近期，以纳斯达克100、标普500等相关指数基金为代表的QDII产品，进一步收紧申购限额，部分产品 已暂停申购。 博时纳斯达克100ETF发起式联接（QDII）在9月已暂停A类、C类基金份额申购（含转换转入、定期定 额投资）业务的基础上，自11月21日起进一步暂停I份额的申购业务。 整体来看，跟踪纳斯达克100、标普500等指数的场外基金目前均已处于暂停申购或暂停大额申购状态； 即便能够申购，限额也低至诸如10元、50元、100元。例如，华泰柏瑞纳斯达克100ETF发起式联接 （QDII）的申购限额，四季度以来一路从15000元降至500元，自11月21日起申购限额进一步降至100 元。 场内溢价率居高不下 与此同时，场内产品溢价率高企。11月以来，景顺长城纳斯达克科技市值加权ETF溢价率创历史新高， 首度突破21%，另有多只纳斯达克100ETF集体刷新溢价率历史新高，基金管理人纷纷提示溢价风险。 机构提示，历次QDII-ETF产品产生溢价的根本原因，均为短期QDII-ETF产品二级市场供不应求，而基 金公司QDII额度不足，无法通过套利平复价差。近期高溢价或是由于过去一段时间不同市场的科技资 产表现存在差异 ...

Core Insights - The recent surge in cross-border ETFs has led to significant premium risks, with 33 products issuing over 500 premium risk alerts since the fourth quarter began, particularly in US and Japan-themed products [2][4] - The Invesco Great Wall Nasdaq Technology Market Cap Weighted ETF has seen its IOPV premium rate exceed 10% for 25 consecutive trading days, indicating a persistent high premium status [2][5] - The overall scale of cross-border ETFs has increased by nearly 117% year-to-date, significantly outpacing the growth of A-share ETFs, which grew by approximately 28% in the same period [6][7] Premium Risk Alerts - As of November 18, 20 cross-border ETFs issued premium alerts, with the previous trading day seeing 22 alerts, highlighting a trend of frequent premium warnings [3][4] - The frequency of premium alerts has become normalized, with 11 products issuing over 20 alerts each since the start of the fourth quarter [4][5] - The premium situation is not isolated, as multiple products tracking popular indices like Nasdaq 100 and Nikkei 225 are experiencing similar high premium rates [3][4] Market Dynamics - The premium phenomenon reflects a mismatch between QDII quotas and investor demand, alongside factors like index scarcity and foreign exchange volatility, contributing to supply-demand imbalances [6][7] - The cross-border ETF market has seen explosive growth, with the total scale reaching approximately 920.29 billion yuan as of November 17, compared to 424.22 billion yuan at the end of the previous year [6][7] - The number of products exceeding 10 billion yuan in scale has doubled, indicating a strong demand for cross-border investment options [7] Institutional Innovations - Recent regulatory changes have expanded the cross-border investment channels, with six new ETF products included in the "Southbound ETF Connect" list, marking a significant development in the market [8][9] AI Market Sentiment - The discussion around whether the AI sector is experiencing a bubble or genuine growth has intensified, with market volatility increasing due to geopolitical tensions and economic factors [10][11] - Despite short-term fluctuations, many institutions maintain a cautiously optimistic outlook on the US stock market, suggesting that the underlying trends in technology and AI remain strong [11][12]

本文字数：3350，阅读时长大约6分钟 作者 | 第一财经 曹璐 "特此提示投资者关注二级市场交易价格溢价风险，盲目投资可能遭受重大损失。"近期，这样的风险提示公告在跨境ETF中密集刷屏。据第一财经初步统 计， 四季度以来，有33只产品合计发布超过500条溢价风险提示，其中11只产品预警次数超过20次，美日主题产品成为溢价"高发区" 。 2025.11. 18 多只产品保持高溢价状态，甚至频频出现临时停牌情况。如景顺长城纳斯达克科技市值加权ETF的IOPV溢价率连续25个交易日保持在10%以上，仅11月 就连续12个交易日发布溢价风险提示及停牌的公告。 与高溢价相伴生的，是跨境ETF赛道的爆发式增长，年内整体规模增幅近117%，远超A股ETF同期增速 。 随着近来海外市场出现震荡调整，叠加市场对 AI泡沫的热议，这场跨境投资热究竟是资金对海外资产的迫切追逐，还是暗藏风险的"价格泡沫"？ 美日跨境ETF"高烧不退" 11月18日早盘，景顺长城基金一则公告揭开了当前跨境ETF市场的热度一角。公告内容显示，景顺长城纳斯达克科技市值加权ETF的二级市场交易价格 明显高于基金份额参考净值，出现较大幅度溢价，因此开市停牌 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in cross-border ETFs has raised concerns about potential price bubbles, particularly in the context of AI investments, as evidenced by frequent premium warnings and market volatility [1][7]. Group 1: Cross-Border ETF Premiums - A total of 33 cross-border ETF products have issued over 500 premium risk warnings since the beginning of the fourth quarter, with 11 products issuing more than 20 warnings each [2][3]. - The Invesco Great Wall Nasdaq Technology Weighted ETF has maintained an IOPV premium rate above 10% for 25 consecutive trading days, with a premium of 14.82% reported recently [2][3]. - The phenomenon of high premiums is not isolated, as 20 cross-border ETFs issued premium warnings on November 18, indicating a trend of "high-frequency warnings" across the market [2][3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Growth - The total scale of cross-border ETFs reached 920.29 billion yuan, reflecting a nearly 117% increase from the previous year, significantly outpacing the 28% growth of A-share ETFs during the same period [5][6]. - The number of products with over 10 billion yuan in assets has doubled from 11 to 22, indicating a strong demand for cross-border investment products [5][6]. - The market has seen a diversification of investment targets, with new ETFs tracking indices from various global markets, including Brazil and Europe, being launched [6]. Group 3: AI Investment Debate - The discussion around whether AI represents a bubble or a genuine growth opportunity has intensified, with some analysts suggesting that the current tech rally is concentrated in high-quality large-cap stocks [7][8]. - Concerns about market volatility have been exacerbated by geopolitical tensions, yet many institutions remain cautiously optimistic about the long-term prospects of the tech sector [9]. - Analysts emphasize the need for AI to demonstrate broader and deeper practical value to avoid a potential bubble, with a critical verification period expected in the next 2 to 3 years [8][9].

Core Viewpoint - As of November 6, the total margin balance for ETFs in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets is 120.779 billion yuan, showing a decrease of 1.193 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] Group 1: ETF Financing and Margin Balance - The ETF financing balance stands at 112.351 billion yuan, down by 1.366 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - The ETF margin short balance is 8.428 billion yuan, which has increased by 0.173 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] Group 2: Net Buy Insights - On November 6, 201 ETFs experienced net financing purchases, with the Pengyang 30-Year Government Bond ETF leading with a net purchase amount of 0.109 billion yuan [1] - Other ETFs with significant net financing purchases include the Penghua China Securities Wine ETF, Bosera China Securities Convertible Bonds and Exchangeable Bonds ETF, Huatai-PineBridge Hong Kong Stock Connect Innovative Drug ETF, Bosera 30-Year Government Bond ETF, and Invesco Nasdaq Technology Market Cap Weighted ETF [1]

Core Viewpoint - As of September 10, the total margin balance of ETFs in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets is 114.09 billion yuan, showing a decrease of 1.04 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] Group 1: ETF Financing and Margin Data - The ETF financing balance is 106.50 billion yuan, down by 1.77 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] - The ETF margin trading balance is 7.59 billion yuan, which has increased by 0.73 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] Group 2: Net Buy Data - On September 10, 195 ETFs experienced net financing purchases, with the Pengyang Zhongzhai - 30-Year Government Bond ETF leading with a net purchase of 158 million yuan [1] - Other ETFs with significant net financing purchases include Hai Futong Zhongzheng Short-term Bond ETF, E Fund ChiNext ETF, Huatai-PB Zhongzheng Photovoltaic Industry ETF, Huabao ChiNext Artificial Intelligence ETF, and others [1]

Core Viewpoint - As of September 1, the total margin balance for ETFs in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 110.01 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 1.31 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] Group 1: ETF Financing and Margin Data - The ETF financing balance stood at 102.413 billion yuan, up by 1.166 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - The ETF margin short balance was 7.597 billion yuan, which increased by 144 million yuan from the previous trading day [1] Group 2: Top ETFs by Net Financing - On September 1, 253 ETFs experienced net financing inflows, with the Huaan Gold ETF leading at a net inflow of 247 million yuan [1] - Other ETFs with significant net financing inflows included the Guotai CSI All-Share Communication Equipment ETF, Southern CSI Shenwan Nonferrous Metals ETF, Guotai CSI All-Share Securities Company ETF, Penghua CSI Sub-Sector Chemical Industry Theme ETF, Invesco Great Wall Nasdaq Technology Market Cap Weighted ETF, and Huaan ChiNext 50 ETF [1]

Core Insights - As of August 7, the total margin balance for ETFs in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets is 102.273 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.866 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] - The financing balance for ETFs is 95.8 billion yuan, down by 2.947 billion yuan, while the margin short balance increased to 6.473 billion yuan, up by 0.081 billion yuan [1] ETF Financing Activity - On August 7, 152 ETFs experienced net financing inflows, with the Huabao CSI Medical ETF leading with a net inflow of 49.7411 million yuan [1] - Other ETFs with significant net inflows include the Huaxia NASDAQ 100 ETF (48.8618 million yuan), Bosera SSE STAR 50 ETF (34.4376 million yuan), and E Fund CSI Hong Kong Securities Investment Theme ETF (33.5724 million yuan) [1] - Additional ETFs with notable net inflows are the Invesco NASDAQ Technology Market Cap Weighted ETF (30.3356 million yuan), Guotai CSI All Share Securities Company ETF (28.6591 million yuan), and Southern CSI 1000 ETF (22.2967 million yuan) [1]

Core Insights - The U.S. stock market rebounded quickly in Q2 2025 after tariff friction, reaching new highs, with Oriental Harbor's overseas fund increasing its holdings to approximately $1.127 billion and expanding its portfolio to 13 stocks [1][3] Group 1: Fund Performance and Holdings - Oriental Harbor's overseas fund reported a significant increase in holdings, rising from $868 million at the end of Q1 to $1.127 billion by the end of Q2 [3] - The fund's primary focus remains on technology leaders, with Nvidia as the top holding, owning 1.2678 million shares, which saw a price increase of 45.77% in Q2 [3][4] - Google was notably increased in the portfolio, becoming the second-largest holding with 921,600 shares, and its stock price rose by 13.54% during the same period [4] Group 2: New Investments - In Q2 2025, Oriental Harbor initiated a position in Tesla, holding 198,300 shares, which rebounded with a 22.57% increase after a previous decline of 35.83% in Q1 [4] - The fund also entered a new position in Netflix, acquiring 42,800 shares, which appreciated by 43.6% in Q2 [4] - Additionally, the fund made its first investment in the cryptocurrency sector by purchasing 156,100 shares of Coinbase, which surged over 103% in Q2 [2][5] Group 3: Market Trends and Strategy - The digital currency sector showed strong performance in both U.S. and Chinese markets, with Coinbase positioned as a key player in connecting crypto assets with mainstream finance [5] - The investment strategy emphasizes companies that can "change the world," with a focus on AI technology, computing infrastructure, and applications [3][5] - The fund's domestic portfolio also heavily invests in ETFs closely related to U.S. stocks, with a total market value of approximately 930 million yuan [6]

Core Viewpoint - The recent performance surge of Dan Bin's private equity products is primarily attributed to the strong rebound of his major holdings in the stock market [5][6][12]. Group 1: Performance and Holdings - Dan Bin's private equity products have shown significant performance improvement, with 62 out of 64 products achieving over ***% returns in the past month [2]. - The Oriental Harbor Investment Fund, managed by Dan Bin, reported a total holding value of $868 million (approximately 6.2 billion RMB) at the end of Q1, slightly down from $995 million at the end of 2024 [7]. - Major adjustments in holdings included the complete liquidation of Palantir, SoundHound AI, and a leveraged small-cap ETF, while significantly increasing positions in tech giants like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Google [7][8]. Group 2: Market Trends and Insights - Despite significant market volatility due to various factors, Dan Bin remains optimistic about the long-term potential of artificial intelligence, emphasizing that AI is becoming a fundamental driver of business and economic performance [12][14]. - The strong earnings reports from companies, particularly those driven by AI, have exceeded market expectations, countering fears of a downturn in capital expenditures related to AI [14]. - Dan Bin believes that the AI trend will not be short-lived, drawing parallels with previous technological revolutions that lasted over a decade [14][16].