Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant increase in overall revenue for Q3 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 245-250%, driven by strong performance in both domestic and overseas markets [1] Overall Performance - The overall revenue growth for Q3 2025 is projected at 245-250%, with Q1 and H1 showing growth rates of 165-170% and 204.4% respectively [1] - The company anticipates a sequential acceleration in growth, particularly in Q4, which is traditionally a peak sales season [1] Domestic Market - Domestic revenue for Q3 2025 is expected to grow by 185-190%, with Q1 showing a growth of 95-100% and H1 at 135% [1] - The company estimates Q2 domestic growth at over 170%, indicating a sequential acceleration in Q3 [1] Channel Performance - Offline channels experienced a year-on-year growth of 130-135% in Q3 2025, while online channels saw a significant increase of 300-305% [2] - The online growth is attributed to the pre-sale shipments of the labubu series, which predominantly occurred in Q3 [2] International Market - Overseas revenue growth for Q3 2025 is reported at 365-370%, down from 475-480% in Q1 [2] - Regional performance indicates that the Asia-Pacific market is expected to remain stable, while the Americas and Europe show slight declines in growth rates [2][3] Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about Q4 due to upcoming seasonal events like Halloween and Christmas, which are expected to drive strong consumer demand [3] - The company is expanding its product offerings and enhancing its comprehensive operational platform, focusing on IP incubation and consumer engagement [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to increase its overseas business share, targeting key cities in the US and Europe, and aims to establish regional warehouses to reduce costs [4] - A focus on innovation and a controlled approach to SKU management is expected to maintain product quality while minimizing excess [4] Financial Projections - Revenue growth projections for 2025-2027 have been adjusted upwards, with expected growth rates of 172%, 38%, and 36% respectively [5] - The company anticipates a significant increase in net profit margins, with EPS estimates rising to 8.16, 11.59, and 16.16 CNY per share for the respective years [5]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Zhongyou Securities indicates that Pop Mart (09992) is a leader in the domestic trendy toy industry with strong capabilities in IP acquisition, incubation, and operation, leading to a positive long-term outlook for the company [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenue growth rates of 172%, 38%, and 36% for the years 2025-2027, respectively, with upward revisions [1] - The net profit growth rates for the same period are projected at 251%, 42%, and 39%, also revised upwards [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 8.16, 11.59, and 16.16 CNY per share for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 26x, 18x, and 13x [1] Group 2: Seasonal Outlook - Q4 is traditionally a peak sales season for Pop Mart, with significant demand expected due to Halloween, Black Friday, and Christmas in overseas markets [2] - The launch of the Halloween-themed "why so serious" series has seen strong sales, indicating a positive trend for upcoming product releases [2] Group 3: Long-term Business Development - Over the past decade, Pop Mart has developed a comprehensive operational platform covering the entire trendy toy industry chain, focusing on five key areas: global artist discovery, IP incubation, consumer engagement, trendy toy culture promotion, and innovative business incubation [3] - The company plans to introduce new product lines, including accessories and building blocks in 2024, and magazines and clothing in 2025, indicating a gradual expansion of its product offerings [3] Group 4: Company Expansion and Innovation - The company aims to increase its overseas business share by opening stores in key landmark cities, particularly in the US and Europe, and expanding sales channels in tourist areas [4] - A focus on live streaming for e-commerce is planned, with expectations that live streaming will account for over 20% of overseas e-commerce by 2025 [4] - The company intends to maintain a controlled SKU strategy, with no more than the absolute value of SKUs in 2024, ensuring a streamlined product offering [4] - Plans for 2025 include opening 100 stores overseas, with overseas revenue expected to exceed 50%, and the North American market projected to match the sales volume of the Chinese market in 2020 [4]

Core Viewpoint - Pop Mart has demonstrated remarkable financial performance in 2024, achieving a revenue of 13.038 billion yuan, more than doubling its revenue from 2023, and an adjusted net profit of 3.403 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 185.9% [2][26]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Pop Mart's revenue reached 13.038 billion yuan, a 106.9% increase compared to 2023, while the adjusted net profit was 3.403 billion yuan, marking a 185.7% increase [26]. - The company's revenue growth trajectory has been impressive, with a significant recovery from a stagnation period in 2022 when revenue grew only 2.8% [3][26]. Market Position and Stock Performance - After a challenging period, Pop Mart's stock price rebounded to its initial public offering price in June 2024 and continued to rise, reaching a historical high of 177.2 HKD per share by April 23, 2024, with a total market capitalization of approximately 237.283 billion HKD [4][3]. - The stock price had previously dropped significantly, hitting a low of 10.2 HKD per share in October 2022, reflecting market skepticism about the company's business model [3]. IP Strategy and Revenue Contribution - The success of the LABUBU IP, part of the "THE MONSTERS" series, significantly contributed to revenue, generating 3.041 billion yuan in 2024, a staggering 726% increase year-on-year, and accounting for 23.3% of total revenue [21][22]. - Other IPs like MOLLY, SKULLPANDA, and CRYBABY also performed well, with each generating over 1 billion yuan in revenue [21]. International Expansion - Pop Mart's overseas revenue reached 5.066 billion yuan in 2024, a 375.2% increase, accounting for 38.9% of total revenue, with Southeast Asia being the fastest-growing region [34][33]. - The company has successfully opened multiple stores in Thailand, with the first store achieving ten times the average sales of other stores on its opening day [39]. Product Diversification - In 2024, Pop Mart began to diversify its product offerings beyond blind boxes, with plush products contributing 21.7% of total revenue, and the introduction of building block products aimed at attracting male consumers [58][56]. - The company has also emphasized the importance of creating unique IPs and has increased its design and licensing expenses significantly to support this strategy [55][56]. Future Outlook - Pop Mart aims to continue its growth trajectory by expanding its international presence and enhancing its IP portfolio, with a focus on maintaining the appeal of its products to consumers [61][62]. - The company is also exploring new business avenues such as theme parks and digital entertainment, which are expected to contribute to future revenue streams [61].

Core Insights - In 2024, Pop Mart achieved a revenue of 13.04 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 106.9%, with an adjusted net profit of 3.4 billion yuan, up 185.9% [1] - The company reported that four major IPs generated over 1 billion yuan each, with 13 IPs surpassing 100 million yuan in revenue [1] - The company’s gross margin reached a historical high of 66.8%, an increase of 5.5 percentage points from 61.3% in 2023 [2] Domestic Business Performance - In mainland China, Pop Mart's revenue was 7.97 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 52.3% [2] - The company added 38 offline stores, bringing the total to 401, while the number of robot stores increased to 2,300 [2] - Revenue from offline stores was 3.83 billion yuan, up 43.9%, and robot store revenue was 700 million yuan, growing by 26.4% [2] International Market Growth - Pop Mart's overseas and Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan business generated 5.07 billion yuan, a staggering growth of 375.2%, accounting for 38.9% of total revenue [3] - The Southeast Asia market led the growth with a revenue of 2.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 619.1% [3] - Online sales in overseas markets reached 1.46 billion yuan, up 834%, with the highest revenue from the overseas official website at 530 million yuan, growing by 1246.2% [3] Product Innovation and Sales Channels - The plush toy category saw explosive growth with a revenue increase of 1289%, while the proportion of sales from figurines dropped to 53.2% [1] - The company’s抽盒机 (blind box machine) generated 1.11 billion yuan, a 52.7% increase, surpassing the historical peak of 2022 [2] - The Tmall flagship store achieved 630 million yuan in revenue, a 95% increase, and the content e-commerce team generated 600 million yuan, up 112.2% [2]