Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The traditional light industry investment logic is diverse, categorized into three main directions: stable growth with high dividends (e.g., Yutong Technology, Yongxin Co.), growth potential (export chain companies like Jiangxin Home), and cyclical (paper and metal packaging) [1][3][4] - The new consumption industry is currently in a high prosperity and growth phase, with opportunities particularly in information tobacco, trendy toys, and personal care sectors [2] Core Insights and Arguments - **IP Derivative Market Potential**: The market is driven by rising GDP per capita and increasing demand for spiritual consumption, with emotional, social, and collectible values propelling industry growth [1][5] - **Bubble Mart's Growth**: Expected revenue of 30 billion yuan and profit of 10 billion yuan this year, with projections of 45 to 50 billion yuan in revenue and 15 to 17 billion yuan in profit in the coming years. The company is expanding its product matrix and global market presence [1][7] - **Blucor's Short-term Decline**: The recent drop in Blucor's stock price presents a buying opportunity, with a focus on expanding its IP offerings to girls and adults, potentially increasing revenue to 8 to 10 billion yuan [1][8][9] - **Tobacco Industry Shift**: The global tobacco industry is transitioning to new tobacco products due to the decline of traditional cigarettes, with major companies like Philip Morris and British American Tobacco increasing investments in this area [1][12][13] Additional Important Insights - **Export Sector**: Companies like Jiangxin Home have significant growth potential in the U.S. market, with a focus on brand recognition and global market expansion [1][24] - **Packaging Industry**: Yutong Technology and Yongxin Co. are highlighted for their high dividend yields and international expansion strategies, with Yutong aiming for a balanced domestic and international sales ratio [1][22] - **Paper Industry Outlook**: The paper industry is currently at a historical low in pricing, with expectations for demand recovery in the coming years, particularly for companies like Sun Paper [1][21] - **Environmental Packaging**: New companies in the environmental packaging sector, such as Zhongxin Co., are emerging, with potential for significant growth if new production capacities are realized [1][25] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call records, providing insights into the light industry, new consumption trends, and specific company performances and strategies.

Group 1: Growth Strategies - The company anticipates maintaining medium to high-speed growth over the next 3-5 years, driven by international expansion, smart manufacturing, eco-friendly packaging, and domestic market potential [2][3][4]. - International expansion includes establishing new production bases in Europe, the Middle East, and the U.S. within 2-3 years, leveraging existing customer relationships [2][3]. - Smart manufacturing investments have positioned the company as a leader in automation and efficiency, with a dedicated team of around 200 engineers and 100 IT specialists [3]. Group 2: Market Opportunities - The company sees significant potential in the heavy packaging market, particularly in automotive parts exports, and aims to lead in high-end card and new consumer packaging [11]. - The eco-friendly packaging segment is expected to grow as material development and process improvements reduce manufacturing costs [3]. - The company is also focusing on the robot industry through its subsidiary, which has gained traction in small-batch production [3]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Projections - Currently, overseas production capacity accounts for approximately 20%, with a goal of achieving a 50:50 distribution between domestic and international operations in the long term [4]. - The company aims for a net profit margin of 12% or higher, leveraging its competitive advantages in differentiated manufacturing [4][5]. - Since its listing, the company has completed dividends totaling approximately 2.85 billion yuan and plans to continue share buybacks [12]. Group 4: Competitive Advantages - The company has a first-mover advantage in overseas production, with a workforce of around 3,000 in Vietnam, while local competitors are primarily small factories [5]. - Established smart factories in China allow for rapid replication of successful practices in international markets, enhancing cost control and efficiency [5]. - The company has formed stable supply relationships with numerous international clients, positioning itself to capitalize on consumer upgrades in various regions [5][8]. Group 5: Risk Management - The company’s overseas expansion is strategically aligned with customer demand, ensuring that capacity increases are based on market needs rather than speculative investments [6][7]. - The company is cautious about potential competition from emerging local packaging firms in Southeast Asia, focusing on maintaining its technological and operational advantages [9].

Core Viewpoint - Jihong Co., Ltd. is set to launch its IPO, offering 67.91 million shares at a price range of HKD 7.48 to 10.68, with H-shares expected to be listed on May 27, 2023. The company is positioned as the first "AI-driven cross-border social e-commerce A+H stock" and is a leader in both the B2C export e-commerce and paper fast-moving consumer goods packaging industries, showcasing significant multi-dimensional value potential [1]. Industry Overview - Jihong Co., Ltd. operates in the B2C export social media e-commerce sector and the paper fast-moving consumer goods packaging industry, both characterized by large market space and high growth potential. The Chinese B2C export e-commerce market is projected to reach USD 927.6 billion by 2029, accounting for 11.4% of the global market, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.2% from 2024 to 2029 [2]. - The Asian segment of the B2C export e-commerce market is expected to grow to USD 458.4 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of 15.8%, outpacing the overall market growth. Social media is identified as the fastest-growing traffic source in this sector, with the Asian market projected to reach USD 69.5 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 19.0% [2]. Company Strategy and Performance - Jihong Co., Ltd. employs an AI-driven approach to enhance operational efficiency in cross-border e-commerce, effectively reshaping the competitive landscape and reducing costs. This strategy allows for improved product selection, marketing, and user experience, transitioning the competition from resource consumption to algorithm evolution [5]. - The company focuses on the Asian market, particularly along the Belt and Road Initiative, which provides stability against fluctuations in Western markets. Over 80% of its cross-border e-commerce revenue comes from Asia, with minimal exposure to the U.S. market [5]. - Jihong Co., Ltd. has a robust long-term strategy that includes AI-driven e-commerce, proprietary brand development, and international expansion of its packaging business. The company has developed the Giikin system to optimize its operations across the supply chain, achieving a low inventory turnover ratio and high return on investment (ROI) compared to industry averages [8][9]. - The company has established several proprietary brands and is leveraging its marketing data to enhance brand influence and sales efficiency. Its packaging business has also expanded into new markets, collaborating with local firms to strengthen its operational capabilities [9][10]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Jihong Co., Ltd. is projected to generate revenue of CNY 3.366 billion from cross-border social e-commerce, accounting for 60.9% of total revenue, while its paper packaging business is expected to contribute CNY 2.099 billion, or 38% [11]. - The company is anticipated to maintain a gross margin of 60.5% for its cross-border e-commerce segment, supporting an overall gross margin of 43.8%. In Q1 2025, Jihong Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of CNY 1.477 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.55%, with net profit rising by 38.21% [11]. Conclusion - Jihong Co., Ltd.'s upcoming IPO is expected to enhance its market visibility and provide a platform for international expansion, potentially transforming it from a regional leader to a global player. The company's strategic focus on technology and market positioning is likely to drive its value and attract investor interest [12][13].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 17.157 billion (up 12.71% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.409 billion (down 2.05%) for 2024 [1] - The first quarter of 2025 showed stable operations with a revenue of 3.699 billion (up 6.42%) and a net profit of 241 million (up 10.26%) [1] - The company is expected to recover profits in 2025, with projected revenues of 18.917 billion (up 10.26%) and net profits of 1.684 billion (up 19.56%) [11] Summary by Sections Company Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 17.157 billion and a net profit of 1.409 billion, with a gross margin of 24.80% [1][10] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 4.898 billion, but a significant drop in net profit to 294 million, primarily due to strategic asset disposals and employee stock plan costs [1] Business Segments - The 3C business remains solid, with a stable revenue contribution from major clients, accounting for 38.26% of total revenue [2] - The company has successfully upgraded its tobacco packaging business and is expanding its global footprint [2][3] Environmental Initiatives - Revenue from eco-friendly packaging reached 1.271 billion in 2024, reflecting a growth of 19.45% [3] - The company is actively involved in sustainable packaging initiatives and has received industry recognition for its innovations [3] Financial Metrics - The company’s expense ratio decreased by 0.43 percentage points in 2024, attributed to lower loan rates and increased foreign exchange gains [5] - The projected earnings per share for 2025 is 1.81, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.54 [11][13] Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a growth trajectory with projected revenues of 20.825 billion in 2026 and 22.939 billion in 2027, alongside net profits of 1.867 billion and 2.079 billion respectively [11][13] - The company is enhancing its global supply chain capabilities with new smart factories in both domestic and overseas markets [4]