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山海:黄金实现了上涨的预期,月收线需谨慎对待!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-28 06:39
Group 1 - The global capital markets showed little volatility during the Thanksgiving holiday, with a focus on holding positions or remaining in cash [2] - Despite the lack of movement, there is an expectation for gold and silver to continue their upward trend, with a target of at least 4200 for gold [4] - The domestic gold market has seen significant profits, with recommendations to exit positions while maintaining a bullish outlook for future price movements [5] Group 2 - The silver market remains strong, with previous positions yielding profits and a recommendation to observe market changes before making new trades [6] - International crude oil has shown limited performance, with a focus on maintaining existing positions while monitoring for potential upward movement in December [6] - Domestic fuel oil is still in a phase of uncertainty, with a recommendation to hold positions and watch for signs of a bottoming out [6]
山海:感恩美盘节休市,黄金继续看慢涨空间!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-27 04:47
Group 1 - The current trend for gold and silver is characterized by a phase of upward movement, with gold prices rising from 4040 to 4172, indicating a strong support base at 4140 and a target of 4200 for the week [2][4] - Silver has reached a high of 53.5, fulfilling the anticipated target range of 53/54, and is advised to maintain a cautious stance moving forward, with a focus on December's market conditions [5][6] - Domestic gold prices have shown slight upward movement, with expectations for further increases, particularly for contracts like沪金 and融通金, which are projected to reach 960 and 955 respectively [5][6] Group 2 - The international oil market has shown insufficient performance, currently stabilizing around 58.5, with a focus on observing the 61 level for potential upward movement [6] - Domestic fuel oil has experienced minor declines, with a current price around 2470, and the strategy remains to hold existing positions while monitoring for signs of a bottom formation [6]
山海:黄金陷入大范围震荡中,暂时难以突破区间!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 05:18
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold market is currently experiencing a range-bound trading pattern, with recent movements showing a slight rebound after a dip, indicating a lack of strong directional trends [1][2] - On Thursday, gold reached a high of 4107 but fell back to 4045, suggesting a significant trading range between 4040 and 4150, with traders advised to consider short positions at the upper end and long positions at the lower end [2][3] - The technical analysis indicates that both daily and H4 charts are showing clear signs of range-bound trading, with key support at 4040 and resistance at 4130 [2][3] Group 2: Silver Market Analysis - The international silver market has also entered a period of volatility, with prices fluctuating between 52.5 and 49.5, suggesting a similar range-bound trading strategy [3] - Domestic silver (沪银) has seen a recent drop, with current support at 11500, and traders are encouraged to maintain long positions as long as this support holds [3] - The short-term outlook for silver suggests potential upward movement if it can rebound from current levels, with resistance points identified at 12000 and 12300 [3] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - The international oil market has not shown significant upward movement, currently trading around 58, with previous recommendations to hold long positions at this support level [4] - Domestic fuel oil has experienced a slight decline but remains stable, with traders advised to monitor for signs of a bottom formation before considering further positions [4]
山海:黄金大范围宽幅震荡,今天看非农数据影响!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 02:20
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold is currently experiencing a wide range of fluctuations, with a recent high of approximately 4133 and a low of around 4055, suggesting a lack of a strong upward trend [2][4] - The dollar's significant rise has negatively impacted gold prices, leading to a continued oscillation rather than a clear upward movement [2][4] - The upcoming non-farm payroll data is expected to have a substantial influence on gold's price movement, with potential targets of 4200 if the data is favorable and 4000 if it is unfavorable [2][4] Group 2 - Domestic gold has seen an increase over three days, with the Shanghai gold reaching a high of 950, and the previous positions have yielded expected profits [5] - The international silver market also experienced an upward trend, reaching a high of 52.5, with a target of 53 still in sight [5] - The international crude oil market has shown limited volatility, closing around 59.5, with previous recommendations to buy near the support level of 58 [6]
山海:黄金继续看趋势上涨,日内目标4200!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-12 01:30
Group 1 - The bullish trend in gold has reached the first target level of 4150, with expectations for further upward movement towards 4200 and eventually 4300 [2][4] - Silver has also shown an upward trend, closing at 51.3, with a target of 52 in sight [2][6] - Domestic gold (Shanghai Gold) is expected to rise to 970, with current support levels adjusted to 945 and 940 for further buying opportunities [5] Group 2 - International silver has reached its first target of 51, with a potential adjustment in positions as it aims for a target of 52, and a maximum target of 53 for the week [6] - Domestic fuel oil has shown signs of bottoming out, with current prices around 2700 and potential targets of 2800 and 2900 [7] - International crude oil has maintained a bullish outlook, currently around 61, with expectations for further upward movement towards 62.5 [6]
山海:黄金终于实现了单边上涨,接下来看延续性!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-11 01:28
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that gold has entered a phase of sustained upward movement, with expectations for continued price increases towards 4150 and 4300 levels [3][5]. Gold Market Analysis - Following a previous low of 3888, the market was advised against overly bearish sentiment, anticipating a rebound that has now seen gold prices rise to around 4130, marking a significant single-day increase of over 100 USD [3][5]. - The breakout above 4050 is seen as a confirmation of a bullish trend, with further targets set at 4150 and 4300 [5][6]. - Technical indicators suggest that the upward momentum is just beginning, with the Bollinger Bands indicating potential for further gains [5][6]. Silver Market Analysis - The silver market shows a strong foundation for upward movement, with previous positions established at 46, targeting 51 and 53 as potential highs [3][6]. - The domestic silver market (沪银) is expected to reach 12000, with further targets at 12380, indicating a robust bullish trend [7]. Domestic Gold Market - The domestic gold market (沪金) is projected to reach 955, with potential for further increases to 970, reflecting a strong bullish sentiment [6][7]. - The article advises maintaining long positions in both domestic gold and silver, as the upward trend appears solid [6][7]. Oil Market Analysis - The oil market is currently experiencing limited volatility, with expectations of a gradual upward trend, potentially reaching 62.5 [7]. - The article suggests maintaining long positions in oil, with a focus on a slow increase towards the 2800 high for domestic fuel [7].
山海:黄金上涨实现了4050,单边行情即将开始!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-10 01:57
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of monitoring gold's price movements within specified ranges, suggesting a focus on fluctuations rather than a strong bullish or bearish outlook, particularly in light of the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and lack of significant market data [2][3][4]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold is currently trading around 4020, which is identified as a key resistance point. A break above 4050 could lead to a strong upward trend, with targets set at 4150 and 4300 [3][4]. - The market is advised to adopt a cautious approach, as failure to break 4050 may result in a downward correction. The support levels are noted at 4000, 3950, and 3900 [4][5]. - Technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, with a clear bottoming pattern and potential for further gains if the price breaks through the upper resistance [3][4]. Silver Market Analysis - The silver market is also viewed positively, with a focus on breaking the resistance at 49.5. If this level is surpassed, targets of 51 and 52.5 are anticipated [5][6]. - The article highlights previous successful trades in silver, reinforcing the expectation of upward movement while maintaining a watchful eye on support at 48.5 [5][6]. Domestic Gold and Silver - Domestic gold (Shanghai Gold) is experiencing a strong upward trend, with key levels to watch at 935 for Shanghai Gold and 930 for Rongtong Gold. The support levels are set at 925 and 920, respectively [5][6]. - The article suggests that traders should continue to adopt a bullish stance on domestic gold, with expectations of gradual increases in price [5]. Oil Market Analysis - The oil market is expected to remain in a range-bound state, with a current price around 60. A potential upward movement to 62.5 is anticipated if bullish momentum is strong [6]. - The article advises maintaining existing long positions in oil while monitoring for signs of upward movement [6].
山海:黄金实现4020目标点,下一波再看4050高点!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-07 02:20
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current performance of gold, indicating a consolidation phase with a target of 4020 and a potential next target of 4050, while emphasizing the importance of not making premature predictions in the current market environment [1][3]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold has shown a noticeable performance this week, with four days of low volatility and oscillation, aligning with the analyst's expectations for a consolidating market [3]. - The price of gold reached the key resistance point of 4020 but experienced a corrective decline afterward, indicating a continued oscillation trend [5]. - The analyst maintains a view of a broad trading range for gold between 4050 and 3900, with a smaller range of 4020 to 3935, suggesting that the market is likely to remain within these levels unless significant breaks occur [5][6]. Technical Indicators - The daily chart shows signs of a bottoming pattern, but a clear bullish trend has not yet formed, with the analyst suggesting that a breakout above 4050 could signal a stronger upward movement [6]. - The H4 chart indicates a standard oscillation pattern, with expectations for a potential upward breakout if the price can widen the Bollinger Bands [6]. Silver Market Analysis - The silver market is also experiencing a similar oscillation trend, with a focus on whether the price can break above 49.5, which would indicate a stronger bullish sentiment [6]. - The domestic silver market (沪银) has shown a successful upward movement, with the analyst advising against chasing higher prices and suggesting a focus on the established trading range of 11100 to 11600 [7]. Oil Market Analysis - The oil market has seen a recent decline to 58.8, but the overall trend remains oscillatory, with expectations for a potential rebound towards 61 [7]. - The domestic fuel market (燃油) is advised to hold positions established around 2700, with a cautious outlook for the upcoming week [7].
山海:美联储如期降息,黄金反倒再次陷入弱势震荡!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 01:45
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates as expected in November, emphasizing a 25 basis point cut, but indicated that there may not be a rate cut in December, leading to a decline in both the US dollar and gold prices [1][2] - Gold experienced a temporary decline from a high of 4030 to a low of 4917, but the overall trend remains bullish, with expectations of a rebound as long as significant declines do not occur [1][2] - Silver's decline has been limited, showing signs of a potential upward movement, with a solid bottom foundation indicating possible gains in the coming days [1][3] Group 2 - Prior to the Federal Reserve's decision, gold was anticipated to rebound to 4020, with potential movements to 4100 or a decline of around 50 dollars depending on market reactions [2] - The domestic gold market showed strong performance, with contracts reaching highs of 922 for Shanghai gold and 917 for Rongtong gold, suggesting opportunities for further long positions [3] - The international silver market remained strong despite the Fed's decisions, with expectations for silver to reach a target of 49.5, maintaining a bullish outlook [3] Group 3 - Crude oil showed unclear performance, fluctuating around 60.3 after a peak of 61, with a focus on the resistance level at 63 for potential adjustments [4] - Domestic fuel oil remains stable, with uncertainty about the continuation of bullish trends, suggesting a cautious approach to trading [4]
山海:黄金跌破4000关口,但似弱非弱再等涨!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 02:23
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that despite the recent decline in gold and silver prices due to improved US-China trade relations and geopolitical easing, the long-term bullish factors for gold remain intact, especially with an anticipated interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve [2][3]. - Gold prices experienced a significant drop, breaking the support level of 4000 and reaching a low of 3970, but have since rebounded above 4000, suggesting potential for further upward movement [3]. - The market is advised to remain cautious but optimistic about gold and silver, as there may be opportunities to buy on dips, particularly if prices stabilize above key resistance levels [4][5]. Group 2 - Domestic gold prices fell sharply, with the Shanghai gold contract hitting a low of 916, and the market is closely watching the 900 support level for potential reversal [4]. - International silver prices dropped below 47.5, reaching a low of 46, which is now seen as a potential mid-term bottom, suggesting a buying opportunity around this level [4]. - The Shanghai silver contract also faced a decline, with a focus on the 11200 support level, indicating a cautious approach to trading until a clear upward trend is established [5].