汽零业务稳健，布局机器人和低空新赛道 富维股份(600742) 富维股份首次覆盖 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘一鸣(分析师) | 021-23154145 | liuyiming@gtht.com | S0880525040050 | 本报告导读： 汽零主业保持稳健增长；同时布局人形机器人和低空经济领域业务 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 20,766 | 19,636 | 20,872 | 22,062 | 23,165 | | (+/-)% | 4.0% | -5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | | 净利润(归母) | 521 | 509 | 630 | 699 | 775 | | (+/-)% | -4.4% | -2.3% | 23.8% | 10.9% | 10 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company established a wholly-owned subsidiary, Changzhou Xinquan Intelligent Robot Co., Ltd., with an investment of 100 million yuan, focusing on the research, design, manufacturing, and sales of intelligent robot components, which is expected to drive future growth [1] - The company is actively expanding its global footprint, with ongoing construction of production bases in Mexico and Slovakia, and is targeting mid-to-high-end foreign and joint venture brand clients [2] - The acquisition of Anhui Ruqi, a company specializing in automotive seating components, is expected to enhance the company's product offerings and integrate existing capabilities in interior systems [3] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 11.41 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 620 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9% [1] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.95 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15%, and a net profit of 200 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 27% [1] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 15.6%, down 1.2 percentage points from the previous quarter, while the net profit margin was 5.0%, down 0.3 percentage points [2] Profit Forecast - The company is expected to benefit from its global expansion and entry into the robotics sector, with projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 being 1 billion yuan, 1.27 billion yuan, and 1.56 billion yuan, respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 36, 29, and 23 times [3]

Core Viewpoint - Bohai Automobile (sh600960) experienced a significant stock price increase, reaching a limit up of 5.1 yuan, with a rise of 9.91%, and a total market capitalization of 4.848 billion yuan, attributed to major asset restructuring, industry chain integration, and business expansion [1] Group 1: Business Transformation and Asset Restructuring - The company is undergoing a critical phase of business transformation and asset restructuring, planning to acquire equity in four automotive parts companies for 2.728 billion yuan, which will significantly expand its business scale [1] - The transaction includes a performance compensation agreement with the counterpart, reducing the risk of underperformance, and the counterpart is the controlling shareholder, Haina Chuan, indicating strong support for the company's development [1] Group 2: Industry Chain Enhancement - The acquisition will add new businesses such as automotive exterior parts and seat frames, enhancing the company's industry chain layout, and it will raise 1.379 billion yuan for production line upgrades and R&D capability enhancement, which is beneficial for improving the company's overall competitiveness [1] - The automotive parts industry is currently experiencing positive development trends, and the market is paying more attention to companies with complete industry chains and expansion capabilities, aligning Bohai Automobile's initiatives with industry development trends [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Stock Performance - Although specific data on capital flow and technical aspects are not yet available, the positive news regarding major asset restructuring is expected to attract market capital attention [1] - In the automotive parts sector, if other related stocks perform well, it may create a sectoral linkage effect, further driving up Bohai Automobile's stock price [1]

Core Insights - Tiancheng Zikong (603085.SH) has received a project confirmation from a leading domestic electric vehicle manufacturer for passenger car seat assembly, marking a significant recognition of the company's innovation, R&D capabilities, product quality, and full supply chain support [1] Group 1: Project Details - The project is expected to commence mass production in June 2026, with a lifecycle of three years and an estimated total supply of 540,000 passenger vehicles during this period [1] - This collaboration signifies the company's ongoing expansion and deepening presence in the passenger vehicle market, which is crucial for enhancing its influence and market share in this sector [1] Group 2: Business Implications - The project will significantly contribute to the company's stable and sustainable development, as it continues to actively explore the passenger car seat market and strengthen its positioning in this business area [1] - The company's passenger car seat business includes key components such as complete car seats, seat frames, sliding tracks, angle adjusters, height pumps, and motors, which are essential for enhancing competitiveness and influence in the market [1] - Accumulated service experience, customer resources, and improved technological innovation capabilities will further bolster the company's competitive edge and business development in the passenger car seat sector [1]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call of Xingyuan Zhuomei Company Overview - Xingyuan Zhuomei is one of the few high-tech enterprises in China capable of developing a full range of magnesium alloy precision castings, with products supplied to renowned brands such as Tesla, BMW, and Audi [2][4] - The company was established in 2003 and went public on the A-share Growth Enterprise Market in December 2022 [4] Industry Insights - The magnesium alloy market is positioned to gradually replace aluminum in various applications, particularly in the robotics sector, as the industry develops [2][5] - Magnesium alloys are currently less utilized in robotics due to manufacturers' uncertainty regarding material performance, but they have significant potential for future adoption [2][7] - In the automotive sector, magnesium alloys are already widely used in interior components and can replace aluminum parts, leading to cost reductions [11] Financial Performance - The company's overall gross margin is maintained at around 30%, benefiting from high-value parts and export products [3][21] - The completion of a recent capital increase is expected to significantly enhance production capacity, with a new factory projected to be operational by Q1 2026 [3][22] Product Development and Supply Chain - The company is currently focused on producing motor housings for clients such as Zhiji, Jike, and BYD, with a customization design cycle of 6 months to 1 year [14][15] - The time from order receipt to product delivery and testing typically spans 6 months to 1 year, with ongoing efforts to improve yield rates [15][16] Market Trends and Future Outlook - Magnesium alloy applications are expanding beyond high-end vehicles to more affordable models, with brands like Geely and BYD beginning to adopt these materials [17] - The company anticipates significant growth in demand for motor housings and display backs in the next two years, indicating a robust market outlook [18][28] - Future large parts such as door inner panels and seat frames are expected to penetrate the market rapidly, with existing orders already in place [19][20] Technological Advancements - The company is utilizing a 6,000-ton magnesium alloy die-casting machine, which is among the largest in the industry, to produce large automotive components [25] - Semi-solid forming technology is being adopted in the new factory, which is expected to improve surface quality and internal structure [26] Challenges and Considerations - The development of thick base plates faces challenges related to material strength, but advancements in alloy formulations are expected to address these issues in the near future [12] - The company is also exploring opportunities in the two-wheeled electric vehicle market, although it is still in the early stages of development [27] Competitive Landscape - The company is accelerating its layout in Thailand to recover lost orders in North America due to trade tensions, which is expected to contribute to growth [30] - The magnesium supply landscape is stable, with major producers like Baowu Group holding a significant market share, ensuring that production demands can be met even with increased demand [29] Conclusion - Xingyuan Zhuomei is well-positioned for growth in the magnesium alloy market, with a strong focus on innovation, expanding applications, and a solid financial foundation. The company is optimistic about future demand and technological advancements that will enhance its competitive edge in the industry [28]

Core Insights - The company, Tianrong Tianyu, is focusing on the automotive supply sector, expanding its product categories and establishing deep relationships with clients [1] - The company has diversified its customer base, reducing reliance on a single automaker by securing numerous clients from European, Japanese, and domestic new energy vehicle manufacturers [1] - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved 96 new product varieties and 4 increased production product varieties, which are expected to generate an additional annual sales revenue of 160 million yuan upon mass production [1] Company Strategy - The company is continuously optimizing costs and enhancing competitiveness in core technology areas such as chassis, shock absorbers, passive safety, electronic control, thermal management, and seat frames [1] - The automotive business primarily serves leading tier-one suppliers and is steadily expanding its order scale with domestic automakers [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tiancheng Zikong (603085.SH) has received a project confirmation from a leading domestic automotive company for passenger car seat assembly, marking a significant recognition of its innovation, R&D capabilities, and product quality [1] Group 1: Project Details - The project is set to begin mass production in April 2026 and will have a lifecycle of three years, with an expected total supply of 153,000 passenger vehicles [1] - This collaboration signifies the company's ongoing expansion and deepening presence in the passenger car market [1] Group 2: Strategic Importance - The project is crucial for consolidating and enhancing the company's influence in the passenger car sector, which is expected to boost its market share in the passenger car seat business [1] - The company plans to continue actively expanding its passenger car seat market and strengthen its positioning in this business area [1] Group 3: Business Overview - The company's passenger car seat business includes complete car seats and core components such as seat frames, sliding tracks, angle adjusters, height pumps, and motors [1] - Accumulated service experience, customer resources, and enhanced technological innovation capabilities will further strengthen the company's competitiveness and influence in the passenger car seat sector [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Views - The company is actively expanding its customer base and steadily advancing its global layout, with a revenue of 7.5 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 21% [1]. - The company has benefited from overseas market expansion and a diversified customer structure, achieving a revenue of 3.9 billion yuan in Q2 2025, which is a 26% increase year-on-year and a 12% increase quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. - The acquisition of Anhui Ruqi has enabled the company to enter the seating sector, integrating its existing dashboard and door panel business with Ruqi's seating capabilities to form a complete interior system solution [3]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's net profit attributable to shareholders was 420 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3% [1]. - The sales gross margin for Q2 2025 was 16.8%, a decrease of 2.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to the loss from the consolidation of Wuhu Ruqi [2]. - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.2 billion yuan, 1.5 billion yuan, and 1.9 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 20, 16, and 13 times [3]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company expects revenue to grow from 10.57 billion yuan in 2023 to 25.89 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 23% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to increase from 806 million yuan in 2023 to 1.87 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of around 21.8% [4].

Core Viewpoint - Tiancheng Control's passenger car seat business is rapidly expanding, with significant project wins and a strong growth trajectory in revenue and market share [1][2]. Group 1: Project Developments - Tiancheng Control's subsidiary Zhengzhou Tiancheng has been designated as a key supplier for a passenger car seat assembly project by a well-known domestic automotive company, with production expected to start in October 2025 and a project lifecycle of five years, supplying approximately 75,600 vehicles [1]. - The company has a robust project pipeline, having received multiple project designations, including a core component project for a joint venture automotive company expected to start production in December 2025, with a lifecycle supply of 433,500 vehicles [2]. - Additional project designations include a passenger car seat assembly project for another domestic carmaker, expected to start in January 2025, supplying 50,000 vehicles, and two projects from major domestic car manufacturers with production starting in mid-2025 and early 2026, supplying 450,000 and 500,000 vehicles respectively [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, Tiancheng Control achieved a revenue of 2.23 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 56.27%, with passenger car seat sales contributing 1.054 billion yuan, a significant increase of 122.79%, making it the company's largest business segment [1]. Group 3: Capacity and Expansion - The company operates multiple passenger car seat factories in Zhengzhou, Ningde, and Tiantai, and is currently developing new production bases in Wuhan, Chuzhou, and Jinan [2]. - Tiancheng Control aims to become one of the top three passenger car seat suppliers in the industry, targeting an annual production and sales scale of over 2 million sets and a market share exceeding 10% [2]. Group 4: Globalization Efforts - The company is accelerating its global expansion, having established a new subsidiary in Singapore and planning to set up wholly-owned subsidiaries and production bases in Thailand, Malaysia, and the United States [3]. - The Thai production base is in the final stages of setup, with equipment testing completed and management personnel in place, aiming for smooth production commencement [3]. Group 5: Funding and Investment - In March 2024, the company announced a fundraising plan to raise up to 892 million yuan for the construction of intelligent production bases in Thailand and Wuhan, as well as for upgrading the group's information system and supplementing working capital [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 met expectations, with revenue of 13.3 billion and a year-on-year increase of 25%, while net profit attributable to shareholders reached 980 million, up 21% year-on-year [1]. - The company is expanding into the seating sector through the acquisition of Anhui Ruqi, enhancing its product offerings and customer base [3]. - The company is benefiting from the growth in domestic new energy vehicle sales, which increased by 36% in 2024 and 47% in Q1 2025 [1]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company reported revenue of 133 billion, a 25% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 9.8 billion, up 21% year-on-year [1]. - In Q1 2025, revenue was 35 billion, reflecting a 15% year-on-year growth, while net profit was 2.1 billion, a 4% increase year-on-year [1]. - The company's gross profit margin for 2024 was 17.5%, down 3.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 7.9%, up 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 1.38 billion, 1.73 billion, and 2.18 billion, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15, 12, and 9 [3]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is actively expanding its global footprint, with ongoing construction of production bases in Mexico and Slovakia, and is targeting high-end foreign and joint venture brand clients [1]. - The acquisition of Anhui Ruqi is expected to integrate seating assembly capabilities with existing product lines, creating a comprehensive interior system solution [3]. - The company has established strong partnerships with major automotive brands such as Chery, Li Auto, BYD, and NIO, which supports future product expansion [3].