightly exceeds expectations, and it is expected to oscillate at a high level in the short - term. It is recommended to take most profits on long positions of the EC2602 contract and hold the rest lightly, and wait and see for arbitrage [114][115]. Energy and Chemicals - **Crude Oil**: The market trading is light at the end of the year, and geopolitical conflicts cause fluctuations. It is recommended to oscillate widely, conduct relevant arbitrage, and wait and see for options [117][118]. - **Asphalt**: The raw material contradiction is difficult to resolve, and the price oscillates strongly. It is recommended to oscillate, wait and see for arbitrage, and wait and see for options [123]. - **Fuel Oil**: The near - end fundamentals of high - and low - sulfur fuel oils are weak. It is recommended to go short, conduct relevant arbitrage, and wait and see for options [126]. - **LPG**: The upward space is limited. It is recommended to go short on far - month contracts, wait and see for arbitrage, and wait and see for options [130]. - **PX & PTA**: The polyester sales and cost weaken, and the price drops from a high level. It is recommended to oscillate at a high level in the short - term, conduct relevant arbitrage, and wait and see for options [132]. - **BZ & EB**: The pure benzene inventory build - up pressure slows down, and the supply - demand contradiction is not significant. It is recommended to oscillate strongly, conduct short - pure benzene and long - styrene arbitrage, and wait and see for options [136]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: The port inventory continues to rise. It is recommended to oscillate widely in the short - term and weakly in the medium - term, wait and see for arbitrage, and sell call options [139]. - **Short - Fiber**: The processing fee is under pressure. It is recommended to oscillate, wait and see for arbitrage, and wait and see for options [141]. - **Bottle Chips**: The supply - demand is relatively loose. It is recommended to oscillate, wait and see for arbitrage, and wait and see for options [143]. - **Propylene**: The supply pressure is large, and the downstream product profits are differentiated. It is recommended to oscillate widely, wait and see for arbitrage, and sell both call and put options [146]. - **Plastic PP**: The PP inventory build - up rate slows down. It is recommended to hold long positions of the L 2605 contract, wait and see for the PP 2605 contract, conduct relevant arbitrage and wait and see, and sell and hold the PP2605 put option [148][149]. - **PVC**: It oscillates mainly. It is recommended to rebound continuously, wait and see for arbitrage, and wait and see for options [152]. - **Methanol**: It rises strongly. It is recommended to go long on the 05 contract, conduct relevant arbitrage, and sell put options on dips [154][155]. - **Urea**: It oscillates widely. It is recommended to pay attention to relevant policies and wait and see for relevant operations [157][158]. - **Natural Rubber and 20 - Number Rubber**: The global economic data continues to improve. It is recommended to go short in the short - term, wait and see for arbitrage, and wait and see for options [162]. - **Butadiene Rubber**: The chemical industry production slowdown continues. It is recommended to hold short positions of the BR 03 contract, conduct relevant arbitrage, and wait and see for options [165].

期 货 眼 ·日 迹 每日早盘观察 银河期货研究所 2025 年 12 月 30 日 0 / 45 研究所 期货眼·日迹 | 股指期货：震荡不改上行趋势 3 | | --- | | 国债期货：市场突发调整，空单适度止盈 4 | | 蛋白粕：供应压力较大 | 盘面整体回落 5 | | --- | --- | | 白糖：内蒙糖厂已开始停机 | 产量预计略增 5 | | 油脂板块：商品情绪转弱，油脂反弹空间或有限 7 | | | 玉米/玉米淀粉：现货上涨，盘面高位震荡 7 | | | 生猪：出栏压力减少 | 盘面上涨较明显 8 | | 花生：花生现货稳定，花生盘面窄幅震荡 9 | | | 鸡蛋：需求表现一般 | 蛋价有所回落 10 | | 苹果：需求表现一般 | 果价稳定为主 11 | | 棉花-棉纱：新棉销售较好 | 棉价震荡偏强 12 | | 钢材：原料补库开启，钢价维持区间震荡 13 | | --- | | 双焦：驱动不明显，震荡运行 13 | | 铁矿：市场预期反复，矿价震荡运行 14 | | 铁合金：商品情绪回落，短期震荡运行 15 | | 金银：市场降温 金银大幅回调 16 | | --- | | 铂钯 ...

股票停牌期间，公司将根据事项进展情况，严格按照有关法律规定的规定和要求履行信息披露义务。待 上述事项确定后，公司将及时发布相关公告并申请公司股票复牌。 据公司官网，五矿发展于1997年5月28日在上海证券交易所挂牌上市，实际控制人中国五矿位列《财 富》世界500强第69位，五矿发展作为中国五矿的重要骨干子企业，在2023年《财富》中国上市公司500 强排名第175位，并入选北京企业联合会、北京市企业家协会发布的"2023北京上市公司100强"榜单。 公司主要从事资源贸易、金属贸易、供应链服务三大类业务。资源贸易涉及铁矿石、铁合金、煤炭、焦 炭、废钢、电解金属锰等冶金工业原料。金属贸易包含各类钢材和金属制品。供应链服务包含仓储加 工、船/货代、网络货运、保险经纪、招标代理、线上交易服务等。公司在国内拥有分销公司、加工中 心、物流园区、口岸公司等形式的营销、物流网点近百个，覆盖全国大部分地区；公司受托管理多家海 外公司，遍布亚、欧、美、大洋洲等多个国家和地区，形成了海内外一体、全球化运作的营销网络。 五矿发展今日股价涨停，现报11.52元/股，总市值为123.48亿元。 （原标题：重大资产重组，明起停牌！） "五 ...

"五矿"系大整合。 五矿发展（600058）12月29日晚间公告称，为贯彻落实国务院关于推动资本市场高质量发展和提高上市公司质量的 有关精神，切实履行实际控制人历史承诺和加强上市公司规范运作，公司收到实际控制人中国五矿集团有限公司（简 称 "中国五矿"）《关于筹划重大资产重组事项的通知》（简称《通知》），初步考虑拟由公司通过资产置换、发行股 份及支付现金方式购买控股股东中国五矿股份有限公司持有的五矿矿业控股有限公司股权、鲁中矿业有限公司股权， 并募集配套资金。公司拟置出资产为原有业务相关的主要资产及负债（除保留资产、负债外）。 | 证券代码:600058 | 证券简称:五矿发展 公告编号:临 2025-73 | | --- | --- | | 债券代码: 242936 | 债券简称: 25 发展 Y1 | | 债券代码:243004 | 债券简称: 25 发展 Y3 | | 倩类代码:243237 德岩简称。25发展 V4 | | | 证券代码 证券简称 停复牌类型 | 停牌起始日 停牌期间 停牌终止日 复牌日 | | --- | --- | | 600058 五矿发展 A 股 停牌 2025/12/30 | ...

值得一提的是，今日盘中，五矿发展股价直线拉升，强势涨停。有分析指出，五矿发展最新披露的重大资产重 组事项或许是中国五矿集团有限公司（以下简称"五矿集团"）内部业务整合的一部分。 同日晚间，紫光国微公告称，公司正在筹划以发行股份及支付现金的方式，购买南昌建恩半导体产业投资中心 （有限合伙）、北京广盟半导体产业投资中心（有限合伙）、天津瑞芯半导体产业投资中心（有限合伙）等交 易对方持有的瑞能半导体科技股份有限公司控股权或全部股权，并募集配套资金。本次交易预计不构成重大资 产重组，构成关联交易。公司股票及可转债自2025年12月30日起开始停牌，预计在不超过10个交易日的时间内 披露本次交易方案。 重大资产重组 "五矿系"资产大整合！ 今日晚间，五矿发展发布公告称，公司拟购买控股股东中国五矿股份有限公司（以下简称"中国五矿"）持有的 五矿矿业控股有限公司（以下简称"五矿矿业"）、鲁中矿业有限公司（以下简称"鲁中矿业"）股权，本次交易 预计构成重大资产重组，公司股票自12月30日（明日）开市起停牌。 12月29日晚间，五矿发展发布公告称，公司收到实控人五矿集团《关于筹划重大资产重组事项的通知》，初步 考虑拟由公司通过 ...