山海：黄金陷入大范围震荡中，暂时难以突破区间！ 沪银（2602合约）本周的11950多单提示在12200出局，目前11840多单还在持有中，不过今天白银再次回落，力度有点大，现在收盘在11730附近，按照走势 来看，白银大概率还是震荡，只要维持在11500支撑上，就难以大跌，所以，建议可以以11500为防守继续做多看涨沪银，今天短线看上方压制在12000，大 力度的话看12300即可。近期走不出区间，就以震荡看待。 国际原油还是没有涨上去，目前再次下跌到58附近，前面提示在58支撑附近做多看涨，虽然前面有部分利润，但是还是没有延续上涨，所以，现在也就只能 继续持有58的多单不变，本周大概率没有什么表现了，主要看周内尾盘的收盘变化，如果能起来下周再看上涨。 国内燃油（2602合约）微跌了一点，但是力度不大，收盘还是在2510附近，目前还是没有确定筑底，但可以尝试性加仓做多，看看这个周期的变化，本周确 定筑底的话，下周再看上涨空间，现在就多观察市场变化。 撰文/山海 (以上文章由山海原创，转载请注明出处。山海温馨提示，投资有风险，入市需谨慎。以上仅代表山海个人观点，不作操作依据，据此操作风险自担） 黄金周期性还是 ...

国际原油波动不是很大，经过两个交易日的涨跌，暂时收盘在59.5附近，前面提示在58支撑附近做多看涨，现在有部分利润，如果执行了多单可以继续持 有，看本周的变化，周期看涨的话，关注62.5低点的得失，不破看震荡，破位再看单边力度。 国内金经过三天的上涨，沪金最高在950（2602合约），融通金最高在942，前面布局的沪金925多单，融通金922的多单走出了预期的上涨空间，并且提示了 适当的调整仓位，虽然午夜国内金跟随国际黄金走出了下跌，但目前收盘来看，沪金收盘在941，融通金收盘在937，今天大概率不会开仓，等非农数据公布 后再开新的仓位。如果数据利多，沪金看到960，融通金过看到955。 国际白银上个交易日同样走出了上涨，最高在52.5附近，距离我们的目标53只差0.5美金，目前白银收盘在51.5，今天继续上涨的话就看53目标点，当然数据 利多的情况下，不猜高，破位53还有更大的上涨空间，所以，这个周期继续持有前期的50多单不变。 沪银（2602合约）本周的上涨力度明显，经过昨天的上涨，最高在12300附近，前面布局的11840多单，11950多单均有不错的利润，已经提示会员11950多单 获利350个点出局 ...

Group 1 - The bullish trend in gold has reached the first target level of 4150, with expectations for further upward movement towards 4200 and eventually 4300 [2][4] - Silver has also shown an upward trend, closing at 51.3, with a target of 52 in sight [2][6] - Domestic gold (Shanghai Gold) is expected to rise to 970, with current support levels adjusted to 945 and 940 for further buying opportunities [5] Group 2 - International silver has reached its first target of 51, with a potential adjustment in positions as it aims for a target of 52, and a maximum target of 53 for the week [6] - Domestic fuel oil has shown signs of bottoming out, with current prices around 2700 and potential targets of 2800 and 2900 [7] - International crude oil has maintained a bullish outlook, currently around 61, with expectations for further upward movement towards 62.5 [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that gold has entered a phase of sustained upward movement, with expectations for continued price increases towards 4150 and 4300 levels [3][5]. Gold Market Analysis - Following a previous low of 3888, the market was advised against overly bearish sentiment, anticipating a rebound that has now seen gold prices rise to around 4130, marking a significant single-day increase of over 100 USD [3][5]. - The breakout above 4050 is seen as a confirmation of a bullish trend, with further targets set at 4150 and 4300 [5][6]. - Technical indicators suggest that the upward momentum is just beginning, with the Bollinger Bands indicating potential for further gains [5][6]. Silver Market Analysis - The silver market shows a strong foundation for upward movement, with previous positions established at 46, targeting 51 and 53 as potential highs [3][6]. - The domestic silver market (沪银) is expected to reach 12000, with further targets at 12380, indicating a robust bullish trend [7]. Domestic Gold Market - The domestic gold market (沪金) is projected to reach 955, with potential for further increases to 970, reflecting a strong bullish sentiment [6][7]. - The article advises maintaining long positions in both domestic gold and silver, as the upward trend appears solid [6][7]. Oil Market Analysis - The oil market is currently experiencing limited volatility, with expectations of a gradual upward trend, potentially reaching 62.5 [7]. - The article suggests maintaining long positions in oil, with a focus on a slow increase towards the 2800 high for domestic fuel [7].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of monitoring gold's price movements within specified ranges, suggesting a focus on fluctuations rather than a strong bullish or bearish outlook, particularly in light of the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and lack of significant market data [2][3][4]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold is currently trading around 4020, which is identified as a key resistance point. A break above 4050 could lead to a strong upward trend, with targets set at 4150 and 4300 [3][4]. - The market is advised to adopt a cautious approach, as failure to break 4050 may result in a downward correction. The support levels are noted at 4000, 3950, and 3900 [4][5]. - Technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, with a clear bottoming pattern and potential for further gains if the price breaks through the upper resistance [3][4]. Silver Market Analysis - The silver market is also viewed positively, with a focus on breaking the resistance at 49.5. If this level is surpassed, targets of 51 and 52.5 are anticipated [5][6]. - The article highlights previous successful trades in silver, reinforcing the expectation of upward movement while maintaining a watchful eye on support at 48.5 [5][6]. Domestic Gold and Silver - Domestic gold (Shanghai Gold) is experiencing a strong upward trend, with key levels to watch at 935 for Shanghai Gold and 930 for Rongtong Gold. The support levels are set at 925 and 920, respectively [5][6]. - The article suggests that traders should continue to adopt a bullish stance on domestic gold, with expectations of gradual increases in price [5]. Oil Market Analysis - The oil market is expected to remain in a range-bound state, with a current price around 60. A potential upward movement to 62.5 is anticipated if bullish momentum is strong [6]. - The article advises maintaining existing long positions in oil while monitoring for signs of upward movement [6].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current performance of gold, indicating a consolidation phase with a target of 4020 and a potential next target of 4050, while emphasizing the importance of not making premature predictions in the current market environment [1][3]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold has shown a noticeable performance this week, with four days of low volatility and oscillation, aligning with the analyst's expectations for a consolidating market [3]. - The price of gold reached the key resistance point of 4020 but experienced a corrective decline afterward, indicating a continued oscillation trend [5]. - The analyst maintains a view of a broad trading range for gold between 4050 and 3900, with a smaller range of 4020 to 3935, suggesting that the market is likely to remain within these levels unless significant breaks occur [5][6]. Technical Indicators - The daily chart shows signs of a bottoming pattern, but a clear bullish trend has not yet formed, with the analyst suggesting that a breakout above 4050 could signal a stronger upward movement [6]. - The H4 chart indicates a standard oscillation pattern, with expectations for a potential upward breakout if the price can widen the Bollinger Bands [6]. Silver Market Analysis - The silver market is also experiencing a similar oscillation trend, with a focus on whether the price can break above 49.5, which would indicate a stronger bullish sentiment [6]. - The domestic silver market (沪银) has shown a successful upward movement, with the analyst advising against chasing higher prices and suggesting a focus on the established trading range of 11100 to 11600 [7]. Oil Market Analysis - The oil market has seen a recent decline to 58.8, but the overall trend remains oscillatory, with expectations for a potential rebound towards 61 [7]. - The domestic fuel market (燃油) is advised to hold positions established around 2700, with a cautious outlook for the upcoming week [7].

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates as expected in November, emphasizing a 25 basis point cut, but indicated that there may not be a rate cut in December, leading to a decline in both the US dollar and gold prices [1][2] - Gold experienced a temporary decline from a high of 4030 to a low of 4917, but the overall trend remains bullish, with expectations of a rebound as long as significant declines do not occur [1][2] - Silver's decline has been limited, showing signs of a potential upward movement, with a solid bottom foundation indicating possible gains in the coming days [1][3] Group 2 - Prior to the Federal Reserve's decision, gold was anticipated to rebound to 4020, with potential movements to 4100 or a decline of around 50 dollars depending on market reactions [2] - The domestic gold market showed strong performance, with contracts reaching highs of 922 for Shanghai gold and 917 for Rongtong gold, suggesting opportunities for further long positions [3] - The international silver market remained strong despite the Fed's decisions, with expectations for silver to reach a target of 49.5, maintaining a bullish outlook [3] Group 3 - Crude oil showed unclear performance, fluctuating around 60.3 after a peak of 61, with a focus on the resistance level at 63 for potential adjustments [4] - Domestic fuel oil remains stable, with uncertainty about the continuation of bullish trends, suggesting a cautious approach to trading [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that despite the recent decline in gold and silver prices due to improved US-China trade relations and geopolitical easing, the long-term bullish factors for gold remain intact, especially with an anticipated interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve [2][3]. - Gold prices experienced a significant drop, breaking the support level of 4000 and reaching a low of 3970, but have since rebounded above 4000, suggesting potential for further upward movement [3]. - The market is advised to remain cautious but optimistic about gold and silver, as there may be opportunities to buy on dips, particularly if prices stabilize above key resistance levels [4][5]. Group 2 - Domestic gold prices fell sharply, with the Shanghai gold contract hitting a low of 916, and the market is closely watching the 900 support level for potential reversal [4]. - International silver prices dropped below 47.5, reaching a low of 46, which is now seen as a potential mid-term bottom, suggesting a buying opportunity around this level [4]. - The Shanghai silver contract also faced a decline, with a focus on the 11200 support level, indicating a cautious approach to trading until a clear upward trend is established [5].

Group 1 - The current gold market is influenced by two main factors: the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and geopolitical changes affecting safe-haven demand [2][3] - Gold has entered a consolidation phase after a significant drop, with a trading range established between 4000 and 4150. A breakout from this range will determine the market's direction [3][4] - The domestic gold market has shown low volatility, with support levels at 930 and 925, and resistance at 955 and 950. The market is expected to remain in a low volatility phase unless these key levels are breached [4][5] Group 2 - Silver is experiencing a similar consolidation pattern, with key resistance at 50 and support at 47.5. A sustained move above 50 could signal a continuation of the bullish trend [4][5] - The domestic silver market has shown a bullish trend after a drop to 11300, with a focus on maintaining support at this level. A breakout above 11700 could lead to further gains [5] - The oil market has seen fluctuations, with a recent rise from 56 to 63. The market is currently observing whether it can maintain above 63 to confirm a bullish trend [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of gold and silver markets, emphasizing that gold has not yet stabilized above the critical resistance point of 4150, indicating a lack of a definitive bullish trend despite recent rebounds [2][3]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold has shown rebound potential above 4000, but it has not yet broken the 4150 resistance level, which is crucial for confirming a bullish trend [2][3]. - A double top is formed at 4380 and a double bottom at 4000, suggesting that the 4000 level is unlikely to break down, and a bullish trend could emerge if gold stabilizes above 4150 [3]. - The daily chart indicates that gold is above the Bollinger middle band, and there is a high probability of a bullish close today, which could lead to further increases in November [3]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver has also failed to stabilize above the 50 mark, indicating that its recent rebound is not yet a definitive bullish trend [2][5]. - A double top is noted at 54.5 and a double bottom at 47.5, with the latter providing support against significant declines [5]. - The recommendation is to hold previous long positions and monitor the 50 level for potential upward movement [5]. Domestic Gold and Silver Insights - Domestic gold (Shanghai Gold) has seen a successful rise, with the highest point reaching around 955, aligning with the bullish expectations [4]. - The strategy for domestic gold remains to attempt low long positions, with a focus on the potential for upward trends if key resistance levels are broken [4]. - Domestic silver (Shanghai Silver) has shown a rise to 11600, with previous long positions yielding good profits, but caution is advised as a definitive bullish trend has not yet formed [5]. Oil Market Commentary - The article notes that crude oil has shown a rebound, reaching a high of around 62, with expectations for further increases towards 63 [6]. - The recommendation is to adjust positions as necessary, without overestimating the potential for continued upward movement [6].