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意外!法拍房成交率上升了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 15:43
别看供应减少了,竞拍的成交量却一点没少。累计成交5169套,环比还逆势上涨了3%,连续3个月站稳5000套以上。 点击【樱桃大房子】关注并 今年10月,新房、二手房市场冷清收场;法拍房市场却颇有热度。 据统计,10月法拍房挂拍2.9万套,供应量环比大幅下降31%,同比下降13%,创下半年以来新低。 以前大家一听法拍房就摇头,觉得"水深"、"麻烦"、"不吉利"。 如今,这是要逆天改命? 深扒数据,却是冰火两重天。 一边是成交率迎来回升。全国平均成交率21%,平均每5套就有1套能成交,重回年内均线水平。 另一边是竞拍热度延续低位,平均折价率增高。法拍房成交房源的溢价中位数仅9.7%,变卖房源折价率增加最为显著。 换言之,被逼到"变卖"这一步的房子,房东(或银行)就在挥泪斩仓。 34%的房源底价成交,创年内新高。仅有5.3%的房源出价次数超100次,创年内新低。 这样一片寒意中,居然爆出来一个王炸案例。 日前,深圳南山区华侨城纯水岸一栋独栋别墅成功拍卖。起拍价2.15亿元,历经118次出价鏖战,单次加价幅度达百万级别,最终以约3.65亿元的价格竞拍 成功,溢价率接近70%,单价高达约57万元/㎡。 这一价格不仅刷新 ...
银行下场卖房降风险也要防风险
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-11-18 00:07
Core Viewpoint - Banks are actively selling properties at prices significantly lower than market rates, driven by the need to manage non-performing assets and respond to economic pressures in the real estate market [1][2] Group 1: Market Context - The trend of banks selling properties is a response to increasing defaults on personal mortgage loans and real estate development loans, leading to a rise in "foreclosure properties" and "debt settlement assets" on bank balance sheets [1] - Traditional channels for disposing of these assets have become bottlenecks, with high rates of unsold foreclosure properties due to issues like unclear tax obligations and difficulties in clearing properties [1][3] Group 2: Benefits of Direct Property Sales - Direct property sales by banks can significantly enhance asset disposal efficiency and accelerate capital recovery, while also reducing legal disputes through better control of the transaction process [2] - Buyers benefit from lower prices, typically 16% to 31% below market rates, along with a transparent transaction process and access to mortgage services, addressing the challenges associated with purchasing foreclosure properties [2] Group 3: Challenges and Risks - Banks face challenges in selling properties due to a lack of professional sales teams and market experience, which may lead to inefficiencies and potential conflicts of interest [3] - The influx of low-priced properties into the market could temporarily suppress surrounding property values, as evidenced by a 4.2% drop in average transaction prices in certain areas [3] Group 4: Alternative Asset Disposal Strategies - Banks have other mature pathways for disposing of non-performing assets, such as packaging them for asset management companies (AMCs), which can leverage their expertise for more effective asset management [4] - Establishing special asset divisions or utilizing asset securitization can also help banks manage risks and share returns with investors [4] - Collaborating with local governments and quality real estate companies on projects related to housing delivery can maximize asset value while ensuring timely project completion [4]
【头条评论】银行下场卖房 降风险也要防风险
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-11-17 17:12
Core Viewpoint - Banks are actively selling properties at prices significantly lower than market rates, driven by the need to manage non-performing assets and respond to economic pressures in the real estate market [1][2]. Group 1: Market Context - Recent economic downturns and deep adjustments in the real estate market have led to increased defaults on personal mortgage loans and real estate development loans, resulting in a growing scale of "foreclosure properties" and "debt settlement assets" held by banks [1]. - Traditional disposal channels for these assets have faced bottlenecks, with high rates of unsold foreclosure properties due to issues like unclear tax obligations and difficulties in clearing properties [1][3]. Group 2: Benefits of Direct Property Sales - Direct property sales by banks can significantly enhance asset disposal efficiency and accelerate capital recovery, while also reducing legal disputes through better control of the transaction process [2]. - Buyers benefit from "direct supply properties" that are generally priced 16% to 31% lower than market rates, with transparent transaction processes and access to mortgage services, addressing the challenges of full cash payments for foreclosure properties [2]. Group 3: Challenges and Risks - Banks may face challenges due to a lack of professional sales teams and market promotion experience, which could lead to inefficiencies and imbalances in cost and revenue [3]. - Potential issues with property rights and payment of property fees could result in disputes that harm the bank's reputation [3]. - The influx of low-priced properties into the market could temporarily suppress surrounding property prices, as seen in certain areas where average transaction prices have dropped [3]. Group 4: Alternative Asset Disposal Strategies - Besides direct sales, banks can utilize more mature and innovative methods for disposing of non-performing assets, such as packaging them for asset management companies (AMCs) that specialize in efficient asset disposal [4]. - Establishing "special asset divisions" or using asset securitization to attract capital market investors are also viable strategies for risk sharing and maximizing returns [4]. - For properties that are difficult to sell, converting them into long-term rental apartments or affordable rental housing aligns with policy directions and helps activate assets [4]. Group 5: Long-term Strategy - The decision for banks to sell properties directly is a tactical choice aimed at quickly mitigating risks and recovering funds, but it is essential to focus on preventing transaction disputes and reputation risks [4]. - A long-term solution involves building a multi-layered, professional, and market-oriented system for disposing of non-performing assets, with banks acting as financial providers and coordinators through collaboration with AMCs, technology companies, and local governments [4].
银行下场卖房:规模庞大,性价比高
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-17 13:29
Core Insights - The article highlights the emergence of a "bank direct supply housing" market, where banks are selling properties at significantly lower prices than market rates, yet facing challenges in attracting buyers [1][2][6]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - On November 10, Lanzhou Rural Commercial Bank auctioned over a hundred residential units at prices as low as half the market rate, but all units received zero bids, indicating a lack of interest [1][2]. - The average starting price for these properties was around 2000 yuan per square meter, compared to the market price of approximately 5000 yuan per square meter [2][6]. - As of November 10, there were 414 residential and 957 commercial properties listed for auction on JD Asset Trading Platform, significantly higher than the previous year [2]. Group 2: Bank Participation - City commercial banks and rural credit cooperatives are leading the direct sale of properties, with significant listings from banks like Lanzhou Bank and Jilin Bank [3]. - Major state-owned banks are also participating, with Agricultural Bank listing 3436 properties and other banks like China Construction Bank and Postal Savings Bank listing over a thousand each [3]. Group 3: Asset Disposal Strategy - The surge in bank direct supply properties is closely linked to the disposal of non-performing assets, primarily properties that serve as collateral for loans that borrowers have defaulted on [4][5]. - Banks typically handle these assets through two methods: selling the debt at a discount or accepting properties in lieu of debt [4][5]. Group 4: Market Challenges - Despite the attractive pricing, the direct supply properties are struggling to sell, with some properties remaining unsold despite significant price reductions [6][10]. - The market for these properties is characterized by a disconnect between the listings and potential buyers, particularly in lower-tier cities where demand may not align with the marketing channels used by banks [10]. Group 5: Regulatory Environment - Banks face regulatory pressures to dispose of acquired properties within two years, but many find it challenging to sell these assets in a timely manner, leading to a backlog of unsold properties [9][10]. - The regulatory framework emphasizes the need for banks to manage these assets efficiently to avoid them becoming burdensome on their balance sheets [9].
法拍房史上最贵,深圳顶豪别墅3.6亿成交
3 6 Ke· 2025-11-14 02:31
Core Insights - The auction market for judicial properties in October 2025 continued to show high transaction volumes, with a total of 5,169 units sold, representing a 3% month-on-month increase and an 8% year-on-year increase [1][6] - The transaction rate for judicial properties reached 21.4%, up 2.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a return to a relatively high level for the year [1][13] - A record-breaking transaction occurred for a villa in Shenzhen, which sold for 364 million yuan, with a premium of 69.5%, setting a new record for judicial property prices in Shenzhen [2][4] Transaction Details - The villa in question has a building area of 639.35 square meters and was sold at a unit price of 57.09 million yuan per square meter, surpassing similar properties in Beijing and Shanghai [2][4] - The auction attracted over 200,000 viewers and started with a minimum bid of 215 million yuan, with six high-net-worth buyers participating, leading to 118 rounds of bidding [2][4] - The property was originally purchased for 188 million yuan in December 2010, indicating a significant appreciation in value over 14 years [4] Market Trends - In October, the total transaction amount for judicial properties reached 5.9 billion yuan, with 66% of properties sold at a premium [6][9] - Shenzhen led the market with a transaction amount of 840 million yuan, followed by Shanghai at 580 million yuan and Hangzhou at 440 million yuan [9] - The auction of a high-end club in Xiamen also saw a high premium, selling for 112 million yuan, reflecting strong demand for premium assets [12] City Performance - Guangzhou had the highest number of judicial property transactions at 205 units, with Wenzhou, Hangzhou, and Ningbo following closely [9] - Shenzhen's transaction rate was the highest among major cities at 45%, with several other cities also exceeding 30% [16] - The trend of ordinary second-hand properties being sold through judicial channels is becoming more common, with 9.4% of transactions being normal sales, indicating a shift in the market dynamics [19]
北京楼市 跌破心理价!200万内房源激增 二环房价打回原形了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-13 23:32
Core Insights - The real estate market in Beijing is experiencing a significant decline in housing prices, particularly for properties priced under 2 million yuan, which are increasingly available in desirable locations rather than just in the suburbs [1][3][34] - The proportion of houses priced under 2 million yuan is notably high in districts like Fengtai, Chaoyang, Fangshan, and Daxing, with surprising concentrations in core urban areas [3][25] - Recent transaction data indicates drastic price reductions for various properties, with some units experiencing declines of over 50% compared to previous years [5][7][9][11][15] Price Trends - In November 2025, a 37㎡ unit in Niujie sold for 220 million yuan, down 56% from 501 million yuan in December 2022 [5][7] - A 53㎡ unit in Xin'an Zhongli sold for 320 million yuan in November 2025, a 50% decrease from 632 million yuan in March 2023 [9] - A 102㎡ unit in Kangleli sold for 865 million yuan in November 2025, down 37% from 1.365 million yuan in April 2023 [15] Market Dynamics - The overall market is characterized by a shift from high-end properties in central districts to more affordable options in suburban areas, reflecting a broader trend of market segmentation [36][38] - The number of transactions in the core urban areas has decreased, with a notable decline in high-end residential sales, indicating a weakening demand in these segments [36][38] - The introduction of "bank direct supply housing" is emerging as a new phenomenon, where banks are selling properties acquired through bad loan disposals, often at significant discounts [41][42][66] Investment Opportunities - Properties priced under 2 million yuan, particularly in suburban areas, are seen as potential investment opportunities due to favorable rental yields compared to traditional financial products [34] - The market is witnessing a growing number of properties available at lower price points, which may attract buyers looking for affordable housing options [23][28][34] Conclusion - The current state of the Beijing real estate market reflects a complex interplay of declining prices, shifting buyer preferences, and new market entrants like banks selling distressed properties, creating both challenges and opportunities for investors and homebuyers alike [36][66]
克而瑞地产研究:10月法拍房成交规模维系年内高位 成交率如期回升至20%以上
智通财经网· 2025-11-13 09:47
Core Insights - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant decline in the supply of foreclosed properties while maintaining high transaction volumes, indicating a shift in market dynamics [1][5]. Group 1: Supply and Demand - The number of properties listed for auction decreased to 29,000, a 31% decline month-on-month and a 13% decline year-on-year, marking a new low for the second half of the year [7]. - The total starting price for these listings was 27.1 billion, down 33% from the previous month [7]. - In major cities, the supply of auctioned properties was concentrated, with Chongqing leading at 1,430 listings, while Guangzhou and Shenzhen followed with 360 and 215 listings respectively [8]. Group 2: Transaction Volume - The transaction volume remained high, with 5,169 properties sold, a 3% increase month-on-month and an 8% increase year-on-year, continuing a trend of over 5,000 transactions for three consecutive months [12]. - The total transaction value reached 5.9 billion, reflecting a 4% increase from the previous month [12]. - Guangzhou led in transaction numbers with 205 properties sold, while Shenzhen topped in transaction value at 840 million [14]. Group 3: Transaction Rate - The average transaction rate for foreclosed properties rose to 21.4%, an increase of 2.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a recovery in market activity [18]. - The transaction rate in key cities like Shenzhen reached 45%, significantly higher than the national average [21]. Group 4: Pricing Dynamics - The average discount rate for sold properties was 32.7%, up 0.4 percentage points month-on-month, while the average starting discount rate for auctioned properties was 29%, marking a new high since Q2 [22]. - Only 10% of sold properties exceeded their appraised values, indicating a trend towards lower pricing expectations among sellers [19]. Group 5: Market Outlook - The article suggests that the trend of normal residential properties being sold through foreclosure channels is becoming more common, with 9.4% of transactions involving standard assets [5]. - High-value properties are entering the foreclosure market, with notable examples including a villa in Shenzhen sold for 364 million, reflecting strong demand for premium assets [15].
法拍房月报|10月成交规模维系年内高位,成交率如期回升至20%以上(2025年10月)
克而瑞地产研究· 2025-11-13 09:35
Core Viewpoint - The auctioned properties in October showed a significant decrease in supply, with 66% of properties sold at a premium, marking a new low for the year [3][19][31]. Supply and Auction Volume - The number of properties listed for auction decreased significantly, with 29,000 new listings, a 31% decrease month-on-month and a 13% decrease year-on-year, marking the lowest level since the second half of the year [3][12]. - The total starting price for these listings was 27.1 billion, down 33% from the previous month [12]. - In terms of city performance, Chongqing led with 1,430 listings, while major cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen had 360 and 215 listings respectively [15]. Transaction Volume - The transaction volume remained high, with 5,169 properties sold, a 3% increase month-on-month and an 8% increase year-on-year, continuing a trend of over 5,000 transactions for three consecutive months [3][18]. - The total transaction value reached 5.9 billion, reflecting a 4% increase from the previous month [18]. Transaction Rate - The national average transaction rate was 21%, showing a recovery trend [6][25]. - Cities like Shenzhen had a transaction rate of 45%, significantly higher than the national average, while Suzhou saw a drastic drop to 4% due to a high number of unsold properties [30]. Premium and Discount Rates - The average premium rate for auctioned properties was 9.7%, with only 10% of properties sold above their appraised value, indicating a trend towards lower premiums [3][31]. - The average discount rate for sold properties was 32.7%, with a notable increase in the willingness of sellers to lower prices [35]. Market Outlook - The market is witnessing an increase in the number of normal transactions through auction channels, with approximately 9.4% of sold properties being regular assets, which had a median premium rate of 28 times [8]. - High-value properties are entering the auction market, with notable examples including a villa sold for 3.6 billion and a club sold for 1.12 billion, both achieving significant premiums [9][24]. - The current real estate inventory is at a critical level, necessitating the use of auction properties as a key method for risk management and inventory reduction [10].
大批“银行直供房”上市,房地产“只住不炒”调控目标以这种方式实现
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-13 00:40
Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in "bank direct supply housing" listings has become a significant trend in the real estate market, with banks selling properties at prices significantly lower than market rates, indicating a shift in the market dynamics and potential implications for the housing bubble [1][6]. Group 1: Bank's Role in Real Estate - Banks are increasingly acting as major players in the real estate market, with numerous banks listing thousands of properties for sale, effectively becoming the largest "second-hand housing intermediaries" in the country [1][6]. - The properties sold by banks have clear ownership, reducing transaction risks compared to auctioned properties, which often come with various complications [3]. - The motivation for banks to sell properties directly stems from the overwhelming number of foreclosed properties that are difficult to process through traditional auction methods, necessitating a faster asset clearance to reduce bad debts [3][6]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Implications - The trend of banks selling properties is expected to escalate, potentially spreading from smaller cities to larger urban areas, which could lead to a downward pressure on housing prices and a tightening of credit [6][9]. - The pricing strategies employed by banks are pragmatic, focusing on recovering debts rather than maximizing profits, which could lead to a significant reduction in local property market prices and a shift towards more realistic valuations [9][12]. - The phenomenon of banks offloading properties signals a deterioration in asset quality within the financial system, reflecting the adverse effects of speculative behavior in the real estate market [6][9]. Group 3: Impact on Speculation and Housing Demand - The influx of "direct supply housing" is pushing speculative investors out of the market, as many of the properties being sold were previously owned by investors who leveraged high debt during price surges [7][9]. - The financial attributes of real estate are diminishing, with a return to its fundamental purpose of providing housing, as banks prioritize quick sales to recover funds [9][12]. - The current market conditions are reshaping buyer expectations, moving away from the belief that prices will only rise, which aligns with the "housing is for living, not for speculation" policy [9][12]. Group 4: Future Considerations - The ongoing sale of properties by banks highlights the need for a stable demand foundation from genuine homebuyers to prevent further price declines and potential financial risks [12][13]. - The successful implementation of the "housing is for living, not for speculation" policy requires the establishment of long-term mechanisms, such as a robust rental market and housing tax systems, which are still in development [12][13]. - The current market situation can be viewed as a necessary cleansing process, but the long-term health of the market will depend on its ability to stabilize and create a sustainable cycle [13].
10月法拍房成交额缩水三成,顶豪市场却现“抢房”
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-11-12 12:24
Core Insights - The national auction housing market in October experienced a significant decline in both volume and price, with total transaction value dropping by 32.5% year-on-year, and a clearance rate of only 14.9%, indicating a notable decrease in market activity [1][2]. Market Overview - In October, the number of auctioned properties reached 106,000, a year-on-year decrease of 12.5%, while the number of successful transactions was 16,000, down 7.3% year-on-year. The total transaction value was 19.34 billion, reflecting a substantial decline of 32.5% [2]. - The decline in transaction value is attributed to three main factors: a reduction in the number of auctioned properties, a low clearance rate indicating insufficient bidding participation, and an average discount rate of 74.8%, suggesting widespread asset devaluation [2][3]. Segment Analysis - Residential properties remain the dominant segment in the auction market. From January to October, the number of auctioned residential properties was 277,000, down 9.0% year-on-year, with 92,000 successful transactions, a decrease of 1.4%. The total transaction value for residential properties was 109.71 billion, down 16.6% year-on-year, with an average price of 8,319 yuan per square meter, down 11.0% [4]. - The market is characterized by significant regional disparities, with first-tier cities showing stronger resilience. For instance, Shenzhen's auction market reported a clearance rate of 63.75% and an average transaction price of 48,413 yuan per square meter, leading the nation in several metrics [4][5]. Price Trends - The auction price discount trend is more pronounced in different auction phases. The starting price discount rate for first auctions typically ranges from 0.7 to 1 times the assessed value, while second auctions see further reductions, with prices dropping to 0.56-0.7 times the assessed value [3]. - In commercial real estate, significant discounts are evident, as illustrated by the sale of a property in Shanghai that sold for 1.31 billion after multiple failed auctions, representing a 60% discount from its initial asking price of 2.1 billion [3]. Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the current adjustments in the auction market are influenced by the broader real estate market environment and judicial auction rhythms. The differentiation in market performance is expected to continue, with core cities maintaining stable clearance and discount rates, while other cities may face longer liquidation periods and deeper price reductions [6].