Core Viewpoint - Tencent Holdings is expected to report strong growth in its gaming and advertising businesses for Q2 2025, with a significant increase in stock price leading up to the earnings announcement [1][2]. Gaming Business - Market forecasts suggest Tencent's gaming revenue for Q2 2025 will reach 408 billion yuan, reflecting an 18% year-on-year growth, driven by popular titles such as "Honor of Kings" and "Peacekeeper Elite" [1]. - The game "Delta Action" has emerged as a new hit, contributing significantly to revenue growth, with a monthly active user count of 38.63 million in June 2025 [2]. Advertising Business - Advertising revenue is projected to increase by 16.5% year-on-year to 348 billion yuan, supported by the growth of video accounts and enhanced search revenue from WeChat [2]. - AI technology is expected to drive sustainable growth in advertising, improving user engagement and reducing conversion costs, thereby enhancing return on investment for advertisers [2][3]. Financial Technology and Enterprise Services - Financial technology and enterprise services are anticipated to see a slight improvement, with a projected year-on-year growth of 6.5% [3]. - The launch of "TenpayGlobal" aims to integrate multiple local payment methods into the WeChat ecosystem, starting with Singapore and potentially expanding to other regions [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong Q1 2025 financial results, with total revenue of 180 billion yuan, a year-over-year increase of 13%, exceeding Bloomberg consensus by 3% [1] - Non-IFRS net profit reached 61.3 billion yuan, up 22% year-over-year, also surpassing Bloomberg consensus by 3% [1] Group 1: Gaming Business - Domestic and international gaming revenues exceeded expectations, with a record revenue growth of 24% year-over-year, totaling 59.5 billion yuan [1] - The domestic gaming market showed high growth, with revenue of 42.9 billion yuan, a 24% increase year-over-year, surpassing expectations by 7% [1] - Key games like "Honor of Kings" and "Peacekeeper Elite" achieved historical highs in revenue, while new game "Delta Force" showed strong user growth [1] Group 2: International Market - International gaming revenue reached 16.6 billion yuan, growing 23% year-over-year, exceeding expectations by 8% [2] - The growth was driven by Supercell's ongoing revenue increase and stable performance from existing products like PUBG Mobile and COD Mobile [2] - The company expects a similar revenue growth rate for the entire year of 2025, with a projected year-over-year increase of 10% [2] Group 3: Social Networking and Marketing Services - Social networking revenue was 32.6 billion yuan, a 7% year-over-year increase, meeting expectations [2] - Marketing services revenue reached 31.9 billion yuan, up 20% year-over-year, exceeding expectations by 3% due to increased user engagement and AI-driven advertising solutions [2] Group 4: Financial Technology and Enterprise Services - Revenue from financial technology and enterprise services was 54.9 billion yuan, a 5% year-over-year increase, in line with expectations [3] - The growth was driven by improvements in cloud services and e-commerce transaction fees, with AI beginning to positively impact revenue [3] Group 5: Capital Expenditure - Capital expenditure (CAPEX) reached 23 billion yuan, a 60% year-over-year increase, accounting for 13% of revenue [3] - The high CAPEX is aligned with previous guidance and reflects the company's focus on optimizing cash flow through AI infrastructure investments [3] Group 6: AI Developments - The company released an upgraded image generation model, enhancing the speed and quality of generated content for advertising [4] - Ongoing updates in application scenarios are being explored, particularly in integrating AI features into existing platforms like WeChat [4] Group 7: Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly adjusted to 728.6 billion, 784.5 billion, and 835.6 billion yuan, reflecting year-over-year growth of 10%, 8%, and 7% respectively [5] - Non-IFRS net profit forecasts for the same period are set at 256 billion, 288.6 billion, and 313.1 billion yuan, with expected year-over-year growth of 15%, 13%, and 9% [5] - The company maintains a "recommended" rating with a target price range of 545.69 to 606.33 Hong Kong dollars based on projected earnings [5]

野村料腾讯(00700.HK)首财季纯利胜市场预期 目标价648港元 金十数据4月23日讯，野村发表研报，料腾讯控股(00700.HK)2025财年首季总收入按年增长10%至1,760 亿元人民币，与市场最新共识一致；料其非国际财务报告准则(non-IFRS)营运利润按年增加19%至700亿 元，高于市场预期达4%。该行预期，腾讯营运利润率将提高2.8个百分点至39.6%，主要受毛利率持续 扩张所支持；non-IFRS每股盈利预测可能按年增加29%，较市场最新估算高出5%。野村亦指，腾讯核 心业务可能保持稳定，其线上游戏收入在首季度可能按年增长15%，受惠于《王者荣耀》、《和平精 英》和《荒野乱斗》等经典游戏的稳健表现，以及《地下城与勇士手游》等新发布游戏的贡献。野村预 期，腾讯线上广告收入将按年上升19%，主要由视频号广告推动，其收入占比可能上升至广告业务的 20%以上。该行将腾讯H股目标价定于648港元，给予"买入"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tencent's revenue in Q4 2024 grew by over 11% year-on-year, reaching 172.5 billion RMB, marking the fastest growth since the end of 2022, with net profit doubling year-on-year [1][3] Group 1: Financial Performance - Tencent announced a share buyback plan of at least 80 billion HKD and proposed a 32% increase in the annual dividend for 2025 [3] - The company's market capitalization has increased by approximately 30% or 140 billion USD this year, driven by a broader rebound in tech stocks following the rise of DeepSeek [4] Group 2: AI Investment Strategy - Tencent plans to allocate a low double-digit percentage of its 2025 revenue towards capital expenditures, including AI infrastructure, which is expected to exceed 10 billion USD based on analysts' revenue forecasts [3][4] - The company aims to leverage AI across its services, from core WeChat functionalities to content offerings, and has increased procurement of AI chips to meet growing demand [4] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Tencent's AI ambitions are a focal point for investors, especially in light of competition from Alibaba, which has committed over 50 billion USD for AI and cloud computing over the next three years [4][5] - Tencent is integrating DeepSeek's open-source models into its services, including WeChat search and its chatbot, which briefly became the most downloaded free app on iPhones in China [5] Group 4: Core Business and Growth Engines - WeChat remains Tencent's core growth engine, with ongoing efforts in advertising, gaming, and e-commerce [4][5] - The company emphasizes a dual-core technology strategy, balancing self-developed and licensed games to enhance user experience [4] Group 5: Future Outlook - Tencent has successfully launched several games, including titles from Nexon and its own PC shooting game, aiming to develop a portfolio of evergreen titles that generate stable cash flow [6] - Despite the strong product lineup, there are no guarantees that Tencent can replicate its past successes by 2025, as it, along with global peers, has reduced development positions and refocused on fewer key projects [6]