镍金属 - 2026 年开门红金属巡礼 20260108 摘要 印尼镍矿出口禁令及配额政策是影响全球镍价的关键因素。2019 年禁 令限制原材料出口，推动中国在印尼设厂冶炼中间品，近期收紧配额政 策预计将加剧供应紧张，支撑镍价上涨。 2026 年镍市场整体供过于求，库存累积导致价格承压，尽管年初印尼 调整特许经营权使用费税率有所提振，但宏观经济及中美贸易战等因素 也加剧了短期价格波动。 印尼政府计划收紧镍矿配额，预计 2027 年镍市场供需平衡将趋紧，可 能出现供应不足，推动镍价上涨，当前或处于底部抬升阶段，回调可能 提供投资机会。 四季度不锈钢传统旺季及新能源车购置税政策调整，曾短期提振镍需求， 但随着旺季结束和政策效应减退，镍价再次下跌，表明需求侧对镍价的 影响具有周期性。 印尼镍矿协会宣布 2026 年 RKAB 批量大幅减少，刺激市场情绪，推动 镍价上涨，但印尼政府的模糊表态又导致价格暴跌，表明市场情绪对镍 价的短期影响显著。 Q&A 当前镍行业的基本面和市场供需情况如何？ 当前镍行业的基本面受到印尼政策的显著影响。全球镍矿储量约为 1.3 亿金属 吨，其中印尼占了 5,500 万金属吨，约占全球储量 ...

雅加达讯 —— 印尼镍矿商协会（APNI）于 12 月 22 日（周一）发布印尼镍价指数（INPI）。最新数据 显示，镍下游产品价格出现上涨态势，而镍矿价格相较往期发布则趋于稳定。 来源：市场资讯 | Products (USD/mt) | Price Range | | Average Change | Date Release | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Nickel Ore 1.2% (CIF) | 22-23 | 22.5 | 0 | Dec 22, 2025 | | Nickel Ore 1.6% (CIF) | 50.8-52.8 | 51.8 | -0.1 | Dec 22, 2025 | | Nickel Pig Iron (FOB) | 110.47 - 110.47 | 110.47 | +0.15 | Dec 22, 2025 | | High-Grade Nickel Matte (FOB) | 13,017 - 13,017 | 13,017 | 1 +48 | Dec 22, 2025 | | MHP FOB Price | 12,736 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of Likin Resources (02245) shows significant growth in both revenue and profit, driven by increased production and operational efficiency in its projects [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Likin Resources reported revenue of approximately 18.1466 billion HKD, representing a year-on-year increase of 66.8% [1] - The profit attributable to the company's shareholders was around 1.426 billion HKD, which is a substantial increase of 143.0% compared to the previous year [1] - Earnings per share stood at 0.92 HKD [1] Production and Operational Efficiency - The growth in revenue and profit is primarily attributed to a significant increase in the production of hydrometallurgical products such as nickel hydroxide and pyrometallurgical products like nickel iron [1] - The increase in production is largely due to the full operational capacity of the ONC project and the production release from the KPS project [1] - The company has optimized its product structure, implemented refined cost control management, and made technological improvements to enhance production processes, further boosting profitability [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of Likin Resources (02245) shows significant growth in both revenue and profit, driven by increased production and operational efficiency in its projects [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Likin Resources reported revenue of approximately 18.1466 billion HKD, representing a year-on-year increase of 66.8% [1] - The profit attributable to the company's shareholders was around 1.426 billion HKD, which is a 143.0% increase compared to the previous year [1] - Earnings per share stood at 0.92 HKD [1] Production and Operational Highlights - The growth in revenue and profit is primarily attributed to a significant increase in the production of hydrometallurgical products such as nickel hydroxide and pyrometallurgical products like nickel iron [1] - The increase in production is linked to the full operational capacity of the ONC project and the output release from the KPS project [1] - The company has optimized its product structure and implemented refined cost control management, along with technological improvements to enhance production processes and profitability [1]

Core Viewpoint - GEM Co., Ltd. (格林美) has submitted its prospectus for an initial public offering (IPO) on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to list on the main board [2][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - GEM was established in 2001 and is a leader in the recycling of critical metal resources and lithium-ion batteries, as well as a prominent player in the global new energy materials manufacturing industry [3][5]. - The company operates under a business model that focuses on "eliminating pollution and recreating resources" through urban mining [3]. Group 2: Market Position - In the critical metal resource sector, GEM ranks first in China for the recovery of nickel, cobalt, and tungsten, and is among the top three globally for MHP (Nickel Cobalt Hydroxide) production [5]. - GEM is the largest in China for lithium-ion battery recycling and has established partnerships with over 1,000 automotive and battery manufacturers globally [5]. Group 3: Financial Performance - GEM's revenue for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025 was approximately RMB 29.39 billion, RMB 30.53 billion, RMB 33.20 billion, and RMB 17.56 billion respectively [11][12]. - The net profit for the same periods was RMB 1.33 billion, RMB 1.16 billion, RMB 1.33 billion, and RMB 842.77 million respectively [11][12]. Group 4: Shareholder Structure - As of September 16, 2025, the shareholder structure before the Hong Kong listing shows that the founders, Xu Kaihua and Wang Min, hold a combined 9.02% of the shares, while other A-shareholders hold 90.98% [7]. Group 5: Management Team - The board of directors consists of seven members, including four executive directors and three independent non-executive directors [9]. - Key executives include Xu Kaihua (Chairman and General Manager) and Wang Min (Executive Director) [9][10].

Core Viewpoint - Liken Resources (02245) reported significant growth in both revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, driven by increased production and operational efficiency [1] Financial Performance - Revenue reached approximately 18.1466 billion HKD, representing a year-on-year increase of 66.8% [1] - Profit attributable to the parent company was around 1.426 billion HKD, up 143.0% compared to the previous year [1] - Earnings per share stood at 0.92 HKD [1] Production and Operational Highlights - The growth in revenue and profit was primarily due to a substantial increase in the production of hydrometallurgical products such as nickel-cobalt hydroxide and pyrometallurgical products like nickel iron [1] - The increase in production was attributed to the full operational capacity of the ONC project and the production release from the KPS project [1] - The company optimized its product structure and implemented refined cost control management, along with technological improvements to enhance production processes and profitability [1]

Core Viewpoint - Liken Resources (02245) reported significant growth in both revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, driven by increased production and operational efficiency [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for the period reached approximately 18.1466 billion HKD, representing a year-on-year increase of 66.8% [1] - Profit attributable to the parent company was around 1.426 billion HKD, showing a substantial increase of 143.0% compared to the previous year [1] - Earnings per share stood at 0.92 HKD [1] Production and Operational Highlights - The growth in revenue and profit was primarily due to a significant increase in the production of hydrometallurgical products such as nickel hydroxide and pyrometallurgical products like nickel iron [1] - The increase in production was attributed to the full operational capacity of the ONC project and the production release from the KPS project [1] - The company optimized its product structure and implemented refined cost control management, along with technological improvements to enhance production processes and profitability [1]

Core Insights - The long-term demand for nickel is widely recognized, but the efficient development of low-grade nickel laterite ores remains a bottleneck for the industry [1] - Companies that can overcome technical challenges and align with Indonesia's transformation from a resource exporter to an industrial hub will gain a competitive edge in the nickel industry [1] - Liqin Resources has seen its stock price increase by over 130% in the past year, significantly outperforming the market, due to its integration of Chinese technology and Indonesian resources [1] Industry Dynamics - The global nickel industry is undergoing a dual transformation characterized by "supply-demand dynamics" and "technological iteration" [2] - Nickel prices fell to a near-term low of 115,000 RMB/ton in April due to U.S. tariffs, but have since stabilized between 120,000 and 130,000 RMB/ton [2] - Major companies like Norilsk Nickel and Glencore announced production cuts, with Norilsk's nickel output down 4% and Glencore's down 7% year-on-year [2] - The stainless steel sector is recovering, with China's crude steel production up 5.17% year-on-year, while the demand for battery-grade nickel remains strong due to the high nickel content trend in batteries [2] Technological Innovation - Liqin Resources has adopted the third-generation HPAL hydrometallurgical process, which is one of the most advanced technologies for processing low-grade nickel laterite ores [3] - This technology has achieved a rapid production ramp-up record within two months and significantly improved nickel-cobalt recovery rates, positioning it among the lowest-cost nickel-cobalt production projects globally [3] - During the industry downturn, Liqin's low-cost advantage allowed it to gain market share as high-cost capacities were forced out [3] Strategic Positioning in Indonesia - Liqin Resources exemplifies the integration of Chinese technology with global resources, aligning with Indonesia's shift from resource exportation to deep processing [4] - Indonesia's nickel-related product exports are projected to reach $33.9 billion in 2024, marking a historic high and validating the country's industrial upgrade strategy [4] - The company operates HPAL and RKEF projects in collaboration with Indonesian partners, ensuring a "mine-to-metal" integration [5] Environmental and Social Responsibility - Liqin Resources emphasizes green development, with the first wet tailings demonstration facility in Indonesia set to enhance resource utilization and address environmental concerns [6] - This initiative aligns with Indonesia's industrial upgrade requirements and supports the "Belt and Road" green development initiative [6] Competitive Advantages - Liqin Resources has built a dual-base supply network in Indonesia and the Philippines, ensuring stable supply and mitigating regional supply fluctuations [7] - The company employs a "wet and dry" technology synergy, producing battery-grade nickel sulfate and nickel iron to cater to both the new energy and traditional industrial markets [7] - The integration of ESG principles into operations enhances long-term customer loyalty and positions the company favorably in a market with increasing ESG scrutiny [8] Conclusion - Liqin Resources' strong performance in the Hong Kong stock market is attributed to its established ecological moat and strategic positioning in the nickel industry [9] - The company's global procurement network, dual technology approach, and long-term customer contracts have transformed it into an ecological platform connecting global nickel resources with end-user demand [9] - The current nickel price fluctuations serve as a test of the company's competitive strength, with its cost advantages and technological innovations poised to capture market share and drive growth [10]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported significant growth in both revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, driven by increased production from key projects and improved operational efficiency [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 reached approximately 18.1466 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 66.8% [1] - Profit attributable to the parent company was approximately 1.426 billion, showing a substantial year-on-year increase of 143.0% [1] - Earnings per share stood at 0.92 yuan [1] Operational Highlights - The growth in revenue and profit was primarily due to a significant increase in the production of hydrometallurgical products such as nickel-cobalt hydroxide and pyrometallurgical products like nickel iron [1] - The ONC project achieved full production capacity, and the KPS project contributed to the release of production capacity [1] - The company optimized its product structure and implemented refined cost control management, along with technological improvements to enhance production processes, further boosting profitability [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Likin Resources (02245) reported significant growth in both revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, driven by increased production and operational efficiency [1] - The company's revenue reached approximately 18.1466 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 66.8% [1] - The profit attributable to the parent company was approximately 1.426 billion yuan, showing a substantial year-on-year increase of 143.0% [1] - Earnings per share were reported at 0.92 yuan [1] Group 2 - The growth in revenue and profit is primarily attributed to a significant increase in the production of hydrometallurgical products such as nickel-cobalt hydroxide and pyrometallurgical products like nickel iron during the reporting period [1] - The increase in production is mainly due to the full operational capacity of the ONC project and the production release from the KPS project [1] - The company has optimized its product structure, implemented refined cost control management, and made technological improvements to enhance production processes, further boosting profitability [1]