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美银证券:重申长城汽车“中性”评级 料估值趋合理
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-27 06:55
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities has revised its sales forecasts for Great Wall Motors (601633)(02333) downward for 2025 to 2027, while adjusting profit forecasts for the same period with a target price reduction from HKD 19.5 to HKD 18, maintaining a "Neutral" rating as valuations appear reasonable [1] Group 1: Sales and Revenue - Great Wall Motors' third-quarter revenue reached RMB 61 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 21% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17%, driven by higher sales volume and product pricing [1] - The sales forecasts for Great Wall Motors have been adjusted downward by 4%, 2%, and 3% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] Group 2: Profitability and Margins - The company's third-quarter profit fell short of expectations, declining by 31% year-on-year and 50% compared to the second quarter, attributed to a delay in recognizing an RMB 800 million tax refund and a foreign exchange loss of approximately RMB 13 million [1] - The gross margin for the third quarter was recorded at 18.4%, down 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by a decrease in sales contribution from the Tank brand and increased dealer rebates for Haval and pickup truck brands [1] - Profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been adjusted to reflect a decrease of 0.6%, an increase of 3.8%, and a decrease of 0.1% respectively for those years [1]
美银证券:重申长城汽车(02333)“中性”评级 料估值趋合理
智通财经网· 2025-10-27 06:55
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities has revised its sales forecasts for Great Wall Motors (02333) down by 4%, 2%, and 3% for the years 2025 to 2027, while adjusting gross margin forecasts for 2026 and 2027 up by 0.2 percentage points, and changing profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 by -0.6%, +3.8%, and -0.1% respectively, with a target price reduction from HKD 19.5 to HKD 18, maintaining a "Neutral" rating as valuations are deemed reasonable [1] Financial Performance - Great Wall Motors reported third-quarter revenue of RMB 61 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 21% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17%, driven by sales volume and product price increases [1] - The company's third-quarter profit fell short of expectations, down 31% year-on-year and down 50% compared to the second quarter, attributed to a delay in recognizing an RMB 800 million tax refund from Russia and a foreign exchange loss of approximately RMB 13 million during the period [1] - Excluding one-time items, the net profit for the third quarter decreased by 30% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin was recorded at 18.4%, down 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, likely impacted by a decline in sales contribution from the Tank brand and increased dealer rebates for Haval and pickup truck brands [1]
大行评级丨美银:下调长城汽车目标价至18港元 下调2025至27年销量预测
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-27 06:29
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities reports that Great Wall Motors' Q3 revenue reached 61 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 21% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17%, primarily driven by sales volume and product price increases [1] Financial Performance - The company's profit fell short of expectations, declining by 31% year-on-year and 50% compared to Q2 of this year, attributed to a delay in recognizing an 800 million yuan tax refund related to scrapped vehicles in Russia and approximately 130 million yuan in foreign exchange losses [1] - Excluding one-time items, net profit decreased by 30% year-on-year [1] - Gross margin stood at 18.4%, down 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, likely impacted by reduced contributions from the Tank brand and increased dealer rebates for Haval and pickup truck brands [1] Future Projections - Considering Q3 performance and the latest model launch schedule, Bank of America Securities has revised Great Wall Motors' sales forecasts for 2025 to 2027 down by 4%, 2%, and 3% respectively [1] - Gross margin forecasts for 2026 and 2027 have been adjusted upward by 0.2 percentage points [1] - Earnings forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been revised down by 0.6%, up by 3.8%, and down by 0.1% respectively [1] - The target price has been lowered from 19.5 HKD to 18 HKD, maintaining a "Neutral" rating, with expectations that the valuation has become reasonable [1]
长城智选渠道调整 “去坦克,留魏牌”有何深意
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-10-13 11:39
Core Insights - Great Wall Motors has made adjustments to its direct sales brand "Great Wall Smart Choice," retaining only models under the Wey brand in showrooms, while the Tank 700 will return to Tank brand 4S stores [2][3] - The return of the Tank 700 to the Tank brand 4S stores aims to provide customers with a "one-stop" experience for comparing and purchasing the entire Tank model lineup, enhancing customer engagement and brand loyalty [2] - The restructuring indicates a strategic focus on the Wey brand, with plans to expand the number of direct sales stores to 600 by the end of the year, covering over 200 cities [3] Company Strategy - The "Great Wall Smart Choice" brand was launched in April 2024 to compete with domestic new energy vehicle brands, initially selling high-end models from Wey and Tank [3] - The management and sales channels for Wey and Tank have been merged since 2022, with a current focus on enhancing the Wey brand's market presence through resource allocation [3] - The adjustment in the sales strategy reflects a broader trend of resource concentration on the Wey brand, which has seen significant sales growth, achieving a monthly sales record of 11,000 units in September 2025, a 63.23% year-on-year increase [3] Market Performance - The Tank brand faces challenges, with September sales at 21,400 units, a 14.41% increase year-on-year, but a cumulative decline of 2.75% for the first nine months [4] - Increased competition in the domestic off-road vehicle market has impacted the sales of the Tank 300, a key model for the brand [4] - The strategic withdrawal of the Tank brand from the "Great Wall Smart Choice" is part of a broader response to market changes [4]
长城汽车9月销量达13.36万台,同比增长23.29%
Ju Chao Zi Xun· 2025-10-09 04:03
Sales Performance - In September, Great Wall Motors sold 133,639 vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.29% [3] - Cumulative sales for the year reached 923,358 units, showing an 8.15% year-on-year growth [3] Production Performance - The company produced 134,404 vehicles in September, which is a 25.38% increase compared to the same month last year [3] - Year-to-date production totaled 919,816 units, reflecting an 8.03% year-on-year increase [3] Brand-Specific Performance - Haval brand sold 81,923 units in September, up 30.24% year-on-year, with cumulative sales of 528,483 units, a 12.03% increase [1][2] - WEY brand achieved sales of 11,026 units in September, a significant 63.23% increase, with year-to-date sales of 63,593 units, up 96.35% [2] - The sales of Great Wall Pickup decreased by 10.76% in September to 12,901 units, but cumulative sales increased by 3.11% to 136,223 units [2] - Ora brand's September sales were 6,255 units, a 14.02% increase, but cumulative sales fell by 37.06% to 29,686 units [2] - Tank brand sold 21,441 units in September, a 14.41% increase, while year-to-date sales decreased by 2.75% to 165,143 units [2] New Energy and Overseas Sales - In September, Great Wall Motors sold 45,961 new energy vehicles, with cumulative sales of 278,463 units for the year [2] - The company recorded 50,269 units in overseas sales for September, totaling 334,181 units in cumulative overseas sales for the year [2]
以越野敬山河:坦克品牌闪耀阿拉善,引领越野文化迈向新纪元
Sou Hu Wang· 2025-10-04 02:35
Core Insights - The Tank brand emerged as the highlight of the Alashan Hero Conference, showcasing over 1,500 tank models and emphasizing its strong community of off-road enthusiasts [1][3][23] - The event featured a blend of performance demonstrations, including the new Tank 500 Hi4-Z model, which showcased its capabilities in extreme conditions [12][10][7] - The brand promoted a message of environmental responsibility, encouraging users to prioritize cleanliness in off-road activities [6][4] Group 1: Event Overview - The Alashan Hero Conference took place from September 30 to October 3, 2025, attracting over 3,500 tank drivers from across China [1][3] - A total of 1,001 tank SUVs participated in a ceremonial display to celebrate the 76th anniversary of the People's Republic of China [4][8] - The event featured various activities, including a collaborative atmosphere where users from different brands could participate [3][22] Group 2: Brand Philosophy and Community Engagement - The Tank brand emphasized its inclusive philosophy, stating that off-roading transcends brand boundaries and fosters a sense of community among enthusiasts [3][23] - The brand provided free services and amenities at the event, including charging stations and repair services, reinforcing its commitment to user experience [3][22] - The brand's executive highlighted the event as a platform for all off-road enthusiasts, promoting unity and shared experiences [3][23] Group 3: Product Highlights - The new Tank 500 Hi4-Z model was a focal point, featuring advanced specifications such as a 59.05-degree lithium battery and a WLTC electric range of 201 km [12] - The vehicle boasts impressive performance metrics, including a peak torque of 1,195 N·m and a 0-100 km/h acceleration time of just 4.3 seconds [12] - The model is designed for comfort and luxury, equipped with features like a large entertainment screen and advanced climate control [12] Group 4: Performance Demonstrations - The event included extreme off-road challenges, showcasing the Tank 500's capabilities in both speed and control [10][15] - A notable performance involved a modified tank demonstrating climbing techniques on steep rock faces, illustrating the brand's engineering prowess [13][15] - The brand's commitment to off-road excellence was reinforced by its focus on slow, controlled movements in challenging terrains, as articulated by the company's chairman [17] Group 5: User Experience and Accessibility - The brand invited professional rally drivers to provide ordinary users with immersive off-road experiences, bridging the gap between professional and recreational off-roading [18][20] - This initiative aims to democratize off-roading, making it accessible to a broader audience and fostering a deeper appreciation for the sport [22][23] - The brand's approach reflects a commitment to enhancing user engagement and expanding the off-road community [22][23]
研报掘金丨平安证券:维持长城汽车“推荐”评级,坦克扩圈,魏牌向上
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-09-17 07:46
Core Viewpoint - The report from Ping An Securities highlights Great Wall Motors' comprehensive hybrid power solutions, showcasing its advanced Hi4 hybrid technology system and its strategic positioning in the automotive market [1] Group 1: Hybrid Technology - Great Wall Motors has developed a hybrid technology system called Hi4, which includes four main technical branches: Hi4 intelligent four-wheel drive, Hi4-T off-road super hybrid, Hi4-Z general off-road super hybrid, and Hi4-G intelligent hybrid heavy trucks, covering various vehicle scenarios from urban to off-road [1] - The company is one of the early entrants in AI-assisted driving, continuously iterating its navigation assistance in urban areas, with the VLA (Vision-Language-Action) model set to be integrated into its vehicles [1] Group 2: Product Strategy - The high-end home-use brand Wey will standardize advanced assisted driving features across its entire lineup, while the Tank brand, positioned for high-end off-road vehicles, is expected to expand its market presence through advanced intelligent driving capabilities [1] - The upcoming launch of the flagship SUV from the Wey brand is supported by a direct sales system, enhancing market penetration [1] Group 3: Market Positioning - Great Wall Motors is experiencing a strategic upgrade in its high-end offerings within the off-road/general off-road and family vehicle segments, with a strong competitive edge in off-road technology and product variety [1] - The company's overseas business stability is backed by three comprehensive manufacturing plants, and the export proportion of high-end products like the Tank brand is increasing [1]
长城汽车(601633):坦克扩圈 魏牌向上
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-17 06:29
Group 1 - The company has a comprehensive hybrid power solution covering various vehicle scenarios, including passenger cars and commercial vehicles [1] - The high-level intelligent assisted driving has entered the end-to-end 2.0 era, with the VLA model set to be equipped in high-end home-use vehicles [1] - The Tank brand is expanding rapidly to a broader user base, leveraging strong user loyalty and high resale value of main models [1] Group 2 - The flagship SUV of the Wei brand is set to launch, with expectations of sales returning to over 10,000 units by June 2025 [2] - The company maintains net profit forecasts of 14.7 billion, 15.9 billion, and 18.3 billion for 2025 to 2027, supported by strong off-road technology and a rich hybrid technology framework [2] - The company is entering a high-end strategic leap period in both off-road and family vehicle segments, maintaining a "recommend" rating [2]
长城汽车: 长城汽车股份有限公司2025年8月产销快报
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-09-01 11:08
Core Viewpoint - Great Wall Motors announced its production and sales figures for August 2025, showing a mixed performance across different brands with overall sales increasing year-on-year. Group 1: Sales Performance - The total sales volume for August 2025 reached 115,558 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.33% compared to 94,461 units in August 2024 [3] - Cumulative sales for the year reached 789,719 units, up 5.94% from 745,415 units in the same period last year [3] Group 2: Brand-Specific Performance - Haval brand sold 68,912 units in August 2025, a 22.69% increase from 56,166 units in August 2024, with cumulative sales of 446,560 units, up 9.22% [3] - WEY brand experienced significant growth, with sales of 8,028 units in August 2025, a 167.51% increase from 3,001 units last year, and cumulative sales of 52,567 units, up 105.08% [3] - The sales of Great Wall Pickup decreased slightly by 2.89% to 13,322 units in August 2025, while cumulative sales increased by 4.81% to 123,322 units [3] - Ora brand saw a minor increase of 1.40% in August sales to 5,223 units, but cumulative sales dropped significantly by 43.78% to 23,431 units [3] - Tank brand sales increased by 22.46% to 20,022 units in August 2025, with cumulative sales slightly down by 4.88% to 143,702 units [3] - Other brands reported a significant decline in sales, with a 32.00% decrease in August sales to 51 units and a 73.75% drop in cumulative sales to 137 units [3]
半年产销数据出炉,长城汽车为何垫底
Group 1: Industry Overview - In the first half of the year, domestic automobile production and sales in China exceeded 15 million units, achieving over 10% year-on-year growth [1] - New energy vehicle sales accounted for 44.3% of total automobile sales [1] Group 2: Company Performance - BYD and SAIC Motor both surpassed 2 million units in sales, while Great Wall Motors sold only 569,800 units, ranking last among major automakers [1] - Geely Automotive recorded the highest growth rate at 47% year-on-year, while Great Wall Motors' growth was only 1.81%, significantly below the national average [1] Group 3: Great Wall Motors Specifics - Great Wall Motors' Ora brand saw its sales halved, and the Tank brand sold 103,700 units, down 10.67% year-on-year, a sharp decline from a 99% growth last year [3] - The Tank brand, which is positioned as a high-end off-road vehicle, faces intense competition from new entrants like BYD's Fangchengbao series, which has gained market share due to its cost-performance advantage [3] - Despite weak sales growth, Great Wall Motors increased its marketing expenses by 34.57%, the highest among A-share listed automakers [3] Group 4: Financial Performance - As of July 10, Great Wall Motors' stock price had dropped approximately 17%, contrasting with significant gains for companies like Xpeng Motors and BYD, which saw increases of over 40% [5] - In the first quarter, Great Wall Motors experienced an operating cash outflow of nearly 9 billion yuan, while BYD had an operating cash inflow of 8.58 billion yuan [5] - Great Wall Motors' cash and cash equivalents at the end of the first quarter were 28.6 billion yuan, lower than other major automakers [5] - The company's short-term debt repayment capability is concerning, with a cash to short-term debt ratio of only 0.63, ranking it among the lowest in the A-share market [5]