证券研究报告 | 2025年11月25日 | 晨会纪要 | | --- | | 数据日期:2025-11-24 | 上证综指 | 深证成指沪深 | 300 指数 | 中小板综指 | 创业板综指 | 科创 50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘指数（点） | 3836.76 | 12585.08 | 4448.04 | 13630.96 | 3659.77 | 1296.60 | | 涨跌幅度（%） | 0.04 | 0.37 | -0.12 | 0.79 | 1.30 | 0.83 | | 成交金额（亿元） | 7155.39 | 10122.34 | 4258.07 | 3474.06 | 4762.16 | 508.27 | 晨会主题 【常规内容】 宏观与策略 宏观快评:9 月非农数据点评-迟来的指引，摇摆的降息 行业与公司 社服行业专题:连锁餐饮 11 月跟踪：推荐火锅产业链龙头 非银行业快评:近期证券业并购对行业长期影响分析-券业整合 2.0 开 启，行业长期格局优化 家电行业周报（25 年第 47 周）：10 月家电内外销表现承压， ...

Core Viewpoint - Xiaopeng Motors achieved significant growth in Q3 2025, with a 102% year-on-year increase in revenue and a 149.3% increase in vehicle sales, indicating strong market demand and successful product launches [3][8]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Xiaopeng Motors reported total revenue of 203.8 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 101.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.5% [3][9]. - The net profit for Q3 2025 was -3.8 billion RMB, an improvement from -18.1 billion RMB in the same period last year and -4.8 billion RMB in Q2 2025 [3][9]. - The automotive sales revenue for Q3 2025 was 180.5 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 105.3% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 6.9% [4][9]. - Service and other income reached 23.3 billion RMB in Q3 2025, up 78.1% year-on-year and 67.3% quarter-on-quarter [4][9]. Cost Management and Profitability - Xiaopeng Motors improved its gross margin to 20.1% in Q3 2025, up 4.9 percentage points year-on-year and 2.8 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [4][10]. - The net margin for Q3 2025 was -1.9%, an improvement of 16.0 percentage points year-on-year and 0.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [4][10]. - R&D expense ratio decreased to 11.9%, down 4.3 percentage points year-on-year, while sales, general, and administrative expense ratio was 12.2%, down 3.9 percentage points year-on-year [4][10]. Sales and Delivery Guidance - Xiaopeng Motors sold 116,000 vehicles in Q3 2025, a 149.3% increase year-on-year and a 12.4% increase quarter-on-quarter [5][13]. - The company delivered 42,000 vehicles in October 2025, marking a 76% year-on-year increase [5][13]. - For Q4 2025, the company expects to deliver between 125,000 and 132,000 vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 36.6% to 44.3% [5][13]. Technological Advancements - On November 5, 2025, Xiaopeng Motors showcased its advancements in physical AI at the 2025 Xiaopeng Technology Day, including the second-generation VLA system and plans for autonomous driving taxis [6][18]. - The second-generation VLA system integrates vision and language processing, enhancing the efficiency of autonomous driving capabilities [19][20]. - Xiaopeng Motors plans to launch three Robotaxi models in 2026, utilizing a vision-based approach without reliance on LiDAR or high-definition maps [26][28]. Product Development - The new generation IRON humanoid robot features advanced design and capabilities, including 82 degrees of freedom and the ability to perform complex movements [31][32]. - The IRON robot will utilize a solid-state battery for improved safety and efficiency, and it will be deployed in commercial scenarios such as guiding and inspection [33][34].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transformation of AI from the digital realm to the physical world, marking the emergence of the "Physical AI" era, with XPeng Motors as a leading representative in this trend [3][10][35]. Group 1: AI Transformation - The AI landscape is evolving from traditional concepts like "models, computing power, and algorithms" to exploring the relationship between AI and the physical world [2][6]. - The shift towards "Physical AI" signifies a new frontier where AI technologies are integrated into real-world applications, such as autonomous driving and robotics [7][10]. Group 2: XPeng's Strategic Shift - XPeng has redefined its corporate positioning from a "future mobility explorer" to a "global embodied intelligence company," reflecting its focus on Physical AI [4][24]. - The market has responded positively to this repositioning, with XPeng's stock experiencing significant gains following announcements related to its Physical AI strategy [4][34]. Group 3: Market Trends and Valuation - The capital market has shown enthusiasm for AI-related stocks, with companies like NVIDIA reaching a market capitalization of over $5 trillion, indicating strong investor confidence in digital AI [5][6]. - Observers note a shift in focus towards how AI impacts the real world, suggesting that the next phase of competition will center on the practical applications of AI technologies [6][11]. Group 4: XPeng's Product Innovations - XPeng showcased its advancements in Physical AI products, including the second-generation VLA model, which enhances autonomous driving capabilities [13][14]. - The company plans to launch multiple Robotaxi models and a new generation of humanoid robots by 2026, indicating a robust product pipeline in the Physical AI domain [16][20]. Group 5: Global Expansion and Market Position - XPeng has accelerated its global expansion, entering new markets in Europe and Southeast Asia, and achieving significant growth in overseas deliveries [29][30]. - The company aims to position itself as a leader in the global electric vehicle market, leveraging its advancements in Physical AI to differentiate itself from competitors like Tesla [32][34].

Group 1 - Zhang Jizhong is accused of embezzlement by Hunan Meihouwang Film and Television Co., Ltd., with claims of a significant amount involved [2] - Zhang claims the accusations are false and part of a long-standing harassment by his ex-wife, asserting that previous allegations were also unfounded [2] Group 2 - Yu Donglai stated that Pang Donglai has no plans for large-scale development or an IPO, aiming instead to become a school-like enterprise focused on cultural and business exchanges [3] Group 3 - Former Tmall International beauty head, Yang Xiaomei, has joined Sam's Club as Vice President of Procurement and Operations, indicating a trend of Alibaba employees moving to Sam's [4] Group 4 - Apple is reportedly set to launch a low-cost MacBook and a foldable iPhone by 2026, with the MacBook priced below 7100 yuan [7] - Apple is tightening control over its offline channels, prohibiting authorized dealers from collaborating with e-commerce platforms to maintain pricing and channel order [7] Group 5 - Weima Automobile has relaunched its Xiao Wei app, restoring key functionalities for vehicle control and information synchronization [8] Group 6 - Xiaopeng Motors showcased its new humanoid robot, IRON, which features advanced mobility and is set for mass production by the end of 2026 [16] Group 7 - JD.com has launched its first "National Good Car," the Aion UT super, with production ramping up to meet demand ahead of its official sale [18] - Mercedes-Benz has officially launched its pure electric CLA model, offering two variants with advanced features and technology [20] Group 8 - The Chinese passenger car market saw retail sales of 2.387 million units in October, a year-on-year increase of 6%, with new energy vehicles accounting for 58.7% of the market [24] - TrendForce predicts that global solid-state battery demand will reach 740 GWh by 2035, driven by various applications including electric vehicles and consumer electronics [25]