投资要点： 投资建议：首次覆盖，给予"增持"评级，公司储存芯片+AI算力+能源协同发力，并购金泰克有望打开 AI 存储成长曲线。若假设金泰克并购成功完成，预计2025-2027 年开普云传统主业的收入分别为 7.19/9.53/11.91 亿元，金泰克的收入分别为38.40/72/100 亿元，按照PE 和PS 估值，最终给予公司2025 年传统业务175 倍PE，金泰克存储业务80 倍PE 估值，合理估值为202.23 亿元人民币，按发行股份前的 总股本摊薄对应目标价299.52 元。 25H1 盈利能力显著修复，研发投入筑牢技术护城河。公司2024 年短期业绩承压后，2025 年H1 收入约 1.60 亿元，同比增长2.99%，归母净利润约378 万元，同比大增123%，成功扭亏为盈，前期延迟项目逐 步落地带动恢复。AI 算力及大模型业务表现亮眼，2024 年实现收入1.24 亿元，较上年同比提升 949.4%。 本报告导读： 公司作为国内AI 数智化的行业领先者，收购金泰克切入储存业务，随着储存芯片行业迎来长期景气周 期，叠加公司AI+能源业务协同发力，未来业绩增速有望超预期。 AI 算力与数智能源产品 ...

Group 1 - The core business revenue of the company mainly comes from two sectors: "digital energy" and "intelligent robot applications" [1] - The company's wholly-owned subsidiary, Keda Intelligent Robot Technology Co., Ltd., holds a 70% stake in Shanghai Fuke Intelligent Robot Research Institute Co., Ltd., which serves as a collaborative research platform between academia and industry [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the benchmark index [5][12]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 897 million yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-over-year growth of 16.39%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 141 million yuan, up 4.87% year-over-year [1]. - The company's core products continue to show steady growth, with significant increases in the new digital energy business, which saw a revenue increase of 451.62% year-over-year [1][2]. - The company is positioned as a quality domestic industrial control manufacturer, with expected revenue growth rates of 20.5%, 20.3%, and 18.4% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3]. Revenue and Profitability - In H1 2025, the company generated 559 million yuan from variable frequency drives, with a gross margin of 42.38%, and 290 million yuan from servo systems, with a gross margin of 31.16% [1]. - The overseas market contributed 242 million yuan in revenue, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 22.34% and a gross margin of 48.89%, which is approximately 15 percentage points higher than the domestic market [2]. - The company’s market share in the low-voltage variable frequency drive sector was 3.02% in 2024, ranking fourth among domestic brands, while the servo system market share increased to 2.30% [2]. Product Development - The company has a comprehensive range of products in the robotics field, including various modules suitable for humanoid, mobile, collaborative, and service robots [3]. - The company provides a complete set of motion actuator solutions for humanoid robots, with all core components developed in-house [3]. Financial Forecast - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.977 billion yuan, 2.379 billion yuan, and 2.817 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 303 million yuan, 385 million yuan, and 503 million yuan [3][9]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are expected to be 41X, 32X, and 25X, respectively [3][10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in the first half of 2025 met market expectations, with a revenue of 897 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.39%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 141 million yuan, up 4.87% year-on-year [8] - The company is focusing on a strategy of "internal growth + open cooperation" in its robotics business, aiming to enhance its product offerings and market presence [9] - The company has experienced a slowdown in overseas growth and a decline in gross margin due to intensified price competition, but it continues to invest in strategic business areas [8][9] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 1,305 million yuan in 2023, 1,640 million yuan in 2024, 1,930 million yuan in 2025, 2,329 million yuan in 2026, and 2,809 million yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 44.03%, 25.70%, 17.70%, 20.64%, and 20.61% respectively [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 190.80 million yuan in 2023, 245.03 million yuan in 2024, 295.58 million yuan in 2025, 365.63 million yuan in 2026, and 441.53 million yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 36.38%, 28.42%, 20.63%, 23.70%, and 20.76% respectively [1] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.89 yuan in 2023, 1.15 yuan in 2024, 1.38 yuan in 2025, 1.71 yuan in 2026, and 2.07 yuan in 2027 [1] Market and Product Insights - The company has seen a significant increase in its digital energy segment, with revenue growing by 451.62% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [8] - The domestic revenue for the first half of 2025 was 638 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.88%, while overseas revenue was 242 million yuan, up 22.34% year-on-year [8] - The company is expanding its product matrix in the inverter and servo system markets, with a focus on high-margin applications in various industries [8][9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is experiencing short-term pressure on performance but is expected to benefit from its global layout advantages and the growth potential of its robotics business [1] - The company is positioned as a leader in smart controllers in China, with its humanoid robot technology expected to open new opportunities [9] Revenue Breakdown - The tools segment generated revenue of 2.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6%, driven by the electrification and cordless trends in the industry [2] - The home appliance segment achieved revenue of 2.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28%, with strong demand in the commercial air conditioning and HVAC sectors overseas [2] - The digital energy business reported revenue of 590 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 33%, primarily due to the industry's destocking cycle [3] - The smart automotive segment saw revenue of 260 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 86%, with significant growth in laser radar motors and charging stations [4] - The robotics business generated revenue of 280 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23%, with a gross margin of 27% [4] Financial Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 5.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 330 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 15% [8] - The revenue structure is composed of tools and home appliances (80%), digital energy and smart automotive (15%), and robotics (5%) [8] - The company forecasts revenue growth of 16.8% in 2024, 15.2% in 2025, and 15.9% in 2026, with net profit growth of 30.2%, 20.3%, and 33.5% respectively [5] Valuation and Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 810 million yuan, 1.08 billion yuan, and 1.35 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 24, 18, and 14 [9] - The stock is currently trading at a closing price of 15.71 yuan, with a total market capitalization of approximately 19.59 billion yuan [5]

Group 1 - Kazakhstan's Energy Minister Erlan Akhmetzhanov announced that the country is advancing 30 renewable energy projects with a total installed capacity of 1,700 megawatts, covering solar, wind, and energy storage sectors [3][4] - The cooperation between Kazakhstan and China has evolved beyond mere raw material trade, focusing on building a technology-intensive industrial ecosystem [3] - Several cooperation agreements were signed during the Central Asia-China Energy Forum, including strategic partnerships in local production, research and development, and decarbonization funds [3][4] Group 2 - The forum aims to deepen technological and investment cooperation in energy transition between Kazakhstan, China, and other Central Asian countries, promoting digitalization and sustainable industrial development in the energy sector [4]

Group 1: Industry Outlook - The smart transportation industry is experiencing strong growth driven by national policies, technological advancements, and market demand [2] - The integration of ETC and C-V2X technologies is accelerating the development of smart transportation [2] - The digital transformation of traffic infrastructure supports the construction of a strong transportation nation [2] Group 2: Company Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 7,875.48 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.39% [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 5.96 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 59.69% [3] - The company’s first-quarter net profit in 2025 declined due to increased R&D expenses and reduced financial income from changes in monetary policy [4] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company aims to leverage its dual capabilities in "transportation + IT" to enhance its service offerings in various sectors, including vehicle-road-cloud integration and digital energy [5] - The focus will be on deepening domestic market engagement while actively exploring international opportunities for growth [5] - The company plans to build an efficient and flexible market operation system to improve response speed and service quality [5] Group 4: Management and Compensation - The compensation for directors and senior management is structured around a base salary, performance salary, bonuses, and long-term incentives [6] - The company follows a market-oriented principle in its compensation strategy, aiming to enhance talent competitiveness [7]