hyzqdatemark 2025 年 08 月 26 日 证券分析师 证券研究报告 电力设备 | 电网设备 非金融|公司点评报告 市场表现： | 基本数据 | | | | 2025 | 年 | 月 | 日 | 08 | 25 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | | | 23.66 | | | | | 一 年 内 最 低 | 最 | 高 | / | | | 37.60/20.20 | | | | | （元） | | | | | | | | | | | 总市值（百万元） | | | | | | 24,103.61 | | | | | 流通市值（百万元） | | | | | | 23,936.85 | | | | | 总股本（百万股） | | | | | | 1,018.75 | | | | | 资产负债率（%） | | | | | | 50.48 | | | | | 每股净资产（元/股） | | | | | | 11.59 | | | | | 资料来源：聚源数据 | | | | | | ...

查看完整报告 点击注册小程序 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 事件： 公司发布2025年半年报，2025年上半年实现营业收入64.47亿元，同比减少5.68%；归母净利润6.34亿元，同比 增长0.96%；毛利率同比上升2.85pct至23.75%，净利率同比上升0.43pct至11.01%；拟每10股派发现金红利2.38 元（含税）。其中2025Q2实现营业收入40.99亿元，同比增长1.81%；归母净利润4.26亿元，同比增长9.12%， 环比增长105.38%。 我国特高压建设持续推进，25H1公司直流输电系统业务迎来放量 25H1公司直流输电系统营业收入同比增长211.71%至4.60亿元，毛利率同比下降10.74pct至40.76%。我国仍有 多条储备的特高压项目，未来特高压工 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for XJ Electric (000400.SZ) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 6.447 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 5.68%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 634 million yuan, an increase of 0.96% year-on-year [4] - The company is expected to benefit from the high growth in UHV (Ultra High Voltage) projects, with significant investments planned in the coming years [4] - Domestic revenue increased by 7.41% year-on-year to 6.192 billion yuan in H1 2025, while overseas revenue surged by 72.68% to 255 million yuan [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - H1 2025 revenue was 6.447 billion yuan, with a net profit of 634 million yuan, reflecting a 0.96% increase year-on-year [4] - Q2 2025 saw a revenue of 4.099 billion yuan, a 1.81% increase year-on-year and a 74.56% increase quarter-on-quarter [4] - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 23.91%, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.17 percentage points [4] Business Segments - Intelligent distribution systems generated 1.847 billion yuan in revenue, down 13.01% year-on-year, while smart meters brought in 1.528 billion yuan, down 4.44% [4] - The direct current transmission system revenue skyrocketed by 211.71% to 460 million yuan, indicating strong demand in this segment [4] Market Position - The company maintains a leading position in the domestic market, with significant contracts in the railway monitoring and protection sector [4] - Internationally, the company has expanded its presence in markets such as Saudi Arabia, Brazil, and Spain, with a notable increase in overseas revenue [4] Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 17.762 billion yuan and 18.788 billion yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with net profits expected to reach 1.386 billion yuan and 1.687 billion yuan [5] - The report anticipates continued growth driven by increased investments in the power grid and the company's strong capabilities in UHV and smart grid businesses [4]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within six months [6][13]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 17.09 billion yuan in 2024, a slight increase of 0.2% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.12 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 11.1% year-on-year [4]. - The revenue structure has improved, with significant growth in the smart distribution system and direct current transmission systems, while the integrated services segment has decreased in proportion [4][5]. - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing boom in ultra-high voltage construction, with predictions of revenue growth to 18.97 billion yuan in 2025 and 21.08 billion yuan in 2026 [6][9]. Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the revenue from various segments was as follows: smart distribution systems (4.71 billion yuan), smart meters (3.87 billion yuan), and direct current transmission systems (1.44 billion yuan), with respective year-on-year growth rates of 2.9%, 11.0%, and 101.6% [4]. - The overall gross margin for the company improved to 20.8% in 2024, up by 2.8 percentage points year-on-year, driven by product structure optimization and cost reduction efforts [5][9]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to reach 1.41 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 26.4% [9][12]. Financial Metrics - The company’s PE ratio is expected to decrease from 19.39 in 2024 to 15.34 in 2025, indicating an improving valuation as earnings grow [9][12]. - The asset-liability ratio is projected to decline from 51.0% in 2024 to 48.0% in 2025, suggesting improved financial stability [12]. - The forecasted EPS is expected to rise from 1.10 yuan in 2024 to 1.39 yuan in 2025, reflecting the anticipated growth in profitability [9][12].

Core Viewpoint - The company achieved a revenue of 17.089 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 0.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.117 billion, reflecting an 11.1% increase year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 7.503 billion, a year-on-year increase of 20.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 172.8% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q4 2024 was 222 million, showing a year-on-year growth of 13.9% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 16.9% [1] - For Q1 2025, the company recorded a revenue of 2.348 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 16.4% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 68.7% [1] Profitability Metrics - The company’s gross profit margin and net profit margin for 2024 were 20.8% and 7.6%, respectively, with year-on-year changes of 2.8 percentage points and 0.6 percentage points [2] - In Q1 2025, the gross profit margin and net profit margin improved to 23.5% and 10.1%, with year-on-year changes of 5.2 percentage points and 0.7 percentage points [2] Business Segments - The company is a leading player in the domestic ultra-high voltage converter valve market, benefiting from increased industry demand [2] - The direct current transmission system business generated revenue of 1.44 billion in 2024, a significant year-on-year increase of 101.6% [2] - The smart meter business achieved revenue of 3.87 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 11% [3] - The company’s overseas business revenue reached 310 million in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 102% [3] Future Outlook - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 19.7 billion, 22.56 billion, and 25.1 billion, respectively, with expected net profit growth rates of 28.5%, 20.9%, and 14.6% [4] - The company’s core product advantages in smart grids and ultra-high voltage sectors, along with flexible direct current and EPC business, are expected to drive future growth [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its 2024 annual and 2025 Q1 financial results, showing mixed performance with slight revenue growth in 2024 but a decline in Q1 2025 [1][2]. Financial Performance - For 2024, total revenue reached 17.09 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.2%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.12 billion, up 11.1% year-on-year [1]. - In Q4 2024, revenue was 7.50 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 172.8% [1]. - For Q1 2025, revenue dropped to 2.35 billion, a decrease of 16.4% year-on-year [1]. Segment Performance - In 2024, revenue from the smart distribution and transformation system was 4.71 billion, up 2.9% year-on-year; smart meters generated 3.87 billion, up 11.0% [2]. - The revenue from new energy and system integration fell significantly by 37.5% to 2.46 billion, while the direct current transmission system revenue surged by 101.6% to 1.44 billion [2]. - The company’s foreign revenue in 2024 was 309 million, an increase of 102.2% year-on-year [2]. Profitability Metrics - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 20.77%, an increase of 2.78 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - In Q4 2024, the gross margin was 19.28%, up 2.50 percentage points year-on-year but down 5.24 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 improved to 23.47%, a year-on-year increase of 5.20 percentage points [3]. Expense Ratios - The total expense ratio for 2024 was 12.54%, an increase of 1.68 percentage points year-on-year, with the sales expense ratio at 4.22%, up 1.34 percentage points [4]. - In Q1 2025, the total expense ratio rose to 13.07%, with the sales expense ratio increasing to 4.77%, reflecting a significant rise [4]. Future Outlook - The company aims for a revenue target of 18.3 billion in 2025, with expectations of growth in the distribution and medium voltage sectors [4]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is 1.45 billion, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 15 times [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [7] Core Views - The company reported a slight increase in revenue for 2024, with total revenue of 17.09 billion yuan, up 0.2% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.12 billion yuan, an increase of 11.1% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.06 billion yuan, up 22.2% year-on-year [2][4] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 7.50 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 17.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 172.8%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 4.7% year-on-year to 220 million yuan [2][4] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.35 billion yuan, down 16.4% year-on-year, and a net profit of 210 million yuan, down 12.5% year-on-year [2][4] Financial Performance - The company's revenue from various segments in 2024 included: - Smart distribution and transformation systems: 4.71 billion yuan, up 2.9% - Smart meters: 3.87 billion yuan, up 11.0% - Smart medium-voltage power supply equipment: 3.35 billion yuan, up 6.7% - New energy and system integration: 2.46 billion yuan, down 37.5% - DC transmission systems: 1.44 billion yuan, up 101.6% - Charging and swapping equipment and other manufacturing services: 1.25 billion yuan, up 4.2% [10] - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 20.77%, an increase of 2.78 percentage points year-on-year. The gross margin for Q4 2024 was 19.28%, up 2.50 percentage points year-on-year but down 5.24 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [10] - The company’s total expenses ratio for 2024 was 12.54%, an increase of 1.68 percentage points year-on-year, with the sales expense ratio at 4.22%, up 1.34 percentage points [10] Future Outlook - The company has set a financial target for 2025 to achieve a revenue of 18.3 billion yuan. The expected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to reach 1.45 billion yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of approximately 15 times [10]