小鹏 M03

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小鹏汽车-W(09868):二季度汽车毛利率改善,后续新车周期依旧较强
Ping An Securities· 2025-08-21 04:04
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaopeng Motors (9868.HK) with a target price of HKD 80.45, indicating a strong potential for stock performance in the upcoming months [1][13]. Core Insights - Xiaopeng Motors reported a significant improvement in gross margins for its automotive business in Q2 2025, with a gross margin of 14.3%, an increase of nearly 4 percentage points quarter-over-quarter. The company also achieved a delivery volume of 103,181 units, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 241.6% [3][6]. - The company’s revenue for Q2 2025 reached CNY 18.27 billion, marking a year-over-year increase of 125.3% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 15.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of CNY 480 million, which narrowed by 62.8% year-over-year [3][6]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Projections**: Expected revenues for 2025 are projected at CNY 81.97 billion, with a year-over-year growth rate of 100.6% [5][11]. - **Net Profit Forecast**: The net profit forecast for 2025 is a loss of CNY 1.21 billion, improving to a profit of CNY 2.28 billion by 2026 and CNY 4.68 billion by 2027 [5][11]. - **Gross Margin Trends**: The gross margin is expected to improve from 14.3% in 2025 to 18.9% by 2027, indicating a positive trend in profitability [5][11]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: The EPS is projected to improve from -CNY 3.04 in 2024 to CNY 2.46 by 2027 [5][11]. Delivery and ASP Insights - The average selling price (ASP) of vehicles increased to CNY 164,000, attributed to a decrease in the proportion of lower-priced models and an increase in higher-priced models [6]. - The company has provided guidance for Q3 2025 deliveries between 113,000 to 118,000 units, with expected revenue between CNY 19.6 billion to CNY 21 billion [6]. Strategic Developments - Xiaopeng Motors is focusing on enhancing product design and has initiated pre-sales for the new generation P7, which has already surpassed previous models in pre-order numbers. The company plans to launch the X9 model, marking the start of a new product cycle [7][6]. - The collaboration with Volkswagen on electronic and electrical architecture is expected to boost service and other income, with Q2 2025 service revenue at CNY 1.39 billion [6]. Conclusion - The report indicates a strong outlook for Xiaopeng Motors, driven by improving margins, increasing ASP, and a robust product pipeline. The company is positioned to capitalize on its strategic initiatives and market trends in the automotive sector [6][7].
汽车和汽车零部件行业周报:乘用车需求向好 智驾下沉与高端跃迁共振
Minsheng Securities· 2025-06-09 00:30
汽车和汽车零部件行业周报 20250608 乘用车需求向好 智驾下沉与高端跃迁共振 2025 年 06 月 08 日 ➢ 本周数据:2025 年 5 月第 5 周(5.26-6.1)乘用车销量 46.6 万辆,同比 +18.3%,环比+16.7%;新能源乘用车销量 24.7 万辆,同比+30.1%,环比 +11.6%;新能源渗透率 53.1%,环比-2.4pct。 ➢ 本周行情:汽车板块本周表现弱于市场。本周(6 月 3 日-6 月 6 日)A 股汽 车板块下跌 0.01%,在申万子行业中排名第 25 位,表现弱于沪深 300(0.96%)。 细分板块中,摩托车及其他、汽车服务、汽车零部件分别上涨 2.66%、0.92%、 0.48%,乘用车、商用载客车、商用载货车分别下跌 0.12%、2.67%、5.93%。 ➢ 本周观点:本月建议关注核心组合【吉利汽车、比亚迪、小鹏汽车、小米集 团、伯特利、拓普集团、新泉股份、沪光股份、春风动力】。 ➢ 智驾下沉与高端跃迁共振,看好智驾加速落地。2025 年 5 月 28 日小鹏 M03 加推 Max 版(含 502km/600km 续航)及 Plus 版,上市 1 小时 ...
乘用车需求向好,智驾下沉与高端跃迁共振
Minsheng Securities· 2025-06-08 15:31
汽车和汽车零部件行业周报 20250608 乘用车需求向好 智驾下沉与高端跃迁共振 2025 年 06 月 08 日 ➢ 本周数据:2025 年 5 月第 5 周(5.26-6.1)乘用车销量 46.6 万辆,同比 +18.3%,环比+16.7%;新能源乘用车销量 24.7 万辆,同比+30.1%,环比 +11.6%;新能源渗透率 53.1%,环比-2.4pct。 ➢ 本周行情:汽车板块本周表现弱于市场。本周(6 月 3 日-6 月 6 日)A 股汽 车板块下跌 0.01%,在申万子行业中排名第 25 位,表现弱于沪深 300(0.96%)。 细分板块中,摩托车及其他、汽车服务、汽车零部件分别上涨 2.66%、0.92%、 0.48%,乘用车、商用载客车、商用载货车分别下跌 0.12%、2.67%、5.93%。 ➢ 本周观点:本月建议关注核心组合【吉利汽车、比亚迪、小鹏汽车、小米集 团、伯特利、拓普集团、新泉股份、沪光股份、春风动力】。 ➢ 智驾下沉与高端跃迁共振,看好智驾加速落地。2025 年 5 月 28 日小鹏 M03 加推 Max 版(含 502km/600km 续航)及 Plus 版,上市 1 小时 ...
小鹏汽车-W:公司公告点评:24Q4营收攀新高,强势产品周期+技术降本持续推动量利双升-20250320
海通国际· 2025-03-20 11:13
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative performance exceeding the benchmark index by over 10% in the next 12-18 months [2][8]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 40.87 billion RMB in 2024, representing a 33% year-over-year increase, with Q4 revenue reaching 16.11 billion RMB, up 23% year-over-year and 59% quarter-over-quarter [8]. - The net loss for 2024 was narrowed to 5.79 billion RMB, with Q4 net loss at 1.33 billion RMB, showing improvement [8]. - Vehicle sales revenue in Q4 was 14.67 billion RMB, up 20% year-over-year and 67% quarter-over-quarter, driven by increased deliveries of 92,000 units, which is a 52% year-over-year and 97% quarter-over-quarter increase [8]. - The company is expected to continue strong performance in 2025, with a forecast of 91,000-93,000 vehicle deliveries in Q1, representing a year-over-year increase of 317%-326% [8]. Financial Data and Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 90.83 billion RMB, 130.71 billion RMB, and 152.66 billion RMB respectively, with net profits expected to be -1.2 billion RMB, 2.9 billion RMB, and 6.5 billion RMB [2][8]. - The gross profit margin (GPM) improved to 14.3% in 2024, up 12.8 percentage points year-over-year, with Q4 GPM at 14.4% [8]. - The company plans to expand its global presence, targeting over 60 countries by the end of 2025, with a goal for overseas sales to account for 50% of total sales in the next 10 years [8]. Valuation - The report uses the Price-to-Sales (PS) method for valuation, estimating PS ratios of 1.8, 1.3, and 1.1 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8]. - The target price is set at 103.90 HKD, based on a PS of 2.0 times for 2025 [8].