以下文章来源于妙投APP ，作者刘国辉 妙投APP . 虎嗅旗下二级市场投研服务品牌，为您提供精选上市公司价值拆解，热门赛道产业链梳理 出品 | 妙投APP 作者 | 刘国辉 编辑 | 关雪菁 头图 | 李蓓个人公众号 李蓓就是太懂流量了。 在私募行业，有很多响当当的人物，然而能把投资和流量都玩明白的，似乎只有李蓓一人。但因为懂流量，而被"耽误"的，也只能是李蓓。 当业绩好的时候，流量是推波助澜再上层楼的浪；而在你颠簸时，流量就要"覆你的舟"。 李蓓，这位投资界的网红、半夏投资创始人，出圈不仅靠高低起伏的业绩，更是有公开征婚、用周易算卦预判市场等出位的举动，以及地产股十 年一遇的机会、小盘股是火葬场等犀利的投资观点，在市场上影响巨大。 最近在11月28日参加活动时，李蓓沿袭一贯的风格，发表了鲜明的投资观点，如AI投资泡沫、黄金价格明显高估等，再次引发了热议。观点发 布在半夏投资公众号上，不仅阅读量10W+，转发也达到1.6W以上，影响力可见一斑。 私募主要针对机构客户和高净值客户，往往给人"好酒不怕巷子深"的感觉。李蓓则是例外，不仅乐于输出鲜明的投资观点，不怕打脸，更是乐于 将自己的日常生活、情感展示给公众。 ...

本文首发于公众号"私募排排网"。 （点击↑↑ 上图查看详情 ） 2025年11月，A股三大指数集体回调，其中上证指数曾创十年新高，但随后震荡回落，全月累计下跌1.67%，终结月线六连阳；创业板指、深成 指也分别下跌4.23%、2.95%。板块上，热点持续轮动，海南自贸港、新能源、商业航天等板块出现局部行情。 | 二级策略 | 今年来待合排名 | 交生来源: | रो से के ग्रे | 近1月平均收益 | 近1月平均超额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 规则的产品数 | 收益 | 超额 | | | | 喜你会杀 | 923 | 39.70% | 16.73% | 0.16% | 2.80% | | 主观念杀 | 2258 | 34.04% | 16.43% | -1.85% | 1.1 1 % | | 其他衍生品策略 | 17 | 27.67% | 25.08% | -0.39% | -0.65% | | 复合策略 | 425 | 24.85% | 8.39% | -0.17% | 2.83% | | 主观CTA | 194 | 24.47% | ...

Core Viewpoint - The macro strategy private equity funds have shown remarkable performance in 2023, with an average return of 24.91% in the first ten months, significantly surpassing previous years' performance [2]. Group 1: Performance Overview - The average return of macro strategy private equity funds from 2021 to 2024 is 13.90%, -9.20%, -4.18%, and 20.63% respectively, indicating a substantial improvement in 2023 [2]. - The top-performing macro strategy products in the 50 billion and above category achieved an average return of 20.15% in the first ten months of 2023 [4]. Group 2: Top Products by Size - In the 50 billion and above category, the top three macro strategy products are managed by Juki Investment, Yinye Investment, and Yuanxin Investment, all of which are large private equity firms [4][7]. - The leading product in the 20-50 billion category is managed by Luyuan Private Equity, with an average return of 27.27% [9][13]. - The top product in the 5-20 billion category is managed by Zhong'an Huifu, achieving a return of 26.55% [14][16]. - In the 0-5 billion category, Yize Investment, Jiali Asset, and Sanhua Asset are the top three, with an average return of 34.80% [17][20]. Group 3: Notable Fund Managers - Zhao Weihua, the investment director at Yuanxin Investment, has a decade of macro research and investment experience, contributing to the strong performance of the "Yuanxin Multi-Asset Strategy" [8]. - Li Bei from Banxia Investment is recognized as a pioneer in the domestic macro hedge fund sector, with the "Banxia Balanced Macro Hedge" product achieving impressive returns [8]. - Luyuan Private Equity's fund manager, Lu Wentao, emphasizes the long-term support for gold prices due to ongoing fiscal and monetary stimulus policies [13].

Core Insights - The A-share market continued its strong performance in September, with all three major indices rising, while gold prices surged due to multiple factors including the onset of the Federal Reserve's rate cut cycle and central bank gold purchases [2] - Despite the strong market performance, the subjective long/short and quantitative long strategies underperformed in September, with average returns of 3.11% and 1.37% respectively, while macro strategies excelled with an average return of 4.08% [2] - Over a longer time frame, macro strategies have shown superior performance, with average returns of 22.45% and 75.33% over the year and the past three years respectively, highlighting their flexibility in capturing asset rotation opportunities [2] Strategy Performance Summary - **Macro Strategy**: 218 products, average return of 4.08% this year, 22.45% over the year, and 75.33% over three years [3] - **Subjective Long/Short**: 2120 products, average return of 3.11% this year, 34.08% over the year [3] - **Quantitative Long**: 862 products, average return of 1.37% this year, 36.94% over the year [3] - **Other Derivative Strategies**: 16 products, average return of 5.17% this year, 18.77% over the year [3] Top Macro Strategy Products - For products with over 5 billion in assets, the top three macro strategies over the past three years are managed by 久期投资 and 泓湖私募, with average returns of 69.86% [4][5] - The leading product in the 10-50 billion category is "路远睿泽稳增" managed by 路文韬, with significant returns [9] - In the 0-10 billion category, "石泉宏观对冲" managed by 孙旭 leads with impressive returns [12] Notable Fund Managers - 梁文涛 from 泓湖私募 is recognized for his strong performance and has a background in macro strategies [4] - 李蓓 from 半夏投资 has shown a significant rebound in performance this year after previous underperformance [6] - 路文韬 from 路远私募 has focused on gold and military sectors, indicating a strategic shift in asset allocation [9]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market showed strong performance in Q3 2025, with the ChiNext Index leading with a 50.4% increase, followed by the Shenzhen Component Index at 29.25% and the Shanghai Composite Index at 12.73% [1][2]. Group 1: Popular Private Fund Managers - The top five popular private fund managers in Q3 2025 are Dan Bin, Lin Yuan, Li Bei, Wu Yuefeng, and Zhu Xiaokang, with half of the top 20 being managers of funds over 10 billion [1][3]. - Dan Bin's funds have shown significant performance, with 75 products averaging ***% returns this year, and he has increased his focus on overseas investments, particularly in AI-related stocks [5][6]. - Lin Yuan, ranked second, has shifted to invest in a batch of Sci-Tech Innovation Board stocks, despite previously stating he would avoid tech stocks, indicating a strategic pivot [7][8]. - Li Bei, ranked third, manages products that have also performed well, with a focus on macro hedging strategies [8]. Group 2: Popular Private Fund Companies - The top private fund companies in Q3 2025 include Longqi Technology, Japan Investment, and Ningbo Huafang Quantitative, with a significant number of quantitative funds [9][10]. - Ningbo Huafang Quantitative has been recognized for its strong performance, with 11 products averaging ***% returns this year [13]. - Guoyuan Xinda, ranked 11th, has also performed well with its composite strategy products entering the top 20 for popularity [13]. Group 3: Popular Private Fund Products - The most popular private fund products are dominated by quantitative long products, with the top five managed by various fund managers, including Zou Kai from Hunan Zijin Private Fund and Shi Jianghui from Guoyuan Xinda [14][15]. - Hunan Zijin Private Fund's product has shown exceptional performance, leading the rankings for returns this year [15][17].

Core Insights - The equity market has returned to a volatile pattern in the past two weeks, with some quantitative and subjective long strategies facing withdrawal pressure, while macro strategies have shown an overall upward trend [1] - As of August 2025, there are 187 macro strategy products with performance data, achieving average returns of 18.68% year-to-date and 5.58% in August, ranking 4th among 16 private equity secondary strategies [1][2] - The proportion of macro strategy products achieving positive returns in August rose significantly to 88.12%, compared to 67.42% in July [1] Summary by Category Macro Strategy Performance - Macro strategies have demonstrated resilience with a year-to-date average return of 18.68% and an August average return of 5.58%, ranking 4th among various strategies [2] - The positive return rate for macro strategies in August was 88.12%, a notable increase from July's 67.42% [1] Top Performing Private Equity Products - In the top 10 private equity products under large private equity firms (over 50 billion), there are 43 macro strategy products with performance data this year [4] - The top three products are managed by 久期投资, with significant returns in August [5][6] - Notable fund managers include 吴星 from 昌都凯丰投资 and 李蓓 from 半夏投资, both of whom have achieved substantial returns this year [7][8] Small to Medium Private Equity Products - Among private equity products with assets under management of 0-50 billion, there are 144 macro strategy products, with the top 10 products having a performance threshold of ***% [10] - The top three products are managed by 京盈智投, 路远私募, and 嘉理资产, showcasing strong performance in the macro strategy space [11] Company Rankings - The top companies in macro strategy include 久期投资, 中安汇富, and 易则投资, with 中安汇富 achieving an average return of ***% this year [13][14] - 中安汇富 focuses on fundamental and pricing research, emphasizing a research-driven investment approach [14]

Core Insights - The equity market has returned to a volatile pattern, with some quantitative and subjective long strategies facing withdrawal pressure, while macro strategies have shown an overall upward trend [2] - As of August 2025, there are 187 macro strategy products with performance data, achieving average returns of 18.68% year-to-date and 5.58% in August, ranking 4th among 16 private equity secondary strategies [2][3] - The proportion of macro strategy products achieving positive returns in August rose significantly to 88.12%, compared to 67.42% in July [2] Performance Summary by Strategy - Macro strategies have 187 products with year-to-date average returns of 18.68% and August average returns of 5.58% [3] - The top-performing strategies include: - Long-short strategies with 777 products, year-to-date average returns of 35.67% and August returns of 8.95% - Subjective long strategies with 1974 products, year-to-date average returns of 30.08% and August returns of 9.19% [3] Top Private Equity Products - In the top 10 private equity products with over 50 billion in scale, there are 43 macro strategy products, with the top 10 threshold for returns being ***% [5] - The top three products are all managed by Duration Investment, with significant returns in August [6][7] - Notable fund managers include Wu Xing from Changdu Kaifeng Investment and Li Bei from Banxia Investment, both of whom have extensive experience and have achieved high returns [7][8] Company Performance Overview - Among companies with at least three macro strategy products, the top three are Duration Investment, Zhong'an Huifu, and Yize Investment, with Zhong'an Huifu achieving an average return of ***% this year [13][14] - Duration Investment leads with five macro strategy products, while Zhong'an Huifu has six, indicating strong performance in the macro strategy sector [14]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the rise of female fund managers in the traditionally male-dominated private equity sector, showcasing their unique resilience, insights, and rigorous risk control, which have led to impressive returns in the investment landscape [1]. Group 1: Overview of Female Fund Managers - As of August 29, 2025, there are 185 female private equity fund managers with performance records on the platform, with the majority (110) from subjective private equity, 38 from quantitative private equity, and 37 from mixed strategies [2]. - The geographical distribution shows that 34.05% of female fund managers are based in Shanghai, followed by Shenzhen (26), Beijing (24), Hangzhou (15), and Guangzhou (9) [2]. - In terms of core strategy, over 50% (95) of female fund managers employ stock strategies, while 23 use multi-asset strategies, 22 focus on futures and derivatives, and 19 on bonds [2]. Group 2: Experience and Company Size - Among the female fund managers, 99 have over 10 years of experience, and 18 have over 20 years [3]. - More than 50% (97) of female fund managers are from private equity firms with assets under 500 million, while 30 are from firms with over 2 billion, with only 4 from top-tier firms (over 5 billion) [3]. Group 3: Notable Female Fund Managers - The top female fund managers include Li Bei from Banxia Investment, He Ruilin from Qianhai Bopu Asset, Lin Xue from Jiupeng Asset, and Jia Yiming from Chengyi Private Equity, all managing funds between 5 billion to 10 billion [4][5]. - Li Bei, known as the "private equity witch," has over 10 years of experience and manages two products with a total scale of approximately 304 million, achieving significant returns [6][11]. - He Ruilin, with a master's degree from Xiamen University, has a focus on sectors like new energy and technology, managing three products totaling approximately 322 million [7][12]. Group 4: Performance Rankings - The article lists the top 20 female fund managers based on their performance this year, with Li Jiajia from Haokun Shengfa Asset leading with an average return of ***% across four products [11][13]. - The average return for the top 32 female fund managers this year is ***%, with a total product scale of approximately 11.55 billion [7][13]. - In the past year, Li Jiajia also ranks first among female fund managers, with her products achieving an average return of ***% [12][15].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of major stock markets in July 2025, highlighting the upward trends in A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, and US stocks, along with the popularity of certain private equity fund managers and companies based on user searches on the platform [1][2]. Market Performance - In July, the A-share market saw the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index increase by 3.74%, 5.2%, and 8.14% respectively, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 3600 points for the first time since October 8, 2024 [1]. - The Hong Kong market's three major indices also rose over 2%, with the Hang Seng Index leading at 2.91% [1]. - All three major US stock indices recorded gains, with the Nasdaq Index achieving the highest increase of 3.7% [1]. Popular Fund Managers - The top three popular fund managers in July are Dan Bin, Lin Yuan, and Wu Yuefeng, with Dan Bin's popularity rising significantly [1][3]. - Dan Bin's average return for the year reached ***% as of July, with a near 3-month rebound of ***% [6]. - Wu Yuefeng's fund "Jia Yue Monthly Wind Investment Genesis" reported a return of ***% for the year, with a near 3-month return close to ***% [7]. Popular Private Equity Companies - The top three private equity companies are Longqi Technology, Shanghai Xiaoyong Private Equity, and Mengxi Investment, all showing significant increases in popularity [9][11]. - Longqi Technology's average return for its 16 products this year is ***%, with the "Longqi Technology Innovation Selected No. 1 C Class" achieving the highest return of ***% [14]. - Shanghai Xiaoyong Private Equity has seen its company scale increase from 20-50 billion to over 50 billion, marking its rise as a leading quantitative private equity firm [14]. Popular Private Equity Products - The top five popular private equity products include those managed by Hainan Shengfeng Private Equity, Longqi Technology, and Road Far Private Equity, with Longqi Technology having two products in the top five [16][18]. - The product "Longqi Stock Quantitative Multi-Head No. 1" managed by Zhu Xiaokang is among the top performers [18].

Core Insights - Hanxia Investment, led by Li Bei, has seen a significant turnaround with a weekly gain of 10.88% and year-to-date performance exceeding 20% [2] - The macro hedge fund sector has shown mixed results, with Hanxia's performance standing out compared to peers who have struggled this year [2][3] Performance Summary - Hanxia's balanced macro hedge fund series achieved a year-to-date performance of approximately 22%, while the macro hedge fund series reached around 14% [2] - In contrast, other macro hedge funds like Kaifeng and Honghu have reported gains of less than 10% this year, down from last year's impressive returns of 50% and 88% respectively [2] Strategic Adjustments - In June, Hanxia made several strategic adjustments, including reducing gold allocations due to the increasing scale of stablecoins, which are seen as a substitute for gold [2] - The firm reallocated some investments into short- to medium-term government bond futures, capitalizing on a stable interbank funding environment [2] - Hanxia maintained a certain level of net long positions in industrial commodities and kept equity asset allocations consistent with previous months [2] Investment Philosophy - Li Bei has consistently advocated for investments in blue-chip stocks, state-owned enterprises, and low price-to-book (PB) ratio assets, emphasizing a focus on high dividend yields and cyclical stocks [3] - The firm has a long-term bullish stance on over 40% of its equity positions, primarily in stocks that exhibit cyclical characteristics, high dividends, and low PB ratios [2][3] Challenges and Reflections - Li Bei acknowledged past misjudgments, particularly regarding the real estate sector, which led to losses and underperformance in previous years [3][4] - The firm missed opportunities in sectors like small-cap stocks, consumer goods, technology, and innovative pharmaceuticals during the market fluctuations from last year to this year [3][4] - Li Bei's reflections highlighted a need for deeper research into specific sectors and a better understanding of foreign capital movements impacting the Chinese stock market [5]