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比黄金还猛!白银40年来最大暴涨,美国疯抢,中国直接管控
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-25 11:01
如果说过去几年谁是"最容易被忽视的贵金属",白银一定榜上有名。 它不如黄金耀眼,也没有原油那样戏剧性的涨跌,但就在很多人还把白银当作"便宜版黄金"的时候,它已经悄悄完成了一次历史级别的爆发。 今年以来,白银价格涨幅远超黄金,创下近40年来罕见的强势行情。 当这并不是简单的炒作,而是一场由金融、产业和地缘博弈共同推动的结构性行情。 白银的第一重推力,来自货币体系本身。 在美元信用不断被消耗的背景下,全球资产正在重新寻找"锚点"。 美债规模屡创新高,降息预期反复强化,传统避险资产重新被定价。 黄金首当其冲,而白银由于价格更低、金融属性更"弹性",往往在行情中走得更猛。 这也是为什么在贵金属牛市里,白银经常跑赢黄金。 但如果只是金融避险,白银还不至于这么"疯"。真正的变化,发生在产业端。 与黄金最大的不同在于,白银并不是"放在金库里的财富",而是被大量消耗在现代工业中的材料。 在光伏领域,白银几乎是不可替代的关键材料。 太阳能电池中的导电银浆,直接决定了发电效率与稳定性。随着全球能源结构转型,光伏装机量持续攀升,白银需求水涨船高。 在新能源汽车领域,白银的使用量同样显著增加。 电动车电气系统复杂度远高于燃油车,传导 ...
明明知道印度是个大坑,为什么还那么多企业过去投资?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-14 10:16
Core Viewpoint - The article presents India as a complex and risky investment environment, likening it to a trap for foreign capital rather than a lucrative market opportunity [1][14]. Investment Environment - India promotes foreign investment with attractive policies, but imposes strict regulations that complicate profit repatriation and operational flexibility [3][12]. - Companies face significant bureaucratic hurdles, including tax audits, approval delays for dividends, and lengthy legal processes for asset liquidation [3][5]. Case Studies - A Chinese smartphone brand experienced severe financial penalties and operational challenges after initially receiving favorable treatment from local officials [5]. - Major corporations like Ford, Walmart, Amazon, Xiaomi, and Vivo have also encountered significant difficulties in the Indian market, highlighting a pattern of adverse experiences for foreign investors [7][8]. Investment Psychology - Investors often enter the Indian market with the hope of being the first to succeed, despite the known risks, reflecting a dangerous overconfidence in their ability to navigate the complexities [10][19]. - The article suggests that many investors are aware of the potential pitfalls but still choose to engage, driven by the desire to profit before facing the consequences [21][22]. Market Perception - There is a widespread belief that India is a high-risk market, with various government agencies and financial commentators warning about the uncertainties of investing there [17][19]. - Despite these warnings, the allure of a large market often blinds investors to the inherent risks, leading to poor decision-making [19][22].