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基金市场一周观察(20250804-20250808):股债齐涨,小盘成长风格占优
CMS· 2025-08-09 15:38
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the equity market closed higher overall, with the CSI 1000 leading the way and the small - cap growth style outperforming. The bond market also trended upward, and the convertible bond market rose [1][2][6]. - Among the industries, non - ferrous metals, machinery, and national defense and military industries led the gains, while pharmaceuticals and consumer services declined [2][6][9]. - Active equity funds had an average return of 1.80%. For bond - type funds, short - term bond funds had an average return of 0.06%, medium - and long - term bond funds had an average return of 0.08%, and convertible bond funds and bond funds with equity exposure achieved positive average returns [1][2]. - This week, there were 3 new stocks listed, and no new stocks broke their issue prices on the first day of listing. The average return of sample new - stock subscription funds was 0.59%, and the new - stock subscription yield of an 800 - million - yuan account was 0.023% [2][37]. - As of August 6, 2025, the average returns of low - risk, medium - risk, and high - risk FOF funds in the sample in the past week were 0.22%, 0.37%, and 0.47% respectively [2]. - During the statistical period, equity - biased QDII and bond - type QDII funds rose by 0.34% and 0.52% on average, while index - type and other - type QDII funds fell by 0.30% and 0.45% on average. REITs funds fell by 0.31% on average this week [2]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review - The equity market closed higher overall this week, with the CSI 1000 leading the gains and the small - cap growth style outperforming. As of the close, the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 Index closed at 4105 points, up 1.23%; the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3635 points, up 2.11%; the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11129 points, up 1.25%; and the ChiNext Index closed at 2334 points, up 0.49%. In the Hong Kong stock market, the Hang Seng Index rose 1.43%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index rose 1.17% [6]. - In terms of industry performance, non - ferrous metals, machinery, and national defense and military industries led the gains, with increases of over 5%, while pharmaceuticals and consumer services declined [9]. - As of August 8, 2025, among the 5422 stocks in the A - share market, 4041 stocks rose this week. The number of rising stocks on the Beijing Stock Exchange, ChiNext, Science and Technology Innovation Board, and Main Board were 140, 1035, 421, and 2445 respectively [12]. 3.2 Key Fund Tracking 3.2.1 Active Equity - **Fund Performance**: The average return of the full - market funds in the sample this week was 1.80%. Funds with better performance were heavily invested in industries such as automobiles and machinery. For industry - themed funds, funds in the cyclical and mid - stream manufacturing sectors had leading average returns, while those in the pharmaceutical sector lagged behind [18][20]. - **Position Estimation**: This week, the positions of ordinary stock - type and partial - stock hybrid funds both increased. Compared with the previous week, the position of ordinary stock - type funds rose by 1.06 percentage points, and that of partial - stock hybrid funds rose by 2.19 percentage points. Actively managed partial - stock funds increased their allocations to cyclical, consumer, growth, and financial sectors and reduced their allocations to stable sectors. In terms of sub - industries, the allocations to household appliances, communications, and computers increased, while those to automobiles, electronics, and petroleum and petrochemicals decreased [23]. 3.2.2 Bond - type Funds - **Bond Market Performance**: This week, the bond market trended upward. The ChinaBond Total Wealth Index closed at 246.91, up 0.1% from last week; the ChinaBond Treasury Bond Index closed at 247.9, up 0.13%; and the ChinaBond Credit Bond Index closed at 224.18, up 0.09%. The CSI Non - Pure Bond Fund Index closed at 2229.59 on Thursday, up 0.45% from last Thursday. The CSI Convertible Bond Index closed at 467.77, with a weekly increase of 2.31%, and the trading volume was 422.4 billion yuan, a change of 36.293 billion yuan from last week [25][27]. - **Fund Performance Overview**: This week, the average return of short - term bond funds was 0.06%, and the median was 0.06%; the average return of medium - and long - term bond funds was 0.08%, and the median was 0.08%. The average return of first - tier bond funds was 0.29%, and the median was 0.16%; the average return of second - tier bond funds was 0.57%, and the median was 0.44%. The average return of partial - bond hybrid funds was 0.62%, and the median was 0.53%; the average return of low - position flexible allocation funds was 0.53%, and the median was 0.38%. The average return of convertible bond funds was 2.59%, and the median was 2.52% [31][33][34][36]. 3.2.3 New - stock Subscription Funds - **New - stock Overview**: This week, 3 new stocks were listed, and 2 had inquiry and offline placement details, with a total raised capital of 1.877 billion yuan. There were no break - even stocks on the first day of listing, and the total expected入围 income was 182,500 yuan [37]. - **New - stock Subscription Yield Calculation**: Assuming participation in the offline new - stock subscription of new stocks every week and being入围, the weekly new - stock subscription yield sequence of an 800 - million - yuan account was calculated based on the winning rate of Class A investors [38]. - **Fund Company New - stock Subscription Overview**: Six fund companies with more than 2 new - stock subscription funds were selected. The weekly new - stock subscription yield of an 800 - million - yuan account this week was 0.023%. The optimal scale for weekly and annual new - stock subscription was 400 million yuan [40]. - **New - stock Subscription Fund Performance**: According to the screening method, 38 new - stock subscription funds were selected. The average return of the new - stock subscription funds in the sample this week was 0.59% [43]. 3.2.4 FOF Funds - The average returns of low - risk, medium - risk, and high - risk FOF funds in the sample in the past week were 0.22%, 0.37%, and 0.47% respectively [44]. 3.2.5 QDII Funds - During the statistical period, equity - biased QDII funds rose by 0.34% on average, and index - type QDII funds fell by 0.30% on average. Other - type QDII funds fell by 0.45% on average, and bond - type QDII funds rose by 0.52% on average [45][46]. 3.2.6 REITs Funds - This week, REITs funds fell by 0.31% on average. Among them, Huatai Zijin Baowan Logistics Warehouse REIT led the gains, rising 4.31% in the past week. Huaxia Huadian Clean Energy REIT had the highest liquidity, with a trading volume of 214.361 million yuan in the past week [47].
中金:谈谈打新基金的底仓设置
中金点睛· 2025-04-24 23:40
Abstract 摘要 点击小程序查看报告原文 我们所说的打新基金,是指以网下打新作为主要投资手段与收益来源的公募基金。这类产品在2019年以来的打新制度红利时期迎来发展,一般以"底仓 +股/债资产+打新"为主要配置思路,而自2021年10月询价新规以来,打新收益退坡,打新基金也迎来大规模赎回,直到2025年以来,市场预期新股发行节 奏恢复常态化,新股涨幅效应仍然凸显,银行理财及保险资管等中长期资金力量逐渐实现与公募等专业机构投资者平权,在此背景下,打新基金也重回视 野。 据我们统计,截至2025Q1,广义打新基金的数量和规模均相较于巅峰时期(2021Q3)缩减一半以上。值得注意的是, 网下打新收益的退坡,使得单纯依 靠打新获取收益的投资策略性价比随之下降,网下打新转而退居成为组合中的一种收益增强手段,而底仓波动控制与收益获取能力的重要性则明显提升。 我们观察近年来打新基金底仓设置方面的主要变化趋势,得到以下结论:1)网下打新所贡献的收益率水平与债券资产YTM之间的收益差距逐渐缩小, 以"底仓+债券+打新"的绝对收益思路进行投资的打新基金热度下行; 2)2021H2-2024H1,股票市场震荡下行 , 打新基 ...
基金市场一周观察(20250407-20250411):股市回调、债市上涨,消费、TMT基金相对较优
CMS· 2025-04-12 13:32
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the equity market declined overall, with the BeiZheng 50 slightly rising and the Hong Kong stock market experiencing a significant correction. The bond market rose, while the convertible bond market fell. Among funds, consumer and TMT funds performed relatively well [1][2]. - The average return of active equity funds in the whole market was -3.85%. Short - term bond funds had an average return of 0.10%, and medium - and long - term bond funds had an average return of 0.17%. Both equity - containing bond funds and convertible bond funds had negative average returns [1][2]. - There were 3 new stocks listed this week, with no break - even on the first day of listing. The average return of sample new - stock subscription funds this week was -0.86%, and the new - stock subscription yield for an 800 - million - yuan account was 0.030% [2]. - As of April 9, 2025, the average returns of low, medium, and high - risk FOF funds in the sample in the past week were -1.28%, -4.09%, and -6.64% respectively. During the statistical period, equity - oriented, index - type, alternative, and bond - type QDII funds declined by 7.81%, 8.37%, 5.94%, and 0.94% on average, and REITs declined by 0.57% on average [2]. Summary by Directory Market Review - Equity Market: The equity market declined overall, with the BeiZheng 50 slightly rising and the Hong Kong stock market correcting significantly. As of the close this week, the CSI 300 Index closed at 3,751 points, down 2.87%; the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,238 points, down 3.11%; the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 9,834 points, down 5.13%; the ChiNext Index closed at 1,926 points, down 6.73%. The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong fell 8.47%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 7.77% [6]. - Industry Performance: Agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery led, with a gain of over 3%. Commerce and retail, national defense and military industry, and consumer services also performed well. Power equipment and new energy, communication, and media declined significantly, with a drop of over 6.5% [8]. - Number of Rising Stocks: As of April 11, 2025, there were 5,409 stocks in the A - share market, of which 796 rose this week. The number of rising stocks in the BeiZheng, ChiNext, Science and Technology Innovation Board, and Main Board was 117, 134, 97, and 448 respectively. Industries such as basic chemicals, machinery, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, and electronics had a relatively large number of rising stocks, while the banking, coal, and steel industries had no rising stocks [11][15]. Key Fund Tracking Active Equity - Fund Performance: There were 3,949 active equity funds in the sample. The average return of the whole - market funds in the sample this week was -3.85%. Funds with better performance were mostly heavily invested in industries such as electronics, machinery, and medicine. Among industry funds, consumer funds had relatively better average returns, and top - performing funds in the TMT sector were leading [17][19]. - Position Estimation: The positions of ordinary stock - type and partial - stock hybrid funds increased this week. Compared with the previous week, the position of ordinary stock - type funds increased by 0.53 percentage points, and that of partial - stock hybrid funds increased by 0.26 percentage points. Actively managed partial - stock funds increased their allocation to stable and growth sectors and reduced their allocation to consumption, cyclical, and financial sectors. In terms of sub - industries, the allocation to industries such as computers, power equipment, and household appliances increased, while the allocation to industries such as banking, electronics, and non - banking finance decreased [22]. Bond - Type Funds - Bond Market Performance: The bond market rose overall this week. The ChinaBond Total Wealth Index closed at 245.84, up 0.38% from last week; the ChinaBond Treasury Bond Index closed at 246.84, up 0.5%; the ChinaBond Credit Bond Index closed at 222.13, up 0.16%. The CSI Non - Pure Bond Fund Index closed at 2,170.4 on Thursday, down 0.33% from last Thursday. The CSI Convertible Bond Index closed at 420.91, with a weekly decline of 1.7%, and the trading volume was 465.5 billion yuan, a change of 224.248 billion yuan from last week [30][32]. - Fund Performance Overview: The average return of short - term bond funds this week was 0.10%, and the median was 0.09%. The average return of medium - and long - term bond funds was 0.17%, and the median was 0.15%. The average return of first - tier bond funds was -0.03%, and the median was 0.07%. The average return of second - tier bond funds was -0.52%, and the median was -0.42%. The average return of partial - bond hybrid funds was -0.74%, and the median was -0.62%. The average return of low - position flexible allocation funds was -0.54%, and the median was -0.35%. The average return of convertible bond funds was -1.98%, and the median was -2.01% [34][36][37][39]. New - Stock Subscription Funds - New - Stock Overview: Three new stocks were listed this week, all with inquiry and offline placement details, raising a total of 1.81 billion yuan. There was no break - even on the first day of listing, and the total expected income from successful subscription was 241,100 yuan [40]. - New - Stock Subscription Income Calculation: Assuming weekly participation in offline new - stock subscriptions and successful subscription, based on the successful subscription rate of Class A investors, the number of allocated shares was calculated. Using the closing price on the first day of listing or the opening - board day as the selling price, the weekly new - stock subscription yield sequence for an 800 - million - yuan account was calculated. The weekly new - stock subscription yield for an 800 - million - yuan account this week was 0.030%. The optimal weekly and annual new - stock subscription scales were 200 million yuan and 400 million yuan respectively [41][43]. - Fund Company New - Stock Subscription Overview: Eight fund companies with two or more new - stock subscription funds were selected. All of them had a 100% successful subscription rate for the three new stocks this week, except for Southern Fund, which had a 50% successful subscription rate [44]. - New - Stock Subscription Fund Performance: There were 36 new - stock subscription funds in the sample. The average return of new - stock subscription funds in the sample this week was -0.86% [45]. FOF Funds - FOF funds were divided into low - risk, medium - risk, and high - risk categories. The average returns of low - risk, medium - risk, and high - risk FOF funds in the sample in the past week were -1.28%, -4.09%, and -6.64% respectively [46]. QDII Funds - During the statistical period, the average decline of equity - oriented and index - type QDII funds was 7.81% and 8.37% respectively, and the average decline of alternative and bond - type QDII funds was 5.94% and 0.94% respectively [47][48]. REITs Funds - The average decline of REITs this week was 0.57%. The Huaxia Beijing Affordable Housing REIT had a relatively high increase, rising 3.67% in the past week. The Huaxia China Communications Construction Expressway REIT had the strongest liquidity, with a trading volume of 200.4172 million yuan in the past week [49][50].