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山海:黄金空头一日游,市场多头趋势仍然占优!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 02:12
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that gold maintains a bullish trend, with potential upward movement, particularly focusing on the resistance level at 3360 [4][5][6] - After a significant drop on Tuesday, gold rebounded on Wednesday, reaching a high of 3352, indicating a reversal and confirming the bullish trend [4][5] - Silver is following gold's trend, rebounding from 36.9 to a current high of 38, with expectations of further increases towards 38.5 [2][6] Group 2 - The analysis suggests that the low point for gold this week is likely around 3310, with expectations that it will not break this level in the coming days [4][5] - Technical indicators show a strong bullish sentiment, with daily candlestick patterns indicating a continuation of the upward trend [5][6] - The domestic gold market is also expected to follow a bullish trend, with projections for the Shanghai gold contract to reach around 785 [6][7] Group 3 - For international crude oil, the focus is on a key support level at 61.2, with expectations of a rebound if this level holds [7] - The current price of crude oil is around 63.2, with a resistance level at 63.5, which, if broken, could lead to further increases towards 66 [7] - Domestic fuel oil remains weak but is expected to stabilize and potentially rise to 3000 if a rebound occurs [7]
山海:鲍威尔去留牵动市场,黄金难改震荡上行!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-17 06:46
Group 1 - The article discusses the volatility in gold prices, indicating a range between 3375 and 3320, with expectations of continued fluctuations within this range unless a breakout occurs [4][5] - The analysis suggests that if gold breaks above 3400 or below 3285, it may lead to further movements, but currently, the market is expected to respect the established range [4] - The article emphasizes a bullish long-term outlook for gold, recommending low-buy strategies within the established support levels [5] Group 2 - International crude oil prices experienced a drop but found support around 65.5, leading to a rebound and closing at 66.7, indicating a low-level consolidation rather than a strong trend [6] - The outlook for crude oil remains bullish, with a target of 69, and if that level is broken, the next target would be 72 [6] - Domestic fuel oil is experiencing low volatility, with a focus on maintaining positions below 2850 for potential long positions, while short-term targets are set at 2900 and 3000 [6] Group 3 - Silver prices are showing minor fluctuations, with a support level at 37.3, and expectations of a potential upward movement towards 38.6 [5] - The article notes that silver's recent adjustments suggest it is nearing the end of its correction phase, with trading strategies focused on either buying at support or selling at resistance [5] - The domestic silver market is also experiencing limited movement, with a focus on short-term trading strategies around the 8950 support level [5]
山海:消息面主导黄金涨跌,但趋势还是维持多头不变!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-24 03:57
Market Overview - The geopolitical situation has shifted dramatically with Trump's announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, leading to a decrease in market risk aversion [2][4] - Gold prices have experienced significant volatility, dropping from a high of 3394 to a low of 3333, reflecting a decline of over $60 [2][4] - The market sentiment around gold is currently mixed, with a focus on the key resistance level at 3405, which if not breached, suggests a range-bound trading environment [4] Gold and Silver Analysis - Gold opened at 3396 but faced a sharp decline due to the latest news, hitting a low of 3333, which is the lowest point since last week [4] - The effective support level for gold is at 3332, with potential further declines to 3280 if this level is breached [4] - Silver has shown resilience, maintaining support at 35.5, and is expected to rebound from this level, with a target of 37 for short positions [5][6] Domestic Market Insights - Domestic gold prices initially rose, with Shanghai gold reaching a high of 792, but subsequently fell back to the starting point due to market news [5] - The outlook for domestic gold remains bullish with a target of 800 for Shanghai gold and 795 for Rongtong gold, contingent on market performance this week [5] - Domestic silver has shown limited movement, with a focus on maintaining positions above 35.5 for potential rebounds [6] Oil Market Dynamics - International crude oil prices have dropped significantly to around 66 after peaking near 78, influenced by market news and risk sentiment [6] - The outlook for crude oil remains bullish, with expectations of a rebound towards 70, while domestic fuel oil is also expected to trend upwards after recent adjustments [6]
山海:地缘局势阴云笼罩,黄金涨跌需看情绪作用!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-23 02:27
Core Viewpoint - The current market is experiencing volatility influenced by geopolitical tensions and mixed messages from the U.S., leading to fluctuations in gold and silver prices. Investors are advised to adopt a short-term trading strategy rather than focusing on single-direction trends [2][4]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices have shown significant fluctuations, with a recent high of 3396 and a low of 3358. The trading range for this week is identified between 3405 and 3340, indicating that a break below 3340 could lead to further declines towards 3280, while a break above 3405 could push prices up to 3430 and 3465 [4]. - The overall trend for gold remains bullish, but the market is currently in a consolidation phase, suggesting that traders should focus on short-term gains rather than long positions [5]. Silver Market Analysis - The silver market is also experiencing a similar trend, with a focus on short-term trading strategies. Key support is noted at 35.2, while resistance is at 37. The strategy involves maintaining long positions at lower levels while considering short positions at higher levels [6]. - Domestic silver prices have shown a rebound after a drop, with a recent high around 8800. The trading strategy suggests waiting for a potential short position above 8900 while looking for buying opportunities around 8700 [6]. Oil Market Analysis - The international oil market has seen a significant increase, currently trading around 77.8. The bullish trend is expected to continue, with potential targets set at 80 and 84.5. Traders are advised to look for buying opportunities on pullbacks without attempting to short the market [7]. - Domestic fuel oil has also shown strong bullish momentum, with a recent high of 3255. The support level is identified at 3120, and traders are encouraged to buy on dips while maintaining a bullish outlook [7]. Market Outlook - The global financial market is anticipated to face multiple tests this week, with key economic indicators and central bank speeches likely to influence market volatility. Investors are advised to remain vigilant and closely monitor these developments for potential trading opportunities [2][4].
山海:黄金在绝对趋势中上涨,交易节奏至关重要!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-14 02:26
国际白银在上周跌至28.2筑底后,山海就明确可以等待29.5抄底做多,虽然上周白银上周的很慢,但最终尾盘还是走出了上周,当前最 高在32.3附近。本周白银的基本方向还是看涨,预计目标在34附近,交易方式还是等待回落做多,中期强势支撑在31.5,以短线来看, 可以回落到此点位继续做多看涨,如果调整力度不大,就继续持有底仓多看看涨到目标即可。周内白银有可能见顶出现调整回落空 间,注意时间节奏放在周三,周四变盘时机。 山海:黄金在绝对趋势中上涨,交易节奏至关重要! 上周市场接近疯狂状态,不管是国际黄金还是国内黄金连续几个交易日都出现暴涨空间,其中,国际黄金在连续上周中,刷新高点至 3245,国内黄金最高在765,虽然这种上涨非常明显,山海也明确看涨不猜顶,但是要做出有效的趋势交易其实较难,多次买入不要找 对节奏,因此,上周黄金只能激进交易才能走出利润,沪金,融通金在710开始提示大家抄底,看涨到750,基本抓到了单周最大的利 润空间。本周保持多头趋势看法,维持回落做多的策略不变,在强势中继续做趋势利润。白银上周28.2后筑底,最高上周至32.3附近, 上周力度非常大,山海抄底白银抓住了29.5的多单,本周还是保持多 ...