7 月 11 日消息，消息源 @Jukanlosreve 昨日（7 月 10 日）在 X 平台发布推文，报告称苹果已批准京东 方的屏幕面板量产资质，供应 iPhone 17 Pro 和 iPhone 17 Pro Max 屏幕，不过所装配后的 iPhone 仅限 中国国内市场。 消息源还透露，苹果有望在今年 7 月批准京东方的显示模组（DISPLAY MODULE）量产资质。 NEWS ◆ 苹果新动向 消息称京东方获批量产 iPhone 17 Pro / Max 屏幕，仅供国内市场 曾于今年 6 月报道，市场调查机构 UBI Research 认为东方已建成年产 1 亿片苹果 iPhone OLED 屏幕产 能体系，今年实际 OLED 出货量预估为 4500 万片。 该机构预估京东方 2025 年上半年 iPhone OLED 的出货量约为 2100 万部，较去年同期的 1860 万部增长 了 13%，预计 2025 下半年出货量为 2400 万部。（新闻来源：IT之家） 7 月 11 日消息，苹果与美国心脏协会以及哈佛医学院附属布莱根妇女医院合作的最新研究表明，用户 行为数据（活动量、睡眠、运动等）可能比心 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the computer industry as "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - The computer industry continues to follow core trends of AI, localization, and robotics, with significant developments from Huawei, Hong Kong's digital asset policies, and Xiaomi's product launches [3][18] - Huawei's Developer Conference introduced HarmonyOS 6 and new AI cloud services, marking a new phase for the HarmonyOS ecosystem [3][18] - Hong Kong's Digital Asset Development Policy 2.0 aims to establish the region as a global hub for digital assets, emphasizing blockchain's role in enhancing financial transactions [3][19] - Xiaomi's YU7 model achieved remarkable pre-order success, indicating strong market demand and the company's commitment to R&D investment [3][20] Summary by Relevant Sections Huawei Developer Conference - The conference showcased HarmonyOS 6, with over 40 devices now running the system and more than 9000 applications in development [3][18] Hong Kong Digital Asset Policy - The new policy aims to create a diverse digital asset ecosystem, enhancing Hong Kong's position as a leading international financial center [3][19] Xiaomi Product Launch - Xiaomi's YU7 model received over 200,000 pre-orders within 3 minutes, highlighting its market impact and the company's future R&D investment plans [3][20] Key Companies to Watch - The report highlights key companies in the sector, including Empyrean Technology, Dameng Data, Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, Newland Digital Technology, Jiangsu Tongxingbao, Kingdee International, and Huhu Information [3][18]

Investment Rating - The report does not provide specific investment ratings for the industry segments [2]. Core Insights - The overall strategy emphasizes the evolution of the supply side in the new energy sector, focusing on innovation and avoiding "involution" in the market [3][5]. - The new energy vehicle supply chain is entering a new cycle, with companies like CATL benefiting from collaborations with tech giants like Xiaomi and Huawei [3][21]. - The lithium battery sector is expected to see a positive outlook, with production forecasted to exceed 130 GWh in July, marking a nearly 40% year-on-year increase [4][35]. - The photovoltaic industry is facing challenges due to overcapacity and competition, but recent government measures aim to optimize supply and stabilize the market [5][25]. Summary by Sections New Energy Vehicle Supply Chain - The downstream landscape is evolving, with companies like CATL collaborating with automakers to enhance production efficiency and shorten delivery times [3][27]. - The launch of Xiaomi's YU7 has exceeded expectations, indicating a shift in consumer behavior towards valuing emotional and intelligent experiences in vehicles [21][22]. Lithium Battery Sector - The lithium battery production is projected to grow, with significant investments in high-end products and solid-state technologies [4][35]. - Companies like Fulin Precision and Enjie are expanding their production capabilities, focusing on high-performance lithium iron phosphate and solid-state battery materials [4][31]. Photovoltaic Industry - The photovoltaic sector is expected to confirm a mid-term bottom as supply-side optimization measures are implemented [5][25]. - Major glass manufacturers in the photovoltaic industry plan to reduce production by 30% starting in July to address overcapacity issues [5][25]. Offshore Market Opportunities - Leading companies like EVE Energy are investing in overseas projects, such as a new energy storage project in Malaysia worth up to 8.654 billion yuan [4][22]. - The establishment of independent pricing systems and production capacities in overseas markets is seen as a strategy to enhance profitability [4][22]. AI and New Energy Integration - The integration of AI with new energy sectors is highlighted, with companies exploring innovative applications and market breakthroughs [8][21]. - The report notes the acceleration of controlled nuclear fusion technology, with companies like CFS partnering with Google for future energy supply [8][34].

Macro Analysis - The recovery in U.S. non-farm employment in June 2025 shows concerns as government jobs contributed nearly half of the new jobs, raising doubts about sustainability [1] - Private sector employment weakened, with service sector job additions dropping from 141,000 to 68,000, indicating potential economic pressure from tariffs [1] - The probability of the Federal Reserve restarting interest rate cuts in the second half of the year remains significant [1] Tax Policy Impact - The successful implementation of the tax reduction bill may partially offset economic pressures from tariffs, but its limited impact suggests it will not provide strong stimulus [2] - The tax bill is expected to increase the U.S. government deficit by approximately $4 trillion over the next decade, exacerbating supply-demand mismatches in U.S. Treasury bonds [2] Trade Agreements - The U.S. is focusing on negotiating 10 trade agreements with Asian countries, with preliminary agreements reached with Vietnam and potential agreements with India, Malaysia, and Indonesia [3] - The deadline for negotiations has been extended to September 1, indicating a flexible approach from the U.S. government [3] REITs Market - As of June 30, 2025, the number of public REITs in China reached 68, with a total issuance scale of 177.06 billion yuan [4] - The secondary market for public REITs experienced a price correction but still achieved a positive return of 1.95% for the month [4] Credit Bonds - The total outstanding credit bonds in China reached 29.96 trillion yuan by the end of June 2025, with a monthly issuance of 1,316.36 billion yuan, reflecting a 62.65% increase month-on-month [5] - Credit spreads for various levels of local government bonds widened slightly compared to the previous month [5] Automotive Industry - In Q2 2025, Tesla's global delivery volume showed a recovery, while domestic competitors like Li Auto and NIO stabilized [12] - The Xiaomi YU7 has seen a surge in orders, prompting new energy vehicle companies to enhance their purchasing incentives [12] Chemical Industry - MXD6, a special nylon, exhibits high gas barrier properties and rigidity, with significant application potential in food packaging and automotive sectors [13] - The increasing production capacity of domestic manufacturers is expected to enhance the cost-effectiveness of MXD6 composite materials, expanding its market applications [13] Company Analysis - The report highlights the investment value of YUEJIANG (2432.HK), a leading global collaborative robot manufacturer, emphasizing its strong market position and technological advantages [14] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 500 million, 670 million, and 890 million yuan from 2024 to 2027, respectively, with an "accumulate" rating assigned [14]

2025 年 7 月 6 日 行业研究 2Q25 特斯拉交付环比修复，小米 YU7 订单火爆引发新势力购车权益加码 ——特斯拉与新势力 6 月销量跟踪报告 要点 2Q25 特斯拉全球交付量环比修复：2Q25 特斯拉全球交付量同比 -13.5%/环比 +14.1%至 38.4 万辆（Model 3+Y 同比-11.5%/环比+15.4%至 37.4 万辆）。 6 月理想交付同环比下滑，小鹏/蔚来环比企稳：1）理想交付量同比-24.1%/环 比-11.2%至 36,279 辆；2）小鹏交付量同比+224.4%/环比+3.2%至 34,611 辆； 3）蔚来交付量同比+17.5%/环比+7.3%至 24,925 辆（乐道 L60 交付环比+1.9% 至 6,400 辆、萤火虫交付环比+6.8%至 3,932 辆）。 小米 YU7 订单火爆引发国内新势力权益加码，小鹏 G7 上市差异化策略清晰： 特斯拉：国产 Model 3 后驱版和长续航版交付周期维持 1-3 周、高性能版交付 周期延长至 8-10 周（vs. 6 月为 1-3 周），焕新版 Model Y 交付周期缩短至 1-3 周（vs. 6 月为 2-5 周 ...

小米 YU7 上周发布上市，起售价为 25.35 万元，在发布会当晚仅用 3 分钟就突破了 20 万台大定量，数 据极为夸张，刷新了行业认知。 小米 YU7 是围绕小米人车家战略的产品，车上预留了多个 IoT 硬件适配口以及配件放置位，其中，光 磁吸点位就多达 16 个，甚至在中控屏幕后面的仪表台上，都专门为纸巾盒做了一个磁吸点。 该点位配套的「车载磁吸纸巾盒」目前已经在小米汽车 App 商城上架，售价 169 元。 据了解，这款 Xiaomi Life 车载磁吸纸巾盒是专门为车内环境而设计的。其塑料部件和 14 块磁铁均选用 耐高低温材料，在座舱仪表台上可以抗住 95℃ 的夏季暴晒，-30℃ 的严寒条件不变形或退磁。 不过，大众普遍认为这个纸巾盒定价过于昂贵，并在网上开始热议起来，昨晚雷军在返场直播中回应了 这个问题。 他表示，这个纸巾盒在设计的时候，材质、制作工艺比较复杂，刚开始过不了车规的测试。后来又改材 质和胶，弄得成本巨高无比。大家可能不知道，它放的那个位置，我们在吐鲁番的时候是 90℃，一般 胶的盒子肯定给你晒化了。 最后，雷军还是觉得定价过于高昂，表示会逼内部进一步去降低成本。 我觉得吧，在小米 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights the frequent release of new products by companies like Xiaomi and Honor, emphasizing the importance of the domestic production process for new materials [5][6] - The Chinese government is supporting equipment upgrades in the petrochemical and chemical industries with a funding of 200 billion yuan, which is expected to accelerate the modernization of these sectors [5][6] - The introduction of new products, such as Xiaomi's first SUV and Honor's latest smartphones, is seen as a significant advancement in China's consumer electronics sector, potentially driving the domestic supply chain and high-end material development [6][9] Group 2 - The report indicates that the securities sector may experience upward momentum after a period of consolidation, with technical indicators showing positive trends [11][12] - The Shanghai Composite Index has shown resilience, maintaining above key moving averages despite recent fluctuations, suggesting potential for further gains [19][20] - The report notes that large capital inflows into the market indicate strong buying interest, which may support continued upward movement in the securities sector [15][19] Group 3 - The report tracks industry performance, noting that the petrochemical index has underperformed compared to the broader market, while the basic chemical index has outperformed [7][22] - Specific sub-sectors such as membrane materials and other plastic products have shown significant price increases, indicating strong demand and potential investment opportunities [7][22] - The report emphasizes the importance of selecting resilient and advantageous sectors within the chemical industry, particularly those benefiting from supply-side reforms and domestic production initiatives [9][10]

张浩 资格编号：S0120524070001 邮箱：zhanghao3＠tebon.com.cn 研究助理 相关研究 从苏超、Labubu 等爆品看提振消费 ——关于提振消费问题的再思考 [Table_Summary] 投资要点： 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和法律声明 [Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 宏观专题 宏观专题 证券分析师 2025 年 07 月 02 日 当前市场对消费领域较为关注：1）经济短期面临经贸斗争扰动，中长期面临低通 胀挑战，临近 7 月政治局会如何进一步提振消费值得关注。2）今年消费数据表现 强势离不开以旧换新及财政政策的支持，政策力度若边际下降是否会再次出现消 费不足的特征？3）今年以来新消费百花齐放，苏超、Labubu、哪吒 2 等均有现象 级表现，与传统消费有一定分化，如何理解这一现象的宏观逻辑，对后续提振消费 有何启示？ 我国已经进入品质消费时代，当前市场对消费领域较为关注。我们在 2 月外发《关 于提振消费问题的一些再思考》报告中通过对居民消费行为的划分，详细介绍了中 国消费市场的变化，在经历了三轮模仿型排浪式消费浪潮、2010 年后的消费升级 时代后，如今我国逐 ...

2025 年 7 月 2 日 招银国际环球市场 | 市场策略 | 招财日报 每日投资策略 行业点评 全球市场观察 招银国际研究部 邮件：research@cmbi.com.hk | 环球主要股市上日表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 收市价 | | 升跌（%） | | | | 单日 | 年内 | | 恒生指数 | 24,072 | -0.87 | 41.21 | | 恒生国企 | 8,678 | -0.96 | 50.44 | | 恒生科技 | 5,303 | -0.72 | 40.87 | | 上证综指 | 3,444 | 0.59 | 15.78 | | 深证综指 | 2,075 | 1.09 | 12.90 | | 深圳创业板 | 2,153 | 1.35 | 13.83 | | 美国道琼斯 | 44,095 | 0.63 | 16.99 | | 美国标普 500 | 6,205 | 0.52 | 30.09 | | 美国纳斯达克 | 20,370 | 0.47 | 35.70 | | 德国 DAX | 23,910 | -0.51 | 42.73 | | ...

雷军敬重特斯拉在技术上的首屈一指，马斯克无法忽视小米复刻了特斯拉的高光。 撰文|蓝洞商业 赵卫卫 「小米YU7 =（已取消）Apple Car。」 这是一条美国科技媒体 The Verge 文章下的用户留言，文章的标题是《小米 YU7 给特斯拉在中国带来麻烦》。 这篇文章发布于今年 5 月，收获了比过往小米产品报道更多的评论。那时小米 15 周年战略新品发布会上，雷军剧透了一个月之后上市的第一款 SUV 产品 ——小米 YU7，对标全球汽车销冠特斯拉 Model Y 的意图明显。 雷军也在微博上转发了这个消息，称特斯拉 FSD 引领了行业趋势，「我们还要继续学习」。 雷军敬重特斯拉在技术上的首屈一指，马斯克也无法忽视小米复刻了特斯拉的辉煌。 而特斯拉的无人驾驶出租车 Robotaxi，也在 6 月正式小规模运营。在美国德克萨斯州奥斯汀，不到 20 辆搭载全自动驾驶软件的 Model Y，开始为一小片 区域内的成年用户提供打车服务，每次费用 4.2 美元，但为了安全， Robotaxi 前排座位配备了安全员。 外媒 The Verge 对 Robotaxi 的表现并不满意，整理了社交媒体上用户对 Robotax ...