Core Insights - Bloomberg is the first global index provider to include Chinese bonds in mainstream global indices, offering a unique perspective on the Chinese bond market through the Bloomberg China Fixed Income Index series [3] - The Bloomberg China Aggregate Index recorded a return of -0.14% in July, with a year-to-date return of 0.73%, while the 30-day volatility increased during this period [5][7] - The China Treasury and Policy Banks Index had a return of -0.17% in July, with a year-to-date return of 0.60% [5][7] - The China USD Credit (Kungfu) Index achieved a return of 0.33% in July, leading to a year-to-date return of 4.57% [5][7] Index Performance Summary - The China Aggregate Index (I08271CN) had a monthly return of -0.14% and a year-to-date return of 0.73% [7] - The China Treasury Index (I08273CN) recorded a monthly return of -0.21% and a year-to-date return of 0.69% [7] - The China Corporate Index (I08275CN) showed a monthly return of 0.06% and a year-to-date return of 1.10% [7] - The 10+ Year Maturity Index (I08283CN) had a monthly return of -0.70% and a year-to-date return of 1.52% [7] Market Outlook - The U.S.-China yield spread may remain wide, potentially supporting the USD/CNY exchange rate, with expectations of one to two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve by year-end [13] - The option-adjusted spread (OAS) for Chinese high-yield bonds is near historical lows, indicating minimal difference in returns between high-yield and investment-grade bonds [13] - Both investment-grade and high-yield bonds recorded positive returns in the first half of the year, with increased participation from "southbound" investors [13]

Core Insights - Bloomberg is the first global index provider to include Chinese bonds in mainstream global indices, offering a unique perspective on the Chinese bond market [1] - The Bloomberg China Aggregate Index recorded a return of 0.47% in June, with a year-to-date return of 0.87% [3][5] - The 30-day volatility of the index has shown a downward trend during this period [3] Index Performance - The China Treasury and Policy Banks Index achieved a return of 0.48% in June, with a year-to-date return of 0.76% [5] - The performance of various indices is as follows: - China Aggregate Index: -0.01% (1D), 0.47% (MTD), 0.87% (YTD) [5] - China Treasuries: -0.04% (1D), 0.60% (MTD), 0.91% (YTD) [5] - China Corporate: 0.03% (1D), 0.28% (MTD), 1.04% (YTD) [5] - 10+ Year Maturity: -0.13% (1D), 1.30% (MTD), 2.23% (YTD) [5] Market Outlook - The yield spread between US and Chinese 10-year government bonds has widened due to market concerns over US debt credibility, although it has narrowed since the trade "truce" in April [11] - The upcoming third-quarter US-China trade negotiations may shift market focus back to macroeconomic drivers, potentially affecting capital inflows into Chinese government bonds [11] - The return rate for high-rated dollar bonds in Asian emerging markets is approximately 3% year-to-date, driven mainly by benchmark yields [11]

Core Insights - Bloomberg is the first global index provider to include Chinese bonds in mainstream global indices, offering a unique perspective on the Chinese bond market [1] - The Bloomberg China Aggregate Index recorded a return of -0.01% in May, with a year-to-date return of 0.41% [3][5] - The Chinese government bonds and policy bank bonds index saw a return of -0.14% in May, with a year-to-date return of 0.28% in local currency [3][5] Index Performance - The China Aggregate Index (I08271CN) had a 1-day return of 0.06%, a month-to-date return of -0.01%, and a year-to-date return of 0.41% [5] - The China Treasury and Policy Banks Index (I32561CN) recorded a 1-day return of 0.10%, a month-to-date return of -0.14%, and a year-to-date return of 0.28% [5] - The China Corporate Index (I08275CN) achieved a year-to-date return of 0.76% [5] Market Trends - The Asian emerging market high-yield dollar bond index spread narrowed by nearly 130 basis points from the April peak of 5.63%, leading to a 1.42% increase in the index for May [9] - The yield curve of U.S. Treasuries is experiencing a "bull steepening," which may increase the hedging costs for RMB southbound investors in the dollar bond market [9] - Despite rising hedging costs in 2025, dollar bonds still offer a yield advantage of 44.5 basis points compared to the domestic market priced in RMB [9]

彭博是全球首家将中国债券纳入全球主流指数的指数提供商。彭博中国固定收益指数系 列作为衡量中国债券市场的旗舰指数，为全球投资者提供了清晰且独特视角和观察。 《彭博中国固定收益指数月报》 由彭博指数团队和彭博行业研究分析师共同撰写，为 您呈现月度指数回顾、短期宏观经济和债市展望。 4月关键洞察 彭博中国固定 扫码阅读本期全文，您可了解以下指数4月表现： 所有待偿期限指数回报 彭博中国高流动性信用债（LCC）指数 中资美元信用债（功夫债）指数 中资美元信用债评级加权指数、中国综合指数评级加权指数 彭博行业研究观点 收益指数月报 2025年4月 彭博指数团队与彭博行业研究联合发布 彭博中国综合指数（衡量中国债券市场的旗舰指数）本月末录得正回报。在连续两个月录得 负回报后，中国综合指数4月录得1.09%的回报，年至今回报率为0.42%。在此期间，其30天 波动率呈下降趋势。 中国国债和政策性银行债指数4月录得1.17%的回报。以本币计价，人民币年至今回报率为 0.42%，在全球综合指数所包含的27种货币中的排名下降至第24位（上月为第23位）；以美 元计价，人民币年至今回报率为0.92%，排名第26位，降至倒数第二。 ...

Core Insights - Bloomberg is the first global index provider to include Chinese bonds in mainstream global indices, offering a unique perspective on the Chinese bond market [1] - The Bloomberg China Aggregate Index recorded a return of -0.26% in March, following a -0.69% return in the previous month, with a year-to-date return of -0.66% [3][5] - The 30-day volatility of the index has been on the rise during this period [3] Index Performance - The China Treasury and Policy Banks Index recorded a return of -0.27% in March, with a year-to-date return of -0.74% [3][5] - The performance of various maturity indices shows mixed results, with the 1-3 Year Index at -0.24% year-to-date and the 10+ Year Index at -1.40% [5] - The China USD Credit (Kungfu) Index has shown a positive year-to-date return of 2.84%, indicating strong performance in the offshore market [5] Market Trends - Despite inflation effects from tariffs, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates five times by the end of the year, indicating a shift in focus towards market stability and unemployment rates [12] - Onshore high liquidity indices and dim sum bond indices have significantly lower yields compared to offshore indices, suggesting cost-saving opportunities for companies refinancing their dollar debts [12] - In February, the Chinese bond market saw an inflow of 69.8 billion RMB across all bond types, reflecting positive investor sentiment [12]