招商证券表示，海外对国内半导体先进制程代工、算力芯片等出口管制仍趋严，但在此背景下国内先进 制程产能和良率持续提升，国内沐曦和摩尔线程招股书均强调国内先进代工、HBM和2.5D封装等供应 链自主可控提速，部分半导体设备/材料等厂商25Q2签单和业绩增长趋势向好。同时，国内半导体其他 环节如存储/模拟/MCU等细分领域景气度持续回暖，部分SoC厂商指引下游需求依然旺盛。建议关注国 内自主可控提速的半导体代工/设备/材料/零部件/算力芯片等领域、景气周期边际复苏叠加创新加速的 存储/SoC/模拟/材料等板块，同时建议关注各科创指数和半导体指数核心成分股。 注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不预示 未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考，不 构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险等级相 匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 根据wind数据，半导体设备ETF（159516）盘中净流入2500万份，连续2日净流入超2.2亿元，资金抢筹 半导体设备资产。 半导体设备ETF（15 ...

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor equipment and components sector is expected to exhibit both resilience and growth due to the acceleration of domestic equipment adoption and replacement in China [1] Group 1: Domestic Equipment Expansion - Downstream industries are actively expanding production, with the domestic semiconductor equipment localization rate projected to be only 21% in 2024. However, based on guidance from AMAT, TEL, and KLA, the revenue share is expected to return to normal levels by 2025, indicating a rapid increase in market share for local equipment manufacturers [1] Group 2: Component Replacement Acceleration - Domestic equipment manufacturers have been collectively placed on the entity list, making it difficult for American components to be obtained (presumed denial). This reshapes the market landscape, benefiting local component manufacturers as they accelerate the replacement of foreign parts [1] Group 3: Strengthened Demand for Self-Sufficiency - There is a reinforced demand for self-sufficiency, with investment in the sector showing both resilience and growth potential. Key areas of focus include gas/liquid paths, RF power supplies, and optical components, which are predominantly led by American companies but have significant room for growth. Relevant manufacturers are expected to benefit from performance elasticity due to sanctions [1] - In addition to American companies, Japanese and Korean manufacturers also hold substantial market shares in components. Domestic equipment leaders are accelerating the complete localization of their supply chains, with expectations for rapid market share growth in specific leading players within the sector [1] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The semiconductor equipment ETF (code: 159516) tracks the semiconductor materials and equipment index (code: 931743), which includes publicly listed companies in the semiconductor materials and equipment manufacturing sector. This index reflects the overall performance of securities in the industry, characterized by high growth potential and significant technical barriers, with a focus on upstream segments of the semiconductor supply chain, including wafer manufacturing equipment, testing equipment, and photolithography materials [1]