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山海:黄金走出预期的调整,力度还会延申!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-22 03:17
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold is currently in a bullish trend, but there is a potential for a significant downward adjustment, with a recent high of 4890 and a low of 4755, reflecting a drop of nearly 135 USD [2][4] - The recent upward movement in gold prices was driven by market stimuli, but as these stimuli fade, there is a risk of a sharp decline, which has already begun with a drop of nearly 150 USD [4] - Technical analysis suggests that a major decline in gold prices is imminent, with the daily chart indicating a peak formation that requires breaking below the 5 and 10-day moving averages to confirm a significant drop [4][5] Group 2 - The support levels for gold are identified at 4730 and 4650, with 4650 being a critical point for the current bullish trend [5] - Domestic gold prices have seen a decline from a high of 1095 to around 1070, emphasizing the need for caution as the market remains unstable [5] - International silver prices have fallen more than expected, with a recent low of 90, and further adjustments are anticipated, with support levels at 90 and 86 [5][6] Group 3 - Domestic silver has also experienced a downward adjustment, with the Shanghai silver contract falling to around 22500, aligning with previous expectations [6] - The technical outlook for silver suggests a continued decline, with key support levels at 22500 and 21500, indicating a cautious approach to buying [6]
山海:稍微一个风吹草动,黄金就疯狂了!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-21 02:47
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that recent market movements, particularly the sale of U.S. Treasury bonds by a Danish pension fund and Poland's significant gold purchases, have driven gold prices to new highs, surpassing 4800 [3] - The Danish pension fund's actions reflect a loss of trust in the U.S. as a stable investment, which has increased the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3] - Gold prices have shown an upward trend, reaching 4850, with market sentiment suggesting a bullish outlook despite potential volatility [5] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices have surged to a high of 1083, indicating a strong upward momentum, although there are concerns about the sustainability of this trend [6] - The performance of silver has diverged from gold, with silver prices remaining around 94 and not following gold's upward trajectory, suggesting a separate market dynamic [6] - The analysis suggests waiting for a correction in silver prices before entering the market, with key support levels identified at 93 and 91.5 [6]
山海:黄金不要急着追,保持回落再顺势上车!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-19 02:19
Group 1 - The article emphasizes that gold should not be chased immediately, and investors should wait for a pullback before entering the market [1] - Recent geopolitical tensions, including tariffs imposed by Trump on eight European countries and Iran's declaration of a "full war" status, have led to a bullish sentiment in gold and silver, with gold reaching a high of 4690 and silver at 94 [3] - The technical analysis indicates that gold is in an upward phase, with a potential target of 4800 if it breaks through the upper Bollinger Band, while a pullback could see prices drop to around 4600 or 4550 [5] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices have shown volatility, with the Shanghai gold contract (2606) hitting a low of 1025, and the expectation is to wait for a pullback to buy, with key levels at 1040 and 1025 [6] - Silver has formed a strong support level around 86, and the outlook remains bullish, with expectations for silver to reach 100, while waiting for adjustments to enter trades [6] - The oil market is currently experiencing fluctuations, with support at 58 and resistance at 62, suggesting a cautious trading approach around these key levels [7]
山海:黄金实现了上涨的预期,月收线需谨慎对待!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-28 06:39
Group 1 - The global capital markets showed little volatility during the Thanksgiving holiday, with a focus on holding positions or remaining in cash [2] - Despite the lack of movement, there is an expectation for gold and silver to continue their upward trend, with a target of at least 4200 for gold [4] - The domestic gold market has seen significant profits, with recommendations to exit positions while maintaining a bullish outlook for future price movements [5] Group 2 - The silver market remains strong, with previous positions yielding profits and a recommendation to observe market changes before making new trades [6] - International crude oil has shown limited performance, with a focus on maintaining existing positions while monitoring for potential upward movement in December [6] - Domestic fuel oil is still in a phase of uncertainty, with a recommendation to hold positions and watch for signs of a bottoming out [6]
山海:感恩美盘节休市,黄金继续看慢涨空间!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-27 04:47
Group 1 - The current trend for gold and silver is characterized by a phase of upward movement, with gold prices rising from 4040 to 4172, indicating a strong support base at 4140 and a target of 4200 for the week [2][4] - Silver has reached a high of 53.5, fulfilling the anticipated target range of 53/54, and is advised to maintain a cautious stance moving forward, with a focus on December's market conditions [5][6] - Domestic gold prices have shown slight upward movement, with expectations for further increases, particularly for contracts like沪金 and融通金, which are projected to reach 960 and 955 respectively [5][6] Group 2 - The international oil market has shown insufficient performance, currently stabilizing around 58.5, with a focus on observing the 61 level for potential upward movement [6] - Domestic fuel oil has experienced minor declines, with a current price around 2470, and the strategy remains to hold existing positions while monitoring for signs of a bottom formation [6]
山海:黄金陷入大范围震荡中,暂时难以突破区间!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 05:18
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold market is currently experiencing a range-bound trading pattern, with recent movements showing a slight rebound after a dip, indicating a lack of strong directional trends [1][2] - On Thursday, gold reached a high of 4107 but fell back to 4045, suggesting a significant trading range between 4040 and 4150, with traders advised to consider short positions at the upper end and long positions at the lower end [2][3] - The technical analysis indicates that both daily and H4 charts are showing clear signs of range-bound trading, with key support at 4040 and resistance at 4130 [2][3] Group 2: Silver Market Analysis - The international silver market has also entered a period of volatility, with prices fluctuating between 52.5 and 49.5, suggesting a similar range-bound trading strategy [3] - Domestic silver (沪银) has seen a recent drop, with current support at 11500, and traders are encouraged to maintain long positions as long as this support holds [3] - The short-term outlook for silver suggests potential upward movement if it can rebound from current levels, with resistance points identified at 12000 and 12300 [3] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - The international oil market has not shown significant upward movement, currently trading around 58, with previous recommendations to hold long positions at this support level [4] - Domestic fuel oil has experienced a slight decline but remains stable, with traders advised to monitor for signs of a bottom formation before considering further positions [4]
山海:黄金大范围宽幅震荡,今天看非农数据影响!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 02:20
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold is currently experiencing a wide range of fluctuations, with a recent high of approximately 4133 and a low of around 4055, suggesting a lack of a strong upward trend [2][4] - The dollar's significant rise has negatively impacted gold prices, leading to a continued oscillation rather than a clear upward movement [2][4] - The upcoming non-farm payroll data is expected to have a substantial influence on gold's price movement, with potential targets of 4200 if the data is favorable and 4000 if it is unfavorable [2][4] Group 2 - Domestic gold has seen an increase over three days, with the Shanghai gold reaching a high of 950, and the previous positions have yielded expected profits [5] - The international silver market also experienced an upward trend, reaching a high of 52.5, with a target of 53 still in sight [5] - The international crude oil market has shown limited volatility, closing around 59.5, with previous recommendations to buy near the support level of 58 [6]
山海:黄金先看震荡上行,再关注周内数据冲击!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-17 01:54
Core Viewpoint - The market experienced significant volatility last week, with gold and silver showing a pattern of four days of gains followed by one day of decline, indicating a struggle between bullish and bearish forces [3][5]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold reached a high of 4245 but fell to a low of 4031 on Friday, suggesting a consolidation phase rather than a strong trend [3][5]. - The outlook for gold remains bullish for the year, with expectations that any significant declines will be temporary adjustments rather than a shift to a bearish trend [5]. - The trading range for gold this week is anticipated to be between 4030 and 4250, with a focus on potential rebounds from lower levels [5][6]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver also experienced fluctuations, peaking at 54.5 before dropping to 50, with a recommendation to maintain long positions [3][6]. - The target for silver this week is set at 53, with potential for a double top formation at 54.5 [6]. Domestic Gold Performance - Domestic gold contracts showed strong performance, with specific buy signals at 935 and 930, and a recommendation to exit positions at 970 and 965 to avoid losses from the Friday drop [6]. - Current targets for domestic gold are set at 955 for the week, maintaining a bullish outlook [6]. Domestic Silver Performance - Domestic silver contracts also saw significant gains, with buy signals at 46 and 47, and a peak at 54.5, followed by a recommendation to buy at lower levels [7]. - The target for domestic silver is set at 53, with a focus on maintaining long positions [7]. Crude Oil Market Analysis - International crude oil experienced a drop to 58.1 but rebounded to close at 59.5, indicating a potential for a range-bound trading pattern [7]. - The support level is identified at 58, with resistance at 62, suggesting a strategy of trading within this range until a breakout occurs [7]. Domestic Fuel Oil Analysis - Domestic fuel oil showed little volatility, closing around 2600, with a recommendation to maintain existing long positions while monitoring for upward movement [8].
山海:黄金距离4300只差一步之遥,尾盘看慢涨走势!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-14 02:28
Group 1 - The recent surge in gold prices began at 3900 and reached a peak of 4245, indicating a bullish trend with a potential target of 4300, which is only 50 dollars away [4] - A significant adjustment occurred on Thursday, with gold dropping to a low of 4145 after hitting 4245, reflecting a 100-dollar fluctuation, but the overall bullish trend remains intact [4][5] - Silver also experienced a notable decline from 54.4 to 52, suggesting a similar pattern of volatility, with expectations for a gradual upward movement [2][5] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices have followed the international trend, with Shanghai gold reaching 970 and Rongtong gold at 965, leading to profitable positions for traders [5] - The recent drop in domestic gold prices to around 956 for Shanghai gold and 950 for Rongtong gold presents new buying opportunities, with short-term targets set at 965 and 960 respectively [5] - International silver has shown a significant drop, testing previous highs before recovering to around 53, indicating a continued bullish trend [5][6] Group 3 - The domestic silver market saw a peak at 12550 before a drop to 12340, but the overall trend remains bullish, with short-term targets set at 12450 and potential for breaking previous highs [6] - International crude oil prices rose to 58.1, closing around 60, suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend with support at 59.5 and a target of 62 [6] - Domestic fuel oil has shown a recovery to around 2650, indicating a completed bottom formation, with expectations for further upward movement towards 2800 and 3000 [6]
山海:黄金实现4200目标,下一个阶段继续看涨!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-13 02:35
Group 1 - Gold has reached a high point of 4200, achieving the second target set by the analysis for this week, with all long positions taken this week profiting near 4200 [2][4] - The next target for gold is projected to be 4300, which may be reached by Thursday or Friday, indicating a continued bullish outlook for these days [2][4] - Silver has also met the expected target of 53, with a current high of 53.6, and is anticipated to reach a previous high of 54.5 this week, suggesting a short-term bullish strategy [2][5] Group 2 - The domestic gold market has seen prices reaching 970 for Shanghai gold and 960 for Rongtong gold, with successful long positions yielding significant profits [5] - The support levels for Shanghai gold are noted at 958 and for Rongtong gold at 952, with recommendations to continue buying on dips [5] - International silver has achieved a phase target of 53, and while the bullish trend continues, it is advised to wait for a pullback to around 52.8 before considering further long positions [5][6] Group 3 - The Shanghai silver contract has successfully reached the target of 12350, with previous long positions gaining 500 to 600 points [6] - Current prices for silver are around 12550, and the recommendation is to continue buying on dips, with support noted at 12300 [6] - The international crude oil market has shown significant pullback, with a current closing price of 58.1, suggesting a cautious approach to trading in this sector [6]