食品饮料 2026 年 03 月 01 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -19% -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 2025-03 2025-07 2025-11 食品饮料 沪深300 相关研究报告 《春节动销趋势向好，聚焦龙头布局 景气赛道—行业周报》-2026.2.23 《包装水行业发展稳健，头部分化孕 育 结 构 性 机 遇 — 行 业 点 评 报 告 》 -2026.2.11 《复苏态势明朗，板块预期乐观—行 业周报》-2026.2.8 节后需求稳健格局优化，健康功能饮品长期向好 ——行业周报 | 张宇光（分析师） | 张思敏（分析师） | | --- | --- | | zhangyuguang@kysec.cn | zhangsimin@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790520030003 | 证书编号：S0790525080001 | zhangsimin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790525080001 核心观点：春节动销回暖结构分化，看好健康化饮品赛道龙头 2 月 23 日-2 月 27 日，食品饮料指数跌幅为 1.5%，一级子行业排名第 2 ...

食品饮料 2026 年 03 月 01 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -19% -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 2025-03 2025-07 2025-11 食品饮料 沪深300 相关研究报告 《春节动销趋势向好，聚焦龙头布局 景气赛道—行业周报》-2026.2.23 《包装水行业发展稳健，头部分化孕 育 结 构 性 机 遇 — 行 业 点 评 报 告 》 -2026.2.11 《复苏态势明朗，板块预期乐观—行 业周报》-2026.2.8 节后需求稳健格局优化，健康功能饮品长期向好 ——行业周报 | 张宇光（分析师） | 张思敏（分析师） | | --- | --- | | zhangyuguang@kysec.cn | zhangsimin@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790520030003 | 证书编号：S0790525080001 | zhangsimin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790525080001 核心观点：春节动销回暖结构分化，看好健康化饮品赛道龙头 2 月 23 日-2 月 27 日，食品饮料指数跌幅为 1.5%，一级子行业排名第 2 ...

近年来，电解质饮料（包括运动饮料）火遍全球。根据行业刊物《饮料行业》的数据，美国消费者每年在运动电解质饮料上的支出 已超过100亿美元。行业分析师指出，这一品类早已超越专业运动员领域，渗透进日常生活消费。如今，许多网络红人都在大力推 广这些产品。 ▲创意配图 图据图虫创意 网上流传的一种说法是：在水中添加钠、氯化物（盐）、镁、钾等电解质，能帮助细胞更好地"保持并利用"水分，从而维持身体平衡，并宣称 这些配方对于避免偏头痛、肌肉痉挛、焦虑和情绪波动至关重要。不过，对普通健康人群来说，这些额外补充真的必要吗？ 澳大利亚莫纳什大学营养、膳食和食品系研究主任里卡多·科斯塔副教授表示，电解质在生物学上确实至关重要，主要调控细胞内外水分子的 流动和渗透压平衡。众所周知，人体主要由水组成，水分布在细胞内外，以及细胞与细胞之间的空间。 科斯塔同时强调，电解质（例如钠）在维持身体水分平衡方面作用不大。研究表明，只有当人们摄入大量盐分时，才能帮助血液保留更多水 分，但这往往伴随着血压升高等健康风险。相反，其他营养素如碳水化合物（葡萄糖）和蛋白质，对保持身体水分更具实际意义。科斯塔表 示："现在大家对电解质过度关注，可能源于一些误 ...

2025年前三季度实现营收为168.44亿元，同比增长34.13%；净利润为37.61亿元，同比增长38.91%。预 计全年营收将突破207亿元，同比增长超31%，归母净利润为43.40亿元-45.90亿元，同比增长 30.36%-37.97%。 分产品来看，东鹏饮料营收仍以能量饮料为核心。截止去年三季度末，能量饮料的收入占比为 74.63%。不过产品结构在持续优化，电解质饮料收入占比已由上年9.66%提升至16.91%，其他饮料合计 收入占比升至8.46%。 据悉，本次以1.5亿美元领投的Al-Rayyan系卡塔尔投资局间接全资子公司。这不仅是卡塔尔首次布局中 国消费IPO，还是其历史上单笔金额最高的基石投资。 而东鹏饮料能获得明星资本的青睐，离不开自身优异表现。 据弗若斯特沙利文，东鹏饮料核心产品东鹏特饮自2021年起已连续四年位居中国功能饮料市场第一，市 场份额已从2021年的15%增长至2024年的26.3%。目前，其产品矩阵已涵盖能量饮料、运动饮料、茶饮 料、咖啡饮料等多个品类，覆盖430万个终端销售网点。 根据规划，东鹏饮料此次赴港上市所募集的资金，除了用于完善产能布局和推进供应链升级，还将有 1 ...

1月29日，东鹏饮料涨3.14%，成交额10.33亿元。两融数据显示，当日东鹏饮料获融资买入额3176.75万 元，融资偿还3914.41万元，融资净买入-737.65万元。截至1月29日，东鹏饮料融资融券余额合计3.59亿 元。 融资方面，东鹏饮料当日融资买入3176.75万元。当前融资余额3.56亿元，占流通市值的0.26%，融资余 额超过近一年80%分位水平，处于高位。 融券方面，东鹏饮料1月29日融券偿还1800.00股，融券卖出5500.00股，按当日收盘价计算，卖出金额 144.38万元；融券余量1.13万股，融券余额296.94万元，低于近一年20%分位水平，处于低位。 资料显示，东鹏饮料(集团)股份有限公司位于广东省深圳市南山区桃源街道珠光北路142号明亮科技园 88号3栋1楼,香港湾仔皇后大道东248号大新金融中心40楼，成立日期1994年6月30日，上市日期2021年5 月27日，公司主营业务涉及饮料的研发、生产和销售。主营业务收入构成为：能量饮料77.87%，电解 质饮料13.90%，其他饮料8.17%，其他0.06%。 截至9月30日，东鹏饮料股东户数1.60万，较上期增加21.82% ...

分红方面，东鹏饮料A股上市后累计派现66.00亿元。近三年，累计派现54.00亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，东鹏饮料十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第二大流 通股东，持股5200.51万股，相比上期增加54.07万股。华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF（510300）位居第十大流通 股东，持股378.95万股，相比上期减少2.20万股。 资料显示，东鹏饮料(集团)股份有限公司位于广东省深圳市南山区桃源街道珠光北路142号明亮科技园 88号3栋1楼,香港湾仔皇后大道东248号大新金融中心40楼，成立日期1994年6月30日，上市日期2021年5 月27日，公司主营业务涉及饮料的研发、生产和销售。主营业务收入构成为：能量饮料77.87%，电解 质饮料13.90%，其他饮料8.17%，其他0.06%。 东鹏饮料所属申万行业为：食品饮料-饮料乳品-软饮料。所属概念板块包括：高派息、大消费、食品饮 料概念、大盘股等。 截至9月30日，东鹏饮料股东户数1.60万，较上期增加21.82%；人均流通股32533股，较上期减少 17.91%。2025年1月-9月，东鹏饮料实现营业收入168.44亿元，同比增长3 ...

Core Viewpoint - Dongpeng Beverage is experiencing significant growth in performance and is continuing its dual-line expansion both domestically and internationally [1] Group 1: Expansion and Investment - Dongpeng Beverage announced plans to build a new production base in Chengdu with a total investment of 1.1 billion yuan [2] - The Chengdu production base will be the company's 14th production facility in China, enhancing its supply capacity in the southwest region [3][5] - The project will include six high-end beverage production lines and is expected to be completed within 40 months [4] Group 2: Financial Performance - Dongpeng Beverage forecasts a revenue of 20.76 billion to 21.12 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 31.07% to 33.34% [3][7] - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.34 billion to 4.59 billion yuan for 2025, an increase of 30.46% to 37.97% compared to the previous year [7] - The company achieved a revenue of 11.263 billion yuan in 2023, marking a significant milestone as it crossed the 10 billion yuan mark in just two years [8] Group 3: International Expansion - Dongpeng Beverage is preparing for an IPO in Hong Kong, with part of the raised funds allocated for building supply chain infrastructure in Southeast Asia [3][9] - The company plans to invest 200 million USD in Indonesia to establish a production base, using Hainan as a hub for exports to Southeast Asia [10] - As of 2025, Dongpeng's overseas revenue is still in the early stages, accounting for only 0.14% of total revenue [8]

Group 1 - Dongpeng Beverage's stock price fell by 2.91% on January 14, closing at 264.68 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 943 million yuan and a turnover rate of 0.68%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 137.637 billion yuan [1] - The stock has experienced a continuous decline for four consecutive days, with a cumulative drop of 5.09% during this period [1] - Dongpeng Beverage's main business includes the research, production, and sales of beverages, with revenue composition as follows: energy drinks 77.87%, electrolyte drinks 13.90%, other beverages 8.17%, and others 0.06% [1] Group 2 - The Guoshou Anbao Fund has a significant holding in Dongpeng Beverage, specifically in the Guoshou Anbao Quality Consumption Stock Initiation A Fund (020140), which increased its holdings by 200 shares to a total of 1,300 shares, representing 4.08% of the fund's net value [2] - The fund has incurred a floating loss of approximately 10,300 yuan today, with a total floating loss of 18,400 yuan during the four-day decline [2] - The Guoshou Anbao Quality Consumption Stock Initiation A Fund was established on December 7, 2023, with a latest scale of 9.3226 million yuan, and has achieved a year-to-date return of 6.31%, ranking 2017 out of 5520 in its category [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Dongpeng Beverage's stock has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.01% and a total market capitalization of 141.657 billion yuan [1] - As of January 7, the stock price is reported at 272.41 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 3.01 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 0.21% [1] - The company has seen a year-to-date stock price increase of 1.88%, with a 5-day increase of 1.63% and a 20-day increase of 4.77%, while experiencing a 60-day decline of 8.16% [1] Group 2 - As of September 30, the number of shareholders for Dongpeng Beverage has increased to 16,000, representing a growth of 21.82%, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 17.91% to 32,533 shares [2] - For the period from January to September 2025, Dongpeng Beverage achieved a revenue of 16.844 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 34.13%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.761 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 38.91% [2] Group 3 - Dongpeng Beverage has distributed a total of 6.6 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 5.4 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3] - As of September 30, 2025, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the second-largest circulating shareholder, holding 52.0051 million shares, an increase of 540,700 shares compared to the previous period [3] - Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF is the tenth-largest circulating shareholder, holding 3.7895 million shares, which is a decrease of 22,000 shares from the previous period [3]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call on the Food and Beverage Industry Industry Overview - The food and beverage industry is currently facing pressure in cyclical demand, with performance uncertainty among leading companies in various segments, suggesting a cautious approach to investment [1][2] - The investment strategy for 2026 is divided into two main areas: segments with lower correlation to domestic demand and high-growth leading companies with overseas expansion or strong dividend capabilities, and cyclical sectors with high domestic demand [2] Key Recommendations - **Retail and Brand Companies**: Focus on retail channel companies like Wancheng and Mingming Hen Mang, and brand companies such as Yanjin and Weilong, which maintain their channel expansion logic [3] - **Beverage Sector**: Monitor opportunities for Dongpeng Special Drink, which is expected to benefit from long-term penetration rate improvements [3] - **High Dividend and Operational Improvement**: Recommend Qianhe Flavor and Yihai International, with Qianhe expected to have significant elasticity in 2026 and Yihai offering a 6% dividend yield at a 15x P/E ratio [5][12] Cyclical Sector Insights - The cyclical sectors, including liquor, beer, and restaurant supply chains, are currently at historical lows with pessimistic market sentiment. Investment in Moutai and Yanjing Beer is suggested for Q1 to Q2 2026 [6] - The liquor market is expected to remain stable during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day in 2026, with a cautious approach recommended due to the current market dynamics [20][21] Consumer Goods Sector - The consumer goods sector is recommended to focus on high-growth segments such as snack retail stores and functional beverages like Dongpeng Special Drink, which are expected to see increased penetration rates [7][8] - Dongpeng's performance in shelf management and freezer coverage is noted as strong, with significant revenue growth potential [9] Profitability and Cost Structure - Dongpeng is expected to benefit from cost reductions in P, E, and T, with a projected sales increase from 30 billion to 40-50 billion in 2026, improving gross margins [10] - The yeast and health product sectors are anticipated to grow significantly in overseas markets, particularly in regions with rising populations and increasing staple food consumption [11] Investment Strategy for Liquor Sector - The liquor sector is influenced by policy and economic cycles, with a recommendation to invest in Moutai and other leading brands during low sentiment periods [22][24] - The expected EPS for the liquor sector in 2026 is projected to stabilize, with a valuation range of 20 to 25 times [27] Conclusion - The overall investment strategy for the food and beverage sector in 2026 emphasizes identifying companies with strong growth potential, reasonable valuations, and competitive advantages in branding, distribution, and product differentiation [29]