三者对比来看，市场规模：盲盒>拼搭类玩具>卡牌，市场增速：拼搭类玩具>卡牌>盲盒。影响市场规 模和增速的因素主要为消费场景、消费能力以及意愿、产品价格。盲盒主力为消费力强的Z世代，规模 最大;拼搭玩具覆盖亲子以及成人场景，覆盖面广，规模次之;卡牌核心用户年龄为8-15岁，依赖家长支 付，规模最小。拼搭玩具价格多元，增速最快;卡牌由低价带来短期爆发后逐步趋稳;盲盒市场成熟进入 平台期，增速相对较慢。 头部代表企业泡泡玛特、布鲁可、卡游引领行业发展，呈现差异化竞争 商业模式方面，泡泡玛特以IP孵化与盲盒机制为核心;布鲁可以积木为载体切入儿童教育场景;卡游则聚 焦儿童卡牌社交。渠道结构方面，泡泡玛特以直营为主，渠道掌控力强;布鲁可从线上直营为主转为经 销为主，经销商持续开拓，渠道拓展意愿更强;卡游同样聚焦经销模式，但渠道收缩，单经销商收入达 4287万元，依赖头部经销商稳定。经营模型方面，泡泡玛特深耕品牌溢价护城河，存货周转率不断优 化，2024年毛利率达66.8%，经调整净利润率达26.1%;布鲁可调整销售模式，存货周转天数从137天下降 至46天，成功实现经调整净利率由-107.9%至26.1%的跃迁;卡游以轻 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The潮玩 (trendy toy) market is benefiting from macroeconomic development, with China's per capita GDP surpassing $12,000, shifting consumer spending from necessities to discretionary items, providing growth momentum for the潮玩 industry [1][2] - The IP toy market in China is projected to reach approximately 57.8 billion RMB by 2025, with an annual growth rate of about 20%, indicating a robust trend in the consumer sector [2] Core Insights and Arguments - IP toys account for about half of the sales in the潮玩 market, with blind boxes being the main driving force [1][2] - The rise of潮玩 brands is largely attributed to consumer-driven marketing, aesthetic appeal, third-party certification (such as going public), and social media dissemination, which reduces marketing costs and fosters a vibrant secondary market [1][4] - The core competitiveness of潮玩 includes aesthetic PUA (Pick Up Artist), third-party certification, and self-promotion, allowing brands like泡泡玛特 (Pop Mart) to attract young consumers and enhance brand credibility through unique designs and social attributes [1][5] Consumer Behavior and Market Dynamics - The purchase behavior of潮玩 and new consumer products is characterized by randomness, such as the uncertainty of obtaining rare cards or hidden items in blind boxes, which stimulates dopamine release and increases pleasure [8][9] - Blind boxes dominate the潮玩 market, accounting for over half of the sales due to their more appealing presentation compared to directly displayed products [8] Competitive Landscape -潮玩 companies can be categorized into three types: channel-based (e.g.,名创优品), third-party IP-based (e.g.,布鲁可, 卡游), and self-owned IP companies (e.g.,泡泡玛特). Self-owned IP companies are considered to have the most long-term value due to their rarity and sustainability [3][11][15] - Successful潮玩 brands like泡泡玛特 have gained credibility through third-party certification, unlike unsuccessful brands like暴力熊 (Bearbrick) and蒙奇奇 (Monchhichi), which lacked such validation [6][7] Additional Insights - The core competitiveness of self-owned IP companies lies in their ability to sustain operations, which determines whether an IP can remain relevant and profitable over time [13] - Companies using third-party IP for product sales can achieve growth by enhancing their operational and channel capabilities, focusing on exclusive IP acquisition to avoid homogenization and ensure profitability [14]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The current state of the collectible toy (潮玩) and anime (二次元) markets shows continued growth momentum in the first half of 2025, with a significant increase in store openings in 2024, indicating strong sales in 2023 [1][3] - The collectible toy market is characterized by high absolute store numbers, while the anime market exhibits faster growth rates, reflecting consumer demand for IP products and highly standardized items [1][4] Core Insights and Arguments - **Collectible Toy Categories**: The collectible toy market is divided into card games, blind boxes, and building toys. Blind boxes rely on direct sales to control pricing and prevent market dilution, while card games and building toys are sold through distributors or large KA channels [1][5] - **Anime Brand Expansion**: Anime brands are rapidly expanding through collective store formats in shopping centers, with grocery collective store sales expected to grow by 10%-15% year-on-year in 2024. The use of major KOL channels has accelerated sales growth, although the sustainability of IP and the maturity of the supply chain still require development [1][6] - **Shopping Center Collaboration**: Shopping centers collaborate with collectible toy brands through fixed rent, a combination of fixed rent and sales commission, or direct high commission. Leading brands like Pop Mart typically use a guaranteed minimum plus commission model, with a rental yield ratio of about 11%, lower than the retail sector average [1][7] - **Sales Performance**: The collectible toy sector has shown remarkable performance, with significant month-on-month sales increases in April and May 2025, where benchmark stores exceeded 1 million yuan in sales, contributing significantly to shopping center revenues [1][8] Additional Important Insights - **Market Dynamics**: Despite an overall negative growth in shopping center formats since 2019, the collectible toy and anime sectors have maintained a long-term growth trend in store openings [2] - **Anime Market Characteristics**: The anime market is still developing, with a relatively weak brand concentration. Leading brands achieve monthly sales of approximately 40-50 thousand yuan, while non-leading brands only reach 10-20 thousand yuan [3][17] - **Consumer Preferences**: Young consumers view purchases in the collectible toy and anime sectors as social currency, indicating that marketing strategies should focus on social engagement to attract foot traffic [14] - **Geographic Trends**: Major cities like Shanghai, Beijing, and Chengdu are leading in the anime market, with a high concentration of young consumers who are receptive to these cultural trends [16][23] Future Outlook - **Growth Potential**: The collectible toy sector is expected to maintain its popularity, with a focus on attracting more brands into shopping centers. The sales growth rate for collectible toys and anime in shopping centers is projected to be between 15%-30%, significantly higher than the overall growth rate of 5% [9][28] - **Challenges for Anime Brands**: The anime sector still faces challenges in achieving the same level of brand strength and market maturity as collectible toys, requiring further cultivation of IP sustainability and supply chain development [10][18][30] - **Consumer Behavior Trends**: The preference for Japanese IP products remains strong, with IP being a crucial factor in driving sales and market growth [24] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call records, highlighting the dynamics, performance, and future outlook of the collectible toy and anime markets.