"反内卷"聚焦新兴制造业 随着政策持续发力，"反内卷"已成为市场新的投资主线，钢铁、光伏等板块强势反弹。截至7月11日，6 月23日以来国泰钢铁ETF上涨12.18%，汇添富光伏龙头ETF、银华光伏50ETF、华泰柏瑞光伏ETF等涨 幅超过13%。 资金面则呈现显著分化。对于相关传统行业如钢铁板块，资金选择获利了结；而新兴领域如光伏行业， 则吸引资金持续加仓。Choice数据显示，截至7月10日，6月23日以来国泰钢铁ETF被净赎回7.29亿元。 同期，光伏主题ETF净申购额合计20.82亿元。其中，华泰柏瑞光伏ETF份额增至169.61亿份，创上市以 来新高。 这种分歧的背后，与"反内卷"的聚焦方向密切相关。富国基金认为，"反内卷"聚焦行业并非黑色板块相 关的传统行业，而是光伏、锂电池、新能源汽车、电商平台等新兴领域。 富国基金分析称，传统上游资源品的资本开支扩张情况并不严重，因此短期对于传统上游资源品影响不 大。"反内卷"聚焦中下游制造，对于初期的上游商品来说，或带来需求小幅下行。下游竞争格局优化、 终端需求改善后，有望再度拉动上游需求。 投资锚定"质"与"势" ◎记者 赵明超 近期，"反内卷"相关投资机 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index briefly surpassed 3500 points, reaching a high of 3512.67 points, the highest intraday level in nearly eight months, but closed at 3493.05 points, down 0.13% [1][3] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell slightly by 0.06% to 10581.8 points, while the ChiNext Index rose by 0.16% [1] - Total A-share trading volume was 1.53 trillion yuan, an increase of approximately 528 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The market showed sector divergence, with Wind's multi-financial and education indices leading gains, while precious and base metals indices saw significant declines [1] - Notable concept indices included Kimi, short drama games, and chicken industry indices, which rose by 2.22%, 2.13%, and 1.71% respectively, while rare earth, insurance, and GPU indices fell by around 1.8% [1][4] Investment Sentiment - Southbound funds showed a net inflow of approximately 9.256 billion Hong Kong dollars, indicating a willingness to invest despite the overall market decline [2] - Analysts suggest that while the risk of a significant market pullback is relatively low, further upward movement requires more fundamental support [2][12] Recent Trends - From July 1 to July 9, the Shanghai Composite Index, ChiNext Index, and Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.41%, 1.47%, and 1.11% respectively [6] - The construction materials, comprehensive, steel, banking, and media indices were the top five performing sectors during this period, with gains of 6.65%, 6.18%, 5.55%, 4.67%, and 3.75% respectively [10] Fund Flows - There has been a noticeable increase in fund inflows into thematic ETFs, with several ETFs seeing net inflows exceeding 1 billion yuan [11] - The A-share financing balance has remained above 1.8 trillion yuan, indicating strong leverage sentiment among investors [11] Future Outlook - Analysts emphasize the importance of fundamental improvements for sustained market growth, with a focus on high ROE assets as a favorable investment strategy [12][13] - The current market environment is seen as a good opportunity for long-term investments, particularly in sectors like pharmaceuticals and consumer goods, which are expected to yield significant returns over time [13]

其中，全球机构投资者思享会作为 峰会 的重要组成部分， 将 邀请市场表现优异的顶级二级 市场投资人， 分享其独到的投资策略和理念，同时分享其对下半年投资方向和路径的看法，为 投资者锚定航向。 本次全球机构投资者思享会 我们非常荣幸的邀请到了华泰柏瑞基金经理 —— 李沐阳 先生莅 临现场！ 价，原价 1 088/ 人）， 限前 7 2 位！ 7 月 4 日 - 5 日， 【格隆汇 中期策略峰会 2025 】 在深圳拉开帷幕，在 两 天的会期里将 分别举办 2025 年格隆汇中期策略会、全球机构投资者思享会、"格隆汇金格奖" ESG 卓越榜 单发布、数十家上市公司路演汇等活动。 嘉宾介绍 李沐阳 在 202 5 态势不断变动的环境下，对 2025 年下半年 的投资策略和方向，华泰柏瑞基金经理 李沐阳先生会给投资者带来怎样的惊喜呢？让我们一起期待吧！ 请注意， 7 月 5 日全天的全球机构投资者思享会为收费活动，前排预留席位 6 88/ 人（早鸟 华泰柏瑞基金指数投资部总监助理 & 基金经理， 上交所 ETF 十佳分析 师，美国哥伦比亚大学理学硕士。曾任华泰柏瑞基金指数投资部研究员， 基金经理助理，现管理华泰柏瑞光 ...