固收+基金如何应对大资管分工趋势？20260205 摘要 根据名义万得数据统计，二级债基和偏债混合基金在业绩中位数上相对更强， 而转债基金则显示出更高的弹性。具体来看，这些产品根据其权益敞口暴露程 度进行分类后发现，无论是股票还是转债，其权益中枢越高，业绩表现越好。 这表明股票贝塔是固收加基金主要业绩来源之一。 2025 年固收加基金规模扩张情况如何？ 2025 年，固收加基金规模扩张迅速，总体增长近 1 万亿人民币。截至年底， 总规模达到 2.735 万亿人民币，其中含权部分约为 2.5 万亿人民币。然而，这 一轮净申购主要集中在少数明星产品上。例如永赢稳健增强、长城景气、申万 菱信丰力等明星产品，其净申购量占市场总量超过 40%。 2025 年固收加基金市场表现如何？ 2025 年，固收加基金整体表现强劲。一级债基、偏债混合和纯债基金的收益 均显著优于纯债基金，展现出跨周期的收益能力。数据显示，从 2012 年至 2025 年、2019 年至 2025 年以及 2023 年至 2025 年的不同周期内，固收加 基金的超额收益较为明显。特别是在权益中枢线性上升的背景下，这些产品的 业绩也随之提升。 固收加基 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The market value of convertible bonds held by public funds remains at a high level, and the increase at the beginning of the year is in line with expectations. The convertible bond market shows strong resilience, and convertible bond funds perform relatively well among various types of funds. [1][9] - The bottom - position style is stable, and the heavily - held bonds of funds continue to perform well. However, there may be profit - taking in convertible bonds of popular sectors, and they may underperform the underlying stocks. [2] - In terms of convertible bond strategies, the overall position should be maintained with prudent neutrality, and the elastic allocation should be shifted towards balance. [3] 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents I. How did institutional bonds perform after public funds increased their holdings at the beginning of the year? - The market value of convertible bonds held by public funds in Q4 2025 was 308.251 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 7.24%. In January 2026, the scale of convertible bonds held by public funds increased by 6.88% compared with the end of 2025, accounting for 44.08%. [9] - In the first week of February, the convertible bond market showed strong anti - decline ability, rising 0.05% against the trend. Convertible bond funds outperformed ordinary stock - type funds and hybrid funds. The higher the proportion of convertible bonds in the fund, the stronger the anti - decline performance. [14] - Bonds heavily held by institutions showed stronger resilience in the first week of February. For example, convertible bonds of bottom - position types such as Industrial Bank and Shanghai Commercial Bank rose 0.72% on average, 0.67 percentage points higher than the convertible bond index. [18] - Convertible bonds of popular sectors such as electronics, non - ferrous metals, and computers may have profit - taking, and they underperformed the underlying stocks to varying degrees. For example, Weice Convertible Bond and Dingjie Convertible Bond had significant callbacks. [20] II. Convertible Bond Strategy: Maintain a Prudent and Neutral Position, and Shift Elastic Allocation towards Balance - Affected by the nomination of Warsh as the Fed Chairman, the A - share market adjusted in the first half of the week and then recovered in the second half. Sectors with stable cash flows such as consumption, transportation, and banking showed compensatory growth. [25] - The average price of convertible bonds rose 0.65% to 139.63 yuan, and the 100 - yuan premium rate increased 1.83 percentage points to 38.94%. The overall position can be maintained with prudent neutrality, and the allocation focus should be adjusted in a timely manner, focusing on mid - stream manufacturing going global and consumer blue - chip stocks. [28] - New convertible bonds are relatively expensive, and non - trading funds should be cautious. Attention can be paid to near - maturity convertible bonds with strong conversion demands and the ability to promote conversion. The allocation strategy should shift from focusing on elasticity at the beginning of January to balanced allocation, with emphasis on convertible bonds priced between 130 - 150 yuan. [29] III. Market Review: Convertible Bonds Rose Weekly, and Valuation Increased (1) Weekly Market Performance: The Convertible Bond Market Rose Slightly, and Most Equity Sectors Performed Weakly - Last week, most major stock indexes declined, while the CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 0.05%. Small - cap stocks and convertible bonds showed better anti - decline performance. [35] - In terms of popular concepts, photovoltaic glass, space photovoltaic, and other concepts rose, while semiconductor - related concepts such as KIMI and MCU chips declined. [35] (2) Valuation Performance: The Premium Rates of Low - Rated and Small - Scale Convertible Bonds Rose Significantly - The closing prices of equity - biased, debt - biased, and balanced convertible bonds changed by - 5.11%, - 0.67%, and + 1.69% respectively compared with the previous Friday. The proportion of convertible bonds in the 120 - 130 yuan range decreased significantly. [43] - The premium rates of low - rated and small - scale convertible bonds rose significantly. The AA - rated convertible bonds rose 2.87 percentage points, and those with a scale of 20 - 50 billion yuan (including 50 billion yuan) rose 1.65 percentage points. [43] IV. Terms and Supply: Five Convertible Bonds Announced Early Redemption, and the Total Newly - Promoted Scale was Approximately 9.88 billion yuan (1) Terms: Five Convertible Bonds Announced Early Redemption Last Week, and Honglu Convertible Bond's Board of Directors Proposed a Downward Revision - As of February 6, Mengsheng, Feng 21, Rong 23, Xinzhi, and Shouhua Convertible Bonds announced early redemption; Daimei, Tairui, and other convertible bonds announced not to redeem early; Jiemei, Daimei, and other convertible bonds announced that they are expected to meet the early redemption conditions. [3][57] - Last week, Honglu Convertible Bond's board of directors proposed a downward revision. Meino and Hongchuan Convertible Bonds announced the results of the downward revision. Four convertible bonds announced not to revise downward, and five convertible bonds announced that they are expected to trigger a downward revision. [4][57] (2) Primary Market: Haitian Convertible Bond was Issued Last Week, and the Total Newly - Promoted Scale was Approximately 9.88 billion yuan - Haitian Convertible Bond was issued with a scale of 801 million yuan, and Shangtai Convertible Bond was listed with a scale of 1.734 billion yuan. There are 379 issued but not yet matured convertible bonds, with a balance of 530.884 billion yuan. [5][60] - There were no new board proposals last week. One company's convertible bond plan passed the general meeting of shareholders, three passed the approval of the issuance review committee, and there were no new approvals from the CSRC. Compared with the same period last year, the numbers were - 2, + 1, + 3, and - 3 respectively. [5][63] - As of February 6, seven listed companies obtained approval for convertible bond issuance, with a planned issuance scale of 5.363 billion yuan. Four new companies passed the issuance review committee, with a total scale of 4.517 billion yuan, and there were no new board proposals. [68]

中国银河固收研报指出，2025年"固收+"基金规模快速扩容、风险收益优化、资产配置结构相对稳健。 1）规模：广义"固收+"存量达1.79万亿元，同比+90.1%，二级债基增136%至1.42万亿；新发1216亿份 （同比+14%），主由二级债基贡献。2）绩效：全年累计收益率同比+1.1pp 至6.4%，转债基金以23.3% 收益率领跑，Q3当季最高（3.8%）；年内最大回撤-2.7%（同比-1.5pp），Q4市场震荡明显、当 季-1.7%。3）资产配置：股债仓位中枢仍80%/15%，环比加仓股票1.5pp；债券细分上增配国债2pp、金 融债10pp，减配转债7pp、企债3pp。Q4"固收+"基金规模续增、绩效回落、操作谨慎积极。1）规模续 增。整体规模环比增至1.79万亿（增幅13.8%），二级债基为增长核心（+18.1%至1.41万亿），转债基 金规模收缩4.2%至581亿。2）风险收益全面走弱。收益率环比回落3.4pp至0.4%，最大回撤走扩0.5pp 至-1.7%；风险收益比及稳健性走弱。3）纯债操作谨慎积极。久期微缩至2.9年；杠杆与持仓集中度分 化，"固收+"基金加杠杆、集中度微升，转债基金降杠杆、 ...

报告摘要 1、2025 年第四季度市场回顾 2025 年第四季度，市场主要指数中，上证指数和万得全 A 有所上涨，深证成指和创业板指有所下跌。上 证指数上涨 2.22%，万得全 A 指数上涨 0.97%，深证成指下跌 0.01%，创业板指下跌 1.08%。中证转债指 数涨幅为 1.32%。四季度权益市场和转债市场高位震荡，整体涨幅表现弱于三季度。转股溢价率方面，由 9 月 30 日的 44.73%上升至 12 月 31 日的 46.57%。 2、基金持有转债行为分析 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 2025 年第四季度转债基金持有规模最大的是电力设备行业转债，持仓市值达 73.31 亿元；银行、基础化 工、农林牧渔和电子行业转债持仓市值规模分别为 64.99 亿元、4 ...

Performance Overview - In Q4 2025, convertible bond funds achieved a median return of 1.09%, outperforming first-level bond funds (0.6%), second-level bond funds (0.44%), and mixed bond funds (0.31%) [1] - For the entire year of 2025, the median return for convertible bond funds was 22.43%, significantly higher than first-level bond funds (2.06%), second-level bond funds (4.66%), and mixed bond funds (5.49%) [1] Fund Scale and Demand - In Q4 2025, the scale of second-level bond funds increased by 2506 billion CNY to reach 15535 billion CNY, while first-level bond funds and mixed bond funds saw decreases of 142.5 billion CNY and 7 billion CNY, respectively [1] - The net subscription for second-level bond funds in Q4 2025 was 2344 billion units, while first-level bond funds faced a net redemption of 186 billion units [19] Convertible Bond Holdings - In Q4 2025, the convertible bond holdings of first-level bond funds increased by 0.32 percentage points to 7.97%, while second-level bond funds and mixed bond funds saw declines of 1.07 and 0.88 percentage points, respectively [33] - Public funds focused on increasing holdings in bank bonds, as well as in sectors like new energy, cyclical stocks, and military-related bonds [40] Investment Strategy Insights - The demand for fixed-income plus funds is robust, with second-level bond funds becoming the primary vehicle for this demand, while first-level bond and convertible bond fund scales have marginally declined [3] - Institutions with equity allocation permissions are shifting their demand from first-level bond funds to second-level bond and mixed bond products due to the high valuation of convertible bonds [3]

Abstract 摘要 点击小程序查看报告原文 2025年"固收+"基金规模同比增长50%以上，其中，二级债基贡献了主要的规模增量。二级债基作为机构占比中枢长期维持70%的产品品类，其规模上涨 背后大概率是由于机构资金的助推。而 增量资金的涌入其实也改变着"固收+"基金的产品结构走向。 在权益市场迎来结构性行情时（尤其是2025Q3以 来），高风偏机构资金增配二级债基或主要作为波段或配置工具使用。基于这一逻辑，我们的确观察到，在股票端有相对明显风格/板块押注的"赛道型固 收+"基金，在2025年的规模增长较为突出，且规模增速明显高于股票端选择板块均衡配置的"固收+"基金。 正如我们此前在已外发研究报告《 "固收+"基金2026年展望：多资产大时代的增长法则与逻辑主线 》中所强调的，展望2026年，"固收+"基金发展的大时 代背景依然清晰，不过，我们判断， 2026年的增量资金结 构可 能会有一定改变。 "固收+"基金的需求方，一方面是机构端资金（包括险资/年金/养老金等 高风偏资金+银行理财等相对低风偏资金），另一方面是零售端资金（主要来源为银行渠道与互联网渠道的个人投资者）。展望2026年，若权益市场结构 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the continued growth of fixed income and the strategic adjustments in equity exposure amidst market fluctuations, with a notable increase in financial bonds [1][2]. - In Q4 2025, the net subscription for fixed income + funds reached 160.55 billion units, showing a significant growth trend despite being lower than Q3 2025, primarily concentrated in secondary bond funds [1]. - Convertible bond funds saw a net subscription of 2.014 billion units in Q4 2025, maintaining a positive subscription trend for two consecutive quarters [1]. Group 2 - Institutional behavior regarding convertible bonds remains diverse, with public funds, social security, and trusts reducing their holdings in October and November, likely for profit-taking, followed by a renewed allocation in December [2]. - Insurance funds significantly reduced their convertible bond holdings, with a decrease of over 50% in face value by the end of 2025 compared to the beginning of the year [2]. - Public funds are actively seeking alternative bottom assets, showing a reduction in bank convertible bonds primarily due to the delisting of the Pudong Development Bank convertible bond, while still demonstrating a strong inclination to increase holdings in other sectors like electronics and defense [2]. Group 3 - In terms of marginal increases, public funds are diversifying their allocation while maintaining core themes, with notable increases in convertible bonds related to power equipment and oil and petrochemicals, as well as defense and military industries [3]. - Specific convertible bonds such as Long 22 and Jingneng convertible bonds have seen significant increases in holdings, reflecting resource and geopolitical logic [3]. - Other sectors like steel and basic chemicals are also seeing increased allocations, indicating a broader trend of investment across various cyclical and manufacturing chains [3].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the public fund industry in China, specifically analyzing the performance and trends of various fund types in the second quarter of 2025. Core Insights and Arguments Public Fund Performance - In Q2 2025, the number and scale of newly launched active equity funds significantly increased, with an average fundraising scale of 520 million yuan, focusing on dividend value and technology growth [1][2] - Despite a market rebound, the overall share of active equity funds decreased by 2.2% due to redemptions of older products, maintaining a scale of 3.33 trillion yuan [1][2] - Fixed income plus products surpassed the levels of the second half of 2023, reaching 2.16 trillion yuan, with a notable expansion in mixed bond FOFs [1][2] Fund Categories - Active equity funds showed strong performance, with a 3.1% increase in the equity fund index, outperforming broad-based indices [1][5] - The new issuance of FOF products continued at a high level, with a total new scale of 18.6 billion yuan, leading to a 10% increase in the overall market scale of FOFs to 166.2 billion yuan [1][4] Investment Trends - Active equity funds increased their stock positions slightly, with a notable rise in holdings of Hong Kong stocks, which now account for 17% of their portfolios [3][26] - The communication and financial sectors received increased allocations, while consumer and manufacturing sectors saw reductions [27] Performance Metrics - The median returns for active equity funds in Q2 were strong, with ordinary stock, mixed equity, and flexible allocation products achieving median returns of 2.0%, 2.1%, and 1.8% respectively, all outperforming major indices [19][20] - Fixed income plus funds achieved positive returns across all subcategories, with convertible bond funds leading in performance [22][23] Additional Important Insights - The competitive landscape for FOF products shows a slight decrease in the market share of the top ten managers, which now account for 60.8% of the market [4][8] - The concentration of holdings in active equity funds has decreased, indicating a more diversified investment approach, with the CR10 and CR20 ratios at 17.5% and 25.8% respectively [28] - Notable stock holdings include Ningde Times, which remains the most favored stock among funds, despite a slight reduction in holdings [29] Market Dynamics - The passive index product market reached a total scale of 5.79 trillion yuan by the end of Q2, with a 12.6% quarter-on-quarter growth [11] - The issuance of passive stock products hit a historical high, with 109 new products launched in Q2 2025 [9][10] Sector-Specific Performance - The innovative pharmaceutical sector led the market in Q2, with corresponding theme funds achieving a median return of 10.1% [21] - The report highlights the strong performance of small-cap growth and value products, with median returns of 3.4% and 3.2% respectively [20] This summary encapsulates the key findings and insights from the conference call regarding the public fund industry, highlighting performance metrics, investment trends, and sector-specific dynamics.

Abstract 摘要 点击小程序查看报告原文 我们所说的打新基金，是指以网下打新作为主要投资手段与收益来源的公募基金。这类产品在2019年以来的打新制度红利时期迎来发展，一般以"底仓 +股/债资产+打新"为主要配置思路，而自2021年10月询价新规以来，打新收益退坡，打新基金也迎来大规模赎回，直到2025年以来，市场预期新股发行节 奏恢复常态化，新股涨幅效应仍然凸显，银行理财及保险资管等中长期资金力量逐渐实现与公募等专业机构投资者平权，在此背景下，打新基金也重回视 野。 据我们统计，截至2025Q1，广义打新基金的数量和规模均相较于巅峰时期（2021Q3）缩减一半以上。值得注意的是， 网下打新收益的退坡，使得单纯依 靠打新获取收益的投资策略性价比随之下降，网下打新转而退居成为组合中的一种收益增强手段，而底仓波动控制与收益获取能力的重要性则明显提升。 我们观察近年来打新基金底仓设置方面的主要变化趋势，得到以下结论：1）网下打新所贡献的收益率水平与债券资产YTM之间的收益差距逐渐缩小， 以"底仓+债券+打新"的绝对收益思路进行投资的打新基金热度下行； 2）2021H2-2024H1，股票市场震荡下行 ， 打新基 ...